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2022-07-25 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1751
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.9%
in alpha space · 41.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.858184-10.00%0.06201-93.50%2.6300✓0.998,9622022-08-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.5152-9.97%3-40.18%0.4112✓0.96584k2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7816.1094-9.40%18.34+3.15%0.1275✗0.882.1M2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.72012-8.73%0.588-25.48%0.2066✓1.544,1662022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.730861-7.95%1.226+54.41%0.5128✗1.781.1M2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.156638-7.81%0.16688-1.78%0.0572✓2.451,1272022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5518.9532-7.77%37.33+81.65%0.6740✗1.53440k2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000085297-7.50%0.00009991+8.35%0.1533✗1.90735k2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.76991-6.77%0.8151-1.30%0.0530✓1.61214k2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum87.8781.9435-6.74%108+22.91%0.2735✗1.023.2M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.470659-6.62%0.452-10.32%0.0434✓1.1811k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.920737-6.56%0.94669-3.93%0.0249✓1.138,4242022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.256713-6.34%0.27-1.50%0.0474✓1.21335k2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.8132-6.24%1.766-8.69%0.0300✓1.45132k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.85842-6.18%0.7861-14.09%0.0925✓1.79591k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.13845-5.94%0.1509+2.51%0.0829✗1.28379k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0912.9181-5.59%4.9+58.52%0.5167✗0.631.5M2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.064146-5.42%0.07428+9.53%0.1434✗1.2928k2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3347-5.34%1.38-2.13%0.0328✓0.23319k2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.8657-5.25%5.19+27.21%0.2927✗0.75597k2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.1086-5.11%6.1+40.88%0.3937✗0.60694k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.041788-5.09%0.04656+5.75%0.1058✗0.9315k2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.7846-5.07%2.34+24.47%0.2682✗1.08157k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.386201-5.04%0.36571-10.08%0.0582✓1.47602k2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.017786-5.02%0.023439+25.17%0.2748✗0.48163k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.5190.493545-4.90%0.5577+7.46%0.1192✗1.191.4M2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0592-4.70%2.77-13.71%0.1006✓0.5382k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1213-4.68%1.1766+0.03%0.0445✓1.484.9M2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.023337-4.67%0.02382-2.70%0.0165✓1.6013.4M2022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.5347-4.60%6.816+83.97%0.6553✗0.552.1M2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.042654-4.58%0.046228+3.41%0.0774✗1.2021k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.175917-4.50%0.171-7.17%0.0319✓1.411,0652022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.662583-4.39%0.727+4.91%0.0884✗1.765.3M2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.354018-4.37%–pending––1.273902022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.135508-4.37%0.1408-0.64%0.0351✓1.292.8M2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.746-4.27%7.045-0.03%0.0400✓1.355.6M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum27.3726.2075-4.25%35.76+30.65%0.3083✗1.00151k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.019619-4.20%0.022261+8.70%0.1238✗1.006,1832022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.387107-4.20%0.40312-0.24%0.0386✓0.7551k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.402409-4.19%0.4098-2.43%0.0157✓1.00234k2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.410916-4.17%0.3738-12.83%0.0984✓1.50208k2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.846-4.11%3.034+2.22%0.0597✗1.693.7M2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.7533-4.05%5.312-11.41%0.0841✓1.7211.9M2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.166976-4.04%0.1725-0.86%0.0290✓1.431,7562022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.57391-4.02%0.58763-1.73%0.0197✓1.5686k2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.0505-3.78%5.8769+175.78%1.0507✗0.90971k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.251473-3.65%0.2599-0.42%0.0329✓0.0135k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.046358-3.62%0.0464-3.53%0.0022✓1.22263k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.7466-3.58%8.04+34.90%0.3325✗1.31248k2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.4414-3.48%35.45+52.47%0.4540✗1.291.3M2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.870701-3.44%1.0301+14.24%0.1657✗0.943.5M2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.078801-3.43%0.0676-17.16%0.1564✓1.22172k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.186446-3.40%0.186-3.63%0.0063✓1.55881k2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.2042-3.38%7.122+10.92%0.1348✗1.2816.7M2022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.459551-3.23%0.4577-3.62%0.0072✓1.2741.4M2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.032618-3.21%0.0377+11.87%0.1417✗1.2472k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.0039-3.21%6.406+3.27%0.0616✗1.285.3M2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,073.56-3.19%9,349.19+49.02%0.4279✗1.354.0M2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.1122-3.18%13.83+10.55%0.1289✗1.461.2M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.813187-3.15%1.5383+83.22%0.6344✗1.211.2M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.664-3.09%14.339+279.24%1.3629✗0.621.2M2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.090414-3.08%0.08425-9.69%0.0731✓1.00706k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1642-3.07%1.0444-13.04%0.1117✓1.241.3M2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1352.4716-3.06%55.495+2.52%0.0539✗0.84369k2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5477-3.03%1.936+21.30%0.2206✗1.29606k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003005-3.02%0.003426+10.55%0.1284✗1.011.0M2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.702-3.02%13.019+45.09%0.3994✗1.3713.0M2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.348261-2.99%0.36794+2.49%0.0519✗1.23113k2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.284381-2.96%0.2979+1.65%0.0431✗1.349,2162022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.068931-2.91%0.07009-1.28%0.0148✓0.731,6422022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.1999-2.85%2.4403+7.76%0.0997✗1.579,0562022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.224318-2.85%0.2353+1.91%0.0447✗1.21701k2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010386-2.85%0.00001305+22.08%0.2252✗1.261.1M2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5132-2.82%1.827+17.34%0.1869✗0.64223k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025003-2.75%0.02692+4.71%0.0705✗1.351,3002022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.7501-2.74%9.29+33.86%0.3182✗0.48670k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.184-2.67%5.6172+150.33%0.9427✗0.79895k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.2932-2.65%27.55+2.00%0.0443✗0.9510.6M2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.1472-2.65%6.85+60.80%0.5003✗0.62504k2022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3635-2.61%1.364-2.57%0.0033✓1.45317k2022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.3685-2.59%23.01+10.04%0.1179✗1.6027.0M2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038966-2.58%0.04014+0.35%0.0272✗0.992,0302022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.77e-7-2.54%9.20e-7+2.22%0.0451✗1.0025k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.059005-2.47%0.0606+0.17%0.0242✓0.98156k2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.1955-2.42%2.41+7.11%0.0894✗1.52205k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana36.6435.7572-2.41%34.88-4.80%0.0283✓1.3680.3M2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.0823-2.41%48.99-16.24%0.1559✓1.20227k2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.0465-2.38%51.17+1.85%0.0389✗1.3832k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3293-2.26%1.1971-11.98%0.1084✓1.45856k2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.0078-2.23%14.55-5.21%0.0344✓1.381.3M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.518744-2.12%0.562+6.04%0.0765✗1.4384k2022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2215-2.12%1.24-0.64%0.0117✓1.322.4M2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.337279-2.08%0.34078-1.06%0.0073✓1.20400k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.807924-2.06%0.8581+4.02%0.0566✗1.441.4M2022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.426735-1.99%0.4107-5.67%0.0411✓1.1241k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.105655-1.99%0.1104+2.41%0.0412✗1.09380k2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5145-1.98%1.548+0.19%0.0183✓1.45212k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.1645-1.97%4.876+51.05%0.4304✗0.77488k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.112261-1.96%0.1118-2.36%0.0067✓1.015,8712022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.052362-1.95%0.048259-9.64%0.0832✓0.6218k2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006563-1.89%0.00668-0.13%0.0164✓0.5546k2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.4389-1.88%13.8671+9.39%0.1057✗1.2078k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.305926-1.82%0.3023-2.98%0.0149✓1.187.5M2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017609-1.73%0.01734-3.24%0.0173✓0.77354k2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08624.9986-1.72%5.386+5.89%0.0741✗0.19214k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.104219-1.67%0.109482+3.30%0.0467✗1.016.7M2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.612635-1.66%0.721+15.73%0.1604✗0.97387k2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2306-1.62%3.4798+5.98%0.0716✗1.0725k2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.785525-1.56%0.886+11.03%0.1185✗0.751.1M2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.6856-1.56%6.94+45.80%0.3911✗0.66514k2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,418.47-1.55%1,656.74+14.99%0.1521✗1.24344.6M2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3491-1.53%1.42+3.65%0.0476✗1.44127k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000975706-1.45%0.001535+55.01%0.4497✗1.311.7M2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3335-1.37%2.176-8.03%0.0743✓1.7587k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6048-1.36%2.147+31.96%0.2879✗1.26332k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.084338-1.36%0.1052+23.04%0.2189✗0.84148k2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.229237-1.23%0.2557+10.17%0.1065✗1.1161k2022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047028-1.20%0.0518+8.82%0.0933✗1.34787k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.121803-1.13%0.1328+7.79%0.0839✗1.013.1M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000037889-1.05%0.00003875+1.20%0.0195✗1.191.9M2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.667046-1.03%0.727+7.86%0.0829✗1.25149k2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.2964-1.00%1.8503+41.29%0.3521✗1.46561k2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003931-0.99%0.00409+3.02%0.0364✗1.34106k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0297-0.99%5.72+12.60%0.1250✗1.43947k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008347-0.98%0.0091+7.95%0.0839✗0.994.5M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6033-0.98%2.932+11.53%0.1161✗1.12619k2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.54e-7-0.96%8.05e-7+125.15%0.8187✗0.99234k2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.790.782894-0.90%0.74-6.33%0.0581✓0.6983k2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100552-0.84%0.2424+139.05%0.8771✗1.11617k2022-08-24
DASHDashDash44.8844.505-0.84%49.13+9.47%0.0961✗1.11498k2022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.1239-0.83%17.01+11.54%0.1140✗1.3997k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.906433-0.80%0.935146+2.35%0.0287✗0.9851k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1612-0.73%2.264+4.00%0.0429✗1.4237k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061487-0.72%0.067837+9.54%0.0954✗1.151.8M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.118555-0.71%0.1249+4.61%0.0488✗1.3447k2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.139186-0.70%0.14186+1.21%0.0150✗1.58176k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006504-0.70%0.0082+25.19%0.2291✗1.01355k2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.867451-0.69%0.8327-4.67%0.0443✓1.36423k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058597-0.68%0.0641+8.64%0.0862✗1.43328k2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2025-0.68%6.274+19.78%0.1845✗1.111.9M2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.220696-0.63%0.2197-1.08%0.0077✓1.26119k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2838-0.62%4.3422+88.96%0.6400✗1.00863k2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4023-0.61%4.724+95.45%0.6739✗0.92105k2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.3893-0.60%11.09+31.40%0.2762✗1.16243k2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003450.003431-0.55%0.00321-6.96%0.0700✓1.34566k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008407-0.50%0.00698-17.40%0.1884✓0.931.3M2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047701-0.50%0.07101+48.12%0.3942✗1.46712k2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.273449-0.49%0.2983+8.55%0.0840✗1.202.7M2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.76e-7-0.48%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0362✗0.845.9M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.523227-0.45%0.5089-3.18%0.0308✓1.20642k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.063931-0.42%0.0669+4.21%0.0427✗1.08239k2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero144.12143.5346-0.41%150.55+4.46%0.0449✗1.111.1M2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019308-0.32%0.02359+21.79%0.1976✗1.06129k2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.274959-0.27%0.3737+35.55%0.3040✗1.1465k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.095517-0.19%0.1146+19.75%0.1787✗1.372.4M2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,591.39-0.13%21,418.40-0.93%0.0105✓0.9820k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,286.59-0.13%21,367.12+0.25%0.0013✗1.00374.5M2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041368-0.08%0.0402-2.90%0.0320✓1.357,5232022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8373-0.07%1.9654+6.89%0.0643✗1.2324k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.4113+0.01%88.41+8.61%0.0783✓1.668.1M2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5093+0.06%1.6006+6.11%0.0555✓1.28492k2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092876+0.08%0.099+6.68%0.0605✓1.34502k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.054+0.14%1.1172+6.14%0.0555✓1.1045k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.282022+0.20%0.308844+9.73%0.0876✓1.301.1M2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.363163+0.21%0.3871+6.82%0.0604✓1.3670k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7714+0.21%7.565+11.96%0.1077✓1.248.6M2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.281656+0.23%0.285+1.42%0.0092✓1.05673k2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013482+0.24%0.014302+6.33%0.0568✓0.911.2M2022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4836+0.25%9.631+1.81%0.0126✓1.112.1M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.216308+0.28%0.2239+3.80%0.0307✓1.4999k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.40070.401895+0.30%0.3867-3.49%0.0418✗1.28606k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063897+0.37%0.06482+1.82%0.0123✓0.80373k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash54.254.4299+0.42%67.69+24.89%0.2148✓1.281.4M2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026874+0.46%0.04016+50.13%0.3985✓1.2718k2022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047891+0.61%0.0549+15.34%0.1328✓1.48119k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.68546+0.65%0.956+40.38%0.3296✓1.21758k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.132481+0.67%0.1481+12.54%0.1083✓1.2681k2022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0254.4341+0.77%56.46+4.52%0.0336✓1.1513.6M2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.668991+0.90%0.6-9.50%0.1126✗1.5179k2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005737+1.92%0.005761+2.36%0.0020✓0.912,9222022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001508+1.98%0.0016+8.18%0.0563✓1.0620k2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum3.96964.0579+2.22%4.4922+13.17%0.0999✓0.72919k2022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.080909+3.07%0.091+15.92%0.1144✓1.236,7862022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03121.8026+3.20%130.34+10.43%0.0648✓1.164.2M2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.511718+4.69%0.4861-0.55%0.0542✗1.15350k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.