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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0963
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.9%
in alpha space · 63.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4407+0.55%4.3491-1.52%0.0119✗0.73916k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001703+0.33%0.001664-1.94%0.0104✗1.0211k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.559056+0.30%0.5396-3.19%0.0214✗1.14341k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008441+0.24%0.00839-0.36%0.0052✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.0073+0.22%61.49-2.20%0.0090✗1.251.5M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068866+0.21%0.066529-3.19%0.0204✗1.151.7M2022-08-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.024551+0.21%0.025+2.04%0.0245✓0.5143k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69161.0145+0.20%156.99-2.30%0.0116✗1.111.3M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.7704+0.20%93.42-3.27%0.0148✗1.6610.2M2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064222+0.19%0.073+13.88%0.1381✓0.81155k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,314.35+0.17%22,989.40-1.22%0.0017✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.728214+0.17%0.742+2.06%0.0337✓1.21806k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.732048+0.14%0.709-3.01%0.0137✗1.4980k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085914+0.13%0.0857-0.12%0.0120✓1.18137k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006658+0.12%0.006716+0.99%0.0153✓0.5438k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342804+0.12%0.3267-4.59%0.0341✗1.147.7M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309449+0.11%0.30205-2.29%0.0098✗1.17398k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.30e-7+0.10%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0400✓0.96178k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017918+0.10%0.01794+0.22%0.0108✓0.78229k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.7926+0.09%48.53-2.45%0.0121✗1.11574k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,192.37+0.08%23,023.60-0.64%0.0048✓0.9814k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9712+0.08%9.938-0.25%0.0100✓1.082.1M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.419717+0.08%0.39795-5.11%0.0384✗1.21118k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095171+0.07%0.0936-1.58%0.0018✗1.216,7862022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.07002+0.07%0.06831-2.38%0.0152✗0.78373k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1932+0.06%5.0698-2.32%0.0215✗0.21210k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.942+0.05%133.77-2.97%0.0161✗1.194.3M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060228+0.05%0.0612+1.66%0.0333✓1.40339k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125556+0.04%0.1238-1.35%0.0019✗0.994,9522022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003752+0.04%0.00371-1.07%0.0049✓1.31559k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003257+0.04%0.003157-3.04%0.0187✗1.021.0M2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230774+0.03%0.2308+0.04%0.0183✓1.4897k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.263148+0.02%0.2502-4.90%0.0353✗1.23101k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010211+0.01%0.00965-5.48%0.0447✗0.974.7M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,631.03+0.01%1,631.28+0.03%0.0156✓1.26387.0M2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.4767+0.01%58.09-2.32%0.0094✗1.1613.6M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118317+0.01%0.115136-2.68%0.0150✗0.996.8M2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1615+0.01%17.17-5.45%0.0393✗1.37116k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0249-0.00%1.874-7.46%0.0618✓1.27415k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.470974-0.01%0.4462-5.27%0.0360✓1.47273k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015016-0.01%0.015628+4.07%0.0508✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.771941-0.01%0.744-3.63%0.0247✓0.99377k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.423863-0.01%0.4029-4.95%0.0344✓1.33127k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.116182-0.02%0.1134-2.41%0.0083✓1.30472k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.792857-0.02%0.774-2.40%0.0089✓1.23218k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123574-0.02%0.1168-5.50%0.0394✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011967-0.02%0.00001175-1.84%0.0031✓1.23986k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048286-0.03%0.0463-4.14%0.0255✓1.347,6872022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5743-0.03%1.4894-5.42%0.0377✓1.44589k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6295-0.03%1.57-3.68%0.0204✓1.37114k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9589-0.04%2.934-0.88%0.0053✗1.12619k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.164624-0.05%0.1674+1.64%0.0320✗1.2494k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.70e-7-0.05%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0107✗0.836.4M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.6499-0.05%39.81-4.46%0.0285✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0158-0.05%0.95943-5.60%0.0408✓1.32525k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4337-0.05%2.419-0.66%0.0053✗0.92105k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2667-0.06%2.1689-4.37%0.0289✓1.2329k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0309-0.06%0.9992-3.13%0.0168✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067356-0.06%0.068+0.89%0.0213✗0.96229k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0178-0.07%1.0235+0.49%0.0174✗0.9660k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779421-0.07%0.76-2.56%0.0178✓0.6179k2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.6273-0.08%60.953+0.46%0.0158✗0.85345k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.323537-0.08%0.318-1.79%0.0032✓1.1576k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.496171-0.09%0.4841-2.52%0.0109✓1.1247k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045101-0.09%0.00004282-5.14%0.0376✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.335691-0.09%0.3198-4.82%0.0339✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.1203-0.09%14.5774-3.68%0.0221✓1.1868k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4217-0.09%1.364-4.15%0.0258✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.41239-0.10%0.3926-4.89%0.0320✓1.39583k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2447-0.10%1.163-6.66%0.0548✓1.0643k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006314-0.10%0.006204-1.84%0.0065✓0.909,1592022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.334635-0.11%0.328-2.09%0.0073✓1.03959k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.512204-0.12%0.4966-3.16%0.0156✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5649-0.12%7.179-5.22%0.0368✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046122-0.12%0.044-4.72%0.0353✓0.962,3002022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3584-0.13%4.526+3.71%0.0449✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7157-0.13%1.635-4.83%0.0304✓1.45327k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057159-0.13%0.05605-2.07%0.0122✓0.6022k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021532-0.13%0.02154-0.09%0.0131✗1.03159k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3212-0.13%1.27-4.01%0.0243✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120537-0.14%0.1155-4.31%0.0295✓1.07352k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.793-0.14%2.8083+0.41%0.0175✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.15389-0.14%0.1435-6.88%0.0577✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460671-0.14%0.4398-4.66%0.0310✓1.25778k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206717-0.14%0.202-2.42%0.0059✓1.401,1792022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.1422-0.14%60.95-5.11%0.0365✓1.18354k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7069-0.14%29.4-4.39%0.0318✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8872-0.15%2.017+6.72%0.0840✗1.42234k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8172-0.15%1.7139-5.82%0.0430✓1.26492k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.061107-0.15%0.0581-5.07%0.0344✓1.30799k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220656-0.16%0.212-4.07%0.0214✓1.51821k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.486376-0.16%0.45527-6.54%0.0564✓0.7863k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8545-0.16%2.7482-3.88%0.0187✓1.5612k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.8064-0.16%56.33-4.36%0.0259✓1.3932k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3816-0.17%9.92-4.61%0.0286✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001094-0.17%0.001085-1.02%0.0072✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4176-0.17%1.36-4.23%0.0238✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051601-0.17%0.04946-4.31%0.0313✓0.9015k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276519-0.17%0.2636-4.84%0.0346✓1.0867k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261345-0.17%0.2618+0.00%0.0019✗0.0128k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004772-0.18%0.00462-3.35%0.0161✓1.32112k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053103-0.18%0.0531-0.19%0.0153✗1.25269k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5603-0.18%2.6+1.36%0.0370✗1.7595k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031982-0.18%0.03144-1.87%0.0018✓1.2414k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1641-0.19%7.928-3.08%0.0141✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019958-0.20%0.021484+7.43%0.0800✗0.51165k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.58e-7-0.20%0.00000101+5.21%0.0651✗1.0025k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.177234-0.21%0.1716-3.38%0.0169✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165069-0.21%0.1626-1.70%0.0039✗1.54212k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9389-0.21%3.0467+3.45%0.0455✗0.77978k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361992-0.21%0.34061-6.11%0.0449✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265125-0.22%0.2502-5.83%0.0441✓1.13768k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5372-0.22%22.85-3.14%0.0100✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.618204-0.23%0.6132-1.03%0.0061✗1.16642k2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3221-0.24%3.18-4.50%0.0377✓0.4994k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0763-0.24%1.0451-3.13%0.0120✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143447-0.25%0.1378-4.17%0.0244✓1.2859k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.9069-0.25%5.16+4.90%0.0571✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.644395-0.25%0.608-5.88%0.0409✓1.4088k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.952547-0.26%0.908-4.92%0.0261✓1.77513k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.709715-0.26%0.65971-7.29%0.0545✓1.5188k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2205-0.26%11.02-2.04%0.0031✓1.21243k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8525-0.26%2.72-4.90%0.0289✓1.52192k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171546-0.26%0.1596-7.21%0.0568✓1.25491k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064628-0.27%0.0595-8.18%0.0650✓1.44154k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051309-0.27%0.048695-5.35%0.0377✓1.1938k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078769-0.27%0.0777-1.62%0.0047✓0.731,1722022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9785-0.27%8.1+1.25%0.0319✗1.37263k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.936273-0.27%0.9732+3.66%0.0497✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029929-0.27%0.0314+4.63%0.0640✗1.311,2932022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.317-0.28%8-4.08%0.0236✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041185-0.28%0.0396-4.12%0.0242✓1.2371k2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002422-0.28%0.002266-6.71%0.0544✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3024-0.29%1.3359+2.27%0.0439✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083943-0.29%0.08676+3.05%0.0495✗1.3429k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.521-0.29%33.21-1.22%0.0146✗1.94229k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209968-0.30%0.225+6.84%0.0859✗1.361,6972022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9216-0.32%3.985+1.30%0.0249✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.51735-0.32%0.519+0.00%0.0173✗1.1513k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1329-0.32%3.9681-4.29%0.0272✓1.0939k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4083-0.32%2.285-5.42%0.0352✓1.41177k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.822-0.32%17.22-3.69%0.0178✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6219-0.33%6.638-0.09%0.0237✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1307-0.35%14.94+5.36%0.0730✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8635-0.35%3.951+1.91%0.0333✗0.88754k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0148-0.36%1.966-2.77%0.0088✓1.28637k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092029-0.36%0.08996-2.60%0.0197✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8141-0.36%9.54-3.15%0.0219✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009346-0.37%0.00928-1.07%0.0085✗1.26359k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3338-0.37%8.248-1.40%0.0069✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0758-0.39%1.218+12.78%0.1328✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036655-0.39%0.03854+4.73%0.0689✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.857568-0.40%0.823-4.41%0.0199✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8336-0.40%3.883+0.88%0.0201✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7877-0.41%1.796+0.06%0.0125✗0.64189k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9349-0.41%2.716-7.84%0.0600✓1.4349k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.1211-0.41%21.17+10.26%0.1124✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5901-0.41%3.801+5.44%0.0783✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.483-0.41%6.57+0.92%0.0305✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46103.0282-0.42%103.43-0.03%0.0164✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.344045-0.42%0.34832+0.82%0.0285✗1.3112k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191671-0.43%0.18917-1.73%0.0153✗2.311,2222022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070167-0.47%0.0745+5.67%0.0732✗1.08567k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0707-0.48%6.03-1.15%0.0014✓0.66623k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5525-0.48%1.55-0.64%0.0010✓0.22268k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000104279-0.49%0.00010013-4.45%0.0167✓1.94592k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023501-0.51%0.024372+3.18%0.0484✗0.989,6292022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0723-0.52%1.0569-1.95%0.0018✓1.0313k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1927-0.54%1.126-6.10%0.0440✓1.1010k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0419-0.55%5.05-0.39%0.0103✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.826145-0.58%0.816-1.81%0.0059✗1.493,6872022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.536923-0.59%0.5474+1.35%0.0367✗1.41234k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.375-0.63%2.46+2.93%0.0483✗1.07301k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079982-0.64%0.08648+7.43%0.0966✗1.50773k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2628-0.68%3.3336+1.47%0.0325✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.303635-0.74%0.3039-0.65%0.0147✗1.12300k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.5006-0.75%1.635+8.13%0.1101✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,519.62-0.79%10,752.27-7.40%0.0518✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.2118-0.80%27.79-2.29%0.0021✓1.39641k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4764-0.82%6.51-0.31%0.0128✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.6969-0.90%8.196-6.61%0.0462✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.147886-1.01%0.1359-9.04%0.0709✓1.11698k2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.6568-1.04%36.59+4.48%0.0716✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1274-1.08%1.0822-5.05%0.0207✓1.65205k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7451-1.12%5.73-1.38%0.0049✓0.61732k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.77450.755423-2.46%0.5942-23.28%0.2257✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.