8=======>

2022-08-02 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1821
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.9%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.34914.5623+4.90%4.3083-0.94%0.0396✓0.73920k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.53960.55459+2.78%0.4685-13.18%0.0186✓1.13335k2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016640.001705+2.47%0.001534-7.81%0.0299✓1.029,4962022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008390.008538+1.77%0.00616-26.58%0.2066✗0.901.6M2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0665290.067696+1.76%0.062347-6.29%0.0705✓1.151.7M2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash61.4962.4312+1.53%58.98-4.08%0.1066✓1.231.6M2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero156.99159.349+1.50%154.26-1.74%0.1138✓1.101.3M2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7420.750901+1.20%1.059+42.72%0.5036✓1.20806k2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.1631.1763+1.14%1.047-9.98%0.0239✓1.0643k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7090.716226+1.02%0.527-25.67%0.1115✗1.4797k2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067160.006775+0.87%0.006401-4.69%0.0131✓0.5338k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.93810.0166+0.79%9.143-8.00%0.0535✓1.092.0M2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09360.09427+0.72%0.0821-12.29%0.0216✓1.206,7862022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,023.6023,173.00+0.65%20,192.40-12.30%0.0078✗0.9814k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40290.405116+0.55%0.3534-12.29%0.0372✓1.31127k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397950.399848+0.48%0.34021-14.51%0.0031✓1.19118k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04630.046462+0.35%0.0367-20.73%0.0596✗1.338,6502022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.068310.068549+0.35%0.063287-7.35%0.0170✓0.73369k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0730.07318+0.25%0.117+60.27%0.5684✓0.75159k2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06985.0768+0.14%5.5317+9.11%0.1139✓0.21214k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.4293.5168+0.10%86.42-7.49%0.1400✓1.6510.2M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.77133.8759+0.08%116.73-12.74%0.0205✓1.194.3M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.302050.302179+0.04%0.3455+14.39%0.2857✓1.14398k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,989.4022,956.72-0.14%20,133.65-12.42%0.0014✗1.00414.2M2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326188-0.16%0.2936-10.13%0.0457✗1.148.0M2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.43980.438975-0.19%0.3628-17.51%0.0258✓1.24808k2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0957.9203-0.29%57.56-0.91%0.1467✗1.1513.7M2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25020.249381-0.33%0.2105-15.87%0.0070✓1.23110k2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062040.006183-0.34%0.005808-6.39%0.0529✗0.879,1592022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05950.059298-0.34%0.0506-14.96%0.0276✗1.40161k2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.085369-0.39%0.058-32.32%0.2339✓1.15132k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074184-0.42%0.0612-17.85%0.0485✓1.08679k2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009650.009606-0.45%0.00869-9.95%0.0234✗0.935.0M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13780.13712-0.49%0.124-10.01%0.0682✗1.2761k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash48.5348.2745-0.53%44.79-7.71%0.0705✗1.10574k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.760.755742-0.56%0.71-6.58%0.0147✗0.5883k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.166365-0.62%0.1435-14.28%0.0156✗1.23101k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44620.44332-0.65%0.346-22.46%0.0532✓1.47278k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48941.4792-0.68%1.7801+19.52%0.3759✗1.44675k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.060779-0.69%0.0557-8.99%0.1005✗1.42350k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003710.003683-0.73%0.00318-14.29%0.0250✗1.30559k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9342.9122-0.74%2.735-6.78%0.0853✗1.12619k2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0440.043663-0.77%0.03845-12.61%0.0010✓0.952,3002022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1717.0219-0.86%15.87-7.57%0.1101✗1.36116k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017940.017777-0.91%0.01325-26.14%0.1834✓0.83207k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1151360.114039-0.95%0.105077-8.74%0.0492✗0.996.9M2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.60e-7-1.02%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0344✗0.836.6M2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.316489-1.04%0.2842-11.13%0.0478✗1.173.3M2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26360.26068-1.11%0.2424-8.04%0.0691✗1.0767k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.324297-1.13%0.276-15.85%0.0244✓1.031.1M2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000042820.000042322-1.16%0.00004614+7.75%0.2391✗1.151.9M2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004620.004566-1.17%0.00402-12.99%0.0462✗1.31112k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031570.00312-1.17%0.002879-8.81%0.0527✗1.001.0M2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14350.141812-1.18%0.1398-2.58%0.1135✗0.963.5M2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.80832.7729-1.26%4.1452+47.61%0.5311✗0.971.1M2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.11340.111954-1.28%0.0925-18.43%0.0222✓1.27491k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.734414-1.29%0.668-10.22%0.0343✗0.97377k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.056050.055321-1.30%0.042711-23.80%0.1803✓0.5922k2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase1.02351.0097-1.35%0.9001-12.06%0.0112✓0.9558k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.16260.160164-1.50%0.13757-15.39%0.0507✗1.53212k2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative1.8741.8459-1.50%2.047+9.23%0.2728✗1.28430k2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021540.021207-1.54%0.02281+5.90%0.2073✗1.01159k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3180.313036-1.56%0.3074-3.33%0.1327✗1.1477k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana39.8139.1693-1.61%31.62-20.57%0.0341✓1.3681.1M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase14.577414.3394-1.63%12.1573-16.60%0.0110✓1.1668k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.959430.943618-1.65%0.78027-18.67%0.0167✓1.31532k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7740.760672-1.72%0.669-13.57%0.0319✗1.21218k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23080.22682-1.72%0.2265-1.86%0.1932✗1.4797k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.16892.1298-1.80%1.803-16.87%0.0056✓1.2132k2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99920.981039-1.82%1.1439+14.48%0.3065✗1.151.1M2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11550.113389-1.83%0.1013-12.29%0.0300✗1.08370k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5413-1.83%1.32-15.92%0.0221✗1.33115k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.121467-1.88%0.0996-19.55%0.0669✓0.994,9522022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.33e-7-1.89%8.97e-7+164.68%1.1208✗0.97178k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011750.000011511-2.04%0.00001229+4.60%0.2289✗1.23986k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11680.114409-2.05%0.1049-10.19%0.0962✗1.382.8M2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2020.197774-2.09%0.1809-10.45%0.0961✗1.401,1742022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.95359.6745-2.10%52.447-13.96%0.0187✓0.83344k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049460.048419-2.10%0.0454-8.21%0.0545✗0.9015k2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0486950.047663-2.12%0.044086-9.47%0.0804✗1.1937k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.207371-2.18%0.171-19.34%0.0080✓1.51821k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05810.056815-2.21%0.0486-16.35%0.0141✓1.28799k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156280.015277-2.25%0.013315-14.80%0.0210✓0.882.1M2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.455270.444952-2.27%0.37505-17.62%0.0677✓0.7863k2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.9287.7411-2.36%7.184-9.38%0.0879✗1.2310.4M2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,631.281,592.65-2.37%1,586.23-2.76%0.1629✗1.26396.1M2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.71391.6716-2.47%1.5398-10.16%0.0848✗1.26510k2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum29.428.6661-2.50%26.91-8.47%0.0635✗0.9610.8M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4192.3584-2.51%3.853+59.28%0.6113✗0.91104k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0680.066255-2.57%0.0569-16.32%0.0266✓0.95229k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.348320.339243-2.61%0.30195-13.31%0.0571✗1.3113k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.340610.331317-2.73%0.297461-12.67%0.0609✗1.271.1M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.04511.0161-2.78%0.8299-20.59%0.0181✓1.391.4M2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration60.9559.2468-2.79%47.43-22.18%0.0669✓1.17372k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3641.3257-2.81%1.198-12.17%0.0670✗1.272.5M2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03960.038455-2.89%0.0353-10.86%0.0782✗1.2474k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6080.590247-2.92%0.514-15.46%0.0464✗1.3988k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.051545-2.93%0.0441-16.95%0.0113✓1.26269k2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1796.9655-2.97%6.927-3.51%0.1611✗1.2618.3M2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48410.469598-3.00%0.4267-11.86%0.0529✗1.1247k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6871-3.02%10.09-8.44%0.1021✗1.20250k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9853.8641-3.03%4.31+8.16%0.2028✗0.711.5M2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.96813.8472-3.05%3.1819-19.81%0.0465✓1.0845k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.2458-3.08%9.54+0.00%0.0997✗0.521.7M2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6351.5842-3.10%1.292-20.98%0.0134✓1.44337k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0243720.023594-3.19%0.021111-13.38%0.0169✓0.9710k2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.929.5987-3.24%12.73+28.33%0.4621✗1.3614.4M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3354.4899-3.27%48.03-14.73%0.0567✗1.3833k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25020.241794-3.36%0.2258-9.75%0.0792✗1.11768k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.62.5098-3.47%1.955-24.81%0.0173✓1.7595k2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.74822.6526-3.48%2.2908-16.64%0.0605✗1.5612k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.659710.636669-3.49%0.54872-16.82%0.0513✗1.5188k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.13590.131128-3.51%0.2143+57.69%0.6366✗1.10712k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3115-3.57%1.06-22.06%0.0242✓1.421.1M2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.271.2245-3.59%0.9424-25.80%0.0969✓1.241.2M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.49660.478675-3.61%0.4576-7.85%0.1166✗1.2241.9M2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.73e-7-3.61%8.80e-7-12.87%0.0317✓1.0025k2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.252315-3.62%0.2187-16.46%0.1415✓0.0128k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2852.202-3.63%1.533-32.91%0.1764✓1.40185k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7162.6139-3.76%2.05-24.52%0.0544✓1.4250k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.59420.571651-3.79%0.5486-7.67%0.1147✗1.171.5M2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.165087-3.80%0.1272-25.87%0.0969✓1.233.5M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031440.030226-3.86%0.03497+11.23%0.3090✗1.2314k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.39260.3773-3.90%0.31561-19.61%0.0058✓1.39583k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5264.3495-3.90%12.927+185.62%1.1662✗0.581.3M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.8521.9436-3.97%19.3-15.54%0.0814✗1.5827.5M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04672.9252-3.99%7.8225+156.75%1.0862✗0.771.0M2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0171.9361-4.01%1.461-27.57%0.0938✓1.42247k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.035.7849-4.06%6.91+14.59%0.2746✗0.73689k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089960.08627-4.10%0.08-11.07%0.0416✓0.261.1M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15960.153052-4.10%0.141-11.65%0.0827✗1.24508k2022-09-01
FISStafiEthereum0.3810.365079-4.18%0.3628-4.78%0.1182✗0.941722022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9080.869583-4.23%0.6827-24.81%0.0041✓1.79513k2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.17.7536-4.28%7.62-5.93%0.1647✗1.37297k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0431-4.31%1.97-38.05%0.3694✓0.4994k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214840.020557-4.32%0.026903+25.22%0.3327✗0.48165k2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61320.586689-4.32%0.5023-18.09%0.0039✓1.14664k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9513.7728-4.51%2.946-25.44%0.1297✓0.89922k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9661.8741-4.67%1.693-13.89%0.0677✗1.28637k2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.735.4584-4.74%6.87+19.90%0.3102✗0.60809k2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6386.3204-4.79%4.764-28.23%0.0535✓1.7311.9M2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum33.2131.6137-4.81%30.57-7.95%0.2239✗1.94229k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07770.073923-4.86%0.06737-13.29%0.0042✓0.731,0512022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022660.002155-4.92%0.00149-34.25%0.2362✓1.001.6M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9414.204-4.93%13.45-9.97%0.1350✗1.432.0M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010850.001031-4.94%0.001346+24.06%0.4316✗1.251.4M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2181.1569-5.01%0.974-20.03%0.0817✓0.681.7M2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.722.5834-5.02%2.28-16.18%0.0765✗1.52198k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97320.923848-5.07%0.9574-1.62%0.1528✗0.883.6M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.2216.3466-5.07%14.02-18.58%0.0221✓1.321.3M2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.1261.0683-5.13%0.8799-21.86%0.0480✓1.1011k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.7822-5.30%4.79-5.15%0.0954✗0.711.3M2022-09-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0008-5.31%–pending––1.0313k2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03140.0297-5.41%0.02463-21.56%0.0146✓1.301,2932022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009280.008778-5.41%0.00795-14.33%0.0686✗1.26375k2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33591.2635-5.42%1.1541-13.61%0.1036✗1.466.4M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.2487.7999-5.43%6.315-23.44%0.0285✓1.389.2M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.1531-5.48%5.79-11.06%0.0212✓0.621.3M2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.490396-5.51%0.414-20.23%0.0174✓1.1513k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.212459-5.57%0.149-33.78%0.1783✓1.331,6972022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7961.6939-5.69%1.789-0.39%0.1390✗0.64189k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum87.5442-5.70%6.313-21.09%0.0151✓1.236.9M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.164.8634-5.75%6.087+17.97%0.2967✗0.542.2M2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100130.00009432-5.80%0.00027606+175.70%1.3269✗1.91552k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086760.081711-5.82%0.07449-14.14%0.0873✗1.3629k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum6.576.1744-6.02%4.91-25.27%0.0443✓1.391.2M2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1967.7013-6.04%5.77-29.60%0.1482✓1.062.4M2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1719.8495-6.24%17.1-19.23%0.0357✓0.852.2M2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8160.764806-6.27%0.489-40.07%0.2505✓1.484,1662022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4527-6.28%1.53-1.29%0.0835✗0.24250k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana1.08221.0134-6.35%0.8971-17.10%0.0997✗1.67211k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8833.6343-6.40%4.485+15.50%0.2877✗0.581.9M2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum103.4396.5828-6.62%95.02-8.13%0.1167✗1.004.2M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.038540.035954-6.71%0.02063-46.47%0.3608✓1.4713.4M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.33363.1079-6.77%6.7053+101.14%0.8874✗0.891.3M2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8230.766075-6.92%0.674-18.10%0.1016✗1.734.8M2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.189170.175941-6.99%0.15694-17.04%0.1927✗2.311,2222022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.2878-7.00%2.24-8.94%0.1207✗1.07327k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8013.5312-7.10%2.931-22.89%0.0429✓1.735.0M2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.086480.080118-7.36%0.06427-25.68%0.0236✓1.48778k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,752.279,890.79-8.01%9,216.45-14.28%0.1162✗1.414.4M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.30390.276674-8.96%0.2309-24.02%0.0324✓1.12300k2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.7925.0938-9.70%21.47-22.74%0.0271✓1.38721k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5933.0312-9.73%32.92-10.03%0.1810✗1.397.8M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54740.493128-9.91%0.3184-41.83%0.2518✓1.40234k2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.6351.4608-10.65%1.178-27.95%0.0469✓1.982.1M2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.