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2022-08-01 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1346
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.6%
in alpha space · 73.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-13.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.57602+3.34%0.4594-17.58%0.0562✗1.14341k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.41644.5487+3.00%4.3008-2.62%0.0528✓0.73916k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.0973+2.31%0.0821-13.67%0.0099✓1.216,7862022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.744474+1.84%0.528-27.77%0.1212✗1.4980k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87140.2277+1.71%115.16-16.47%0.0192✗1.194.3M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash62.8763.8203+1.51%59.88-4.76%0.1230✓1.251.5M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001721+1.44%0.00156-8.07%0.0539✓1.0211k2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4760.2246+1.27%53.84-9.47%0.0604✓1.1613.6M2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048781+1.00%0.0357-26.09%0.1116✗1.347,6872022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0277+0.90%0.894603-12.16%0.0044✓0.9660k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008494+0.88%0.00619-26.48%0.1801✗0.911.6M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.2271+0.72%5.8014+11.78%0.1354✓0.21210k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006357+0.57%0.005668-10.32%0.0196✓0.909,1592022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.2255+0.56%7.033-14.02%0.0284✓1.2410.0M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.780.783987+0.51%0.73-6.41%0.0189✓0.6179k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.165384+0.42%0.1445-12.26%0.0504✓1.2494k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.73e-7+0.33%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0233✓0.836.4M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.7549.8934+0.29%44.55-10.45%0.0518✓1.11574k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.728736+0.24%1.078+48.28%0.5727✓1.21806k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.46130.462326+0.22%0.365-20.88%0.0505✗1.25778k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2483+0.18%1.0708-14.06%0.0052✓1.0643k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,304.01+0.13%20,048.26-13.86%0.0013✓1.00414.2M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015033+0.10%0.013176-12.26%0.0003✓0.881.6M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070564+0.09%0.0622-11.77%0.0344✓1.08567k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003750.003749-0.03%0.00335-10.67%0.0826✗1.31559k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9593-0.04%9.001-9.66%0.0605✗1.082.1M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069935-0.05%0.063428-9.35%0.0183✗0.78373k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.4142-0.17%84.85-12.15%0.1202✗1.6610.2M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230271-0.19%0.2184-5.33%0.1683✗1.4897k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068552-0.25%0.061277-10.83%0.0591✗1.151.7M2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006631-0.29%0.006495-2.33%0.0598✗0.5438k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.42195-0.46%0.3513-17.13%0.0149✗1.33127k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059897-0.50%0.0577-4.15%0.1719✗1.40339k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.34044-0.57%0.2885-15.74%0.0045✓1.147.7M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8093-0.58%1.5108-16.98%0.0081✗1.26492k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029803-0.69%0.02455-18.19%0.0009✓1.311,2932022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4624-0.73%4.86-25.35%0.0761✓1.401.1M2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021398-0.75%0.02304+6.86%0.2279✗1.03159k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7754-0.77%4.0516+44.87%0.5240✗0.981.0M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2502-0.79%1.7939-20.91%0.0424✓1.2329k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.359755-0.83%0.29809-17.83%0.0056✓1.301.0M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.998-0.89%15.53-14.48%0.0570✗1.37116k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6147-0.94%1.31-19.63%0.0046✓1.37114k2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.332833-0.94%0.2809-16.40%0.0069✓1.183.1M2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.331636-1.00%0.282-15.82%0.0082✓1.03959k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010101-1.07%0.00858-15.96%0.0192✓0.974.7M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.305588-1.14%0.35+13.22%0.3101✗1.17398k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9262-1.14%2.728-7.84%0.0967✗1.12619k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.407-1.15%3.743+53.72%0.5787✗0.92105k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7022,902.32-1.17%19,990.40-13.73%0.0103✓0.9814k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.06404-1.17%0.0503-22.38%0.0270✓1.44154k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.114758-1.24%0.0899-22.63%0.0502✓1.30472k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero160.69158.6156-1.29%149.22-7.14%0.1047✗1.111.3M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.003-1.31%0.77191-24.05%0.0645✓1.32525k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.47e-7-1.35%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0644✗1.0025k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.116635-1.41%0.104365-11.78%0.0373✗0.996.8M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.259319-1.44%0.2112-19.73%0.0219✓1.23101k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.610446-1.48%0.5054-18.43%0.0165✓1.16642k2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.1966-1.61%47.42-26.17%0.1104✓1.18354k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004702-1.63%0.00404-15.48%0.0446✗1.32112k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5488-1.64%1.7276+9.71%0.3235✗1.44589k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.488106-1.71%0.439-11.60%0.0611✗1.1247k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.118634-1.71%0.1033-14.42%0.0214✗1.07352k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.318219-1.72%0.3041-6.08%0.1255✗1.1576k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.779101-1.75%0.663-16.39%0.0226✗1.23218k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.151301-1.82%0.1324-14.08%0.0141✓0.993.5M2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.1797-1.85%26.73-13.07%0.0206✗0.9510.2M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.162337-1.86%0.13698-17.19%0.0603✗1.54212k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.123142-1.88%0.1003-20.08%0.0575✓0.994,9522022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.121209-1.93%0.1026-16.99%0.0394✗1.382.8M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.062855-1.94%0.1161+81.12%0.7347✗0.81155k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,598.78-1.96%1,554.00-4.71%0.1590✗1.26387.0M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5132-2.02%1.915-25.34%0.0101✓1.7595k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0173-2.07%10.1-10.22%0.0943✗1.21243k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017525-2.09%0.01358-24.13%0.1384✓0.78229k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044165-2.16%0.00004452-1.37%0.1811✗1.161.9M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3893-2.16%1.0347-27.13%0.0800✓1.441.1M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.059871-2.17%0.0484-20.92%0.0181✓1.30799k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.055957-2.23%0.043128-24.65%0.1711✓0.6022k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0546-2.25%0.8327-22.82%0.0254✓1.411.4M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.7895-2.28%12.38-18.20%0.0024✓1.1868k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.7131-2.30%31.5-24.41%0.0538✓1.3681.1M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011689-2.35%0.00001208+0.92%0.2169✗1.23986k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.630657-2.38%0.515-20.28%0.0068✓1.4088k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67659.2249-2.39%51.915-14.44%0.0056✓0.85345k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.090043-2.51%0.08149-11.77%0.0634✓0.241.1M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.408813-2.52%0.33416-20.32%0.0208✓1.21118k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.140176-2.52%0.1236-14.05%0.0657✗1.2859k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.499799-2.54%0.4458-13.07%0.0721✗1.2541.9M2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0402-2.55%3.149-24.05%0.0861✓1.0939k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.215253-2.60%0.168-23.98%0.0219✓1.51821k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.21e-7-2.64%9.25e-7+181.07%1.2033✗0.96178k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8398-2.66%1.43-24.34%0.0395✓1.42234k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0513-2.66%0.91-15.74%0.0397✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.076873-2.67%0.06618-16.21%0.0407✓0.731,1722022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.3712-2.68%6.628-12.49%0.0823✗1.2616.9M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031182-2.68%0.03519+9.83%0.3059✗1.2414k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9357-2.69%6.7+9.84%0.2200✗0.66623k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.269527-2.70%0.2447-11.66%0.0640✗1.0867k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065558-2.73%0.0574-14.84%0.0101✓0.96229k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.2866-2.75%0.9427-28.75%0.1258✓1.241.2M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.750453-2.79%0.663-14.12%0.0233✓0.99377k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8647-2.79%2.012-31.73%0.1406✓1.4349k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001065-2.86%0.001342+22.42%0.4229✗1.291.4M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0251.967-2.86%2.072+2.32%0.2418✗1.27415k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9636-2.89%1.65-18.40%0.0167✓1.28637k2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.254175-2.91%0.247-5.65%0.0270✓0.0128k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.690233-3.00%0.55118-22.54%0.0007✓1.5188k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.3798-3.04%1.205-15.32%0.0542✗1.272.5M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.7726-3.05%2.15-24.83%0.0277✓1.52192k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6649-3.09%1.275-25.79%0.0505✓1.45327k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5922.85-3.14%19.13-18.91%0.0605✗1.6027.5M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003154-3.14%0.002994-8.05%0.1000✗1.021.0M2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.3113-3.18%14.14-20.92%0.0013✓1.351.3M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.956.9819-3.26%47.14-19.97%0.0180✓1.3932k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8025-3.34%4.337+10.24%0.2388✗0.721.4M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009061-3.40%0.00799-14.82%0.0625✗1.26359k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7516-3.40%6.047+22.93%0.3234✗0.552.0M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.199946-3.41%0.1824-11.88%0.1165✗1.401,1792022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.082871-3.41%0.0595-30.65%0.1557✓1.18137k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2114-3.50%13.005+198.01%1.2144✗0.581.2M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.044556-3.52%0.03845-16.74%0.0040✓0.962,3002022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.520881-3.56%0.3203-40.70%0.2755✓1.41234k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.904762-3.63%0.9535+1.57%0.1861✗0.903.2M2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.255928-3.68%0.2291-13.77%0.0576✗1.13768k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051194-3.77%0.044-17.29%0.0351✓1.25269k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7273-3.77%1.818+1.28%0.1465✗0.64189k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.0032-3.81%11.825+13.71%0.3723✗1.3714.4M2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03150.99177-3.85%1.1394+10.46%0.3129✗1.171.1M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019212-3.93%0.030314+51.59%0.5329✗0.51165k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.039674-3.94%0.0349-15.50%0.0549✗1.2371k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.0101-3.96%6.25-25.06%0.0624✓1.246.8M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.1969-4.00%2.03-39.04%0.3809✓0.4994k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.826483-4.01%0.673-21.84%0.0520✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.202147-4.01%0.1531-27.30%0.0752✓1.361,6972022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.6937-4.04%4.449+15.59%0.2747✗0.591.7M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.451713-4.09%0.3462-26.50%0.0468✓1.47273k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8216-4.19%7.8611+166.92%1.1401✗0.77978k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077109-4.21%0.06211-22.84%0.0075✓1.50773k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.00232-4.50%0.001503-38.12%0.2848✓1.001.8M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.5361-4.54%12.5-11.85%0.1305✗1.411.9M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.393941-4.57%0.31794-22.98%0.0063✓1.39583k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4884-4.59%1.52-2.56%0.0533✗0.22268k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.169353-4.64%0.1276-28.15%0.0957✓1.263.5M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3657.9763-4.65%6.142-26.58%0.0522✓1.408.5M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.080261-4.67%0.07274-13.60%0.1021✗1.3429k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.3655-4.68%5.746-34.53%0.2170✓1.062.4M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.142316-4.74%0.2179+45.85%0.5910✗1.11698k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.3274-4.76%4.761-28.34%0.0262✓1.7311.3M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum33.6231.9989-4.82%31.03-7.70%0.2593✗1.94229k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.328599-4.89%0.31172-9.77%0.1434✗1.3112k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.290902-4.90%0.2325-23.99%0.0563✓1.12300k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.463244-4.91%0.3717-23.70%0.1031✓0.7863k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.5195-5.00%6.4+10.15%0.2391✗0.61732k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7116-5.16%2.1594-24.47%0.0057✓1.5612k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.6769-5.16%2.922-24.63%0.0978✓0.88754k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2388-5.16%1.1463-12.24%0.1470✗1.515.6M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.5861-5.17%7.66-4.25%0.2136✗1.37263k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.8001-5.32%4.79-5.52%0.1037✗0.711.2M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.048525-5.68%0.043941-14.59%0.0778✗1.1938k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.2529-5.74%2.13-10.88%0.1035✗1.07301k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.0965-5.74%6.6294+101.80%0.8944✗0.891.2M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.271-5.88%8.84-10.25%0.0305✓0.521.7M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.3839-6.13%2.959-17.92%0.1238✗1.735.0M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.161137-6.32%0.1395-18.90%0.0422✓1.25491k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.485871-6.38%0.418-19.46%0.0204✓1.1513k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.1041-6.52%5.61-14.09%0.0079✓0.621.2M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.048304-6.55%0.04593-11.14%0.0842✗0.9015k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000097892-6.58%0.00022156+111.43%1.1067✗1.94592k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.891412-6.66%0.6723-29.60%0.0177✓1.77513k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0232.6806-6.68%32.41-7.45%0.2022✗1.416.9M2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.179348-6.83%0.15568-19.13%0.2038✗2.311,2222022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.034285-6.83%0.02026-44.95%0.2987✓1.5212.6M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum103.4696.2101-7.01%96.47-6.76%0.1540✗1.014.2M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.2444-7.10%1.522-37.00%0.1777✓1.41177k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.021832-7.57%0.02152-8.89%0.1313✗0.989,6292022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4426.1905-7.91%19.03-33.09%0.1116✓1.39641k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.764187-8.04%0.475-42.84%0.2537✓1.493,6872022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0418-8.60%0.9023-20.84%0.1021✗1.65205k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.217.4792-8.96%17.27-10.05%0.1166✗0.862.2M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.0911-9.01%0.89656-25.23%0.0324✓1.1010k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3210,517.53-9.42%9,021.07-22.31%0.0549✓1.404.2M2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07790.976006-9.46%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.77450.70103-9.49%0.5573-28.04%0.0555✓1.171.4M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.3241-12.42%1.129-25.33%0.1365✗1.981.7M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.