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2022-07-30 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1920
184 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.4%
in alpha space · 62.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.5355-15.12%1.174-35.10%0.0341✓1.971.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2010,521.35-10.63%9,081.72-22.85%0.0656✓1.394.0M2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0328.6628-10.51%35+9.27%0.4114✗1.38563k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11120.994866-10.47%–pending––1.0313k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1915.8215-7.96%17.22+0.17%0.2193✗0.882.2M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.774091-7.85%0.525-37.50%0.1598✓1.493,1392022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4836.4135-7.77%33.55-15.02%0.1340✗1.412.8M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.04950.969138-7.66%0.87542-16.59%0.0670✓1.109,9742022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.177998-7.46%0.15839-17.65%0.2390✗2.321,1512022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.020622-7.10%0.020994-5.42%0.1680✗0.989,2332022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000091469-6.78%0.0001317+34.22%0.6619✗1.94635k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum106.3599.1421-6.78%101.16-4.88%0.1754✗1.014.2M2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.044088-6.69%0.04816+1.93%0.2265✗0.9015k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.1736-6.63%1.615-30.63%0.0799✓1.42169k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.158267-6.02%0.1447-14.07%0.1015✗1.25446k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.916807-5.90%0.7824-19.70%0.0924✗1.64202k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.918437-5.90%0.6813-30.19%0.0277✓1.77513k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.476123-5.72%0.441-12.67%0.0998✗1.1513k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.031327-5.61%0.02267-31.70%0.0893✓1.5311.5M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.4448-5.54%3.47-4.85%0.2721✗1.734.3M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.049120.046404-5.53%0.044565-9.27%0.1421✗1.1935k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.6261-5.38%7.74-3.97%0.2235✗1.36256k2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.080391-5.36%0.06651-21.70%0.0402✓1.50768k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.2818-5.32%2.13-11.62%0.0966✗1.08207k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08972.928-5.23%5.7778+87.00%0.8165✗0.891.1M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.3082-5.04%5.31-5.01%0.0948✗0.62956k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.291-4.98%1.0799-20.51%0.0516✗1.506.4M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.0639-4.80%6.102+14.72%0.2702✗0.552.0M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.282905-4.71%0.2566-13.57%0.0763✗1.13309k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002232-4.70%0.001636-30.15%0.1573✓1.001.8M2022-08-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.415184-4.60%–pending––0.902142022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.6183-4.55%3.276-13.58%0.0370✓0.89754k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.6879-4.55%2.1453-23.82%0.0153✓1.5711k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.395-4.51%4.983-25.59%0.0164✓1.7311.0M2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.21911-4.44%0.164-28.48%0.0801✓1.371,5612022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.391-4.43%6.339-27.80%0.0662✓1.407.7M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.845519-4.35%0.684-22.62%0.0521✗1.725.2M2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.009825-4.33%0.00853-16.94%0.0518✗1.26355k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.3341-4.32%4.53+0.00%0.1534✗0.71912k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.413352-4.29%0.33586-22.23%0.0060✓1.39583k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.078229-4.19%0.07284-10.79%0.1350✗1.3528k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.163872-4.17%0.1311-23.33%0.0306✓1.263.1M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0575-4.15%2.24-29.78%0.2346✓0.5077k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.158.783-4.01%8.46-7.54%0.0432✗0.531.2M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.443536-3.88%0.3855-16.45%0.0200✓0.7857k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.1934-3.84%12.6-14.63%0.0994✗1.421.7M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4528-3.79%1.44-4.64%0.0248✓0.22268k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52750.507742-3.75%0.5461+3.53%0.2505✗1.161.4M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.408-3.72%13.83-27.67%0.0797✓1.341.3M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.7402-3.66%6.015-25.13%0.0873✓1.082.3M2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2787.981-3.59%6.682-19.28%0.0142✓1.255.9M2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.7315-3.53%6.0774+114.64%0.9184✗0.77978k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum34.4933.2741-3.53%32.49-5.80%0.2758✗1.95213k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.30665-3.49%0.30106-5.25%0.1829✗1.3111k2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.623-3.36%4.266+13.79%0.2544✗0.591.5M2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.21142-3.28%0.1725-21.09%0.0101✓1.391,0652022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.443783-3.25%0.3499-23.72%0.0120✓1.47242k2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.552435-3.25%0.3367-41.03%0.2796✓1.40234k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.086408-3.24%0.0637-28.67%0.1246✓1.18155k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020223-3.13%0.023085+10.58%0.2116✗0.52167k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.051828-3.13%0.0441-17.57%0.0315✓1.26263k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.921124-3.09%0.9656+1.59%0.1842✗0.893.6M2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.3799-3.08%11.438+6.80%0.3074✗1.3715.0M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.1153-2.94%12.777+201.34%1.2230✗0.591.3M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.037392-2.88%0.0365-5.19%0.1626✗1.2268k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2356.558-2.87%48.57-16.59%0.0611✗1.3932k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.951879-2.87%1.2628+28.86%0.4618✗1.171.2M2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.070009-2.77%0.0606-15.83%0.0022✓0.96183k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.2021-2.76%3.1823-26.36%0.1107✓1.0933k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.744888-2.76%0.672-12.27%0.0483✗0.99360k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.155-2.70%0.8693-26.76%0.0687✓1.401.4M2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003087-2.67%0.003238+2.08%0.2029✗1.01999k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.075789-2.65%0.06742-13.40%0.0041✓0.741,1722022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.041889-2.63%0.03792-11.85%0.0482✗0.961,9372022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.249846-2.59%0.2484-3.16%0.1594✗1.0863k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.901-2.56%6.29+25.05%0.3434✗0.61605k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.6326-2.55%19.33-20.29%0.0438✗1.6027.5M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7498-2.52%1.263-29.64%0.1043✓1.45316k2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254721-2.48%0.2615+0.11%0.0280✗0.0129k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0335-2.41%0.946-10.67%0.0182✓0.691.3M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.51e-7-2.41%8.65e-7+140.30%1.0468✗0.95188k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.660285-2.39%0.55401-18.10%0.0565✗1.5181k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.245419-2.30%0.2257-10.15%0.0901✗1.13681k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.21104-2.30%0.174-19.44%0.0389✗1.51786k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9246-2.10%1.495-23.96%0.0340✓1.42234k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.129145-2.09%0.1063-19.41%0.0161✓1.372.5M2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.397112-2.08%0.3476-14.29%0.0522✗1.21118k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.124467-2.07%0.101-20.54%0.0570✓0.995,2722022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8009-2.06%2.15-24.83%0.0307✓1.52192k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.6619-2.06%6.7-14.36%0.0594✗1.2616.2M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3112-2.00%0.987-26.23%0.0938✓1.241.2M2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011698-1.95%0.00001248+4.61%0.2534✗1.23951k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana43.8442.989-1.94%32.41-26.07%0.0744✓1.3681.8M2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.615-1.91%0.527-15.95%0.0602✗1.4086k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.7856-1.89%1.768-2.86%0.0876✗0.64219k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.352-1.89%1.189-13.72%0.0673✗1.282.4M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4631-1.81%1.1021-26.03%0.0630✓1.441.1M2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6175-1.80%4.177+13.38%0.2547✗0.721.1M2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001078-1.78%0.001401+27.70%0.4593✗1.281.5M2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6861.5928-1.73%54.194-13.54%0.0016✓0.84386k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.8992-1.65%1.729-10.46%0.1009✗1.27637k2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.056886-1.64%0.044446-23.15%0.1548✓0.6022k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.5854-1.58%1.955-25.58%0.0101✓1.7692k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,671.24-1.58%1,551.65-8.62%0.1186✗1.26387.0M2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.9231.893-1.56%1.919-0.21%0.2089✗1.27413k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.129352-1.56%0.123-6.39%0.1466✗1.2850k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.089196-1.53%0.08429-6.94%0.0145✓0.27985k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.423-1.53%10.28-11.38%0.0805✗1.21241k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.518798-1.50%0.4505-14.47%0.0503✗1.2543.2M2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.1581-1.49%50.12-20.57%0.0334✓1.19257k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.499771-1.43%0.4238-16.41%0.0072✓1.1245k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7643-1.42%2.089-25.50%0.0617✓1.4243k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.4988-1.37%12.6602-13.88%0.0451✗1.1870k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.163864-1.37%0.13956-16.00%0.0767✗1.55207k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.116309-1.35%0.1045-11.37%0.0561✗1.06337k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.125019-1.33%0.2159+70.40%0.7146✗1.10617k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.057825-1.32%0.0491-16.21%0.0362✗1.30787k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018429-1.29%0.0151-19.12%0.0828✓0.76254k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.7203-1.25%27.34-12.12%0.0295✗0.9510.8M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.6842-1.12%5.12-24.26%0.0527✓1.391.0M2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.784583-1.06%0.698-11.98%0.0721✗1.23210k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.144411-0.88%0.1306-10.36%0.0504✗0.983.5M2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.52e-7-0.88%8.80e-7-8.33%0.0752✗1.0024k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6257-0.87%1.33-18.90%0.0095✗1.37114k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,403.80-0.83%20,303.80-17.49%0.0337✓0.9817k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029535-0.82%0.03677+23.47%0.4093✗1.2414k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0006-0.82%0.79536-21.16%0.0272✓1.32431k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004335-0.81%0.00407-6.86%0.1389✗1.32103k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5739-0.80%1.7099+7.77%0.3044✗1.44609k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5967-0.77%6.38+13.12%0.2326✗0.66554k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.118766-0.75%0.105918-11.49%0.0378✗0.996.8M2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000043873-0.69%0.00004993+13.01%0.3068✗1.161.9M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9399-0.68%2.856-3.51%0.1418✗1.11619k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.241891-0.66%0.2102-13.68%0.0483✗1.23101k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.077489-0.65%0.1032+32.31%0.4131✗0.82148k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.58771-0.62%0.523-11.57%0.0609✗1.16624k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.320181-0.41%0.36085+12.24%0.2987✗1.17400k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.287273-0.29%0.3223+11.87%0.2894✗1.1475k2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006954-0.25%0.006696-3.96%0.0447✗0.5439k2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero155.85155.5422-0.20%152.71-2.01%0.1508✗1.101.3M2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.316184-0.10%0.291-8.06%0.0989✗1.192.9M2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021484-0.07%0.02336+8.65%0.2422✗1.03149k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029741-0.03%0.02554-14.15%0.0488✗1.311,3342022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.348935+0.05%0.305285-12.47%0.0670✓1.311.0M2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.7302+0.06%16.44-7.22%0.1351✓1.37108k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.33833+0.10%0.2981-11.80%0.0468✓1.137.7M2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015635+0.14%0.013701-12.25%0.0037✓0.881.2M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009624+0.14%0.00891-7.28%0.0713✓0.974.7M2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.069685+0.16%0.063828-8.26%0.0880✓1.151.7M2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.7186+0.18%3.8811+43.02%0.5060✓0.981.0M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.432221+0.24%0.3664-15.03%0.0384✓1.33104k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8223+0.28%1.5357-15.49%0.0216✓1.26492k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.2116+0.28%9.1-10.64%0.0510✓1.082.6M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash50.7150.8761+0.33%47.46-6.41%0.1003✓1.11574k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2695.6104+0.37%85.76-9.97%0.1464✓1.6610.0M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.44e-7+0.40%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0690✓0.836.0M2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.31033+0.43%0.283-8.41%0.0673✓1.04766k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2671+0.56%1.8412-18.34%0.0189✗1.2324k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009061+0.57%0.00649-27.97%0.1932✗0.921.6M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064468+0.57%0.0576-10.14%0.1018✓1.40339k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.110621+0.75%0.0924-15.85%0.0191✓1.30491k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0897+0.75%5.2836+4.59%0.0698✓0.21210k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.237566+0.83%0.2219-5.81%0.1594✓1.4892k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.069618+0.85%0.063437-8.11%0.0251✓0.77376k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1521+0.89%1.0621-6.99%0.0819✓1.0643k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.731074+0.98%0.989+36.60%0.4890✓1.22776k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4917+1.00%4.203+70.37%0.6638✓0.92105k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.149519+1.16%0.148+0.14%0.1803✓1.2488k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003630.003672+1.17%0.00301-17.08%0.0014✓1.31566k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,930.87+1.19%20,286.97-14.22%0.0118✓1.00427.9M2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.3146+1.25%7.276-11.40%0.0573✓1.249.4M2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.045881+1.51%0.0373-17.48%0.0016✓1.347,5232022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.068169+1.59%0.0617-8.05%0.0652✓1.08351k2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0314+1.66%0.918733-9.44%0.0316✓0.9658k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4761.4912+1.69%55.79-7.74%0.0800✓1.1613.5M2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.43030.438008+1.79%0.3701-13.99%0.0226✓1.25613k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.056722+1.84%0.0525-5.75%0.1423✓1.43140k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.1366.3268+1.84%63.75-2.12%0.1527✓1.251.5M2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.816906+1.86%0.553-31.05%0.1613✗1.4980k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47148.7378+2.25%119.61-17.78%0.0354✗1.193.9M2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.750.76946+2.59%0.74-1.33%0.0539✓0.6179k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001692+2.92%0.001529-7.00%0.0559✓1.0216k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.44444.5943+3.37%4.397-1.07%0.0677✓0.73947k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.090462+3.50%0.0843-3.55%0.1156✓1.216,3652022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006391+3.94%0.005874-4.47%0.0534✓0.909,1592022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.597695+4.86%0.4607-19.18%0.0857✗1.14350k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.