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2022-07-27 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1930
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.3%
in alpha space · 63.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03090.908344-11.89%–pending––1.0211k2022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.0510.930161-11.50%1.019-3.04%0.3268✗1.871.1M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum3.042.7159-10.66%2.25-25.99%0.0468✓1.12175k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011090.009968-10.12%0.00765-31.02%0.1040✓1.27352k2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8150.746991-8.34%0.517-36.56%0.1771✓1.513,1392022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.487-8.09%17.22+2.20%0.2171✗0.882.4M2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.9430.2873-8.05%33.91+2.94%0.2879✗1.391.3M2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17550.161734-7.84%0.15418-12.15%0.2478✗2.341,1272022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.0190.940189-7.73%0.86751-14.86%0.0605✓1.129,1202022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97490.902029-7.47%0.8001-17.93%0.0879✗1.65209k2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098920.000091618-7.38%0.00012306+24.40%0.5353✗1.90692k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046220.042849-7.29%0.04458-3.55%0.1549✗0.9115k2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2619.7248-7.22%37.39+75.87%0.8232✗1.46482k2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2862.1295-6.85%1.632-28.61%0.0844✓1.44144k2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum97.190.8288-6.46%98.23+1.16%0.2063✗1.014.0M2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15770.147598-6.41%0.1396-11.48%0.1041✗1.27395k2022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212740.019917-6.38%0.020726-2.58%0.1645✗0.997,5982022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.905348-6.38%0.7053-27.06%0.0284✓1.75551k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.753.5219-6.08%2.723-27.39%0.0365✓1.753.8M2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4880.459822-5.77%0.431-11.68%0.0811✗1.1612k2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.134.8356-5.74%5.23+1.95%0.1576✗0.63713k2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.29940.282495-5.65%0.2645-11.66%0.0802✗1.16331k2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.076490.072333-5.43%0.07015-8.29%0.1360✗1.3227k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0481960.045599-5.39%0.043805-9.11%0.1106✗1.1926k2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7280.689109-5.34%0.67-7.97%0.1897✗1.735.2M2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02690.025514-5.15%0.02186-18.74%0.0428✓1.5611.5M2022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32511.2571-5.13%1.0529-20.54%0.0107✓1.495.2M2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.8266.4984-4.80%4.774-30.06%0.0920✓1.7111.5M2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403090.383966-4.74%0.33161-17.73%0.0329✓1.42592k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.313.1566-4.64%4.149+25.35%0.3502✗0.611.5M2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.15260.145556-4.62%0.1273-16.58%0.0272✓1.282.8M2022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.12.9589-4.55%2.49-19.68%0.1120✓0.4877k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3557-4.53%1.36-4.23%0.0340✓0.24283k2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.7803-4.52%12.27-20.74%0.0024✓1.461.4M2022-08-26
FISStafiEthereum0.39580.378108-4.47%–pending––0.863902022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.0357.6827-4.38%6.154-23.41%0.0460✓1.396.2M2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum33.6432.1984-4.29%31.1-7.55%0.0915✗1.00172k2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.184.002-4.26%4.47+6.94%0.2017✗0.72612k2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.432810.414464-4.24%0.36828-14.91%0.0207✓0.7752k2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.733.5733-4.20%2.681-28.12%0.1752✓0.89711k2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9133.7514-4.13%5.692+45.46%0.4859✗0.552.0M2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54152.4433-3.87%2.1662-14.77%0.0779✗1.579,9702022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199960.019223-3.86%0.023198+16.01%0.2517✗0.51163k2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44910.432291-3.74%0.3397-24.36%0.0539✓1.48220k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.53420.514537-3.68%0.5343+0.02%0.1859✗1.171.5M2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24532.1639-3.62%5.0866+126.54%0.9670✗0.89971k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.048455-3.48%0.0433-13.75%0.0407✗1.21256k2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08230.07946-3.45%0.0634-22.96%0.0725✓1.22157k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,170.146,925.11-3.42%8,981.54+25.26%0.4278✗1.334.0M2022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum4.12693.9859-3.42%3.1205-24.39%0.1069✓1.0926k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.30820.297707-3.40%0.28099-8.83%0.1093✗1.3210k2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.997.7211-3.37%8.31+4.01%0.1381✗0.51808k2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4560.441025-3.28%0.3983-12.65%0.0243✓1.00222k2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.276.065-3.27%7.32+16.75%0.3521✗1.30248k2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1516.9225-3.20%5.748-19.62%0.0247✓1.285.5M2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3169.9886-3.17%11.554+12.00%0.3194✗1.3813.7M2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.03457-3.17%0.0358+0.28%0.1897✗1.2368k2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.18470.178887-3.15%0.1562-15.43%0.0382✗1.381,5612022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.7916.2631-3.14%13.3-20.79%0.0261✓1.391.3M2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.88880.861516-3.07%1.2489+40.52%0.5209✗1.191.2M2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9253.2577-3.03%45.92-16.39%0.0285✓1.4032k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18960.183871-3.02%0.1619-14.61%0.0432✗1.351,0652022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.650330.631452-2.90%0.55641-14.44%0.0677✗1.5479k2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97510.947063-2.88%0.9592-1.63%0.1294✗0.923.6M2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9093.7982-2.84%11.744+200.43%1.2052✗0.611.1M2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3161.2788-2.83%0.9578-27.22%0.1315✓1.251.2M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.422.74-2.82%20.68-11.62%0.1083✗1.6127.5M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.393570.382485-2.82%0.33605-14.61%0.0253✓1.23118k2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011540.000011227-2.71%0.00001243+7.71%0.2595✗1.25986k2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2070.201438-2.69%0.17-17.87%0.0224✓1.52803k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003018-2.62%0.00312+0.68%0.1596✗1.001.0M2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.552.4849-2.55%2.16-15.29%0.0520✗1.52192k2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5950.579941-2.53%0.509-14.45%0.0491✗1.4283k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.97356.566-2.43%52.147-10.05%0.0245✓0.84369k2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.255274-2.42%0.2611-0.19%0.0238✓0.0131k2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.5231.4865-2.40%1.223-19.70%0.0138✓1.44316k2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.34412.2881-2.39%4.7881+104.26%0.8370✗0.78884k2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8646.7013-2.37%6.504-5.24%0.1303✗1.2716.2M2022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3551.3239-2.30%1.151-15.06%0.0240✗1.302.4M2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073320.07164-2.29%0.06625-9.64%0.0148✓0.741,4882022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.7531.7129-2.29%1.683-3.99%0.1454✗1.29626k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.51130.499692-2.27%0.4317-15.57%0.0139✓1.2743.2M2022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24490.239392-2.25%0.2213-9.64%0.0686✗1.17701k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06540.063934-2.24%0.0574-12.23%0.0159✓0.98183k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041010.040092-2.24%0.03783-7.75%0.0639✗0.971,9372022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana40.2439.3419-2.23%31.74-21.12%0.0422✓1.3781.8M2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5931.5576-2.22%1.773+11.30%0.2057✗0.60229k2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum29.4328.7772-2.22%25.97-11.76%0.0181✓0.9610.5M2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.679875-2.18%0.662-4.75%0.0971✗0.98360k2022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.64.5041-2.08%5.97+29.78%0.3596✗0.62579k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration62.361.0228-2.05%44.52-28.54%0.1642✓1.20244k2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7272.6725-2.00%1.942-28.79%0.0969✓1.7692k2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11970.117357-1.96%0.1012-15.46%0.0213✓1.015,4502022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095510.093648-1.95%0.08526-10.73%0.0323✗1.00785k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029990.029422-1.89%0.0246-17.97%0.0121✓1.321,3002022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47060.462092-1.81%0.3879-17.57%0.0345✓1.1142k2022-08-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6391.6099-1.77%1.386-15.44%0.0299✗1.42212k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24850.244137-1.76%0.2433-2.09%0.1346✗1.0962k2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88990.874308-1.75%0.7751-12.90%0.0602✗1.431.4M2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.153390.150707-1.75%0.13148-14.28%0.0601✗1.56191k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5492.5064-1.67%2.035-20.16%0.0273✓1.4343k2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,636.401,609.46-1.65%1,508.02-7.85%0.0937✗1.26371.8M2022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.05e-7-1.61%8.60e-7-6.52%0.0750✗1.0025k2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4758-1.61%1.29-14.00%0.0414✗1.39114k2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3584-1.57%1.0685-22.57%0.0580✓1.44966k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11380.112068-1.52%0.1029-9.58%0.0507✗1.08362k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0541580.053388-1.42%0.045497-15.99%0.0821✓0.6220k2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010660.001052-1.35%0.001375+28.91%0.4324✗1.311.6M2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.9560.94327-1.33%0.77813-18.61%0.0216✓1.35392k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31340.309431-1.27%0.3323+6.03%0.2194✗1.1773k2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4223.3791-1.25%4.124+20.51%0.2873✗0.70488k2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.11420.112914-1.13%0.2077+81.87%0.7499✗1.11617k2022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.7102-1.12%2.7-1.50%0.1361✗1.11597k2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative1.7761.7561-1.12%1.851+4.22%0.2130✗1.27413k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57560.569378-1.08%0.4773-17.08%0.0266✓1.19624k2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.215613.0731-1.08%12.1201-8.29%0.0745✗1.1970k2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018050.017859-1.06%0.01586-12.13%0.0233✓0.76284k2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1126680.111502-1.04%0.103859-7.82%0.0554✗1.006.8M2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7190.711863-0.99%0.647-10.01%0.0621✗1.25149k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12930.128055-0.96%0.1246-3.63%0.1002✗1.013.1M2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.00004190.00004151-0.93%0.00003668-12.46%0.0249✗1.181.7M2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.337650.33453-0.92%0.34+0.70%0.1678✗1.20407k2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32870.325902-0.85%0.2831-13.87%0.0057✓1.167.7M2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.19815.1539-0.85%5.1494-0.94%0.0246✗0.20214k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44261.4304-0.85%1.7235+19.47%0.3670✗1.43561k2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05210.051672-0.82%0.0472-9.40%0.0767✗1.33765k2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.315.2701-0.75%5.13-3.39%0.1512✗1.41939k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase16.0815.9621-0.73%15.52-3.48%0.1441✗1.3697k2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11120.110406-0.71%0.1024-7.91%0.0995✗1.392.5M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.004260.00423-0.70%0.00391-8.22%0.0892✗1.33106k2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero161.72160.6665-0.65%142.81-11.69%0.0220✗1.111.3M2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125208-0.63%0.1207-4.21%0.1279✗1.3054k2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum94.794.1287-0.60%82.72-12.65%0.0819✗1.678.3M2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23750.236163-0.56%0.2082-12.34%0.0310✗1.24117k2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.055.0223-0.55%6.04+19.60%0.2663✗0.65514k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0671380.066782-0.53%0.063531-5.37%0.0956✗1.151.7M2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.53e-7-0.53%7.57e-7+113.21%0.8818✗0.95212k2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8350.830712-0.51%0.928+11.14%0.2004✗0.711.2M2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08560.085201-0.47%0.1006+17.52%0.2737✗0.85153k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009062-0.42%0.00848-6.81%0.0577✗0.984.4M2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067640.006739-0.38%0.006665-1.46%0.0568✗0.5442k2022-08-26
DASHDashDash48.0647.9101-0.31%44.3-7.82%0.0617✗1.11570k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29810.29721-0.30%0.2792-6.34%0.0885✗1.202.7M2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6555.6423-0.22%5.671+0.28%0.1439✗1.101.9M2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053020.052905-0.22%0.06321+19.22%0.3612✗1.45766k2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9637440.962221-0.16%0.8801-8.68%0.0346✗0.9851k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.13%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0511✗0.845.9M2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06890.068823-0.11%0.0626-9.14%0.0400✗1.07284k2022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020290.020268-0.11%0.02334+15.03%0.2712✗1.03136k2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078530.307906+0.02%0.289082-6.10%0.0996✓1.291.0M2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06330.063335+0.05%0.0599-5.37%0.1240✓1.43337k2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2940.2942+0.07%0.274-6.80%0.0609✓1.05620k2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.88.8065+0.07%10.53+19.66%0.3232✓1.14241k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative10.22410.2379+0.14%9.232-9.70%0.0355✓1.102.1M2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43062.434+0.14%3.69+51.81%0.5407✓0.99806k2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028670.028724+0.19%0.03689+28.67%0.4089✓1.2614k2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145970.014628+0.21%0.01333-8.68%0.0191✓0.891.2M2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39580.396665+0.22%0.3556-10.16%0.0606✓1.3586k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,891.5022,957.18+0.29%20,587.80-10.06%0.0144✓0.9819k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10290.103196+0.29%0.0887-13.80%0.0161✓1.33491k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003560.003571+0.32%0.00303-14.89%0.0020✓1.32505k2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0687480.068999+0.36%0.061552-10.47%0.0145✗0.79376k2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.00572.0141+0.42%1.7741-11.55%0.0273✓1.2222k2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008540.008576+0.43%0.00657-23.07%0.1517✗0.911.6M2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4531+0.50%4.225+73.08%0.6602✓0.9293k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.10751.113+0.50%1.0508-5.12%0.0789✓1.0843k2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash61.7562.1207+0.60%61.1-1.05%0.1467✓1.291.4M2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04330.043593+0.68%0.0378-12.70%0.0280✓1.357,1312022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6877.7391+0.68%6.922-9.95%0.0481✓1.279.0M2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.64341.6549+0.70%1.4828-9.77%0.0493✓1.26492k2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,962.5923,135.13+0.75%20,240.72-11.85%0.0075✓1.00414.2M2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.145646+0.79%0.143-1.04%0.1393✓1.2587k2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.780.786343+0.81%0.73-6.41%0.0036✓0.6279k2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22570.227977+1.01%0.2245-0.53%0.1722✓1.4999k2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.0459.6583+1.05%52.71-10.72%0.0215✓1.1513.5M2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7080.716459+1.19%0.925+30.65%0.4082✓1.21776k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05140.052353+1.85%0.0498-3.11%0.1351✓1.47109k2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.41350.421226+1.87%0.3612-12.65%0.0048✓1.26606k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7120.726113+1.98%0.546-23.31%0.0938✗1.5280k2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.00153+2.95%0.001486+0.00%0.1017✓1.0420k2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.39131.1969+2.99%116.16-8.82%0.0234✓1.153.9M2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.19394.3207+3.02%4.3799+4.44%0.1038✓0.72930k2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08090.083886+3.69%0.0857+5.93%0.1741✓1.215,6912022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059330.006188+4.29%0.005538-6.65%0.0006✓0.883,8542022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51540.541563+5.08%0.4491-12.86%0.0446✓1.13350k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.