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2022-08-02 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1427
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.08%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.7%
in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.6351.4116-13.67%1.178-27.95%0.0812✓1.982.1M2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1719.02-10.16%17.1-19.23%0.0070✓0.852.2M2022-09-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05690.960203-9.15%–pending––1.0313k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0243720.022236-8.76%0.021111-13.38%0.0761✓0.9710k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,752.279,856.70-8.33%9,216.45-14.28%0.1197✗1.414.4M2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.1261.034-8.17%0.8799-21.86%0.0154✓1.1011k2022-09-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.7925.5684-7.99%21.47-22.74%0.0084✓1.38721k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5933.8143-7.59%32.92-10.03%0.1576✗1.397.8M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.038540.035658-7.48%0.02063-46.47%0.3526✓1.4713.4M2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8160.756429-7.30%0.489-40.07%0.2395✓1.484,1662022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana1.08221.004-7.23%0.8971-17.10%0.1091✗1.67211k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum103.4396.0729-7.11%95.02-8.13%0.1220✗1.004.2M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.0581-6.94%5.79-11.06%0.0368✓0.621.3M2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.483775-6.79%0.414-20.23%0.0038✓1.1513k2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15960.148811-6.76%0.141-11.65%0.1108✗1.24508k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2852.1314-6.72%1.533-32.91%0.1438✓1.40185k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.189170.176501-6.70%0.15694-17.04%0.1895✗2.311,2222022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9080.847565-6.66%0.6827-24.81%0.0216✓1.79513k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049460.046304-6.38%0.0454-8.21%0.0992✗0.9015k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8013.5623-6.28%2.931-22.89%0.0342✓1.735.0M2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100130.000093918-6.20%0.00027606+175.70%1.3312✗1.91552k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.31-6.10%2.24-8.94%0.1111✗1.07327k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.548.9614-6.06%9.54+0.00%0.1310✗0.521.7M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.33363.1366-5.91%6.7053+101.14%0.8782✗0.891.3M2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.17.6302-5.80%7.62-5.93%0.1807✗1.37297k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.086480.081615-5.63%0.06427-25.68%0.0421✓1.48778k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022660.002139-5.61%0.00149-34.25%0.2289✓1.001.6M2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0486950.045993-5.55%0.044086-9.47%0.1161✗1.1937k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.054.771-5.52%4.79-5.15%0.0978✗0.711.3M2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.74822.5976-5.48%2.2908-16.64%0.0815✗1.5612k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9513.741-5.32%2.946-25.44%0.1212✓0.89922k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum33.2131.4517-5.29%30.57-7.95%0.2291✗1.94229k2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33591.2662-5.22%1.1541-13.61%0.1015✗1.466.4M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.30390.288301-5.13%0.2309-24.02%0.0736✓1.12300k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.348320.330663-5.07%0.30195-13.31%0.0827✗1.3113k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.59420.564178-5.05%0.5486-7.67%0.1278✗1.171.5M2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9414.1973-4.97%13.45-9.97%0.1355✗1.432.0M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04672.8954-4.97%7.8225+156.75%1.0965✗0.771.0M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2181.1578-4.95%0.974-20.03%0.0824✓0.681.7M2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086760.082507-4.90%0.07449-14.14%0.0776✗1.3629k2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.163277-4.85%0.1272-25.87%0.0859✓1.233.5M2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.455270.433205-4.85%0.37505-17.62%0.0410✓0.7863k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.214162-4.82%0.149-33.78%0.1863✓1.331,6972022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6386.319-4.81%4.764-28.23%0.0533✓1.7311.9M2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.2487.8528-4.79%6.315-23.44%0.0353✓1.389.2M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.735.456-4.78%6.87+19.90%0.3107✗0.60809k2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4765-4.74%1.53-1.29%0.0673✗0.24250k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.39260.374229-4.68%0.31561-19.61%0.0139✓1.39583k2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214840.020506-4.55%0.026903+25.22%0.3351✗0.48165k2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8833.7145-4.34%4.485+15.50%0.2658✗0.581.9M2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9853.8172-4.21%4.31+8.16%0.2150✗0.711.5M2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7961.7215-4.15%1.789-0.39%0.1229✗0.64189k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8230.788992-4.13%0.674-18.10%0.0721✗1.734.8M2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.722.6077-4.13%2.28-16.18%0.0671✗1.52198k2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.164.948-4.11%6.087+17.97%0.2794✗0.542.2M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54740.524927-4.11%0.3184-41.83%0.3143✓1.40234k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0507-4.07%1.97-38.05%0.3719✓0.4994k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.050982-3.99%0.0441-16.95%0.0223✓1.26269k2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99920.959469-3.98%1.1439+14.48%0.3288✗1.151.1M2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum87.6824-3.97%6.313-21.09%0.0332✓1.236.9M2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0171.9389-3.87%1.461-27.57%0.0953✓1.42247k2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009280.008922-3.86%0.00795-14.33%0.0524✗1.26375k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44620.429079-3.84%0.346-22.46%0.0205✓1.47278k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03960.038092-3.81%0.0353-10.86%0.0877✗1.2474k2022-09-01
FISStafiEthereum0.3810.366511-3.80%0.3628-4.78%0.1143✗0.941722022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.929.5438-3.79%12.73+28.33%0.4678✗1.3614.4M2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5264.3553-3.77%12.927+185.62%1.1649✗0.581.3M2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6351.5759-3.61%1.292-20.98%0.0081✓1.44337k2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97320.938194-3.60%0.9574-1.62%0.1374✗0.883.6M2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.082628-3.58%0.058-32.32%0.2013✓1.15132k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25020.241244-3.58%0.2258-9.75%0.0815✗1.11768k2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2020.195028-3.45%0.1809-10.45%0.1101✗1.401,1742022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1967.9136-3.45%5.77-29.60%0.1754✓1.062.4M2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0440.042487-3.44%0.03845-12.61%0.0263✓0.952,3002022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3641.3174-3.41%1.198-12.17%0.0732✗1.272.5M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.8522.0776-3.38%19.3-15.54%0.0753✗1.5827.5M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3354.4344-3.37%48.03-14.73%0.0577✗1.3833k2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.2216.6512-3.30%14.02-18.58%0.0037✓1.321.3M2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031570.003055-3.23%0.002879-8.81%0.0738✗1.001.0M2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9661.903-3.21%1.693-13.89%0.0524✗1.28637k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07770.075223-3.19%0.06737-13.29%0.0132✓0.731,0512022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.253584-3.14%0.2187-16.46%0.1465✓0.0128k2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010850.001051-3.12%0.001346+24.06%0.4127✗1.251.4M2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.659710.639237-3.10%0.54872-16.82%0.0473✗1.5188k2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.29e-7-3.08%8.97e-7+164.68%1.1330✗0.97178k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0680.065907-3.08%0.0569-16.32%0.0213✓0.95229k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.035.8452-3.06%6.91+14.59%0.2643✗0.73689k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.271.2312-3.06%0.9424-25.80%0.1024✓1.241.2M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.49660.481451-3.05%0.4576-7.85%0.1108✗1.2241.9M2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089960.087219-3.05%0.08-11.07%0.0525✓0.261.1M2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.13590.131784-3.03%0.2143+57.69%0.6316✗1.10712k2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031440.030501-2.99%0.03497+11.23%0.2999✗1.2314k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.95359.2005-2.88%52.447-13.96%0.0107✓0.83344k2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1796.973-2.87%6.927-3.51%0.1600✗1.2618.3M2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.722672-2.87%0.668-10.22%0.0504✗0.97377k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017940.017434-2.82%0.01325-26.14%0.1640✓0.83207k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.120364-2.78%0.0996-19.55%0.0578✓0.994,9522022-09-01
FLOWFlownative1.8741.8228-2.73%2.047+9.23%0.2853✗1.28430k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.206443-2.62%0.171-19.34%0.0125✓1.51821k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.62.5324-2.60%1.955-24.81%0.0263✓1.7595k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.7391-2.55%10.09-8.44%0.0972✗1.20250k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3254-2.54%1.06-22.06%0.0347✓1.421.1M2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011750.000011451-2.54%0.00001229+4.60%0.2341✗1.23986k2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.04511.0195-2.45%0.8299-20.59%0.0214✓1.391.4M2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05810.056678-2.45%0.0486-16.35%0.0165✓1.28799k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6080.59323-2.43%0.514-15.46%0.0414✗1.3988k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana39.8138.8489-2.41%31.62-20.57%0.0259✓1.3681.1M2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11680.114005-2.39%0.1049-10.19%0.0997✗1.382.8M2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26360.257341-2.37%0.2424-8.04%0.0820✗1.0767k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.96813.875-2.35%3.1819-19.81%0.0537✓1.0845k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.056050.054757-2.31%0.042711-23.80%0.1701✓0.5922k2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000042820.000041839-2.29%0.00004614+7.75%0.2506✗1.151.9M2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13780.134762-2.20%0.124-10.01%0.0855✗1.2761k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,631.281,595.68-2.18%1,586.23-2.76%0.1610✗1.26396.1M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase14.577414.2655-2.14%12.1573-16.60%0.0058✓1.1668k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7740.757887-2.08%0.669-13.57%0.0356✗1.21218k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397950.389674-2.08%0.34021-14.51%0.0227✗1.19118k2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7162.6601-2.06%2.05-24.52%0.0719✓1.4250k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48410.474212-2.04%0.4267-11.86%0.0431✗1.1247k2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4192.3703-2.01%3.853+59.28%0.6063✗0.91104k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.16260.159359-1.99%0.13757-15.39%0.0557✗1.53212k2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03140.030828-1.82%0.02463-21.56%0.0518✓1.301,2932022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61320.602077-1.81%0.5023-18.09%0.0298✓1.14664k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.073149-1.81%0.0612-17.85%0.0345✓1.08679k2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11550.113418-1.80%0.1013-12.29%0.0298✗1.08370k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3180.312288-1.80%0.3074-3.33%0.1351✗1.1477k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0730.071704-1.78%0.117+60.27%0.5888✗0.75159k2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004620.004539-1.74%0.00402-12.99%0.0520✗1.31112k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14350.141153-1.64%0.1398-2.58%0.1181✗0.963.5M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum29.428.9203-1.63%26.91-8.47%0.0547✗0.9610.8M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.302050.297247-1.59%0.3455+14.39%0.3021✗1.14398k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,023.6022,674.27-1.52%20,192.40-12.30%0.0140✓0.9814k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5464-1.50%1.32-15.92%0.0187✗1.33115k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.95e-7-1.49%8.80e-7-12.87%0.0099✓1.0025k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.11340.111713-1.49%0.0925-18.43%0.0201✓1.27491k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1151360.113428-1.48%0.105077-8.74%0.0546✗0.996.9M2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration60.9560.0552-1.47%47.43-22.18%0.0805✓1.17372k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25020.246692-1.40%0.2105-15.87%0.0039✓1.23110k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.9342.8932-1.39%2.735-6.78%0.0918✗1.12619k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.060416-1.28%0.0557-8.99%0.1065✗1.42350k2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021540.021268-1.26%0.02281+5.90%0.2044✗1.01159k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.80832.7739-1.22%4.1452+47.61%0.5307✗0.971.1M2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009650.009534-1.20%0.00869-9.95%0.0309✗0.935.0M2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum6.576.4934-1.17%4.91-25.27%0.0946✓1.391.2M2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40290.398357-1.13%0.3534-12.29%0.0540✗1.31127k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.959430.948778-1.11%0.78027-18.67%0.0221✓1.31532k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48941.4735-1.07%1.7801+19.52%0.3798✗1.44675k2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero156.99155.3165-1.07%154.26-1.74%0.1394✗1.101.3M2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.340610.337208-1.00%0.297461-12.67%0.0433✗1.271.1M2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase17.1717.0027-0.97%15.87-7.57%0.1113✗1.36116k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.16892.1489-0.92%1.803-16.87%0.0146✓1.2132k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23080.228779-0.88%0.2265-1.86%0.1846✗1.4797k2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.325317-0.82%0.276-15.85%0.0276✓1.031.1M2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.317206-0.81%0.2842-11.13%0.0455✗1.173.3M2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.324136-0.78%0.2936-10.13%0.0520✗1.148.0M2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.71391.7016-0.72%1.5398-10.16%0.0670✗1.26510k2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05950.059084-0.70%0.0506-14.96%0.0313✗1.40161k2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062040.006166-0.61%0.005808-6.39%0.0557✗0.879,1592022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067160.006678-0.57%0.006401-4.69%0.0274✗0.5338k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156280.015545-0.53%0.013315-14.80%0.0384✓0.882.1M2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9389.8907-0.48%9.143-8.00%0.0661✗1.092.0M2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase1.02351.0194-0.41%0.9001-12.06%0.0017✓0.9558k2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003710.003696-0.37%0.00318-14.29%0.0214✗1.30559k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.068310.068074-0.35%0.063287-7.35%0.0240✗0.73369k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.43980.438388-0.32%0.3628-17.51%0.0244✓1.24808k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0665290.066321-0.31%0.062347-6.29%0.0910✗1.151.7M2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,989.4022,924.54-0.28%20,133.65-12.42%0.0028✗1.00414.2M2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.167054-0.21%0.1435-14.28%0.0114✗1.23101k2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.06%8.90e-7-8.25%0.0247✗0.836.6M2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum93.4293.3908-0.03%86.42-7.49%0.1413✗1.6510.2M2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.760.759826-0.02%0.71-6.58%0.0093✗0.5883k2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016640.001665+0.05%0.001534-7.81%0.0538✓1.029,4962022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.9287.9417+0.17%7.184-9.38%0.0624✓1.2310.4M2022-09-01
DASHDashDash48.5348.6147+0.17%44.79-7.71%0.0635✓1.10574k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04630.046487+0.40%0.0367-20.73%0.0601✗1.338,6502022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7420.74579+0.51%1.059+42.72%0.5104✓1.20806k2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.1631.1722+0.79%1.047-9.98%0.0274✓1.0643k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash61.4962.061+0.93%58.98-4.08%0.1125✓1.231.6M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06985.1178+0.95%5.5317+9.11%0.1058✓0.21214k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008390.00847+0.96%0.00616-26.58%0.1986✗0.901.6M2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0958.6637+0.99%57.56-0.91%0.1340✓1.1513.7M2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09360.094958+1.45%0.0821-12.29%0.0143✓1.206,7862022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.77136.0424+1.70%116.73-12.74%0.0044✓1.194.3M2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7090.722582+1.92%0.527-25.67%0.1204✗1.4797k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.53960.551455+2.20%0.4685-13.18%0.0129✓1.13335k2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.34914.4763+2.92%4.3083-0.94%0.0586✓0.73920k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.