8=======>

2022-07-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1774
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 59.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.9410.844758-10.23%1.169+24.23%0.4094✗1.761.1M2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.990230.900589-9.05%1.0344+4.46%0.1846✗0.965,7282022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.830.755764-8.94%0.595-28.31%0.1646✓1.555,0122022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099760.000091026-8.76%0.00009153-8.25%0.0980✗1.93735k2022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.3718.6249-8.57%45.2+121.89%0.9607✗1.54431k2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.179610.164661-8.32%0.15772-12.19%0.0748✓2.451,0922022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.8515.4856-8.10%18.19+7.95%0.2072✗0.962.1M2022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.06670.988948-7.29%0.93212-12.62%0.0053✓1.127,7462022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.92080.854369-7.21%0.8216-10.77%0.0373✓1.59281k2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum100.4993.2442-7.21%107.36+6.84%0.1891✗1.003.2M2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.162.0105-6.92%1.719-20.42%0.0875✓1.44128k2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5230.489044-6.49%0.439-16.06%0.0511✓1.1811k2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.30250.284328-6.01%0.2744-9.29%0.0256✓1.27365k2022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.9460.890009-5.92%0.784-17.12%0.0402✓1.80601k2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9538-5.72%5.285+68.69%0.6120✗0.631.6M2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.7921-5.68%2.32+22.11%0.3110✗1.10150k2022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.440650.415808-5.64%0.40324-8.49%0.0397✓1.47647k2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.45990.434183-5.59%–pending––1.123902022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047020.044393-5.59%0.0462-1.74%0.0837✗0.9113k2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.39691.3221-5.35%1.0995-21.29%0.1137✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7433.5436-5.33%7.119+90.20%0.7247✗0.572.2M2022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7570.716695-5.32%0.704-7.00%0.0668✗1.765.4M2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.5563.368-5.29%3.083-13.30%0.0365✓1.08575k2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16090.152666-5.12%0.1493-7.21%0.0393✓1.28356k2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3971-4.96%1.6+8.84%0.1469✗0.23366k2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0506860.048186-4.93%0.045657-9.92%0.0036✓1.2019k2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.15870.151335-4.64%0.137-13.67%0.0377✓1.292.8M2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068930.065745-4.62%0.07313+6.09%0.1691✗1.3027k2022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4470.426412-4.61%0.3834-14.23%0.0330✓1.53208k2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0448-4.55%2.72-14.73%0.0896✓0.4886k2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.863.6878-4.46%5.41+40.16%0.4201✗0.77597k2022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.434260.415218-4.38%0.39068-10.04%0.0257✓0.7351k2022-08-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027490.026286-4.38%0.02253-18.04%0.0770✓1.6114.2M2022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218060.020867-4.31%0.021328-2.19%0.0693✗0.993,8342022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6724.602-4.16%34.05+32.65%0.3865✗1.281.2M2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6436.3703-4.11%5.205-21.65%0.1184✓1.7411.7M2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9656.6804-4.09%6.983+0.26%0.1095✗1.365.6M2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2313.0996-4.07%3.003-7.06%0.0492✗1.693.7M2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017650.016953-3.95%0.023564+33.51%0.3525✗0.48165k2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.45010.432984-3.80%0.3755-16.57%0.0944✓1.00241k2022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.7491.6843-3.70%1.89+8.06%0.1763✗1.27611k2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.993.8455-3.62%6.52+63.41%0.5581✗0.63694k2022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19010.183289-3.58%0.1649-13.26%0.0379✓1.411,3132022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20362.1261-3.52%6.4198+191.33%1.1482✗0.90969k2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.178552-3.49%0.1683-9.03%0.0088✓1.421,7812022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.034948-3.46%0.0372+2.76%0.1217✗1.2384k2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.047645-3.36%0.0461-6.49%0.0247✓1.20276k2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.641083-3.35%0.5697-14.11%0.0433✓1.5695k2022-08-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,490.006,273.78-3.33%8,930.03+37.60%0.4170✗1.334.1M2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3461.3016-3.30%1.053-21.77%0.1531✓1.221.5M2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.25.9969-3.28%7.79+25.65%0.3247✗1.31263k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2217.6281-3.25%14.28-21.62%0.1452✓1.361.3M2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08590.083116-3.24%0.0685-20.26%0.1336✓1.25202k2022-08-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.310980.300942-3.23%0.29531-5.04%0.0455✗1.348,9402022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.90770.878521-3.21%1.3574+49.54%0.4931✗1.211.2M2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066021-3.19%0.0597-12.46%0.0535✓0.98156k2022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073160.070839-3.17%0.07069-3.38%0.0331✗0.731,6422022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum29.6128.6786-3.15%32.76+10.64%0.1811✗1.00135k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387660.375485-3.14%0.36185-6.66%0.0220✓1.23113k2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8713.7532-3.04%14.607+277.34%1.3887✗0.621.3M2022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.253877-2.95%0.2612-0.15%0.0290✓0.0142k2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.1269.8295-2.93%11.09+9.52%0.1858✗1.3613.0M2022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.204919-2.88%0.184-12.80%0.0334✓1.55881k2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.676.4791-2.86%6.382-4.32%0.0461✗1.275.0M2022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.45620.443718-2.74%0.5535+21.33%0.2812✗1.251.4M2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8446.6568-2.73%7.045+2.94%0.1173✗1.2617.4M2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011630.000011313-2.73%0.00001316+13.16%0.2113✗1.251.2M2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003190.003104-2.71%0.003502+9.78%0.1708✗1.041.0M2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86660.843168-2.70%1.0364+19.59%0.2537✗0.993.5M2022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.354.2333-2.68%7.03+61.61%0.5378✗0.64504k2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.712.3637-2.65%13.67+7.64%0.1711✗1.471.2M2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.51710.503596-2.61%0.4615-10.75%0.0264✓1.2743.2M2022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.45732.3932-2.61%2.4125-1.82%0.0830✗1.568,0962022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.5731.5325-2.57%1.347-14.37%0.0599✓1.44349k2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration67.0865.3689-2.55%50.58-24.60%0.1992✓1.19231k2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.6323.0327-2.53%22.56-4.53%0.0546✗1.5727.5M2022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.24310.237021-2.50%0.2327-4.28%0.0380✗1.18701k2022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5930.578606-2.43%0.552-6.91%0.0212✓1.4284k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum28.527.8286-2.36%27.72-2.74%0.0417✗0.9510.6M2022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum55.9654.6619-2.32%50.45-9.85%0.0144✓1.3734k2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11960.116944-2.22%0.1106-7.53%0.0038✓1.08398k2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.26492.2154-2.19%6.1535+171.69%1.0599✗0.80941k2022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.6131.5778-2.18%1.818+12.71%0.1731✗0.65206k2022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097680.095564-2.17%0.0872-10.73%0.0436✓1.00677k2022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12350.120826-2.16%0.1051-14.90%0.0919✓0.996,9162022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49090.480424-2.13%0.4022-18.07%0.1249✓1.1045k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027350.026786-2.06%0.02625-4.02%0.0450✗1.361,3182022-08-22
FLOWFlownative1.8471.8104-1.98%2.13+15.32%0.2222✗1.24332k2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.756.618-1.96%9.64+42.81%0.3998✗0.49670k2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana39.9839.2163-1.91%35.43-11.38%0.0373✓1.3480.3M2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.462.4141-1.86%2.41-2.03%0.0708✗1.51216k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.21356.149-1.86%55.291-3.36%0.0244✗0.83383k2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.611.5803-1.84%1.515-5.90%0.0278✗1.46212k2022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3941.3687-1.81%1.22-12.48%0.0524✓1.302.6M2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92480.908118-1.80%0.85-8.09%0.0025✓1.431.3M2022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase13.479713.2379-1.79%13.4763-0.03%0.0754✗1.2088k2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07240.071177-1.69%0.0655-9.53%0.0334✓1.04216k2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23175.1488-1.58%5.1079-2.37%0.0014✓0.20219k2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.159210.156806-1.51%0.1406-11.69%0.0333✓1.58166k2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46233.4124-1.44%3.4703+0.23%0.0687✗1.0826k2022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018680.018414-1.42%0.01775-4.98%0.0008✓0.75354k2022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.824.753-1.39%6.95+44.19%0.4122✗0.67514k2022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33510.330501-1.37%0.3032-9.52%0.0302✓1.177.7M2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.341.3223-1.32%1.19-11.19%0.0341✓1.48856k2022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04220.041644-1.32%0.03992-5.40%0.0043✓0.972,7572022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0542760.053561-1.32%0.04966-8.50%0.0458✓0.6217k2022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,549.151,528.94-1.30%1,624.78+4.88%0.1198✗1.23339.7M2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.28e-7-1.30%8.90e-7-5.32%0.0064✓1.0026k2022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.34210.337697-1.29%0.32171-5.96%0.0109✓1.24400k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25510.252173-1.15%0.2541-0.39%0.0597✗1.0961k2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4631-1.14%1.38-6.76%0.0106✓1.44129k2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6262.597-1.10%2.096-20.18%0.1305✓1.7587k2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42471.4097-1.06%1.9268+35.24%0.3809✗1.42609k2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067170.006646-1.05%0.006798+1.21%0.0506✗0.5849k2022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09120.090246-1.05%0.1+9.65%0.1402✗0.78148k2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2353.2021-1.02%4.978+53.88%0.4782✗0.77488k2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000041750.00004133-1.01%0.00003884-6.97%0.0053✓1.181.9M2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7330.725788-0.98%0.713-2.73%0.0430✗1.27149k2022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1320.130807-0.90%0.1214-8.03%0.0113✓1.3244k2022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.978550.970195-0.85%0.83161-15.02%0.0895✓1.35423k2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24020.238156-0.85%0.2183-9.12%0.0272✓1.25119k2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05310.052652-0.84%0.0509-4.14%0.0302✗1.33800k2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.775523-0.83%0.855+9.34%0.1349✗0.781.1M2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1116330.110763-0.78%0.109492-1.92%0.0366✗1.006.8M2022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.6541.6416-0.75%1.589-3.93%0.0281✗1.26485k2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.8082.7875-0.73%2.876+2.42%0.0842✗1.10621k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.395.3514-0.72%5.66+5.01%0.1239✗1.411.0M2022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020320.020178-0.70%0.02224+9.45%0.1482✗1.06123k2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.133762-0.70%0.1283-4.75%0.0075✗1.033.3M2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40690.404213-0.66%0.3773-7.27%0.0043✓1.3483k2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62620.622107-0.65%0.5031-19.66%0.1552✓1.19624k2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003660.003636-0.65%0.00321-12.30%0.0604✓1.34577k2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010580.001051-0.61%0.001485+40.38%0.4074✗1.291.7M2022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3792.3655-0.57%2.192-7.86%0.0086✓1.4143k2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.08382.0722-0.56%1.918-7.96%0.0189✓1.2226k2022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053890.053599-0.54%0.0684+26.93%0.3141✗1.46747k2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004228-0.51%0.0041-3.53%0.0334✗1.34115k2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45222.4401-0.49%4.4842+82.86%0.6557✗0.98917k2022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.10890.108406-0.45%0.2228+104.59%0.7735✗1.11647k2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase17.0416.9662-0.43%17.06+0.12%0.0721✗1.39105k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash47.6847.4893-0.40%47.23-0.94%0.0469✗1.09594k2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0679810.067712-0.40%0.068381+0.59%0.0676✗1.201.9M2022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.07e-7-0.32%8.90e-7-2.20%0.0206✗0.826.0M2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0090.008974-0.29%0.00929+3.22%0.0816✗0.984.9M2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04340.043289-0.26%0.0406-6.45%0.0005✓1.357,6872022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.74e-73.74e-7-0.25%6.81e-7+81.91%0.6485✗0.99234k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5795.5661-0.23%6.323+13.34%0.1804✗1.101.9M2022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.680.67845-0.23%0.701+3.09%0.0792✗0.97419k2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30170.301023-0.22%0.2905-3.71%0.0214✗1.192.8M2022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150350.015002-0.22%0.01426-5.15%0.0066✓0.921.2M2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.810.808482-0.19%0.71-12.35%0.0962✓0.7095k2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006777-0.18%0.00844+24.30%0.2676✗1.00359k2022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9474550.946082-0.14%0.913455-3.59%0.0134✗1.0158k2022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06390.063829-0.11%0.0641+0.31%0.0711✗1.39325k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.998.9865-0.04%10.09+12.24%0.1720✗1.17263k2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29220.292167-0.01%0.3507+20.02%0.2367✗1.1353k2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009052+0.03%0.00698-22.87%0.2161✗0.911.3M2022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum89.3689.4053+0.05%88.51-0.95%0.0687✓1.649.2M2022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.11351.1153+0.16%1.1382+2.22%0.0723✓1.0845k2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,275.9022,325.27+0.22%21,122.20-5.18%0.0085✗0.9821k2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10430.104614+0.30%0.0981-5.94%0.0009✓1.32510k2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1060.106478+0.45%0.1111+4.81%0.1079✓1.362.5M2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029260.029411+0.52%0.03687+26.01%0.2872✓1.2719k2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero146.19147.0019+0.56%153.73+5.16%0.0983✓1.121.2M2022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0669070.067281+0.56%0.065631-1.91%0.0132✓0.79369k2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.42420.426647+0.58%0.387-8.77%0.0368✗1.26521k2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,450.6922,589.48+0.62%21,398.25-4.69%0.0062✓1.00374.5M2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.308240.310543+0.75%0.305622-0.85%0.0431✓1.231.2M2022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.4614+1.00%4.77+95.73%0.7050✓0.90105k2022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14260.144068+1.03%0.1467+2.88%0.0779✓1.2584k2022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.849.9431+1.05%9.582-2.62%0.0163✓1.112.3M2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.2902+1.11%0.28-2.44%0.0148✓1.05673k2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3217.408+1.19%7.401+1.09%0.0582✓1.238.6M2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22260.225351+1.24%0.217-2.52%0.0331✓1.48115k2022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash59.1459.8764+1.25%65.09+10.06%0.1458✓1.301.5M2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.3457.0674+1.29%57.22+1.56%0.0571✓1.1314.0M2022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.695465+1.38%0.9+31.20%0.3169✓1.23758k2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.054655+1.40%0.0533-1.11%0.0456✓1.47135k2022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.11364.2158+2.49%4.5685+11.06%0.1141✓0.70930k2022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6980.715468+2.50%0.623-10.74%0.0652✗1.52105k2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08330.086291+3.59%0.0891+6.96%0.0910✓1.236,9982022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058780.006092+3.64%0.005817-1.03%0.0023✓0.913,1552022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.51127.6253+4.18%122.68+0.14%0.0149✓1.134.2M2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.0016+4.60%0.001778+16.21%0.1548✓1.0317k2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50450.530624+5.18%0.4905-2.78%0.0240✓1.14333k2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.