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2022-07-31 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1518
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.9%
in alpha space · 66.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.3795-12.86%1.083-31.59%0.0804✓1.981.3M2022-08-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0718.7766-10.88%17.33-17.75%0.0605✓0.872.2M2022-08-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07920.971102-10.01%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.0202-8.94%0.88331-21.16%0.0339✓1.1010k2022-08-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.909,951.91-8.39%8,874.58-18.31%0.1113✗1.394.1M2022-08-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.0299-7.75%5.711-41.66%0.2853✓1.062.3M2022-08-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.807184-7.75%0.497-43.20%0.2432✓1.493,1392022-08-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3724.3525-7.65%22.31-15.40%0.1385✗1.39585k2022-08-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.3183-7.38%1.556-37.83%0.1693✓1.41172k2022-08-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.18025-7.20%0.15379-20.82%0.2172✗2.311,2222022-08-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.020988-7.19%0.021461-5.10%0.1808✗0.989,2332022-08-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.533.9401-7.01%32.31-11.48%0.1802✗1.415.4M2022-08-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.4135-6.82%2.06-20.46%0.0159✓1.07258k2022-08-30
QNTQuantEthereum102.6195.6374-6.80%95.63-6.80%0.1647✗1.014.2M2022-08-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.045807-6.63%0.04661-4.99%0.1633✗0.9015k2022-08-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000091637-6.56%0.00015837+61.49%0.8593✗1.92592k2022-08-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.893093-6.48%0.6566-31.25%0.0204✓1.77513k2022-08-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.494543-6.34%0.425-19.51%0.0347✓1.1513k2022-08-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.157188-6.10%0.1389-17.03%0.0789✗1.25475k2022-08-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.032171-6.02%0.02038-40.46%0.2087✓1.5311.5M2022-08-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.3495-5.99%2.977-16.45%0.1628✗1.735.0M2022-08-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.874366-5.64%0.9192-0.80%0.3162✗1.64202k2022-08-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16882.9917-5.59%2.0768-34.46%0.1111✓1.5611k2022-08-30
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.046661-5.56%0.043415-12.13%0.1208✗1.1938k2022-08-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.455-5.13%5.19-9.74%0.0500✓0.611.1M2022-08-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.079727-5.11%0.06327-24.70%0.0123✓1.50768k2022-08-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.2513-5.05%1.0635-19.30%0.0810✗1.505.6M2022-08-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03972.8877-5.00%5.6189+84.85%0.8107✗0.891.2M2022-08-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.279399-4.97%0.2461-16.29%0.0561✗1.13303k2022-08-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.6252-4.88%3.133-17.79%0.0016✓0.89754k2022-08-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.4055-4.86%4.809-28.58%0.0050✓1.7310.6M2022-08-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.5611-4.78%4.47-6.68%0.0950✗0.711.1M2022-08-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.5564-4.70%6.257-30.31%0.1107✓1.256.5M2022-08-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.4057-4.69%7.98+2.70%0.2961✗1.36256k2022-08-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.079749-4.61%0.07109-14.96%0.1033✗1.3429k2022-08-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.165474-4.46%0.1276-26.33%0.0560✓1.263.4M2022-08-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.216904-4.45%0.1487-34.49%0.1557✓1.371,6972022-08-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.407701-4.44%0.31982-25.04%0.0168✓1.39592k2022-08-30
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3277.9632-4.37%6.174-25.86%0.0270✓1.408.2M2022-08-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4729-4.36%1.61+4.55%0.1242✗0.22268k2022-08-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.18.7047-4.34%8.31-8.68%0.0389✓0.531.4M2022-08-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.062-4.31%2.07-35.31%0.1451✓1.52192k2022-08-30
METISMetisEthereum34.6133.1266-4.29%31.05-10.29%0.2501✗1.94229k2022-08-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3313.7211-4.25%12.2-14.86%0.1135✗1.421.7M2022-08-30
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.442537-4.21%0.37644-18.52%0.0346✓0.7863k2022-08-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.824778-4.21%0.669-22.30%0.0706✗1.725.2M2022-08-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.2478-4.19%2.07-38.94%0.3706✓0.4981k2022-08-30
HIVEHivenative0.53010.508245-4.12%0.5489+3.55%0.2649✗1.161.4M2022-08-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.020506-4.09%0.022785+6.57%0.1892✗0.52167k2022-08-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.310131-4.03%0.29332-9.24%0.1573✗1.3111k2022-08-30
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.370326-4.01%–pending––0.941922022-08-30
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.0024-3.90%0.001548-38.01%0.2759✓1.001.9M2022-08-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.5358-3.89%4.11+11.72%0.2470✗0.591.6M2022-08-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.44716-3.63%0.3341-28.00%0.0529✓1.47273k2022-08-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.05229-3.52%0.0429-20.85%0.0059✓1.25269k2022-08-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.6778-3.51%6.0023+116.28%0.9329✗0.77978k2022-08-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.085335-3.47%0.0625-29.30%0.1204✓1.18146k2022-08-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.545462-3.46%0.3252-42.44%0.2893✓1.40234k2022-08-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.009269-3.45%0.00806-16.04%0.0654✗1.26355k2022-08-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.0043-3.41%11.928+15.17%0.3988✗1.3714.4M2022-08-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.889976-3.39%0.9633+4.57%0.2244✗0.893.2M2022-08-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.0562-3.38%12.481+197.31%1.2189✗0.581.2M2022-08-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.563-3.33%5.751+21.84%0.3210✗0.552.0M2022-08-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.074.9073-3.21%6.03+18.93%0.3050✗0.61668k2022-08-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0617.4805-3.21%13.86-23.26%0.0129✓1.351.3M2022-08-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.200413-3.18%0.1811-12.51%0.1255✗1.401,1792022-08-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.078347-3.17%0.06652-17.79%0.0447✓0.731,0512022-08-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.037378-3.17%0.0353-8.55%0.1404✗1.2268k2022-08-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7367-3.14%1.823+1.67%0.1523✗0.64206k2022-08-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.963773-3.13%1.1881+19.42%0.3988✗1.171.2M2022-08-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.739377-2.97%0.652-14.44%0.0342✗0.98360k2022-08-30
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.248833-2.91%0.226-11.82%0.0878✗1.13701k2022-08-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7523.0595-2.91%19.38-18.40%0.0851✗1.5927.5M2022-08-30
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0455.4143-2.85%47-17.60%0.0612✗1.3932k2022-08-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.042937-2.83%0.03799-14.03%0.0336✗0.962,3002022-08-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.255884-2.82%0.2442-7.25%0.1280✗1.0865k2022-08-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003042-2.79%0.002993-4.35%0.1481✗1.01999k2022-08-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.666852-2.71%0.5402-21.19%0.0349✗1.5188k2022-08-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254118-2.71%0.2608-0.15%0.0278✗0.0128k2022-08-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.32e-7-2.58%0.000001089+218.95%1.3408✗0.95178k2022-08-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6161-2.53%4.099+10.49%0.2425✗0.721.3M2022-08-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9318-2.48%1.43-27.81%0.0695✓1.42234k2022-08-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.208688-2.48%0.169-21.03%0.0347✗1.51803k2022-08-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.4737-2.43%6.558-14.39%0.0744✗1.2616.2M2022-08-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001061-2.42%0.001348+24.02%0.4484✗1.281.5M2022-08-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.06528-2.42%0.0579-13.45%0.0357✗0.96229k2022-08-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.347-2.39%1.188-13.91%0.0815✗1.282.4M2022-08-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.2777-2.32%0.9513-27.27%0.0934✓1.241.2M2022-08-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.12546-2.29%0.097-24.45%0.0965✓0.995,2722022-08-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6429-2.27%1.233-26.65%0.0517✓1.45327k2022-08-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17959.8105-2.24%51.582-15.69%0.0106✓0.85369k2022-08-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011464-2.19%0.00001218+3.92%0.2607✗1.23951k2022-08-30
SOLSolanaSolana42.3841.4616-2.17%31.48-25.72%0.0547✓1.3681.1M2022-08-30
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.505461-2.14%0.453-12.29%0.0933✗1.2541.9M2022-08-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.132741-2.11%0.1227-9.51%0.1296✗1.2855k2022-08-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.392436-2.05%0.33647-16.02%0.0426✗1.21113k2022-08-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.0559-2.05%0.042966-24.71%0.1657✓0.6022k2022-08-30
FLOWFlownative1.9241.8851-2.02%2.012+4.57%0.2716✗1.27415k2022-08-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5447-2.02%1.89-27.22%0.0124✓1.7592k2022-08-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8153-2.01%2.049-28.68%0.0867✓1.4247k2022-08-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.125465-1.98%0.103-19.53%0.0261✗1.382.6M2022-08-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9097-1.96%1.632-16.22%0.0490✗1.27637k2022-08-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.5432-1.96%12.3167-16.97%0.0249✗1.1870k2022-08-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.412-1.95%1.0506-27.04%0.0620✓1.441.1M2022-08-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,647.21-1.91%1,524.81-9.20%0.1269✗1.26387.0M2022-08-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.06893.9914-1.91%3.1158-23.42%0.0700✓1.0934k2022-08-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.60232-1.90%0.515-16.12%0.0708✗1.4086k2022-08-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.3036-1.88%10.09-12.41%0.0835✗1.21241k2022-08-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0622-1.85%0.8324-23.08%0.0150✓1.411.4M2022-08-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.09452-1.80%0.08237-14.42%0.0992✓0.241.1M2022-08-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018082-1.78%0.01422-22.76%0.1166✓0.76248k2022-08-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.029768-1.72%0.03529+16.51%0.3713✗1.2414k2022-08-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.163236-1.69%0.1352-18.58%0.0624✗1.54207k2022-08-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.5898-1.59%6.14+8.10%0.2010✗0.66588k2022-08-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.496414-1.58%0.4301-14.73%0.0386✗1.1245k2022-08-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.382368-1.55%0.298969-23.03%0.0348✓1.301.0M2022-08-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.862.8266-1.53%47.47-25.60%0.0879✓1.18303k2022-08-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.057838-1.47%0.0484-17.55%0.0335✗1.30787k2022-08-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.56e-7-1.47%8.80e-7-9.28%0.0798✗1.0024k2022-08-30
FTTFTXEthereum30.3929.9451-1.46%26.6-12.47%0.0364✗0.9510.2M2022-08-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004496-1.40%0.00402-11.84%0.1014✗1.31112k2022-08-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.337327-1.37%0.284-16.96%0.0043✓1.03794k2022-08-30
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043247-1.35%0.00004589+4.68%0.2473✗1.161.9M2022-08-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119075-1.35%0.1027-14.91%0.0247✗1.06352k2022-08-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6674-1.34%1.32-21.89%0.0111✓1.37114k2022-08-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.973563-1.26%0.994+0.81%0.1344✗0.701.3M2022-08-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.617152-1.22%0.5123-18.01%0.0013✓1.15624k2022-08-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.24698-1.17%0.2089-16.41%0.0319✗1.2399k2022-08-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.070772-1.16%0.1115+55.73%0.5882✗0.82148k2022-08-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.120501-1.15%0.1967+61.36%0.6686✗1.10685k2022-08-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.764326-1.12%0.671-13.20%0.0699✗1.23212k2022-08-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.11636-1.07%0.102411-12.93%0.0337✗0.996.8M2022-08-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5266-1.01%1.7301+12.18%0.3604✗1.45589k2022-08-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.303197-0.88%0.3098+1.27%0.2057✗1.1375k2022-08-30
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.7868-0.86%15.8-16.62%0.0493✗1.37116k2022-08-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.310068-0.84%0.34582+10.60%0.2989✗1.17398k2022-08-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.142531-0.81%0.1325-7.79%0.0872✗0.993.5M2022-08-30
XMRMoneroMonero155.01153.8902-0.72%148.87-3.96%0.1463✗1.101.3M2022-08-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,245.02-0.66%19,869.30-15.09%0.0025✓0.9814k2022-08-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.970016-0.66%0.77064-21.08%0.0155✓1.32487k2022-08-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010254-0.54%0.00864-16.20%0.0146✓0.964.7M2022-08-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8553-0.51%2.775-3.31%0.1525✗1.11619k2022-08-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030421-0.46%0.02474-19.04%0.0055✗1.311,3342022-08-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.316128-0.43%0.2879-9.32%0.0990✗1.193.0M2022-08-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.713-0.39%3.8429+41.10%0.5068✗0.981.0M2022-08-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021136-0.35%0.02405+13.39%0.2971✗1.03159k2022-08-30
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.3613-0.29%4.86-23.82%0.0421✓1.401.0M2022-08-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.335235-0.26%0.2917-13.21%0.0442✗1.137.7M2022-08-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006757-0.19%0.006537-3.44%0.0545✗0.5439k2022-08-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015924-0.19%0.013148-17.59%0.0479✓0.881.2M2022-08-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.068037-0.15%0.06142-9.86%0.0839✗1.151.7M2022-08-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062822-0.12%0.0576-8.43%0.1404✗1.40339k2022-08-30
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6397.5846-0.05%84.38-13.57%0.1245✗1.6610.2M2022-08-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.365-0.04%3.795+60.40%0.6221✗0.92105k2022-08-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109639+0.04%0.0889-18.89%0.0010✓1.30472k2022-08-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.057+0.07%8.973-10.72%0.0619✓1.082.4M2022-08-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.6403+0.08%7.008-18.82%0.0079✗1.249.4M2022-08-30
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.81e-7+0.09%8.80e-7-10.20%0.0262✓0.836.1M2022-08-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.419102+0.10%0.3561-14.95%0.0528✓1.33112k2022-08-30
DASHDashDash51.1751.2293+0.12%45.51-11.06%0.0613✓1.11574k2022-08-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.2006+0.20%1.8168-17.27%0.0088✓1.2326k2022-08-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009119+0.20%0.0062-31.87%0.2369✗0.921.6M2022-08-30
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7456+0.28%1.4973-13.99%0.0512✓1.26492k2022-08-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1823+0.32%1.0458-11.26%0.0498✓1.0643k2022-08-30
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.069223+0.42%0.064705-6.13%0.0577✓0.77373k2022-08-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,416.78+0.47%19,813.17-14.99%0.0047✗1.00414.2M2022-08-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.235047+0.49%0.2211-5.47%0.1797✓1.4897k2022-08-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.713605+0.51%1.019+43.52%0.5542✓1.22776k2022-08-30
XVGVergenative0.003710.003729+0.52%0.00292-21.29%0.0326✗1.31570k2022-08-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.068232+0.64%0.0617-9.00%0.0738✓1.07432k2022-08-30
STXStacksnative0.43890.44294+0.92%0.3613-17.68%0.0017✓1.24643k2022-08-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.152193+0.92%0.1464-2.92%0.1626✓1.2490k2022-08-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048461+0.96%0.036-25.00%0.0806✗1.337,5232022-08-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.807839+0.98%0.519-35.13%0.2002✗1.4980k2022-08-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.062+1.03%5.3918+7.61%0.0973✓0.21210k2022-08-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.057715+1.25%0.0507-11.05%0.1029✓1.43152k2022-08-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7660.5982+1.40%53.01-11.30%0.0538✓1.1613.5M2022-08-30
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.028+1.42%0.900508-11.16%0.0235✓0.9658k2022-08-30
PROPropyEthereum0.760.771556+1.52%0.74-2.63%0.0563✓0.6079k2022-08-30
ZECZcashZcash64.3965.5183+1.75%59.87-7.02%0.1134✓1.251.5M2022-08-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001783+1.85%0.001486-15.13%0.0167✓1.0216k2022-08-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37142.192+2.02%114.69-17.71%0.0215✗1.194.2M2022-08-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.098733+2.10%0.0815-15.72%0.0040✓1.216,7862022-08-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006416+2.11%0.005787-7.90%0.0425✓0.909,1592022-08-30
GTGateEthereum4.45154.5825+2.94%4.2549-4.42%0.0439✓0.73920k2022-08-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.587122+4.34%0.4471-20.54%0.0876✗1.14350k2022-08-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.