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2022-07-29 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2391
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 65.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.5153-17.78%1.054-42.81%0.0232✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11260.988018-11.20%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,853.72-9.35%8,473.37-22.05%0.1205✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5336.8324-9.12%30.93-23.69%0.1018✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.2789-8.82%7.2-20.70%0.1270✗1.36256k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4421.464-8.43%37.2+58.70%0.8207✗1.38534k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.0064-8.06%16.67-4.25%0.2122✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.766991-7.92%0.489-41.30%0.1597✓1.482,9182022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.169254-7.76%0.15977-12.93%0.3967✗2.321,1272022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04530.966465-7.54%0.84626-19.04%0.0829✗1.109,6842022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010536-7.09%0.00825-27.25%0.0024✓1.26355k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.1537-7.05%5.5537+63.68%0.7396✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.04398-6.84%0.04418-6.42%0.1811✗0.9015k2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000092307-6.76%0.0001251+26.36%0.6888✗1.96646k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.020433-6.66%0.020386-6.87%0.1896✗0.989,0542022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2999.2693-6.61%92.31-13.15%0.1261✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.2316-6.47%1.511-36.67%0.1125✓1.42169k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.4542-6.33%2.08-20.61%0.0451✓1.07175k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.154292-6.09%0.1337-18.62%0.1024✗1.25411k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.909466-6.03%0.7842-18.97%0.1713✗1.63205k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.497146-6.02%0.412-22.12%0.0366✓1.1513k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.8-5.94%2.966-26.58%0.0921✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.924718-5.83%0.6463-34.19%0.0140✓1.76516k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.046988-5.50%0.042995-13.53%0.1437✗1.1935k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3544-5.25%0.9934-30.51%0.0163✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02552.8759-4.94%2.0034-33.78%0.0535✓1.5711k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.305103-4.89%0.2638-17.77%0.0754✗1.13309k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.1823-4.85%8.09-16.17%0.0241✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028513-4.83%0.02162-27.84%0.0231✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.4664-4.77%4.34-7.46%0.1110✗0.71759k2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.6528-4.76%5.739-36.83%0.1367✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.845855-4.75%0.645-27.36%0.0668✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.2778-4.74%4.82-36.91%0.1388✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.2808-4.68%5.16-6.86%0.0977✗0.62786k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.075925-4.64%0.06229-21.77%0.0966✗1.50768k2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.084108-4.46%0.06897-21.65%0.0631✗1.3428k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.6817-4.40%3.876+0.65%0.2239✗0.88754k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.4593-4.31%2.9825-36.00%0.1879✓1.0932k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8259-4.26%5.4352+84.14%0.8055✗0.77941k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.46492-4.26%0.36304-25.24%0.0953✓0.7855k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.3887-4.22%4.649-30.30%0.0127✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.411848-4.17%0.31363-27.03%0.0006✓1.39592k2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.165603-4.16%0.1182-31.60%0.0899✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.38345-4.14%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.0336-4.00%2.33-26.27%0.1661✓0.5082k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5108-3.77%1.39-11.46%0.0354✓0.24268k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7205-3.64%4.096+6.09%0.2127✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.45533-3.63%0.3261-30.98%0.0454✓1.47220k2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.3569-3.63%5.809+28.49%0.3942✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7235.3932-3.61%29.26-20.32%0.1884✗1.93194k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.6079-3.57%13.16-27.93%0.0258✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.517964-3.56%0.5282-1.66%0.2464✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.1193-3.49%11.33-22.56%0.0635✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.308925-3.46%0.29294-8.46%0.2039✗1.3111k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.7863-3.40%6.275-22.15%0.0298✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.215451-3.39%0.1592-28.61%0.0299✓1.391,0652022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.052956-3.36%0.0419-23.54%0.0079✓1.24263k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.951069-3.35%1.201+22.05%0.4628✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.8032-3.29%10.559-5.48%0.2449✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.085808-3.26%0.0619-30.21%0.0930✓1.19155k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.1235-3.17%9.51-24.04%0.0047✓1.22241k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6956.8428-3.15%43.85-25.29%0.0121✓1.3928k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9894-3.10%1.36-33.76%0.1002✓1.43220k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.19709-3.05%0.1381-32.07%0.0877✓1.371,5612022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.8809-3.00%1.95-34.34%0.0915✓1.53192k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037656-2.95%0.0345-11.08%0.1513✗1.2268k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.314-2.81%12.382+178.94%1.1690✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.741556-2.81%0.631-17.30%0.0319✗0.99360k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.943826-2.76%0.9334-3.83%0.1646✗0.903.9M2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.0141-2.64%5.87+13.98%0.2773✗0.61587k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.209344-2.63%0.164-23.72%0.0515✗1.51786k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003077-2.62%0.002987-5.47%0.1670✗1.00999k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.507925-2.57%0.32-38.62%0.2662✓1.00234k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018601-2.56%0.022963+20.29%0.3071✗0.49165k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.8883-2.54%18.53-24.40%0.0584✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.127798-2.44%0.0996-23.97%0.0552✓0.995,4502022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.588655-2.38%0.488-19.07%0.0866✗1.4084k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.398737-2.37%0.32806-19.68%0.0426✗1.21118k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.065803-2.37%0.0554-17.80%0.0157✓0.96183k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.075823-2.37%0.06712-13.57%0.0223✓0.741,2712022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.168947-2.34%0.13172-23.86%0.0529✗1.54207k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.653159-2.31%0.52437-21.57%0.0775✗1.5279k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.2995-2.15%0.9332-29.73%0.0881✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.256011-2.10%0.261-0.19%0.0215✗0.0130k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.7229-2.08%6.251-20.74%0.0356✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.242684-1.99%0.2183-11.83%0.1174✗1.14643k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86964.5718-1.97%51.793-21.37%0.0546✓0.85398k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.042392-1.94%0.03732-13.67%0.0601✗0.962,4262022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.246753-1.93%0.2362-6.12%0.1674✗1.0863k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.609139-1.89%0.4996-19.54%0.0297✗1.16624k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011523-1.85%0.00001177+0.26%0.2635✗1.24951k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3245-1.82%1.129-16.31%0.0884✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.473-1.80%1.0043-33.05%0.1015✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.126952-1.74%0.2102+62.69%0.7203✗1.10617k2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.51e-7-1.72%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9798✗0.94193k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7385-1.70%3.998+5.13%0.2050✗0.70670k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8399-1.66%1.6-14.48%0.1092✗1.27626k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.8518-1.65%6.04+1.51%0.1617✗0.66554k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8011-1.65%1.944-31.74%0.0864✓1.4243k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0436-1.64%0.7744-27.01%0.0207✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.125228-1.63%0.0992-22.07%0.0361✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6469-1.62%1.192-28.79%0.0396✓1.45316k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8311-1.61%1.733-6.88%0.0683✗0.63223k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033515-1.57%0.0242-28.93%0.0691✓1.311,3182022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.2913-1.55%30.45-27.40%0.0379✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.49055-1.54%0.3673-26.27%0.0697✓1.1242k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.6179-1.52%25.35-18.46%0.0020✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,696.73-1.48%1,426.63-17.16%0.0731✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8762.9428-1.45%45.4-28.92%0.0949✓1.18257k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8409-1.35%1.692-9.32%0.1652✗1.27382k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.515268-1.33%0.4291-17.83%0.0619✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001069-1.32%0.001346+24.25%0.4824✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6762-1.32%1.828-32.60%0.0373✓1.7692k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6389-1.27%1.23-25.90%0.0172✓1.38114k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.055419-1.26%0.044396-20.90%0.1032✓0.6120k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.092363-1.22%0.08638-7.61%0.0152✓0.26910k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5955-1.19%1.6656+3.16%0.3224✗1.43609k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.115831-1.17%0.1013-13.57%0.0746✗1.07352k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.128324-1.14%0.1184-8.78%0.1710✗1.2849k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.01874-1.06%0.01478-21.96%0.0897✓0.75258k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.0817-0.83%12.062-15.06%0.0764✗1.1870k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055345-0.82%0.0455-18.46%0.0590✗1.30787k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.963325-0.81%0.74832-22.94%0.0071✓1.33431k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.116876-0.73%0.102736-12.74%0.0660✗1.006.8M2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9467-0.72%2.607-12.16%0.0952✗1.11619k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.00436-0.69%0.00393-10.48%0.1540✗1.32103k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.54e-7-0.63%8.60e-7-10.42%0.0922✗1.0025k2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.755539-0.59%0.645-15.13%0.0843✗1.24205k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000044733-0.57%0.00004676+3.93%0.2728✗1.171.8M2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.242934-0.56%0.2024-17.15%0.0582✗1.23101k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.134472-0.54%0.1202-11.09%0.0825✗0.993.5M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8174-0.52%3.6555+29.07%0.4519✗0.98917k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.079138-0.46%0.0981+23.40%0.3768✗0.83148k2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.02975-0.34%0.03552+18.99%0.4213✗1.2514k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25159.7199-0.33%146.4-8.64%0.1277✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.00697-0.31%0.006708-4.05%0.0661✗0.5339k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068774-0.25%0.06175-10.44%0.1172✗1.151.7M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.0998-0.17%14.8-18.37%0.0686✗1.38108k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.884269+0.03%0.84-4.98%0.0868✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009413+0.03%0.00848-9.88%0.0858✓0.974.7M2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.292274+0.06%0.3044+4.21%0.2628✓1.1375k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1783+0.10%5.175+0.04%0.0400✓0.21210k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.309317+0.10%0.2731-11.62%0.1078✓1.192.8M2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.337497+0.21%0.2823-16.18%0.0439✓1.147.7M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.315882+0.24%0.36389+15.47%0.3701✓1.17407k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2874+0.27%1.7152-24.81%0.0452✗1.2424k2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,903.21+0.32%19,646.40-17.55%0.0045✗0.9819k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021846+0.35%0.02214+1.70%0.2158✓1.03149k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.695.9428+0.36%78.57-17.81%0.1256✓1.6610.0M2022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6150.7933+0.36%44.14-12.78%0.0777✓1.11594k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.53e-7+0.36%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0488✓0.845.9M2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.2441+0.46%8.816-13.54%0.0625✓1.092.6M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.424595+0.47%0.34-19.55%0.0398✓1.34104k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.332788+0.49%0.291277-12.05%0.1204✓1.291.0M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015133+0.52%0.013002-13.64%0.0214✓0.881.2M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008971+0.57%0.00642-28.03%0.1558✗0.911.6M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.305311+0.76%0.275-9.24%0.0991✓1.04766k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9666.0134+0.79%5.639-5.48%0.1478✓1.082.1M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.069892+0.86%0.061392-11.41%0.0244✓0.79376k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.239241+0.86%0.2134-10.03%0.1754✓1.4892k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.109169+0.99%0.0854-21.00%0.0104✓1.31491k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5638+1.05%4.106+61.84%0.6516✓0.92105k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1399+1.07%1.0384-7.92%0.1153✓1.0643k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003699+1.08%0.00289-21.04%0.0094✓1.31539k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7281+1.10%1.426-16.57%0.0536✓1.25492k2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.04633+1.16%0.0357-22.05%0.0016✓1.347,1312022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.063354+1.21%0.0582-7.03%0.1898✓1.40339k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.070149+1.37%0.0604-12.72%0.0595✓1.07308k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.72531+1.44%0.916+28.11%0.4703✓1.21806k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.3045+1.45%6.861-16.19%0.0535✓1.259.4M2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5024,132.60+1.46%19,554.03-17.79%0.0145✗1.00439.9M2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.151598+1.47%0.1396-6.56%0.1610✓1.2488k2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929391.0076+1.48%0.862501-13.14%0.0340✓0.9758k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7161.7162+1.66%53.38-12.07%0.0816✓1.1613.5M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84154.7107+1.89%112.59-25.85%0.0849✗1.193.9M2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.564.7325+1.94%61.17-3.67%0.1909✓1.261.5M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.056025+2.05%0.0493-10.20%0.1545✓1.44119k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.787873+2.19%0.525-31.91%0.1125✗1.5080k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.439849+2.20%0.3529-18.01%0.0243✓1.25606k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001546+2.56%0.001503-0.27%0.1695✓1.0116k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.812051+2.79%0.73-7.59%0.0121✓0.6179k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.5509+3.61%4.3228-1.58%0.0903✓0.72986k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.090597+4.13%0.0792-8.97%0.1032✓1.216,3652022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006499+4.67%0.005519-11.11%0.0103✓0.897,2112022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.593694+5.06%0.4349-23.04%0.0884✗1.14350k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.