8=======>

2022-07-31 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0466
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.5%
in alpha space · 41.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.14%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.7899.445-3.51%8.776-10.35%0.0719✓1.062.3M2022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.0720.6481-2.00%19.2-8.88%0.0715✓0.872.2M2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084020.082407-1.92%0.0805-4.19%0.0213✓1.50768k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism1.5831.5552-1.76%1.512-4.49%0.0253✓1.981.3M2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.535.8643-1.74%35.02-4.05%0.0218✓1.415.4M2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.592.5558-1.32%2.39-7.72%0.0655✓1.07258k2022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,863.9010,724.30-1.28%11,611.32+6.88%0.0815✗1.394.1M2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3420.33771-1.25%0.335-2.05%0.0066✓1.03794k2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.755.6802-1.21%6.53+13.57%0.1403✗0.611.1M2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.23.1619-1.19%2.86-10.62%0.0981✓1.52192k2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.12031.1078-1.12%1.1991+7.03%0.0808✗1.1010k2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2270.224536-1.09%0.2106-7.22%0.0621✓1.371,6972022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN3.16883.1348-1.07%2.859-9.78%0.0899✓1.5611k2022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.3726.0886-1.07%28.44+7.85%0.0883✗1.39585k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.777.6884-1.05%8+2.96%0.0417✗1.36256k2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.6724-1.04%1.63-3.55%0.0237✓1.37114k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034230.033885-1.01%0.0368+7.51%0.0847✗1.5311.5M2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07921.0683-1.00%1.0779-0.11%0.0105✗1.0313k2022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03973.0092-1.00%3.2852+8.08%0.0890✗0.891.2M2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3884020.385009-0.87%0.362765-6.60%0.0576✓1.301.0M2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.9788.9025-0.84%8.34-7.11%0.0635✓1.256.5M2022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9860.977932-0.82%1.08+9.53%0.1003✗0.701.3M2022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8732.8499-0.80%2.947+2.58%0.0356✗1.4247k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.393.3631-0.79%3.33-1.77%0.0092✓0.4981k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.5211.43-0.78%11.25-2.34%0.0141✓1.21241k2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00960.00953-0.73%0.00938-2.29%0.0140✓1.26355k2022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.724.6861-0.72%4.919+4.22%0.0493✗0.552.0M2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.194230.192848-0.71%0.1925-0.89%0.0015✓2.311,2222022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0226140.022453-0.71%0.023621+4.45%0.0521✗0.989,2332022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.19.0379-0.68%9.85+8.24%0.0868✗0.531.4M2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.5032.4861-0.67%2.416-3.48%0.0266✓1.41172k2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9811.9679-0.66%1.89-4.59%0.0383✓1.42234k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5280.524504-0.66%0.519-1.70%0.0089✓1.1513k2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8750.869224-0.66%0.831-5.03%0.0428✓1.493,1392022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum6.386.338-0.66%6.51+2.04%0.0288✗1.401.0M2022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum4.06894.0425-0.65%4.1461+1.90%0.0269✗1.0934k2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7591-0.65%5.07+5.85%0.0643✗0.711.1M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08221.0753-0.63%1.0789-0.30%0.0053✓1.411.4M2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5650.561481-0.62%0.5401-4.41%0.0368✓1.40234k2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16740.166366-0.62%0.172+2.75%0.0351✗1.25475k2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77522.7583-0.61%2.9451+6.12%0.0666✗0.77978k2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098070.000097498-0.58%0.00010479+6.85%0.0749✗1.92592k2022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.949454-0.58%0.955+0.00%0.0084✗1.77513k2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010251-0.57%0.01021-0.97%0.0026✓0.964.7M2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92660.921415-0.56%1.1398+23.01%0.2151✗1.64202k2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0494080.049133-0.56%0.051446+4.12%0.0477✗1.1938k2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.856218-0.56%0.861+0.00%0.0081✗1.725.2M2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.047734-0.55%0.0483+0.63%0.0137✗1.337,5232022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09670.096163-0.55%0.0951-1.65%0.0094✓1.216,7862022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0213810.021263-0.55%0.019998-6.47%0.0606✓0.52167k2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1280.127296-0.55%0.1236-3.44%0.0275✓1.382.6M2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum34.6134.4203-0.55%33.62-2.86%0.0207✓1.94229k2022-08-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8113.7902-0.54%3.877+1.73%0.0239✗0.89754k2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049060.048798-0.53%0.05169+5.36%0.0589✗0.9015k2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08360.083154-0.53%0.08419+0.71%0.0143✗1.3429k2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017510.001742-0.53%0.001697-3.08%0.0245✓1.0216k2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5633.5452-0.50%3.605+1.18%0.0192✗1.735.0M2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.4620.459726-0.49%0.48714+5.44%0.0591✗0.7863k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6609-0.49%3.849+4.62%0.0510✗0.591.6M2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.053935-0.49%0.0532-1.85%0.0119✓1.25269k2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.7931.7843-0.49%1.795+0.11%0.0069✗0.64206k2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62480.621806-0.48%0.6196-0.83%0.0019✓1.15624k2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.075.0463-0.47%5.81+14.60%0.1418✗0.61668k2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.3314.2632-0.47%14.18-1.05%0.0038✓1.421.7M2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6140.611155-0.46%0.646+5.21%0.0575✗1.4086k2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.713.6928-0.46%3.934+6.04%0.0643✗0.721.3M2022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99490.990312-0.46%1.0315+3.68%0.0424✗1.171.2M2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.17320.172405-0.46%0.1776+2.54%0.0315✗1.263.4M2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.685.6542-0.45%6.1+7.39%0.0768✗0.66588k2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.1984.1792-0.45%4.364+3.95%0.0441✗0.581.2M2022-08-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024970.002486-0.45%0.002429-2.72%0.0217✓1.001.9M2022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4640.461954-0.44%0.471+1.51%0.0215✗1.47273k2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.292729-0.43%0.3059+4.05%0.0456✗1.13303k2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.080910.080562-0.43%0.07898-2.39%0.0188✓0.731,0512022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.323170.321796-0.43%0.34549+6.91%0.0729✗1.3111k2022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166050.165347-0.42%0.16541-0.39%0.0026✓1.54207k2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase18.9518.8717-0.41%18.16-4.17%0.0365✓1.37116k2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum102.61102.1938-0.41%103.46+0.83%0.0138✗1.014.2M2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.685450.682672-0.41%0.71157+3.81%0.0436✗1.5188k2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206162-0.40%0.207+0.00%0.0061✗1.401,1792022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.0570.056772-0.40%0.0648+13.68%0.1343✗1.43152k2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044190.044014-0.40%0.04618+4.50%0.0494✗0.962,3002022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7336.7063-0.40%6.644-1.32%0.0068✓1.7310.6M2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030560.030439-0.40%0.03001-1.80%0.0123✓1.311,3342022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.53010.528007-0.39%0.7745+46.10%0.3848✗1.161.4M2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05870.05847-0.39%0.0612+4.26%0.0475✗1.30787k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976480.972675-0.39%1.0163+4.08%0.0458✗1.32487k2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030290.030173-0.38%0.03204+5.78%0.0618✗1.2414k2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.72362.7133-0.38%2.7968+2.69%0.0317✗0.981.0M2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12840.127915-0.38%0.1255-2.26%0.0176✓0.995,2722022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.25630.255346-0.37%0.2657+3.67%0.0414✗1.13701k2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004543-0.37%0.00478+4.82%0.0527✗1.31112k2022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.92120.917834-0.37%0.9388+1.91%0.0239✗0.893.2M2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50440.502575-0.36%0.4966-1.55%0.0103✓1.1245k2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum57.0456.8339-0.36%58.9+3.26%0.0377✗1.3932k2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096250.095906-0.36%0.09236-4.04%0.0373✓0.241.1M2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062840.006261-0.36%0.006321+0.59%0.0108✗0.909,1592022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.31791.3132-0.36%1.3062-0.89%0.0032✓1.505.6M2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.381.3751-0.35%1.423+3.12%0.0361✗1.282.4M2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120273-0.35%0.1207+0.00%0.0051✗1.06352k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06690.066664-0.35%0.0674+0.75%0.0124✗0.96229k2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3278.2976-0.35%8.365+0.46%0.0101✗1.408.2M2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7620.759323-0.35%0.772+1.31%0.0180✗0.98360k2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5346-0.35%1.56+1.30%0.0167✗0.22268k2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.9481.9412-0.35%2.022+3.80%0.0426✗1.27637k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.6811.6753-0.34%1.718+2.20%0.0272✗1.45327k2022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.426660.425223-0.34%0.4128-3.25%0.0276✓1.39592k2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0570680.056878-0.33%0.057234+0.29%0.0071✗0.6022k2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.12190.121495-0.33%0.1494+22.56%0.2083✗1.10685k2022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0618.0004-0.33%17.88-1.00%0.0048✓1.351.3M2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase1.01361.0103-0.33%1.0185+0.48%0.0094✗0.9658k2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031290.003119-0.33%0.003256+4.06%0.0445✗1.01999k2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03860.038476-0.32%0.0413+6.99%0.0726✗1.2268k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7730.770561-0.32%0.793+2.59%0.0305✗1.23212k2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35710.3244-0.32%10.399+0.41%0.0092✗1.3714.4M2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.667.6359-0.31%7.574-1.12%0.0063✓1.2616.2M2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08840.088126-0.31%0.0858-2.94%0.0251✓1.18146k2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14370.143265-0.30%0.1541+7.24%0.0743✗0.993.5M2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.54221.5376-0.30%1.5747+2.11%0.0260✗1.45589k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.38580.38465-0.30%–pending––0.941922022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30590.305009-0.29%0.3238+5.85%0.0614✗1.1375k2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159540.015908-0.29%0.015017-5.87%0.0563✓0.881.2M2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5972.5895-0.29%2.565-1.23%0.0070✓1.7592k2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash64.3964.2064-0.29%62.87-2.36%0.0192✓1.251.5M2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration63.863.6196-0.28%64.23+0.67%0.0113✗1.18303k2022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.51650.51504-0.28%0.5128-0.72%0.0026✓1.2541.9M2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.26330.262566-0.28%0.277+5.20%0.0551✗1.0865k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260485-0.27%0.2618+0.23%0.0051✗0.0128k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.80.797894-0.26%0.731-8.63%0.0854✓1.4980k2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13560.135248-0.26%0.1438+6.05%0.0632✗1.2855k2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.40e-7-0.26%3.29e-7-3.53%0.0320✓0.95178k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41870.417632-0.26%0.4239+1.24%0.0168✗1.33112k2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400650.399651-0.25%0.41938+4.67%0.0499✗1.21113k2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.25%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0064✓1.0024k2022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.213472-0.25%0.221+3.27%0.0368✗1.51803k2022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.872.8635-0.23%2.96+3.14%0.0348✗1.11619k2022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021210.021162-0.23%0.02156+1.65%0.0201✗1.03159k2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.15080.15046-0.23%0.1647+9.22%0.0922✗1.2490k2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31750.316784-0.23%0.336+5.83%0.0606✗1.193.0M2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.9241.9197-0.22%2.025+5.25%0.0552✗1.27415k2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase14.833514.8016-0.22%15.1343+2.03%0.0239✗1.1870k2022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3081.3052-0.21%1.323+1.15%0.0153✗1.241.2M2022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.17961.0499-0.21%60.676-0.82%0.0049✓0.85369k2022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006770.006756-0.21%0.00665-1.77%0.0150✓0.5439k2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.19622.1916-0.21%2.2681+3.28%0.0361✗1.2326k2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.441.437-0.20%1.42-1.39%0.0099✓1.441.1M2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC9.80e-79.78e-7-0.20%9.70e-7-1.02%0.0071✓0.836.1M2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1176240.117398-0.19%0.118304+0.58%0.0091✗0.996.8M2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.333-0.19%30.75+1.18%0.0150✗0.9510.2M2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000043840.000043761-0.18%0.00004514+2.97%0.0327✗1.161.9M2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001085-0.18%0.001096+0.85%0.0120✗1.281.5M2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068140.06802-0.18%0.068721+0.85%0.0119✗1.151.7M2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6338.6179-0.17%8.18-5.25%0.0504✓1.249.4M2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,679.311,676.53-0.17%1,630.82-2.89%0.0258✓1.26387.0M2022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011720.000011701-0.16%0.00001197+2.13%0.0245✗1.23951k2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.7523.7123-0.16%23.59-0.67%0.0029✓1.5927.5M2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018410.018381-0.16%0.0179-2.77%0.0254✓0.76248k2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana42.3842.3145-0.15%41.67-1.68%0.0134✓1.3681.1M2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07160.071492-0.15%0.0641-10.47%0.1080✓0.82148k2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.43890.438261-0.15%0.4613+5.10%0.0530✗1.24643k2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009087-0.14%0.00842-7.47%0.0749✓0.921.6M2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative10.0510.0379-0.12%9.963-0.87%0.0059✓1.082.4M2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06780.06772-0.12%0.0705+3.98%0.0418✗1.07432k2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24990.249614-0.11%0.2631+5.28%0.0544✗1.2399k2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.17851.1772-0.11%1.246+5.72%0.0583✗1.0643k2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero155.01154.8368-0.11%160.69+3.66%0.0387✗1.101.3M2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.710.709233-0.11%0.727+2.39%0.0265✗1.22776k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003710.003706-0.11%0.00375+1.08%0.0137✗1.31570k2022-08-01
DASHDashDash51.1751.1185-0.10%49.75-2.78%0.0255✓1.11574k2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.74081.7391-0.10%1.8199+4.54%0.0472✗1.26492k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0689340.068879-0.08%0.069972+1.51%0.0169✗0.77373k2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23390.23374-0.07%0.2307-1.37%0.0110✓1.4897k2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3662.3645-0.06%2.435+2.92%0.0307✗0.92105k2022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.335897-0.06%0.3424+1.87%0.0208✗1.137.7M2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum97.6397.572-0.06%96.58-1.08%0.0078✓1.6610.2M2022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.37139.2954-0.05%137.87-1.08%0.0086✓1.194.2M2022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56270.562405-0.05%0.5574-0.94%0.0073✓1.14350k2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109553-0.04%0.1162+6.02%0.0608✗1.30472k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.7659.7355-0.04%59.47-0.49%0.0028✓1.1613.5M2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,400.0023,393.21-0.03%23,172.70-0.97%0.0081✓0.9814k2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01035.0111+0.02%5.19+3.59%0.0354✓0.21210k2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,307.4423,312.25+0.02%23,273.86-0.14%0.0002✓1.00414.2M2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.760.76022+0.03%0.78+2.63%0.0266✓0.6079k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.312690.312799+0.03%0.30912-1.14%0.0101✗1.17398k2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062936+0.06%0.0602-4.29%0.0424✗1.40339k2022-08-01
GTGateEthereum4.45154.4568+0.12%4.4164-0.79%0.0081✗0.73920k2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.