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2022-07-28 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1516
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.5%
in alpha space · 46.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8339.0057-4.47%40.53-0.73%0.0423✓1.421.3M2022-07-29
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3876-4.17%1.843+27.28%0.2893✗1.971.1M2022-07-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.011049-3.59%0.01134-1.05%0.0296✓1.27352k2022-07-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.9848-2.86%9.08+10.46%0.1324✗1.36256k2022-07-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.7111-2.49%12.52+4.25%0.0702✗1.22241k2022-07-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7232-2.40%2.62-6.09%0.0356✓1.08175k2022-07-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.070517-2.21%0.07962+10.41%0.1257✗1.52768k2022-07-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.8606-1.77%9.65+6.98%0.0869✗0.53918k2022-07-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.4107-1.64%4.66+3.91%0.0581✗1.1028k2022-07-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.099-1.64%1.1126-0.42%0.0152✓1.0312k2022-07-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1871-1.57%5.54+5.12%0.0676✗0.62786k2022-07-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.215789-1.56%0.223+1.73%0.0368✗1.391,1792022-07-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.082759-1.55%0.08803+4.72%0.0655✗1.3428k2022-07-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.609,000.90-1.53%10,870.27+18.92%0.1926✗1.384.0M2022-07-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.832301-1.50%0.888+5.09%0.0697✗1.745.2M2022-07-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7448-1.37%2.848+2.34%0.0410✗1.4443k2022-07-29
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.1607-1.23%9.085-2.05%0.0043✓1.416.7M2022-07-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.0842-1.23%4.04-2.30%0.0059✓1.753.8M2022-07-29
METISMetisEthereum36.335.8605-1.21%36.72+1.16%0.0291✗1.94181k2022-07-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.284-1.12%2.2813-1.24%0.0023✓1.2524k2022-07-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8395-1.06%2.97+3.48%0.0493✗1.54192k2022-07-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8143-1.03%3.0255+6.40%0.0769✗1.5810k2022-07-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030266-0.99%0.03405+11.38%0.1215✗1.311,3002022-07-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.9547-0.96%14.63-3.11%0.0180✓1.421.5M2022-07-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5304-0.93%1.4295-7.46%0.0640✓1.515.6M2022-07-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.967956-0.86%0.9678-0.88%0.0045✓1.64209k2022-07-29
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7412-0.84%1.674-4.67%0.0352✓1.46316k2022-07-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021693-0.84%0.02189+0.06%0.0118✗0.988,3682022-07-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.069552-0.78%0.0692-1.28%0.0021✓1.07299k2022-07-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.3052-0.72%17.41-0.11%0.0085✗0.882.4M2022-07-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.42795-0.71%0.4226-1.95%0.0088✓1.35104k2022-07-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.49647-0.71%0.529+5.80%0.0667✗1.1413k2022-07-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000099584-0.67%0.000099-1.26%0.0004✓1.95662k2022-07-29
GMTGMTEthereum1.0121.0053-0.66%0.982-2.96%0.0185✓1.77551k2022-07-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5596-0.66%1.5-4.46%0.0349✓1.451.0M2022-07-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.767906-0.66%0.763-1.29%0.0036✓1.00360k2022-07-29
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.048964-0.66%0.049723+0.88%0.0187✗1.1832k2022-07-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.840432-0.66%0.833-1.54%0.0046✓1.503,1392022-07-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69154.6678-0.66%151.84-2.47%0.0151✓1.193.9M2022-07-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.182379-0.64%0.1835-0.03%0.0127✗2.321,1272022-07-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3916-0.64%2.386-0.87%0.0017✓1.43160k2022-07-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8412-0.64%2.053+10.79%0.1130✗1.44217k2022-07-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3259-0.64%5.95+11.01%0.1127✗0.67514k2022-07-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2729-0.63%4.69+9.07%0.0952✗0.72685k2022-07-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006141-0.63%0.006209+0.48%0.0136✗0.894,8812022-07-29
HIVEHivenative0.55270.549264-0.62%0.5371-2.82%0.0191✓1.161.5M2022-07-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.4452-0.62%23.44+26.29%0.2436✗1.39534k2022-07-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0376-0.61%1.0453+0.12%0.0105✗1.119,1202022-07-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8405-0.61%2.712-5.11%0.0413✓1.7692k2022-07-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.315596-0.60%0.32001+0.79%0.0176✗1.3111k2022-07-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.462687-0.58%0.4725+1.53%0.0252✗1.48220k2022-07-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.163554-0.58%0.1643-0.12%0.0081✗1.26411k2022-07-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.197466-0.57%0.2033+2.37%0.0330✗1.371,5612022-07-29
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.8846-0.57%6.67-3.67%0.0269✓1.6811.5M2022-07-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027147-0.56%0.02996+9.74%0.1030✗1.5411.5M2022-07-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.7032-0.56%3.851+3.41%0.0416✗0.88754k2022-07-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052108-0.56%0.0548+4.58%0.0538✗1.20263k2022-07-29
QNTQuantEthereum103.78103.2281-0.53%106.29+2.42%0.0321✗1.014.1M2022-07-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047192-0.52%0.04721-0.48%0.0029✓0.9115k2022-07-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0946-0.52%4.521+9.84%0.1006✗0.552.0M2022-07-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5719-0.52%1.57-0.63%0.0004✓0.26283k2022-07-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.608864-0.51%0.603-1.47%0.0057✓1.4184k2022-07-29
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.162963-0.51%0.1728+5.49%0.0622✗1.282.8M2022-07-29
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.6811-0.50%58.69+1.24%0.0213✗1.3932k2022-07-29
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.444211-0.49%0.48559+8.78%0.0913✗0.7853k2022-07-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.991648-0.49%0.992939-0.36%0.0041✓0.9857k2022-07-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.293669-0.48%0.3208+8.71%0.0916✗1.13323k2022-07-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7469-0.48%5.15+7.97%0.0833✗0.62587k2022-07-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020837-0.48%0.01909-8.83%0.0862✓0.51165k2022-07-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.87978-0.48%0.884+0.00%0.0068✗0.711.2M2022-07-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.042984-0.48%0.04323+0.09%0.0084✗0.971,9372022-07-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038518-0.47%0.0388+0.26%0.0108✗1.2368k2022-07-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.159265-0.47%0.173+8.12%0.0871✗1.55205k2022-07-29
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.3742-0.46%18.13-1.79%0.0095✓1.38100k2022-07-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2549-0.46%3.16-3.36%0.0282✓0.5082k2022-07-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.8098-0.44%11.171+2.88%0.0367✗1.3714.4M2022-07-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.973811-0.43%0.9706-0.76%0.0007✓0.913.9M2022-07-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4192-0.43%2.9516+21.49%0.2011✗0.78884k2022-07-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.937592-0.43%0.984+4.50%0.0516✗1.181.2M2022-07-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3106-0.41%3.393+46.24%0.3868✗0.90979k2022-07-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3432-0.41%3.861+15.01%0.1457✗0.601.5M2022-07-29
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5771-0.41%7.64+36.43%0.3187✗1.41959k2022-07-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4839-0.40%3.803+8.72%0.0896✗0.71497k2022-07-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1817.1109-0.40%18.26+6.29%0.0689✗1.371.3M2022-07-29
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.433455-0.40%0.4-8.09%0.0778✓0.912142022-07-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.065243-0.39%0.0674+2.90%0.0352✗0.96183k2022-07-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114359-0.38%0.1273+10.89%0.1111✗1.382.5M2022-07-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.976649-0.38%0.97115-0.94%0.0019✓1.34399k2022-07-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.624-0.38%2.537-3.68%0.0311✓0.93105k2022-07-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.12114-0.38%0.131+7.73%0.0811✗1.005,8712022-07-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.423864-0.38%0.42978+1.01%0.0178✗1.41592k2022-07-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4943-0.38%1.6146+7.64%0.0814✗1.43561k2022-07-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,718.76-0.37%1,722.25-0.17%0.0056✗1.26383.0M2022-07-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.12025-0.37%0.1292+7.04%0.0749✗1.11617k2022-07-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.8975-0.37%65.869+4.34%0.0486✗0.85386k2022-07-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.40738-0.36%0.40843-0.11%0.0060✗1.22118k2022-07-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.703-0.35%1.861+8.89%0.0906✗0.65223k2022-07-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.094007-0.35%0.0935-0.89%0.0047✓0.26859k2022-07-29
KSMKusamaHydration65.4465.2093-0.35%63.87-2.40%0.0174✓1.19244k2022-07-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.949472-0.35%1.061+11.36%0.1151✗1.431.4M2022-07-29
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.4191-0.35%63.5-0.22%0.0049✗1.271.5M2022-07-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.2405-0.34%8.06+10.94%0.1108✗1.265.5M2022-07-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9776-0.34%4.439+11.23%0.1114✗0.601.1M2022-07-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.481281-0.34%0.5213+7.95%0.0827✗1.00224k2022-07-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3525-0.33%1.328-2.14%0.0148✓1.241.2M2022-07-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.054859-0.33%0.056128+1.97%0.0246✗0.6120k2022-07-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9104-0.33%5.966+0.61%0.0125✗1.102.0M2022-07-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.574576-0.32%0.6209+7.72%0.0808✗1.17624k2022-07-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003097-0.31%0.00316+1.71%0.0229✗1.001.0M2022-07-29
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.24973-0.31%0.2476-1.16%0.0053✓1.16643k2022-07-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.253924-0.30%0.2516-1.22%0.0061✓1.0963k2022-07-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.750715-0.30%0.76+0.93%0.0158✗1.25178k2022-07-29
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.1483-0.30%31.09+2.81%0.0334✗0.9510.8M2022-07-29
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.51135-0.30%0.5222+1.81%0.0245✗1.2543.2M2022-07-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.497918-0.30%0.4982-0.24%0.0037✗1.1242k2022-07-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020928-0.30%0.02177+3.72%0.0424✗1.03136k2022-07-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.30053-0.29%0.2921-3.09%0.0252✓1.1575k2022-07-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.084357-0.29%0.0887+4.85%0.0536✗1.20155k2022-07-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.075125-0.29%0.07766+3.08%0.0353✗0.741,3772022-07-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044174-0.28%0.0458+3.39%0.0399✗1.347,1312022-07-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2324.1619-0.28%24.51+1.16%0.0188✗1.6027.5M2022-07-29
AAVEAaveEthereum100.41100.1286-0.28%95.6-4.79%0.0416✓1.679.0M2022-07-29
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004408-0.28%0.00439-0.68%0.0003✓1.32106k2022-07-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.8229-0.28%1.871+2.35%0.0297✗1.29626k2022-07-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054548-0.28%0.0558+2.01%0.0264✗1.31765k2022-07-29
FLOWFlownative1.8761.871-0.27%1.866-0.53%0.0009✓1.27413k2022-07-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006883-0.27%0.006991+1.30%0.0171✗0.5440k2022-07-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5858-0.27%1.66+4.40%0.0497✗1.38114k2022-07-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.116688-0.27%0.1172+0.17%0.0074✗1.07357k2022-07-29
DASHDashDash52.4852.3402-0.27%50.61-3.56%0.0305✓1.12594k2022-07-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015388-0.26%0.015055-2.42%0.0194✓0.891.2M2022-07-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8564-0.26%2.968+3.63%0.0414✗1.10597k2022-07-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.669626-0.26%0.66859-0.42%0.0028✗1.5379k2022-07-29
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.8183-0.26%41.94-2.31%0.0169✓1.3781.8M2022-07-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2014-0.26%7.887+9.24%0.0945✗1.2716.2M2022-07-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.58e-7-0.25%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0054✗1.0024k2022-07-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.312807-0.25%0.309-1.47%0.0089✓1.192.7M2022-07-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.261359-0.24%0.2615-0.19%0.0006✓0.0131k2022-07-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.330164-0.24%0.331178+0.06%0.0067✗1.291.0M2022-07-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.240026-0.24%0.2372-1.41%0.0076✓1.4999k2022-07-29
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044174-0.24%0.00004499+1.60%0.0216✗1.181.7M2022-07-29
STXStacksnative0.43440.433375-0.24%0.4304-0.92%0.0033✓1.26606k2022-07-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.721295-0.24%0.715-1.11%0.0054✓1.21806k2022-07-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.63e-7-0.23%3.57e-7-1.72%0.0123✓0.96195k2022-07-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.02986-0.23%0.02985-0.27%0.0032✗1.2514k2022-07-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.135593-0.23%0.1352-0.52%0.0001✓1.013.2M2022-07-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011823-0.22%0.00001174-0.93%0.0036✓1.25986k2022-07-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.149466-0.22%0.1494-0.27%0.0031✗1.2587k2022-07-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.215529-0.22%0.215-0.46%0.0018✓1.51786k2022-07-29
XMRMoneroMonero162.51162.156-0.22%160.25-1.39%0.0087✓1.101.3M2022-07-29
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.2564-0.21%14.2-0.60%0.0006✓1.1970k2022-07-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.068959-0.21%0.068947-0.23%0.0031✗1.151.7M2022-07-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.497-0.20%2.8321+13.19%0.1287✗0.98863k2022-07-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.3037-0.20%60.71-4.29%0.0386✓1.1613.5M2022-07-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.116456-0.20%0.117733+0.90%0.0137✗1.006.8M2022-07-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,828.20-0.20%23,827.50-0.20%0.0027✗0.9819k2022-07-29
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.48e-7-0.19%9.50e-7+0.00%0.0043✗0.845.9M2022-07-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3716-0.17%1.349-1.82%0.0130✓1.292.4M2022-07-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.001096-0.17%0.001083-1.33%0.0080✓1.301.6M2022-07-29
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069644-0.17%0.069296-0.67%0.0028✓0.79376k2022-07-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.747731-0.17%0.771+2.94%0.0349✗1.5180k2022-07-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.303491-0.17%0.303-0.33%0.0013✓1.04681k2022-07-29
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3266-0.16%10.197-1.41%0.0095✓1.092.4M2022-07-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008936-0.15%0.00892-0.34%0.0008✓0.921.6M2022-07-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.083473-0.15%0.0795-4.90%0.0464✓0.83155k2022-07-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.130409-0.15%0.1298-0.61%0.0010✓1.3049k2022-07-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053123-0.14%0.0549+3.20%0.0370✗1.46109k2022-07-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084787-0.13%0.087+2.47%0.0292✗1.216,3652022-07-29
XVGVergenative0.003690.003685-0.13%0.00366-0.81%0.0032✓1.31505k2022-07-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018808-0.12%0.01894+0.58%0.0092✗0.76263k2022-07-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.00922-0.11%0.00941+1.95%0.0231✗0.974.7M2022-07-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.848-0.10%8.186+4.20%0.0457✗1.269.4M2022-07-29
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7149-0.10%1.7093-0.43%0.0003✓1.26492k2022-07-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.546079-0.10%0.5651+3.38%0.0374✗1.14350k2022-07-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.336061-0.07%0.3368+0.15%0.0054✗1.157.7M2022-07-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.325483-0.06%0.31514-3.24%0.0290✓1.18407k2022-07-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,838.09-0.06%23,784.50-0.28%0.0006✓1.00429.5M2022-07-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3208-0.04%5.1731-2.81%0.0276✓0.21214k2022-07-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.244118-0.03%0.2443+0.04%0.0042✗1.24110k2022-07-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1353-0.03%1.1278-0.69%0.0036✓1.0743k2022-07-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105972-0.03%0.1081+1.98%0.0236✗1.32491k2022-07-29
PROPropyEthereum0.80.800362+0.05%0.79-1.25%0.0113✗0.6179k2022-07-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.06294+0.06%0.0626-0.48%0.0015✗1.41337k2022-07-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001526+0.10%0.001507-1.12%0.0094✗1.0120k2022-07-29
GTGateEthereum4.29644.301+0.11%4.3922+2.23%0.0230✓0.72968k2022-07-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.