8=======>

2022-07-21 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1655
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.0%
in alpha space · 58.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2516.9961-11.71%18.41-4.36%0.1667✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05340.953577-9.47%1.06+0.63%0.1932✗0.961,6652022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.795961-9.24%0.569-35.12%0.1948✓1.556,1452022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000094168-9.19%0.00008807-15.07%0.1105✗1.95735k2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.164529-8.82%0.15686-13.07%0.1765✗2.461,0532022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.510501-8.68%0.463-17.17%0.0096✓1.1811k2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.715413-7.93%1.131+45.56%0.6206✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.2383-7.58%1.596-34.10%0.2076✓1.44132k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07550.994602-7.52%0.94144-12.47%0.0475✓1.127,2992022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.8495.6222-7.02%104.84+1.94%0.1834✗1.002.7M2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5915.4283-7.00%41.66+151.12%1.1346✗1.55431k2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.873401-7.00%0.8612-8.30%0.1313✗1.60214k2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.436703-5.97%0.37019-20.29%0.0318✓1.47733k2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.936517-5.78%0.799-19.62%0.0053✓1.80561k2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.3267-5.45%0.9995-28.76%0.1487✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.6293-5.44%6.408+66.96%0.6196✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.285005-5.28%0.2676-11.07%0.0543✗1.29395k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.720104-5.25%0.722-5.00%0.1633✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.0633-4.95%5.051+56.72%0.5571✗0.631.7M2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.7574-4.63%5.07+28.68%0.3693✗0.77597k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.424922-4.53%0.3666-17.64%0.0566✓1.004752022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4619-4.45%1.39-9.15%0.0290✓0.24419k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.158772-4.41%0.1493-10.11%0.0552✗1.28354k2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.145664-4.36%0.131-13.99%0.0114✓1.292.8M2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.412892-4.25%0.39983-7.28%0.0347✓0.7351k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.208975-4.18%0.1683-22.83%0.0888✓1.402,0152022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1048-4.17%2.74-15.43%0.0810✓0.4886k2022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.045848-4.14%0.04516-5.58%0.0680✗0.919,2922022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.7935-4.09%2.41+28.88%0.3956✗1.10150k2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.021376-4.06%0.02156-3.24%0.0984✗0.991,5692022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3425.2706-4.06%32.83+24.64%0.3780✗1.281.2M2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2226.9387-3.92%7.004-3.02%0.1326✗1.355.7M2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.047116-3.87%0.045083-8.01%0.0650✗1.2018k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.405873-3.73%0.3699-12.26%0.0461✗1.53208k2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.1614-3.70%2.746-16.36%0.0123✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.025039-3.62%0.02152-17.17%0.0046✓1.6114.2M2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.1122-3.44%3.057-5.15%0.0807✗1.08562k2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.035644-3.40%0.0394+6.78%0.2125✗1.2385k2022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.8356-3.39%5.82+46.60%0.4741✗0.63723k2022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.309378-3.38%0.29724-7.17%0.0822✗1.347,0062022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.070481-3.37%0.06888-5.57%0.0438✗0.731,5492022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.7686-3.36%1.86+1.64%0.1661✗1.27626k2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.2075-3.34%5.036-21.58%0.0503✓1.7411.7M2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.061961-3.31%0.07704+20.22%0.3377✗1.3225k2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0531.9794-3.24%32.45-1.82%0.1056✗1.00131k2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.914655-3.22%1.3649+44.42%0.5101✗1.211.2M2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.075304-3.21%0.0668-14.14%0.0259✓1.03209k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.048604-3.18%0.0458-8.76%0.0501✗1.20282k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.087563-3.14%0.0659-27.10%0.1711✓1.24202k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.7005-3.14%10.236-7.34%0.0788✗1.3513.0M2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.38859-3.11%0.35603-11.23%0.0243✓1.23123k2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,511.36-3.10%8,539.61+27.08%0.3924✗1.334.2M2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.191858-3.05%0.1673-15.46%0.0086✓1.412,4852022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.066911-3.03%0.0602-12.75%0.0161✓0.98183k2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.1601-2.96%5.6922+155.73%1.0507✗0.90890k2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.016938-2.96%0.022499+28.90%0.3280✗0.48167k2022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.450102-2.74%0.3838-17.07%0.0683✓1.00258k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.652251-2.65%0.56747-15.30%0.0025✓1.56104k2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3456-2.63%1.04-24.75%0.1464✓1.221.6M2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.823-2.60%10.894+177.55%1.1036✗0.621.4M2022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.12634-2.59%0.1064-17.96%0.0826✓0.985,8712022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.6536-2.59%12.68-2.39%0.1361✗1.471.1M2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.7252-2.53%6.305-8.62%0.0512✗1.275.2M2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.209702-2.46%0.181-15.81%0.0064✓1.55881k2022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.812014-2.39%1.0652+28.04%0.3616✗0.993.5M2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011704-2.38%0.00001291+7.67%0.2119✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0856.7349-2.32%49.23-15.24%0.0173✓1.3733k2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4258-2.24%2.314-6.74%0.0951✗1.567,1792022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.072-2.22%8.12+30.76%0.4103✗1.31263k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.459837-2.18%0.5428+15.46%0.2796✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0124.4683-2.17%22.3-10.84%0.0498✗1.5727.5M2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255696-2.14%0.2613+0.00%0.1127✗1.0048k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2707-2.05%6.33+45.18%0.4514✗0.64579k2022-08-20
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.5963-2.02%13.7071-7.99%0.0457✗1.19165k2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.8888-2.01%2.096-28.90%0.1624✓1.7484k2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.2662-1.96%4.3606+88.66%0.7272✗0.80947k2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4828.9067-1.94%26.69-9.46%0.0065✓0.9510.6M2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.002988-1.93%0.003393+11.36%0.2223✗1.051.1M2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.244451-1.79%0.2331-6.35%0.0593✗1.17733k2022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5758-1.76%1.857+15.77%0.2553✗1.00182k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9956.872-1.76%6.902-1.33%0.1194✗1.2617.9M2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.487184-1.76%0.4104-17.24%0.0715✓1.1049k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.604542-1.70%0.557-9.43%0.0475✗1.4284k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.118765-1.68%0.1097-9.19%0.0192✗1.08398k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.6193-1.62%1.525-7.35%0.0724✗1.45203k2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.6703-1.62%8.89+31.12%0.3319✗0.49670k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.491561-1.61%0.4513-9.67%0.0302✗1.2743.9M2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4505-1.59%1.22-17.23%0.0549✓1.302.8M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.4932-1.57%1.299-14.37%0.0080✓1.44382k2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8484-1.52%2.124+13.16%0.2521✗1.24332k2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.092571-1.49%0.09157-2.55%0.0802✗1.00626k2022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026916-1.48%0.02642-3.29%0.1056✗1.361,3802022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.970272-1.44%0.8617-12.46%0.0110✓1.421.4M2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.142.4954-1.40%35.29-18.12%0.0643✓1.3381.1M2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.3145-1.36%5.0769-5.77%0.0280✓0.19274k2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.018822-1.30%0.0177-7.18%0.0066✓0.75354k2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1860.401-1.27%48.54-20.66%0.1091✓1.20231k2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4034-1.17%1.17-17.61%0.0471✓1.48910k2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.015962-1.16%0.014688-9.05%0.0006✓0.921.2M2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.345722-1.05%0.3003-14.05%0.0347✓1.178.0M2022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4561-0.96%2.36-4.84%0.0976✗1.51205k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.5034-0.93%2.152-14.84%0.0233✓1.4143k2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.4558-0.93%1.7871+21.62%0.3344✗1.42651k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.8471-0.88%6.52+33.33%0.3573✗0.67574k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,563.58-0.77%1,575.76+0.01%0.1196✗1.23326.5M2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.6607-0.76%14.13-10.46%0.0217✗1.371.3M2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.243029-0.72%0.2207-9.84%0.0171✗1.25129k2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84356.4336-0.72%53.04-6.69%0.0138✗0.83387k2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.020935-0.69%0.02244+6.45%0.1657✗1.06127k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.6954-0.69%2.824+4.05%0.1471✗1.10621k2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4901-0.66%1.34-10.67%0.0248✗1.44134k2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.427786-0.65%0.3713-13.77%0.0196✓1.34104k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134064-0.62%0.1223-9.34%0.0282✗1.3244k2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.006867-0.58%0.006855-0.75%0.0515✗0.5950k2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.250222-0.55%0.2549+1.31%0.1174✗1.0961k2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.055317-0.51%0.0503-9.53%0.0264✗1.33802k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000040782-0.51%0.00003899-4.88%0.0631✗1.191.9M2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.3179-0.48%4.487+34.58%0.3717✗0.77488k2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.05389-0.48%0.049123-9.28%0.0360✓0.6214k2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001105-0.48%0.001507+35.72%0.4279✗1.291.7M2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.343951-0.39%0.30514-11.63%0.0071✓1.24411k2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.138967-0.38%0.1226-12.11%0.0321✓1.023.3M2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.73132-0.37%0.708-3.54%0.0830✗1.27139k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.0856-0.35%0.1034+20.37%0.2608✗0.79157k2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.37e-7-0.31%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0282✗1.0026k2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.6764-0.28%1.5629-7.03%0.0449✗1.26494k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.4453-0.27%5.88+7.69%0.2054✗1.411.1M2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1748.0989-0.15%45.75-5.02%0.0494✗1.09606k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.93936-0.11%0.83183-11.55%0.0012✗1.35423k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.1015-0.09%3.3461+7.78%0.1750✗1.0926k2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.139621-0.09%0.13909-0.47%0.1416✗1.60155k2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.19e-7-0.07%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0200✗0.836.2M2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.110124-0.07%0.1832+66.24%0.6095✗1.10560k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.113535-0.05%0.109019-4.03%0.0507✗1.007.2M2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.784696-0.04%0.843+7.39%0.1423✗0.781.1M2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.055845-0.01%0.06829+22.27%0.3344✗1.46773k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.5228+0.01%3.4859+38.19%0.4131✓0.991.1M2022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003732+0.05%0.00328-12.06%0.0070✗1.34612k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.069997+0.06%0.069428-0.75%0.1013✓1.202.0M2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.067944+0.06%0.0617-9.13%0.0303✓1.39316k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3595.4212+0.07%82.79-13.17%0.0069✓1.6410.8M2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1306+0.22%1.0708-5.07%0.0443✓1.0845k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.6343+0.24%6.249+11.17%0.2040✓1.101.9M2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.0521+0.25%15.84-6.88%0.0528✓1.39100k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.6937+0.25%3.919+45.85%0.4567✓0.90105k2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004371+0.25%0.00415-4.82%0.0699✓1.34122k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006819+0.28%0.00725+6.62%0.1528✓1.01376k2022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6023,172.56+0.32%21,129.20-8.52%0.0034✗0.9826k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.30045+0.35%0.2842-5.08%0.0527✓1.192.8M2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.068259+0.36%0.065857-3.17%0.0362✓0.79369k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.956803+0.38%0.896517-5.95%0.0270✓1.0159k2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.43226+0.39%0.3896-9.52%0.0114✓1.27414k2022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009297+0.40%0.00924-0.22%0.0831✓0.984.9M2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.691332+0.48%0.676-1.74%0.0657✓0.97434k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.2874+0.62%10.01+8.45%0.1814✓1.17282k2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009297+0.72%0.00713-22.75%0.1822✗0.911.3M2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.786288+0.81%0.73-6.41%0.0100✗0.71107k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9366+0.89%1.8646-2.86%0.0737✓1.2326k2022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.324652+1.03%0.301686-6.12%0.0386✓1.231.3M2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044966+1.05%0.0403-9.44%0.0131✓1.357,6872022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18152.7682+1.05%149.22-1.30%0.0780✓1.111.3M2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.535502+1.11%0.5172-2.34%0.0748✓1.20470k2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.108785+1.20%0.0956-11.07%0.0092✓1.32526k2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.61e-7+1.29%7.06e-7+98.06%0.7614✓1.00244k2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.108403+1.31%0.1029-3.83%0.0720✓1.362.5M2022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.282406+1.37%0.3105+11.45%0.1973✓1.1342k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8662.7492+1.44%62.92+1.71%0.1211✓1.301.5M2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.147534+1.47%0.147+1.10%0.1095✓1.2487k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9623,494.14+1.47%21,139.23-8.70%0.0146✗1.00398.7M2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.3181+1.54%9.372-7.77%0.0049✓1.112.2M2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0359.0444+1.75%54.1-6.77%0.0157✓1.1314.6M2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.304309+1.78%0.29-3.01%0.0478✓1.05673k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.03058+1.80%0.03745+24.67%0.3185✓1.2722k2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.055323+2.07%0.0523-3.51%0.0780✓1.47119k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.233696+2.27%0.239+4.60%0.1569✓1.48117k2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.723585+2.35%0.869+22.91%0.2954✓1.23807k2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.7094+2.37%7.228-4.02%0.0476✓1.239.0M2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.2361+2.70%4.4355+7.54%0.1101✓0.70930k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.754689+3.52%0.611-16.19%0.0726✗1.52108k2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.089332+4.12%0.0849-1.05%0.0608✓1.236,9982022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.006227+4.48%0.005866-1.57%0.0236✓0.913,1552022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12129.6813+5.33%114.78-6.77%0.0186✓1.144.0M2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.545637+5.97%0.4742-7.90%0.0367✓1.14333k2022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.