8=======>

2022-07-25 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0799
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.7%
in alpha space · 54.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.8157-3.97%3.911-22.01%0.2058✓0.96584k2022-07-26
HIVEHivenative0.5190.510123-1.71%0.5006-3.55%0.0159✓1.191.4M2022-07-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2655-1.49%4.61+6.47%0.0791✗0.60694k2022-07-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.940712-1.35%0.90441-5.16%0.0369✓0.998,9622022-07-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.5926-1.05%16.1-9.45%0.0865✓0.882.1M2022-07-26
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8602-1.05%2.65+40.96%0.3565✗1.08157k2022-07-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.084.0384-1.02%4.03-1.23%0.0003✓0.75597k2022-07-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.3445-1.00%21.78+5.99%0.0719✗1.53440k2022-07-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.782292-0.85%0.752-4.69%0.0357✓1.544,1662022-07-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.425338-0.81%0.4154-3.12%0.0200✓1.50208k2022-07-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.168605-0.76%0.16244-4.39%0.0313✓2.451,1272022-07-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2523.0748-0.75%25.16+8.22%0.0897✗1.291.3M2022-07-26
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.7885-0.69%0.826+4.03%0.0508✗1.781.1M2022-07-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.500667-0.66%0.472-6.35%0.0561✓1.1811k2022-07-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000091639-0.62%0.00009206-0.16%0.0092✗1.90735k2022-07-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018612-0.61%0.018606-0.64%0.0009✓0.48163k2022-07-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.896493-0.58%0.9495+5.30%0.0597✗0.943.5M2022-07-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.9002-0.57%7.17+3.31%0.0395✗0.48670k2022-07-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.067435-0.57%0.0658-2.98%0.0214✓1.2928k2022-07-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.821258-0.55%0.8122-1.65%0.0072✓1.61214k2022-07-26
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044458-0.55%0.044503-0.45%0.0039✓1.2021k2022-07-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.4443-0.53%12.8+2.32%0.0317✗1.461.2M2022-07-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.6856-0.52%3.691-0.38%0.0028✓0.552.1M2022-07-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.793865-0.52%0.851+6.64%0.0713✗0.751.1M2022-07-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.910483-0.49%0.901-1.53%0.0061✓1.79591k2022-07-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020379-0.49%0.020152-1.60%0.0088✓1.006,1832022-07-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.272806-0.47%0.2901+5.84%0.0644✗1.21335k2022-07-26
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.245-0.46%27.76+1.42%0.0212✗1.00151k2022-07-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092867-0.45%0.0904-3.10%0.0245✓1.00706k2022-07-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.677967-0.45%0.649-4.70%0.0407✓1.21758k2022-07-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0477.0157-0.44%6.655-5.56%0.0495✓1.355.6M2022-07-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.291776-0.44%0.29285-0.07%0.0069✗1.349,2162022-07-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.4065-0.44%2.301-4.80%0.0426✓0.92105k2022-07-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2696-0.42%3.6881+12.32%0.1230✗1.0725k2022-07-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.926-0.41%2.077+7.39%0.0790✗1.45132k2022-07-26
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.229949-0.41%0.2335+1.13%0.0183✗1.21701k2022-07-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.0784-0.41%3.178+2.81%0.0334✗0.631.5M2022-07-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024381-0.41%0.02507+2.41%0.0318✗1.6013.4M2022-07-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.146606-0.40%0.1487+1.02%0.0173✗1.28379k2022-07-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.2152-0.40%3.261+1.02%0.0160✗0.77488k2022-07-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.063948-0.39%0.0653+1.71%0.0236✗1.08239k2022-07-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.139621-0.39%0.1444+3.02%0.0375✗1.58176k2022-07-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.981556-0.39%0.96464-2.11%0.0146✓1.138,4242022-07-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047917-0.38%0.0473-1.66%0.0100✓1.22263k2022-07-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.56e-7-0.38%3.43e-7-4.08%0.0355✓0.99234k2022-07-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.043868-0.37%0.04431+0.64%0.0123✗0.9315k2022-07-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9573-0.36%2.97+0.07%0.0084✗1.693.7M2022-07-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.5514-0.36%1.545-0.77%0.0026✓0.64223k2022-07-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.9746-0.36%5.758-3.97%0.0327✓1.7211.9M2022-07-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.418506-0.36%0.4225+0.60%0.0119✗1.00234k2022-07-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.405-0.36%1.4-0.71%0.0030✓0.23319k2022-07-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.1721-0.35%1.1686-0.65%0.0006✓1.484.9M2022-07-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2449-0.35%4.36+2.35%0.0283✗0.62504k2022-07-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260082-0.35%0.2618+0.31%0.0066✗0.0135k2022-07-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.173393-0.35%0.185+6.32%0.0683✗1.431,7562022-07-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003088-0.35%0.003004-3.07%0.0252✓1.011.0M2022-07-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1236-0.35%2.1128-0.85%0.0029✓0.90971k2022-07-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.141218-0.34%0.1428+0.78%0.0143✗1.292.8M2022-07-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3554-0.34%1.27-6.62%0.0616✓1.45856k2022-07-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070766-0.33%0.06869-3.25%0.0280✓0.731,6422022-07-26
QNTQuantEthereum87.8787.5819-0.33%92.96+5.79%0.0621✗1.023.2M2022-07-26
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.40275-0.33%0.39822-1.45%0.0095✓0.7551k2022-07-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.34332-0.32%0.31739-7.85%0.0756✓1.20400k2022-07-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7691-0.31%3.751-0.79%0.0033✓0.621.2M2022-07-26
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.36905-0.31%0.4578+23.66%0.2186✗1.273902022-07-26
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.47343-0.31%0.4683-1.39%0.0078✓1.2741.4M2022-07-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2001-0.31%3.17-1.25%0.0082✓0.5382k2022-07-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.837073-0.30%0.8489+1.11%0.0170✗1.211.2M2022-07-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.183664-0.29%0.1802-2.17%0.0156✓1.411,0652022-07-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.258-0.29%2.2693+0.21%0.0088✗1.579,0562022-07-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.9332-0.28%27.07+0.22%0.0074✗0.9510.6M2022-07-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.52851-0.28%0.553+4.34%0.0488✗1.4384k2022-07-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.053255-0.28%0.052442-1.80%0.0139✓0.6218k2022-07-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9482-0.28%9.227+2.83%0.0340✗1.3713.0M2022-07-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0663-0.27%4.98-1.97%0.0137✓1.43947k2022-07-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.98e-7-0.27%8.70e-7-3.33%0.0288✓1.0025k2022-07-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9441-0.27%5.9-1.01%0.0042✓1.31248k2022-07-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2379-0.27%2.1986-2.02%0.0158✓0.79895k2022-07-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.358049-0.26%0.36615+1.99%0.0254✗1.23113k2022-07-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.081385-0.26%0.0788-3.43%0.0293✓1.22172k2022-07-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1979-0.26%1.183-1.50%0.0095✓1.241.3M2022-07-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.748-0.25%4.9+2.94%0.0331✗0.66514k2022-07-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.596474-0.25%0.60729+1.56%0.0218✗1.5686k2022-07-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.871303-0.25%0.87877+0.61%0.0118✗1.36423k2022-07-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3602-0.25%2.329-1.56%0.0090✓1.7587k2022-07-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.524311-0.25%0.5372+2.21%0.0272✗1.20642k2022-07-26
KSMKusamaHydration58.4958.3467-0.25%58.13-0.62%0.0008✓1.20227k2022-07-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039903-0.24%0.0394-1.50%0.0103✓0.992,0302022-07-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.405728-0.24%0.40399-0.67%0.0007✓1.47602k2022-07-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.6227-0.24%2.595-1.29%0.0079✓1.12619k2022-07-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.114227-0.24%0.1126-1.66%0.0119✓1.015,8712022-07-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006673-0.23%0.006894+3.06%0.0339✗0.5546k2022-07-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.314-0.23%15.15-1.30%0.0074✓1.381.3M2022-07-26
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.063515-0.23%0.065339+2.63%0.0302✗0.80373k2022-07-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1887-0.23%6.587+6.19%0.0655✗1.285.3M2022-07-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.4063-0.23%6.344-1.20%0.0067✓1.2816.7M2022-07-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,259.47-0.23%6,861.88+9.37%0.0952✗1.354.0M2022-07-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019327-0.22%0.01989+2.68%0.0313✗1.06129k2022-07-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5416-0.22%1.521-1.55%0.0099✓1.45212k2022-07-26
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2450.1304-0.22%48.14-4.18%0.0371✓1.3832k2022-07-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5927-0.20%1.581-0.94%0.0043✓1.29606k2022-07-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3069-0.20%1.3512+3.18%0.0369✗1.46561k2022-07-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025658-0.20%0.02802+8.98%0.0914✗1.351,3002022-07-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060378-0.20%0.0621+2.64%0.0305✗0.98156k2022-07-26
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3972-0.20%1.408+0.57%0.0112✗1.45317k2022-07-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.672678-0.20%0.662-1.78%0.0129✓1.25149k2022-07-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107591-0.19%0.1076-0.19%0.0027✗1.09380k2022-07-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041323-0.19%0.0406-1.93%0.0143✓1.357,5232022-07-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.280483-0.18%0.276-1.78%0.0136✓1.05673k2022-07-26
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.2222-0.18%15.17-0.52%0.0001✓1.3997k2022-07-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,438.16-0.18%1,449.63+0.62%0.0110✗1.24344.6M2022-07-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047517-0.18%0.0466-2.10%0.0162✓1.34787k2022-07-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.275221-0.17%0.2798+1.49%0.0193✗1.1465k2022-07-26
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003963-0.17%0.00396-0.25%0.0025✗1.34106k2022-07-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.434661-0.17%0.4351-0.07%0.0037✗1.1241k2022-07-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010672-0.17%0.00001087+1.68%0.0214✗1.261.1M2022-07-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.122997-0.16%0.1205-2.19%0.0181✓1.013.1M2022-07-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105815-0.16%0.105578-0.39%0.0002✓1.016.7M2022-07-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033645-0.16%0.0331-1.78%0.0133✓1.2472k2022-07-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1354.0426-0.16%54.585+0.84%0.0120✗0.84369k2022-07-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.823604-0.16%0.8158-1.10%0.0060✓1.441.4M2022-07-26
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.79e-7-0.16%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0078✓0.845.9M2022-07-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.192701-0.15%0.197+2.07%0.0259✗1.55881k2022-07-26
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.5842-0.15%36.29-0.96%0.0048✓1.3680.3M2022-07-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.085373-0.15%0.0831-2.81%0.0249✓0.84148k2022-07-26
XVGVergenative0.003450.003445-0.15%0.00342-0.87%0.0040✓1.34566k2022-07-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.4276-0.15%8.28-1.90%0.0148✓1.16243k2022-07-26
XMRMoneroMonero144.12143.9095-0.15%151.3+4.98%0.0528✗1.111.1M2022-07-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017894-0.15%0.01741-2.85%0.0255✓0.77354k2022-07-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.8797-0.14%20.71-0.96%0.0043✓1.6027.0M2022-07-26
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.6595-0.14%12.1905-3.84%0.0348✓1.2078k2022-07-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.061849-0.13%0.062568+1.03%0.0144✗1.151.8M2022-07-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.295-0.13%2.315+0.74%0.0111✗1.00863k2022-07-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2471-0.13%2.26+0.44%0.0094✗1.52205k2022-07-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1743-0.13%2.204+1.24%0.0170✗1.4237k2022-07-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.8364-0.12%1.8627+1.31%0.0172✗1.2324k2022-07-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.00844-0.12%0.00837-0.95%0.0060✓0.931.3M2022-07-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005622-0.12%0.005867+4.24%0.0449✗0.912,9222022-07-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026718-0.12%0.02683+0.30%0.0073✗1.2718k2022-07-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2465-0.12%1.272+1.92%0.0235✗1.322.4M2022-07-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.692184-0.12%0.678-2.16%0.0164✓1.765.3M2022-07-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3684-0.12%1.39+1.46%0.0191✗1.44127k2022-07-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.91266-0.12%0.897047-1.82%0.0149✓0.9851k2022-07-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013435-0.11%0.014189+5.49%0.0568✗0.911.2M2022-07-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.232-0.11%5.321+1.58%0.0196✗1.111.9M2022-07-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.274491-0.11%0.2763+0.55%0.0095✗1.202.7M2022-07-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078414-0.11%0.0763-2.80%0.0243✓1.236,7862022-07-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4497-0.11%9.664+2.16%0.0251✗1.112.1M2022-07-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.0956-0.10%0.0972+1.57%0.0199✗1.372.4M2022-07-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000989123-0.10%0.0009725-1.78%0.0138✓1.311.7M2022-07-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.231874-0.10%0.2369+2.07%0.0241✗1.1161k2022-07-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.622413-0.09%0.636+2.09%0.0240✗0.97387k2022-07-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.119291-0.09%0.1195+0.08%0.0050✗1.3447k2022-07-26
ZECZcashZcash54.254.1505-0.09%55.75+2.86%0.0322✗1.281.4M2022-07-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006544-0.09%0.00629-3.97%0.0372✓1.01355k2022-07-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.311335-0.08%0.311-0.19%0.0018✗1.187.5M2022-07-26
DASHDashDash44.8844.843-0.08%43.99-1.98%0.0165✓1.11498k2022-07-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008423-0.08%0.00868+2.97%0.0324✗0.994.5M2022-07-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,601.89-0.08%21,133.30-2.25%0.0196✓0.9820k2022-07-26
XECeCashnative0.000038290.00003826-0.08%0.0000392+2.38%0.0272✗1.191.9M2022-07-26
STXStacksnative0.40070.400384-0.08%0.3948-1.47%0.0109✓1.28606k2022-07-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.362116-0.08%0.3668+1.21%0.0162✗1.3670k2022-07-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0823-0.08%5.0946+0.17%0.0029✗0.19214k2022-07-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.215549-0.07%0.2085-3.34%0.0296✓1.4999k2022-07-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.9849-0.06%53.9-0.22%0.0012✗1.1513.6M2022-07-26
FLOWFlownative1.6271.626-0.06%1.596-1.91%0.0155✓1.26332k2022-07-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.131525-0.06%0.1344+2.13%0.0247✗1.2681k2022-07-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.101349-0.05%0.1035+2.07%0.0237✗1.11617k2022-07-26
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5077-0.05%1.5561+3.16%0.0347✗1.28492k2022-07-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,303.31-0.05%21,261.57-0.24%0.0005✓1.00374.5M2022-07-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001478-0.04%0.001432-3.18%0.0293✓1.0620k2022-07-26
PROPropyEthereum0.790.789675-0.04%0.76-3.80%0.0366✓0.6983k2022-07-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0524-0.02%1.0569+0.40%0.0069✗1.1045k2022-07-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.662874-0.02%0.651-1.81%0.0144✓1.5179k2022-07-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03118.011-0.02%118.94+0.77%0.0107✗1.164.2M2022-07-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.047932-0.02%0.04905+2.32%0.0266✗1.46712k2022-07-26
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.3888-0.01%81.26-0.17%0.0025✗1.668.1M2022-07-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047595-0.01%0.0477+0.21%0.0058✗1.48119k2022-07-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.488775-0.01%0.4887-0.02%0.0026✗1.15350k2022-07-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.222103+0.00%0.2245+1.08%0.0138✓1.26119k2022-07-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.281476+0.01%0.289449+2.84%0.0311✓1.301.1M2022-07-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092822+0.02%0.0949+2.26%0.0254✓1.34502k2022-07-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.059018+0.03%0.0586-0.68%0.0036✗1.43328k2022-07-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7595+0.04%6.782+0.37%0.0063✓1.248.6M2022-07-26
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9745+0.12%4.0166+1.18%0.0123✓0.72919k2022-07-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.