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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0017
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.0%
in alpha space · 73.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4231+0.15%4.3491-1.52%0.0079✗0.73916k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060241+0.07%0.0612+1.66%0.0330✓1.40339k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309326+0.07%0.30205-2.29%0.0094✗1.17398k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.731119+0.02%0.709-3.01%0.0124✗1.4980k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,277.43+0.02%22,989.40-1.22%0.0002✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.5782-0.00%93.42-3.27%0.0128✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.55738-0.00%0.5396-3.19%0.0184✓1.14341k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1896-0.01%5.0698-2.32%0.0208✓0.21210k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.179-0.01%7.928-3.08%0.0159✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779892-0.01%0.76-2.56%0.0184✓0.6179k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.8437-0.02%133.77-2.97%0.0153✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.738-0.02%48.53-2.45%0.0110✓1.11574k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.4556-0.02%58.09-2.32%0.0090✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,163.71-0.04%23,023.60-0.64%0.0060✗0.9814k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230567-0.06%0.2308+0.04%0.0192✗1.4897k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008415-0.06%0.00839-0.36%0.0083✗0.911.6M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069914-0.08%0.06831-2.38%0.0137✓0.78373k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342102-0.09%0.3267-4.59%0.0321✓1.147.7M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9517-0.11%9.938-0.25%0.0119✗1.082.1M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,628.86-0.12%1,631.28+0.03%0.0169✗1.26387.0M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014999-0.12%0.015628+4.07%0.0519✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003745-0.13%0.00371-1.07%0.0066✗1.31559k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.6164-0.13%39.81-4.46%0.0277✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.726016-0.14%0.742+2.06%0.0367✗1.21806k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4316-0.14%2.419-0.66%0.0061✗0.92105k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5557-0.15%22.85-3.14%0.0108✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.116026-0.15%0.1134-2.41%0.0069✓1.30472k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.4312-0.16%156.99-2.30%0.0080✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8169-0.16%1.7139-5.82%0.0428✓1.26492k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.01787-0.17%0.01794+0.22%0.0135✗0.78229k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006639-0.17%0.006716+0.99%0.0182✗0.5438k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068604-0.17%0.066529-3.19%0.0166✓1.151.7M2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.06399-0.17%0.073+13.88%0.1417✗0.81155k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4175-0.18%1.36-4.23%0.0237✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5657-0.18%60.953+0.46%0.0168✗0.85345k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.7539-0.18%61.49-2.20%0.0050✓1.251.5M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118084-0.19%0.115136-2.68%0.0130✓0.996.8M2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.6906-0.19%29.4-4.39%0.0313✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001094-0.20%0.001085-1.02%0.0075✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0164-0.21%1.0235+0.49%0.0188✗0.9660k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.22%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0124✗0.836.4M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045041-0.22%0.00004282-5.14%0.0363✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.422949-0.22%0.4029-4.95%0.0322✓1.33127k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.02151-0.23%0.02154-0.09%0.0141✗1.03159k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011942-0.23%0.00001175-1.84%0.0011✓1.23986k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9531-0.23%2.934-0.88%0.0073✗1.12619k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3199-0.23%1.27-4.01%0.0233✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029939-0.24%0.0314+4.63%0.0637✗1.311,2932022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.077-0.24%60.95-5.11%0.0355✓1.18354k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.28e-7-0.24%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0434✗0.96178k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.460183-0.24%0.4398-4.66%0.0300✓1.25778k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.096-0.25%14.5774-3.68%0.0205✓1.1868k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220435-0.26%0.212-4.07%0.0204✓1.51821k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001693-0.26%0.001664-1.94%0.0045✓1.0211k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.8341-0.26%17.22-3.69%0.0185✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.58e-7-0.26%0.00000101+5.21%0.0657✗1.0025k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.554-0.26%7.179-5.22%0.0354✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006304-0.27%0.006204-1.84%0.0049✓0.909,1592022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0195-0.27%1.874-7.46%0.0591✓1.27415k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261077-0.28%0.2618+0.00%0.0029✗0.0128k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120362-0.28%0.1155-4.31%0.0281✓1.07352k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1088-0.28%17.17-5.45%0.0364✓1.37116k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.51135-0.28%0.4966-3.16%0.0139✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5577-0.28%2.6+1.36%0.0380✗1.7595k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085557-0.28%0.0857-0.12%0.0162✗1.18137k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125141-0.29%0.1238-1.35%0.0014✓0.994,9522022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.495166-0.29%0.4841-2.52%0.0088✓1.1247k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5701-0.29%1.4894-5.42%0.0351✓1.44589k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2613-0.30%2.1689-4.37%0.0265✓1.2329k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.411542-0.30%0.3926-4.89%0.0300✓1.39583k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4186-0.31%1.364-4.15%0.0236✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092072-0.31%0.08996-2.60%0.0202✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206338-0.32%0.202-2.42%0.0041✓1.401,1792022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.769469-0.33%0.744-3.63%0.0215✓0.99377k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.79038-0.33%0.774-2.40%0.0058✓1.23218k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0153-0.33%1.966-2.77%0.0091✓1.28637k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7123-0.33%1.635-4.83%0.0284✓1.45327k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164859-0.33%0.1626-1.70%0.0052✗1.54212k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067175-0.33%0.068+0.89%0.0240✗0.96229k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276068-0.34%0.2636-4.84%0.0330✓1.0867k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057041-0.34%0.05605-2.07%0.0102✓0.6022k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3639-0.34%9.92-4.61%0.0269✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3018-0.34%1.3359+2.27%0.0444✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.334852-0.34%0.3198-4.82%0.0314✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.417892-0.35%0.39795-5.11%0.0340✓1.21118k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361477-0.36%0.34061-6.11%0.0435✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010174-0.36%0.00965-5.48%0.0410✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3352-0.36%8.248-1.40%0.0067✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0127-0.36%0.95943-5.60%0.0377✓1.32525k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003244-0.36%0.003157-3.04%0.0147✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5543-0.37%1.55-0.64%0.0001✓0.22268k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123144-0.37%0.1168-5.50%0.0359✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262129-0.37%0.2502-4.90%0.0315✓1.23101k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153529-0.37%0.1435-6.88%0.0554✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.6809-0.37%56.33-4.36%0.0238✓1.3932k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.617273-0.38%0.6132-1.03%0.0076✗1.16642k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8829-0.38%2.017+6.72%0.0863✗1.42234k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6187-0.38%6.638-0.09%0.0242✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.93513-0.39%0.9732+3.66%0.0509✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.32251-0.40%0.318-1.79%0.0000✓1.1576k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.09471-0.41%0.0936-1.58%0.0030✓1.216,7862022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.469065-0.41%0.4462-5.27%0.0319✓1.47273k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078654-0.41%0.0777-1.62%0.0032✓0.731,1722022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0744-0.42%1.0451-3.13%0.0103✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46103.0234-0.42%103.43-0.03%0.0164✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002419-0.42%0.002266-6.71%0.0529✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06094-0.42%0.0581-5.07%0.0317✓1.30799k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052972-0.43%0.0531-0.19%0.0178✗1.25269k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537783-0.43%0.5474+1.35%0.0351✗1.41234k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7848-0.43%2.8083+0.41%0.0204✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.857287-0.43%0.823-4.41%0.0196✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019911-0.43%0.021484+7.43%0.0824✗0.51165k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304565-0.44%0.3039-0.65%0.0116✗1.12300k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3036-0.44%8-4.08%0.0219✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1271-0.46%3.9681-4.29%0.0258✓1.0939k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1132-0.47%14.94+5.36%0.0742✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.484822-0.48%0.45527-6.54%0.0532✓0.7863k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8584-0.48%3.951+1.91%0.0346✗0.88754k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.642838-0.49%0.608-5.88%0.0385✓1.4088k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.708084-0.49%0.65971-7.29%0.0522✓1.5188k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8459-0.49%2.72-4.90%0.0266✓1.52192k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.4531-0.50%33.21-1.22%0.0166✗1.94229k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5869-0.50%3.801+5.44%0.0792✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163873-0.50%0.1674+1.64%0.0366✗1.2494k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0263-0.50%0.9992-3.13%0.0124✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083766-0.50%0.08676+3.05%0.0516✗1.3429k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7859-0.50%1.796+0.06%0.0135✗0.64189k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3419-0.51%4.526+3.71%0.0487✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3129-0.51%3.18-4.50%0.0349✓0.4994k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6216-0.52%1.57-3.68%0.0155✓1.37114k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031875-0.52%0.03144-1.87%0.0015✓1.2414k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4762-0.52%6.57+0.92%0.0316✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8289-0.52%3.883+0.88%0.0213✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.07013-0.52%0.0745+5.67%0.0737✗1.08567k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1908-0.53%11.02-2.04%0.0004✓1.21243k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2393-0.54%1.163-6.66%0.0504✓1.0643k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.176636-0.54%0.1716-3.38%0.0135✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.19144-0.55%0.18917-1.73%0.0165✗2.311,2222022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009328-0.55%0.00928-1.07%0.0103✗1.26359k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516122-0.55%0.519+0.00%0.0196✗1.1513k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209396-0.57%0.225+6.84%0.0886✗1.361,6972022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051148-0.58%0.048695-5.35%0.0346✓1.1938k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.170995-0.58%0.1596-7.21%0.0536✓1.25491k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9297-0.59%2.716-7.84%0.0582✓1.4349k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.333018-0.59%0.328-2.09%0.0025✓1.03959k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.842-0.59%2.7482-3.88%0.0143✓1.5612k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.949315-0.60%0.908-4.92%0.0227✓1.77513k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3758-0.60%2.46+2.93%0.0480✗1.07301k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004751-0.61%0.00462-3.35%0.0118✓1.32112k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048005-0.61%0.0463-4.14%0.0196✓1.347,6872022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051365-0.63%0.04946-4.31%0.0267✓0.9015k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8868-0.66%5.16+4.90%0.0612✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3999-0.67%2.285-5.42%0.0317✓1.41177k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041008-0.71%0.0396-4.12%0.0198✓1.2371k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000104037-0.72%0.00010013-4.45%0.0144✓1.94592k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9055-0.72%3.985+1.30%0.0290✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045836-0.74%0.044-4.72%0.0291✓0.962,3002022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.26366-0.77%0.2502-5.83%0.0385✓1.13768k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0517-0.79%6.03-1.15%0.0046✓0.66623k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0692-0.81%1.0569-1.95%0.0011✓1.0313k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0264-0.86%5.05-0.39%0.0134✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9307-0.87%8.1+1.25%0.0379✗1.37263k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064239-0.87%0.0595-8.18%0.0589✓1.44154k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9195-0.87%3.0467+3.45%0.0522✗0.77978k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142506-0.90%0.1378-4.17%0.0178✓1.2859k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7598-0.92%9.54-3.15%0.0163✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.1689-0.95%27.79-2.29%0.0036✓1.39641k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0697-0.95%1.218+12.78%0.1385✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023391-0.97%0.024372+3.18%0.0531✗0.989,6292022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.0096-0.99%21.17+10.26%0.1182✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1869-1.02%1.126-6.10%0.0392✓1.1010k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.341919-1.03%0.34832+0.82%0.0347✗1.3112k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079609-1.11%0.08648+7.43%0.1012✗1.50773k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036356-1.21%0.03854+4.73%0.0771✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.82083-1.22%0.816-1.81%0.0124✗1.493,6872022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,456.57-1.33%10,752.27-7.40%0.0463✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.5132-1.45%36.59+4.48%0.0758✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.489-1.52%1.635+8.13%0.1179✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2336-1.57%3.3336+1.47%0.0414✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4158-1.75%6.51-0.31%0.0222✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6942-1.99%5.73-1.38%0.0138✓0.61732k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.146309-2.07%0.1359-9.04%0.0602✓1.11698k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5869-2.15%8.196-6.61%0.0335✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1145-2.22%1.0822-5.05%0.0092✓1.65205k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.77450.744919-3.82%0.5942-23.28%0.2117✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.