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2022-07-26 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1569
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
39.9%
in alpha space · 38.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001513+5.69%0.001597+11.52%0.0390✓1.0520k2022-08-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.006101+3.98%0.005856-0.18%0.0536✗0.913,1552022-08-25
GTGateEthereum4.01664.1744+3.93%4.567+13.70%0.0797✓0.72919k2022-08-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.505646+3.47%0.4961+1.51%0.0351✗1.14350k2022-08-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.077938+2.15%0.0909+19.13%0.1367✓1.236,3652022-08-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.660575+1.78%0.998+53.78%0.3957✓1.21758k2022-08-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.135915+1.13%0.1575+17.19%0.1296✓1.2784k2022-08-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.041044+1.09%0.0407+0.25%0.0276✗1.377,5232022-08-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.278637+0.96%0.296+7.25%0.0456✓1.06620k2022-08-25
XMRMoneroMonero151.3152.7221+0.94%153.94+1.74%0.0077✓1.121.2M2022-08-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.369533+0.75%0.395+7.69%0.0476✓1.3673k2022-08-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0647+0.74%1.1342+7.32%0.0479✓1.1045k2022-08-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008432+0.74%0.00704-15.89%0.1934✗0.931.4M2022-08-25
ZECZcashZcash55.7556.1436+0.71%67.75+21.52%0.1699✓1.291.4M2022-08-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.120316+0.68%0.1309+9.54%0.0657✓1.3354k2022-08-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.3358+0.67%11.38+37.44%0.2951✓1.15241k2022-08-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047919+0.46%0.0548+14.88%0.1134✓1.48109k2022-08-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039567+0.42%0.03993+1.35%0.0047✗0.981,9372022-08-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.653027+0.31%0.6-7.83%0.1061✗1.5372k2022-08-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,196.98+0.30%21,605.60+2.23%0.0054✓0.9819k2022-08-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94119.296+0.30%130.69+9.88%0.0750✓1.164.0M2022-08-25
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065465+0.19%0.065499+0.24%0.0107✗0.80382k2022-08-25
STXStacksnative0.39480.395511+0.18%0.3998+1.27%0.0072✗1.28606k2022-08-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062678+0.17%0.069172+10.56%0.0823✓1.161.8M2022-08-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.097338+0.14%0.1159+19.24%0.1554✓1.362.4M2022-08-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6763+0.13%9.763+1.02%0.0068✗1.122.1M2022-08-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.00869+0.12%0.00914+5.30%0.0366✓0.994.2M2022-08-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224757+0.11%0.2289+1.96%0.0005✓1.26119k2022-08-25
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003963+0.08%0.0042+6.06%0.0392✓1.35106k2022-08-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078812+0.02%0.0691-12.31%0.1489✗1.24162k2022-08-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,253.92-0.04%21,561.86+1.41%0.0004✓1.00395.4M2022-08-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.3141-0.04%4.2527+83.70%0.5946✗0.99806k2022-08-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.083061-0.05%0.1124+35.26%0.2905✗0.85148k2022-08-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.43e-7-0.05%8.04e-7+134.55%0.8392✗0.99229k2022-08-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.017397-0.07%0.01666-4.31%0.0540✓0.77324k2022-08-25
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.1764-0.10%93.35+14.88%0.1165✗1.668.1M2022-08-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1961-0.11%5.5766+153.64%0.9210✗0.78884k2022-08-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.635274-0.11%0.744+16.98%0.1444✗0.97360k2022-08-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.236552-0.15%0.2626+10.85%0.0889✗1.1162k2022-08-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.094675-0.24%0.0989+4.21%0.0249✗1.34491k2022-08-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.278886-0.33%0.3717+32.84%0.2711✗1.1570k2022-08-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.207746-0.36%0.2384+14.34%0.1166✗1.5099k2022-08-25
PROPropyEthereum0.760.757214-0.37%0.73-3.95%0.0450✓0.6083k2022-08-25
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.892876-0.46%0.958891+6.89%0.0576✗0.9857k2022-08-25
XVGVergenative0.003420.003404-0.47%0.00328-4.09%0.0560✓1.35539k2022-08-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.274944-0.49%0.3056+10.60%0.0888✗1.202.7M2022-08-25
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5881-0.50%2.137+33.90%0.2792✗1.26379k2022-08-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.364114-0.56%0.37415+2.18%0.0099✗1.24113k2022-08-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.599-0.56%56.62+5.05%0.0387✗1.1513.5M2022-08-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.002987-0.57%0.003495+16.34%0.1429✗1.021.0M2022-08-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.1283-0.58%9.11+27.06%0.2387✗0.47704k2022-08-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.309052-0.63%0.3074-1.16%0.0219✓1.187.5M2022-08-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006248-0.67%0.00801+27.34%0.2342✗1.01352k2022-08-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006845-0.71%0.0068-1.36%0.0145✓0.5642k2022-08-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.844847-0.72%0.923+8.46%0.0780✗0.751.1M2022-08-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5748-0.78%2.946+13.53%0.1189✗1.12597k2022-08-25
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000038863-0.86%0.00003947+0.69%0.0012✓1.191.8M2022-08-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.5073-0.90%1.541+1.31%0.0018✓1.45212k2022-08-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3766-0.97%1.43+2.88%0.0181✗1.42122k2022-08-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.119297-1.00%0.1378+14.36%0.1301✗1.013.1M2022-08-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026559-1.01%0.04111+53.22%0.4191✗1.2715k2022-08-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.83992-1.06%1.3894+63.67%0.4864✗1.211.2M2022-08-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.3369-1.06%1.8105+33.99%0.2829✗1.45540k2022-08-25
DASHDashDash43.9943.505-1.10%49.18+11.80%0.1071✗1.11517k2022-08-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.104411-1.10%0.110401+4.57%0.0416✗1.016.7M2022-08-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.806783-1.11%0.8658+6.13%0.0504✗1.441.4M2022-08-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8348-1.11%8.06+36.61%0.3046✗1.32248k2022-08-25
ZENHorizenBase15.1714.9957-1.15%17.19+13.32%0.1171✗1.3997k2022-08-25
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.0489-1.16%13.4615+10.43%0.0940✗1.2073k2022-08-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046054-1.17%0.0529+13.52%0.1198✗1.34765k2022-08-25
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.60e-7-1.20%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0562✗0.845.9M2022-08-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.410223-1.25%0.3754-9.63%0.1098✓1.50220k2022-08-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.313406-1.26%0.37447+17.98%0.1610✗1.21400k2022-08-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.838-1.33%1.991+6.88%0.0627✗1.2324k2022-08-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.102126-1.33%0.2245+116.91%0.7722✗1.10617k2022-08-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.111104-1.33%0.1098-2.49%0.0260✓1.015,4502022-08-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.06438-1.41%0.0676+3.52%0.0336✗1.08264k2022-08-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.0211-1.44%5.1741+1.56%0.0272✗0.20219k2022-08-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.05165-1.51%0.047386-9.64%0.0949✓0.6218k2022-08-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.061119-1.58%0.0603-2.90%0.0274✓0.99156k2022-08-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.057652-1.62%0.0636+8.53%0.0779✗1.44342k2022-08-25
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.3849-1.64%1.383-1.78%0.0218✓1.45303k2022-08-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.284531-1.70%0.321644+11.12%0.1044✗1.301.0M2022-08-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019547-1.73%0.02303+15.79%0.1492✗1.06136k2022-08-25
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.391022-1.81%0.41101+3.21%0.0392✗0.7651k2022-08-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8092-1.85%6.84+39.59%0.3431✗0.65514k2022-08-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.649621-1.87%0.724+9.37%0.0908✗1.25149k2022-08-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.86132-1.99%0.84018-4.39%0.0439✓1.36392k2022-08-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.141497-2.01%0.14326-0.79%0.0098✓1.58176k2022-08-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.046348-2.01%0.0469-0.85%0.0054✓1.23256k2022-08-25
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5244-2.04%1.669+7.26%0.0727✗1.28492k2022-08-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.2539-2.05%4.721+105.17%0.7264✗0.92105k2022-08-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105372-2.07%0.1116+3.72%0.0421✗1.09362k2022-08-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,419.20-2.10%1,695.27+16.95%0.1603✗1.25354.3M2022-08-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2452-2.11%1.262-0.79%0.0051✓1.322.4M2022-08-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.637-2.14%7.583+11.81%0.1158✗1.258.7M2022-08-25
SOLSolanaSolana36.2935.4684-2.26%35.25-2.87%0.0253✓1.3781.1M2022-08-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.019691-2.29%0.022511+11.71%0.1199✗1.006,9032022-08-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.04792-2.30%0.06979+42.28%0.3554✗1.46747k2022-08-25
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.043475-2.31%0.047816+7.44%0.0783✗1.2022k2022-08-25
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1447.0214-2.32%51.48+6.94%0.0712✗1.3932k2022-08-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010614-2.36%0.00001393+28.15%0.2541✗1.271.0M2022-08-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.059-2.55%5.7197+170.72%1.0092✗0.89971k2022-08-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.1823-2.61%6.356+19.45%0.1886✗1.111.9M2022-08-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.285101-2.65%0.30411+3.84%0.0456✗1.359,6072022-08-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2442-2.66%6.8+55.96%0.4628✗0.61555k2022-08-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.5897-2.67%3.4771-5.72%0.0469✓1.0826k2022-08-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.1735-2.68%4.682+43.58%0.3792✗0.69488k2022-08-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.423283-2.72%0.4247-2.39%0.0124✓1.1242k2022-08-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.14466-2.72%0.155+4.24%0.0510✗1.29379k2022-08-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.191552-2.77%0.191-3.05%0.0247✓1.55834k2022-08-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58553.0605-2.79%55.615+1.89%0.0352✗0.84369k2022-08-25
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.226975-2.79%0.2418+3.55%0.0468✗1.17768k2022-08-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.032173-2.80%0.0389+17.52%0.1726✗1.2368k2022-08-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.6446-2.84%13.862+269.55%1.3274✗0.601.1M2022-08-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.52187-2.85%0.5098-5.10%0.0401✓1.19642k2022-08-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.141-2.86%2.289+3.86%0.0469✗1.4237k2022-08-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.043011-2.93%0.04792+8.15%0.0950✗0.9315k2022-08-25
HIVEHivenative0.50060.485833-2.95%0.5691+13.68%0.1415✗1.191.5M2022-08-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.013768-2.97%0.014482+2.06%0.0379✗0.901.2M2022-08-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.2592-3.00%2.19-5.97%0.0556✓1.7592k2022-08-25
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.138493-3.02%0.1408-1.40%0.0016✓1.292.8M2022-08-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.1495-3.07%7.13+12.39%0.1300✗1.2816.2M2022-08-25
FTTFTXEthereum27.0726.2384-3.07%27.94+3.21%0.0495✗0.9510.5M2022-08-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2278.9431-3.08%12.847+39.23%0.3430✗1.3713.2M2022-08-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,650.51-3.08%9,795.51+42.75%0.3682✗1.364.0M2022-08-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000941511-3.19%0.001525+56.84%0.4642✗1.301.7M2022-08-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8211-3.19%5.69+14.26%0.1456✗1.44939k2022-08-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5302-3.21%1.943+22.90%0.2208✗1.29619k2022-08-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.535186-3.22%0.571+3.25%0.0446✗1.4483k2022-08-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.1837-3.38%2.48+9.73%0.1060✗1.52184k2022-08-25
KSMKusamaHydration58.1356.1402-3.42%48.54-16.50%0.1624✓1.21231k2022-08-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.226-3.47%1.2006-5.46%0.0413✓1.46912k2022-08-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.1873-3.61%2.4764+9.13%0.1021✗1.579,1162022-08-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.14-3.64%1.0485-11.37%0.1011✓1.241.2M2022-08-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0771.9994-3.73%1.81-12.86%0.1199✓1.45132k2022-08-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.5389-3.81%5.379-6.58%0.0533✓1.7111.5M2022-08-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7119.9196-3.82%22.98+10.96%0.1204✗1.6027.5M2022-08-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.4309-3.89%5.86+27.11%0.2712✗0.59713k2022-08-25
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.4501-3.89%0.4642-0.88%0.0130✓1.2741.4M2022-08-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.2924-3.97%13.6+6.25%0.0813✗1.411.3M2022-08-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.863495-4.16%0.791-12.21%0.1128✓1.79551k2022-08-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.033.8586-4.25%5.05+25.31%0.2589✗0.73612k2022-08-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.581387-4.27%0.60846+0.19%0.0235✓1.5780k2022-08-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1514.4801-4.42%14.72-2.84%0.0030✓1.381.3M2022-08-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.017771-4.49%0.023343+25.46%0.2659✗0.48163k2022-08-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.385855-4.49%0.36511-9.62%0.0761✓1.48592k2022-08-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.249988-4.51%0.2608-0.38%0.0422✓0.0131k2022-08-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.171946-4.58%0.1837+1.94%0.0464✓1.411,0652022-08-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.02392-4.59%0.02391-4.63%0.0227✓1.5912.6M2022-08-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.5205-4.62%6.549+77.43%0.6132✗0.531.9M2022-08-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.7277-4.69%3.004-23.19%0.2292✓0.95638k2022-08-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1135-4.72%1.18+0.98%0.0373✓1.485.1M2022-08-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.918977-4.73%0.95141-1.37%0.0188✓1.139,1202022-08-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.2658-4.88%6.352-3.57%0.0043✓1.285.3M2022-08-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.065301-4.93%0.07031+2.36%0.0637✗0.731,5492022-08-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.8224-4.97%3.021+1.72%0.0443✓1.693.7M2022-08-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.115.2954-5.00%18.42+14.41%0.1734✗0.892.2M2022-08-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.447716-5.14%0.458-2.97%0.0061✓1.1811k2022-08-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.4652-5.17%1.856+20.13%0.2275✗0.64223k2022-08-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0013-5.32%2.67-15.77%0.1244✓0.5377k2022-08-25
METISMetisEthereum27.7626.2767-5.34%35.23+26.91%0.2792✗1.00164k2022-08-25
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.2979-5.37%7.023+5.53%0.0900✗1.355.7M2022-08-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.085347-5.59%0.08405-7.02%0.0293✓1.00722k2022-08-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.21e-7-5.67%9.10e-7+4.60%0.0893✗1.0025k2022-08-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.894221-5.82%1.008+6.16%0.1065✗0.953.5M2022-08-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.061897-5.93%0.07588+15.32%0.1856✗1.2927k2022-08-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3167-5.95%1.44+2.86%0.0862✗0.24319k2022-08-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1782.9887-5.96%4.711+48.24%0.4465✗0.611.5M2022-08-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.173906-6.00%0.1725-6.76%0.0282✓1.431,6202022-08-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000086383-6.17%0.00013132+42.65%0.3924✗1.88715k2022-08-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.026275-6.23%0.02732-2.50%0.0199✓1.361,2882022-08-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.847838-6.26%–pending––0.9910k2022-08-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.634142-6.47%0.734+8.26%0.1215✗1.765.2M2022-08-25
QNTQuantEthereum92.9686.837-6.59%106.79+14.88%0.1923✗1.033.7M2022-08-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1623.4927-6.63%37.14+47.62%0.4398✗1.301.3M2022-08-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.151443-6.77%0.16533+1.78%0.0533✓2.451,1272022-08-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.701073-6.77%0.58-22.87%0.2112✓1.543,6872022-08-25
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.423516-7.49%–pending––1.263902022-08-25
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.760843-7.89%1.178+42.62%0.4121✗1.781.1M2022-08-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.748015-7.90%0.8197+0.92%0.0688✓1.62209k2022-08-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.266358-8.18%0.2692-7.20%0.0063✓1.21337k2022-08-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.384992-8.88%0.3801-10.04%0.0268✓1.00224k2022-08-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7819.7703-9.23%37.89+73.97%0.6290✗1.53454k2022-08-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.3869-9.93%2.32-12.45%0.0438✓1.10157k2022-08-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.