8=======>

2022-07-24 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 184 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1530
184 of 184 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.4%
in alpha space · 60.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (184 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.01060.913809-9.57%0.04351-95.69%2.9978✓0.987,6782022-08-23
OPTIMOptimism0.9190.835166-9.12%1.335+45.27%0.5530✗1.761.1M2022-08-23
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099510.000090964-8.59%0.00010583+6.35%0.2424✗1.90735k2022-08-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8120.743148-8.48%0.592-27.09%0.1525✓1.564,1662022-08-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.1614.9047-7.77%18.01+11.45%0.2344✗0.942.1M2022-08-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.6119.0415-7.61%41.17+99.76%0.8456✗1.56431k2022-08-23
CBKCobakEthereum1.05690.979779-7.30%0.94089-10.98%0.0137✓1.137,7462022-08-23
QNTQuantEthereum97.7390.7048-7.19%109.96+12.51%0.2409✗1.013.2M2022-08-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1522.001-7.02%1.817-15.57%0.0272✓1.45128k2022-08-23
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90820.845166-6.94%0.8205-9.66%0.0468✓1.60241k2022-08-23
GMTGMTEthereum0.970.908107-6.38%0.7906-18.49%0.0522✓1.80601k2022-08-23
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.486169-6.33%0.444-14.45%0.0334✓1.2011k2022-08-23
FORTFortaEthereum0.28580.268911-5.91%0.2756-3.57%0.0853✗1.27343k2022-08-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047160.044496-5.65%0.04645-1.51%0.0870✗0.9214k2022-08-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.150725-5.62%0.1575-1.38%0.1058✗1.29361k2022-08-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441050.416355-5.60%0.39145-11.25%0.0089✓1.47615k2022-08-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1622.9891-5.47%5.147+62.78%0.5740✗0.641.6M2022-08-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37571.3008-5.45%1.1837-13.96%0.0237✓1.484.7M2022-08-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.750.711526-5.13%0.722-3.73%0.0995✗1.775.4M2022-08-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8163.6229-5.06%6.803+78.28%0.6575✗0.572.2M2022-08-23
FISStafiEthereum0.44150.419391-5.01%0.301-31.82%0.2785✓1.113902022-08-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06910.065731-4.88%0.07645+10.64%0.2136✗1.3128k2022-08-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.4223.2564-4.84%3.05-10.87%0.0153✓1.693.7M2022-08-23
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.7904-4.77%2.3+22.34%0.3032✗1.10157k2022-08-23
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4097-4.75%1.43-3.38%0.0254✓0.23366k2022-08-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.244.039-4.74%6.39+50.71%0.4893✗0.64694k2022-08-23
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.513.3442-4.72%2.79-20.51%0.1574✓0.5086k2022-08-23
XEMNEMnative0.0486820.046442-4.60%0.046576-4.33%0.0602✗1.2019k2022-08-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.983.7981-4.57%5.38+35.18%0.3855✗0.78597k2022-08-23
DODODODOEthereum0.15580.148808-4.49%0.1397-10.33%0.0013✓1.292.8M2022-08-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.573.4098-4.49%3.142-11.99%0.0301✓1.08584k2022-08-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.020828-4.40%0.021625-0.74%0.0852✗1.005,9912022-08-23
DIADIAEthereum0.430170.411377-4.37%0.4051-5.83%0.0203✓0.7451k2022-08-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026260.025121-4.34%0.02356-10.28%0.0131✓1.6113.7M2022-08-23
UNIUniswapEthereum7.256.9418-4.25%7.109-1.94%0.0892✗1.375.5M2022-08-23
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4436.1868-3.98%5.245-18.59%0.0829✓1.7211.7M2022-08-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.19660.188946-3.89%0.1725-12.26%0.0231✓1.421,7562022-08-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017490.016812-3.88%0.02313+32.25%0.3424✗0.49163k2022-08-23
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19610.188615-3.82%0.1727-11.93%0.0204✓1.421,1672022-08-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.5724.598-3.80%34.36+34.38%0.3958✗1.291.2M2022-08-23
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45950.442562-3.69%0.39-15.13%0.0786✓1.00224k2022-08-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.215.9843-3.63%7.88+26.89%0.3382✗1.32256k2022-08-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.23452.1535-3.63%6.0884+172.47%1.0833✗0.92933k2022-08-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,980.966,727.94-3.62%9,225.54+32.15%0.3797✗1.344.1M2022-08-23
API3Api3Ethereum1.7621.6984-3.61%1.962+11.35%0.2054✗1.28603k2022-08-23
STORJStorjEthereum0.657260.633585-3.60%0.57919-11.88%0.0149✓1.5794k2022-08-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05030.048504-3.57%0.047-6.56%0.0267✓1.22263k2022-08-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42290.407878-3.55%0.3844-9.10%0.0140✓1.53208k2022-08-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08640.083333-3.55%0.0678-21.53%0.1460✓1.26188k2022-08-23
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3371.291-3.44%1.067-20.19%0.1320✓1.221.3M2022-08-23
METISMetisEthereum30.5429.4977-3.41%34.76+13.82%0.2120✗1.00138k2022-08-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.389760.376462-3.41%0.37206-4.54%0.0473✗1.24105k2022-08-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03590.034683-3.39%0.0382+6.41%0.1560✗1.2476k2022-08-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.31040.300458-3.20%0.29912-3.63%0.0601✗1.358,9972022-08-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.989.6611-3.20%12.135+21.59%0.2932✗1.3612.9M2022-08-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9040.875434-3.16%1.3042+44.27%0.4566✗1.211.2M2022-08-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6056.4033-3.05%6.378-3.44%0.0573✗1.285.0M2022-08-23
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.253426-3.05%0.2605-0.34%0.0281✓0.0135k2022-08-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1712.7688-3.05%13.6+3.26%0.1337✗1.481.2M2022-08-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0936.8784-3.02%7.241+2.09%0.1121✗1.2716.7M2022-08-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011259-3.02%0.00001332+14.73%0.2280✗1.251.1M2022-08-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06840.066346-3.00%0.0622-9.06%0.0177✓0.98156k2022-08-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.8223.1117-2.97%23.51-1.30%0.0923✗1.5727.0M2022-08-23
HIVEHivenative0.45870.445063-2.97%0.5572+21.47%0.2850✗1.261.4M2022-08-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8733.7585-2.96%13.538+249.55%1.3118✗0.631.3M2022-08-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87330.847782-2.92%1.0251+17.38%0.2372✗0.993.5M2022-08-23
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073820.07167-2.91%0.07069-4.24%0.0213✓0.731,8342022-08-23
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45392.3834-2.87%2.4359-0.73%0.0971✗1.578,0962022-08-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031150.003031-2.71%0.003625+16.37%0.2293✗1.051.0M2022-08-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.210.20438-2.68%0.185-11.90%0.0248✓1.56881k2022-08-23
COMPCompoundEthereum56.2854.7858-2.66%50.74-9.84%0.0111✓1.3733k2022-08-23
ADACardanoCardano0.5120.498408-2.65%0.466-8.98%0.0064✓1.2741.5M2022-08-23
BANDBandEthereum1.5691.5275-2.64%1.373-12.49%0.0375✓1.44317k2022-08-23
FTTFTXEthereum29.1228.3529-2.63%27.78-4.60%0.0250✓0.9510.6M2022-08-23
STEEMSteemnative0.24090.234581-2.62%0.2343-2.74%0.0556✗1.19628k2022-08-23
KSMKusamaHydration64.7163.0468-2.57%49.54-23.44%0.1842✓1.19227k2022-08-23
SOLSolanaSolana40.9439.891-2.56%35.67-12.87%0.0476✓1.3478.7M2022-08-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.216.7795-2.44%14.66-14.77%0.0694✓1.371.3M2022-08-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11820.115322-2.44%0.1117-5.50%0.0202✓1.09380k2022-08-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5840.57053-2.31%0.569-2.57%0.0657✗1.4384k2022-08-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.334.2331-2.24%7.04+62.59%0.5395✗0.64504k2022-08-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27172.2225-2.17%5.9126+160.27%1.0173✗0.81941k2022-08-23
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48280.472364-2.16%0.41-15.08%0.0891✓1.1041k2022-08-23
ELAElastosEthereum1.6081.5737-2.13%1.847+14.86%0.1913✗0.65219k2022-08-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.3991-2.08%2.44-0.41%0.0896✗1.52205k2022-08-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12270.120152-2.08%0.1087-11.41%0.0524✓1.006,3742022-08-23
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91830.899515-2.05%0.8686-5.41%0.0333✗1.431.3M2022-08-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3751.347-2.04%1.242-9.67%0.0188✓1.302.5M2022-08-23
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095440.093506-2.03%0.08526-10.67%0.0445✓1.00690k2022-08-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04260.041744-2.01%0.039-8.45%0.0219✓0.962,0302022-08-23
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027520.026976-1.98%0.02647-3.82%0.0461✗1.361,3182022-08-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV58.10356.9677-1.95%56.254-3.18%0.0272✗0.83383k2022-08-23
MOVRMoonriverBase13.606513.3507-1.88%13.7842+1.31%0.0898✗1.2182k2022-08-23
FLOWFlownative1.8341.8005-1.83%2.143+16.85%0.2335✗1.24332k2022-08-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.866.7375-1.79%9.49+38.34%0.3667✗0.50670k2022-08-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.3540.34778-1.76%0.32919-7.01%0.0038✓1.23398k2022-08-23
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.642.5943-1.73%2.153-18.45%0.1029✓1.7587k2022-08-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6141.5867-1.69%1.57-2.73%0.0595✗1.46217k2022-08-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34060.334946-1.66%0.3076-9.69%0.0291✓1.177.5M2022-08-23
ETHEthereumEthereum1,597.721,571.55-1.64%1,665.93+4.27%0.1172✗1.23339.7M2022-08-23
SUSHISushiEthereum1.351.3283-1.61%1.2121-10.21%0.0199✓1.50809k2022-08-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.21175.1294-1.58%5.389+3.40%0.0586✗0.19214k2022-08-23
XYMSymbolnative0.0548520.054041-1.48%0.048516-11.55%0.0778✓0.6317k2022-08-23
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.17e-7-1.42%9.00e-7-3.23%0.0294✗1.0025k2022-08-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07220.071175-1.42%0.0673-6.79%0.0063✓1.04226k2022-08-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018990.018723-1.41%0.01736-8.58%0.0392✓0.76354k2022-08-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.25360.250055-1.40%0.2559+0.91%0.0754✗1.0961k2022-08-23
QTUMQtumQtum3.41753.3698-1.40%3.5261+3.18%0.0970✗1.0825k2022-08-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158710.156569-1.35%0.14275-10.06%0.0166✓1.58176k2022-08-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067290.006641-1.31%0.006696-0.49%0.0360✗0.5848k2022-08-23
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7470.737283-1.30%0.733-1.87%0.0548✗1.27149k2022-08-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4422-1.22%1.4-4.11%0.0391✗1.44127k2022-08-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41651.3992-1.22%1.9086+34.74%0.3782✗1.42561k2022-08-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.854.7937-1.16%7.16+47.63%0.4339✗0.68514k2022-08-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0530.052403-1.13%0.0517-2.45%0.0506✗1.34798k2022-08-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1132070.11194-1.12%0.110676-2.24%0.0367✗1.016.7M2022-08-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.129643-1.04%0.124-5.34%0.0191✗1.3344k2022-08-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09060.089664-1.03%0.1015+12.03%0.1627✗0.81148k2022-08-23
XECeCashnative0.000041650.000041222-1.03%0.00003947-5.23%0.0136✗1.191.9M2022-08-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010620.001052-0.96%0.001591+49.76%0.4759✗1.301.7M2022-08-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2633.2319-0.95%5.224+60.10%0.5177✗0.78488k2022-08-23
XVSVenusEthereum5.345.2903-0.93%5.74+7.49%0.1498✗1.43959k2022-08-23
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.8522-0.93%17.42+2.41%0.0997✗1.39100k2022-08-23
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7790.77189-0.91%0.893+14.63%0.1833✗0.791.1M2022-08-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24030.238288-0.84%0.2228-7.28%0.0071✓1.26119k2022-08-23
DASHDashDash48.9148.5111-0.82%48.5-0.84%0.0523✗1.10570k2022-08-23
MANADecentralandEthereum0.96450.956831-0.80%0.83469-13.46%0.0718✓1.35423k2022-08-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6750.669998-0.74%0.725+7.41%0.1254✗0.97405k2022-08-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.10850.107705-0.73%0.2505+130.88%0.8971✗1.11617k2022-08-23
UMAUMAEthereum2.8622.8411-0.73%2.977+4.02%0.1000✗1.11621k2022-08-23
XVGVergenative0.003680.003656-0.66%0.00324-11.96%0.0564✓1.35577k2022-08-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0677480.067316-0.64%0.068797+1.55%0.0778✗1.171.8M2022-08-23
SCSiacoinnative0.004280.004253-0.63%0.00408-4.67%0.0227✗1.34115k2022-08-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13020.129441-0.58%0.1294-0.61%0.0489✗1.033.1M2022-08-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.04672.0349-0.57%1.9643-4.02%0.0232✗1.2224k2022-08-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008960.008911-0.55%0.00923+3.01%0.0830✗1.004.7M2022-08-23
XTZTezosTezos1.68161.6725-0.54%1.5941-5.20%0.0128✗1.27485k2022-08-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4642.451-0.53%4.3642+77.12%0.6247✗1.00863k2022-08-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29990.298379-0.51%0.3902+30.11%0.3224✗1.1359k2022-08-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.19.0549-0.50%10.63+16.81%0.2165✗1.17252k2022-08-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40350.401503-0.49%0.3851-4.56%0.0229✗1.3570k2022-08-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3020.300506-0.49%0.2977-1.42%0.0478✗1.202.7M2022-08-23
AAVEAaveEthereum90.5390.0843-0.49%89.48-1.16%0.0720✗1.658.3M2022-08-23
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052690.052435-0.48%0.07289+38.34%0.3993✗1.46712k2022-08-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3622.3514-0.45%2.25-4.74%0.0237✗1.4243k2022-08-23
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.36e-7-0.45%9.10e-7-3.19%0.0118✗0.835.9M2022-08-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020210.020128-0.40%0.02359+16.72%0.2096✗1.06129k2022-08-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006765-0.37%0.00808+19.00%0.2263✗1.02355k2022-08-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.06450.064261-0.37%0.0652+1.09%0.0820✗1.41325k2022-08-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6415.6202-0.37%6.378+13.07%0.1796✗1.111.9M2022-08-23
NANOnanopayBase0.9464270.943035-0.36%0.943427-0.32%0.0485✗1.0157k2022-08-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,846.4022,767.63-0.34%21,511.10-5.84%0.0099✓0.9820k2022-08-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.008960.008942-0.21%0.00708-20.98%0.1896✓0.921.3M2022-08-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.105692-0.20%0.1008-4.82%0.0157✗1.32502k2022-08-23
XMRMoneroMonero151.27151.165-0.07%154.81+2.34%0.0776✗1.121.1M2022-08-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04390.043903+0.01%0.0408-7.06%0.0079✗1.377,6872022-08-23
PROPropyEthereum0.780.780841+0.11%0.74-5.13%0.0195✗0.7289k2022-08-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58080.581463+0.11%0.5139-11.52%0.0662✗1.20642k2022-08-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.81e-7+0.12%8.22e-7+116.12%0.8174✓1.00234k2022-08-23
LSKLiskEthereum1.13411.1355+0.13%1.1311-0.26%0.0484✓1.0945k2022-08-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5292.5329+0.15%4.429+75.13%0.6026✓0.91105k2022-08-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,583.4322,620.15+0.16%21,528.34-4.67%0.0016✗1.00368.3M2022-08-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10490.105084+0.18%0.1138+8.48%0.1450✓1.362.4M2022-08-23
TRXTRONTron0.0668460.067059+0.32%0.066225-0.93%0.0257✓0.80369k2022-08-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0142210.014271+0.35%0.01447+1.75%0.0582✓0.931.2M2022-08-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23480.235936+0.48%0.2192-6.64%0.0020✓1.50106k2022-08-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3086010.310185+0.51%0.310587+0.64%0.0608✓1.241.1M2022-08-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028970.029127+0.54%0.03743+29.20%0.3119✓1.2818k2022-08-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.1440.144884+0.61%0.1488+3.33%0.0869✓1.2681k2022-08-23
STXStacksnative0.4370.439693+0.62%0.3899-10.78%0.0592✗1.27606k2022-08-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3997.4493+0.68%7.635+3.19%0.0839✓1.248.5M2022-08-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2860.287974+0.69%0.287+0.35%0.0475✓1.06589k2022-08-23
KCSKuCoinnative9.8739.949+0.77%9.713-1.62%0.0292✓1.112.1M2022-08-23
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6930.698664+0.82%0.973+40.40%0.3902✓1.23729k2022-08-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.3758.9257+0.95%57.1-2.18%0.0232✓1.1413.7M2022-08-23
ZECZcashZcash5959.5707+0.97%66.35+12.46%0.1699✓1.301.4M2022-08-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053758+1.43%0.0546+3.02%0.0865✓1.48135k2022-08-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.74241+1.84%0.617-15.36%0.1122✗1.5294k2022-08-23
GTGateEthereum4.16274.2641+2.44%4.5224+8.64%0.0928✓0.71919k2022-08-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash131.93136.1312+3.18%133.41+1.12%0.0344✓1.144.2M2022-08-23
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.087232+3.23%0.0914+8.17%0.1054✓1.236,7862022-08-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058640.006055+3.24%0.005889+0.42%0.0163✓0.922,9222022-08-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001620.001687+4.16%0.001585-2.16%0.0129✓1.0417k2022-08-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5290.555508+5.01%0.4933-6.75%0.0641✗1.14340k2022-08-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.