8=======>

2022-07-31 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1870
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.8%
in alpha space · 60.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001851+5.69%0.001486-15.13%0.0536✓1.0216k2022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.6991+5.56%4.2549-4.42%0.0188✓0.73920k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.587622+4.43%0.4471-20.54%0.0885✗1.14350k2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.099628+3.03%0.0815-15.72%0.0051✓1.216,7862022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3966.1003+2.66%59.87-7.02%0.1046✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.06982+2.47%0.06142-9.86%0.0581✓1.151.7M2022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006429+2.32%0.005787-7.90%0.0404✓0.909,1592022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.726251+2.29%1.019+43.52%0.5366✓1.22776k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.058222+2.14%0.0507-11.05%0.0942✓1.43152k2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01158.2598+2.10%148.87-3.96%0.1183✓1.101.3M2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.153775+1.97%0.1464-2.92%0.1523✓1.2490k2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.426805+1.94%0.3561-14.95%0.0346✓1.33112k2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006897+1.88%0.006537-3.44%0.0339✓0.5439k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.072875+1.78%0.1115+55.73%0.5589✓0.82148k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009261+1.77%0.0062-31.87%0.2524✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.446591+1.75%0.3613-17.68%0.0099✓1.24643k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1989+1.73%1.0458-11.26%0.0358✓1.0643k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048803+1.67%0.036-25.00%0.0876✗1.337,5232022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.068875+1.59%0.0617-9.00%0.0644✓1.07432k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.2008+1.50%8.973-10.72%0.0477✓1.082.4M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,731.33+1.42%19,869.30-15.09%0.0182✗0.9814k2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.406154+1.37%0.33647-16.02%0.0083✓1.21113k2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018623+1.15%0.01422-22.76%0.1460✗0.76248k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.0678+1.15%5.3918+7.61%0.0961✓0.21210k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,553.58+1.06%19,813.17-14.99%0.0105✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.808388+1.05%0.519-35.13%0.2009✗1.4980k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37140.7394+0.98%114.69-17.71%0.0112✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.315714+0.97%0.34582+10.60%0.2809✓1.17398k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.252118+0.89%0.2089-16.41%0.0113✓1.2399k2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.338876+0.83%0.2917-13.21%0.0334✓1.137.7M2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.766215+0.82%0.74-2.63%0.0633✓0.6079k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.069494+0.81%0.064705-6.13%0.0538✓0.77373k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.044539+0.79%0.03799-14.03%0.0031✓0.962,3002022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8927+0.79%2.775-3.31%0.1395✓1.11619k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.089072+0.76%0.0625-29.30%0.1632✗1.18146k2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.136618+0.75%0.1227-9.51%0.1008✓1.2855k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.34444+0.71%0.284-16.96%0.0252✗1.03794k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003732+0.59%0.00292-21.29%0.0333✗1.31570k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010369+0.57%0.00864-16.20%0.0258✗0.964.7M2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7660.0684+0.52%53.01-11.30%0.0626✓1.1613.5M2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6398.1065+0.49%84.38-13.57%0.1192✓1.6610.2M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0184+0.47%0.900508-11.16%0.0329✓0.9658k2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.063195+0.47%0.0576-8.43%0.1344✓1.40339k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.110033+0.39%0.0889-18.89%0.0026✓1.30472k2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004576+0.35%0.00402-11.84%0.0838✓1.31112k2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.234397+0.21%0.2211-5.47%0.1825✓1.4897k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.306215+0.10%0.3098+1.27%0.1958✓1.1375k2022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.317738+0.07%0.2879-9.32%0.0939✓1.193.0M2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.143723+0.02%0.1325-7.79%0.0789✓0.993.5M2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.7235-0.00%3.8429+41.10%0.5029✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.41e-7-0.09%0.000001089+218.95%1.3156✗0.95178k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003126-0.09%0.002993-4.35%0.1207✗1.01999k2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043788-0.12%0.00004589+4.68%0.2349✗1.161.9M2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1751.1024-0.13%45.51-11.06%0.0637✗1.11574k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.117432-0.16%0.102411-12.93%0.0245✗0.996.8M2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.78e-7-0.17%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0288✗0.836.1M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021144-0.31%0.02405+13.39%0.2968✗1.03159k2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5356-0.43%1.7301+12.18%0.3545✗1.45589k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.972129-0.45%0.77064-21.08%0.0177✓1.32487k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.989946-0.50%1.1881+19.42%0.3720✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.461563-0.53%0.3341-28.00%0.0846✓1.47273k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.768906-0.53%0.671-13.20%0.0640✗1.23212k2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.12768-0.56%0.097-24.45%0.1141✓0.995,2722022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.913-0.57%2.012+4.57%0.2569✗1.27415k2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3518-0.60%3.795+60.40%0.6277✗0.92105k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6798-0.60%1.32-21.89%0.0185✓1.37114k2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.8296-0.64%15.8-16.62%0.0470✗1.37116k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.182-0.65%1.8168-17.27%0.0173✗1.2326k2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.066366-0.80%0.0579-13.45%0.0192✗0.96229k2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.212228-0.83%0.169-21.03%0.0179✗1.51803k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.058183-0.88%0.0484-17.55%0.0275✗1.30787k2022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.260959-0.89%0.2442-7.25%0.1083✗1.0865k2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056525-0.95%0.042966-24.71%0.1769✓0.6022k2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119516-0.98%0.1027-14.91%0.0210✗1.06352k2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.754257-1.02%0.652-14.44%0.0143✗0.98360k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.6757-1.06%12.3167-16.97%0.0158✗1.1870k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3638-1.18%1.188-13.91%0.0692✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17960.4493-1.19%51.582-15.69%0.0212✓0.85369k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.8674-1.21%31.48-25.72%0.0645✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.163998-1.24%0.1352-18.58%0.0577✗1.54207k2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7188-1.27%1.4973-13.99%0.0666✗1.26492k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.973149-1.30%0.994+0.81%0.1348✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011563-1.34%0.00001218+3.92%0.2521✗1.23951k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.126215-1.39%0.103-19.53%0.0201✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029851-1.45%0.03529+16.51%0.3686✗1.2414k2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.455275-1.46%0.37644-18.52%0.0630✓0.7863k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.01572-1.47%0.013148-17.59%0.0350✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.119953-1.60%0.1967+61.36%0.6732✗1.10685k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.048609-1.62%0.043415-12.13%0.0799✗1.1938k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.317824-1.65%0.29332-9.24%0.1328✗1.3111k2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.203331-1.77%0.1811-12.51%0.1110✗1.401,1792022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,648.24-1.85%1,524.81-9.20%0.1263✗1.26387.0M2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7214-1.94%6.0023+116.28%0.9168✗0.77978k2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6377-1.95%4.099+10.49%0.2366✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0455.9216-1.96%47-17.60%0.0521✗1.3932k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.061-1.96%0.8324-23.08%0.0138✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.9205-1.97%8.31-8.68%0.0144✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.037837-1.98%0.0353-8.55%0.1282✗1.2268k2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.048088-1.98%0.04661-4.99%0.1147✗0.9015k2022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6475-1.99%1.233-26.65%0.0545✓1.45327k2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.4593-2.01%7.008-18.82%0.0133✓1.249.4M2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.600993-2.12%0.515-16.12%0.0730✗1.4086k2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.250613-2.22%0.226-11.82%0.0807✗1.13701k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5386-2.25%1.89-27.22%0.0100✓1.7592k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.669433-2.34%0.5402-21.19%0.0311✗1.5188k2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.6797-2.34%26.6-12.47%0.0453✗0.9510.2M2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.492556-2.35%0.4301-14.73%0.0464✗1.1245k2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.862.2925-2.36%47.47-25.60%0.0793✓1.18303k2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9333-2.41%1.43-27.81%0.0702✓1.42234k2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06893.9708-2.41%3.1158-23.42%0.0648✓1.0934k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.052893-2.41%0.0429-20.85%0.0056✓1.25269k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.2356-2.47%10.09-12.41%0.0896✗1.21241k2022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.022053-2.48%0.021461-5.10%0.1313✗0.989,2332022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.4686-2.50%6.558-14.39%0.0751✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002434-2.53%0.001548-38.01%0.2900✓1.001.9M2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.516236-2.62%0.5489+3.55%0.2493✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.50287-2.64%0.453-12.29%0.0984✗1.2541.9M2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2733-2.65%0.9513-27.27%0.0899✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.377893-2.71%0.298969-23.03%0.0230✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.5256-2.72%6.14+8.10%0.2126✗0.66588k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254004-2.75%0.2608-0.15%0.0282✗0.0128k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.43e-7-2.77%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0931✗1.0024k2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.0761-2.90%12.481+197.31%1.2140✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.0543-2.92%11.928+15.17%0.3938✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.5375-2.99%7.98+2.70%0.2785✗1.36256k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.3966-3.01%1.0506-27.04%0.0511✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.093273-3.09%0.08237-14.42%0.0859✓0.241.1M2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.167705-3.17%0.1276-26.33%0.0694✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.909-3.18%6.03+18.93%0.3047✗0.61668k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.162037-3.20%0.1389-17.03%0.0485✗1.25475k2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.604509-3.25%0.5123-18.01%0.0220✓1.15624k2022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.412194-3.39%0.31982-25.04%0.0277✓1.39592k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.0609-3.41%2.0768-34.46%0.1340✓1.5611k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7522.9332-3.44%19.38-18.40%0.0906✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.7731-3.48%2.049-28.68%0.0715✓1.4247k2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.8792-3.53%1.632-16.22%0.0651✗1.27637k2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001047-3.70%0.001348+24.02%0.4615✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.2631-3.74%2.07-38.94%0.3753✓0.4981k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.371223-3.78%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020545-3.91%0.022785+6.57%0.1873✗0.52167k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6133.2442-3.95%31.05-10.29%0.2466✗1.94229k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6603-3.95%3.133-17.79%0.0112✓0.89754k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.916502-4.03%0.6566-31.25%0.0463✓1.77513k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.506479-4.08%0.425-19.51%0.0108✓1.1513k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.5088-4.19%5.19-9.74%0.0402✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.3977-4.21%1.556-37.83%0.2030✓1.41172k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.029251-4.28%0.02474-19.04%0.0448✗1.311,3342022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.7114-4.32%12.2-14.86%0.1142✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.077399-4.34%0.06652-17.79%0.0326✓0.731,0512022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.4381-4.38%4.809-28.58%0.0101✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.714-4.40%1.823+1.67%0.1655✗0.64206k2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5751-4.49%4.47-6.68%0.0919✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.2483-4.49%13.86-23.26%0.0004✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.216708-4.53%0.1487-34.49%0.1548✓1.371,6972022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.878925-4.59%0.9633+4.57%0.2369✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.5002-4.66%5.751+21.84%0.3349✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.0745-4.79%4.86-23.82%0.0040✓1.401.0M2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.0459-4.82%2.07-35.31%0.1398✓1.52192k2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2541-4.84%1.0635-19.30%0.0788✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009129-4.91%0.00806-16.04%0.0806✗1.26355k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.0652-4.92%0.88331-21.16%0.0093✓1.1010k2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.8895-4.94%5.6189+84.85%0.8100✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.907-5.04%6.174-25.86%0.0199✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.03245-5.20%0.02038-40.46%0.2174✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0206-5.43%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000092676-5.50%0.00015837+61.49%0.8480✗1.92592k2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.4748-5.55%4.11+11.72%0.2644✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.4793-5.55%6.257-30.31%0.1016✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.873987-5.68%0.9192-0.80%0.3166✗1.64202k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.078821-5.72%0.07109-14.96%0.1150✗1.3429k2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0719.8426-5.83%17.33-17.75%0.0053✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3507-5.96%2.977-16.45%0.1624✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.078783-6.23%0.06327-24.70%0.0242✓1.50768k2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.820066-6.28%0.497-43.20%0.2590✓1.493,1392022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4415-6.40%1.61+4.55%0.1458✗0.22268k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6196.0134-6.43%95.63-6.80%0.1608✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.803623-6.66%0.669-22.30%0.0966✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,111.92-6.92%8,874.58-18.31%0.0954✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.180726-6.95%0.15379-20.82%0.2146✗2.311,2222022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.401-7.30%2.06-20.46%0.0211✓1.07258k2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.0661-7.38%5.711-41.66%0.2893✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.517864-8.34%0.3252-42.44%0.2374✓1.40234k2022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.533.281-8.82%32.31-11.48%0.1998✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3723.9157-9.31%22.31-15.40%0.1566✗1.39585k2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.265993-9.53%0.2461-16.29%0.1052✗1.13303k2022-08-30
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.4202-10.29%1.083-31.59%0.0513✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.