8=======>

2022-07-20 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0966
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.00%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.8%
in alpha space · 56.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.000090793-9.93%0.00008591-14.77%0.1543✗1.93715k2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.717302-9.32%0.574-27.43%0.0554✓1.545,0122022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.156819-9.20%0.16055-7.04%0.2911✗2.461,0532022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.904454-8.55%1.1177+13.01%0.3156✗0.961,6652022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.2401-7.78%1.661-31.62%0.1437✓1.43128k2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.905756-7.67%0.8698-11.34%0.1334✗1.60214k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.06880.990534-7.32%0.94175-11.89%0.0715✓1.125,8422022-08-19
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.63875-6.89%1.222+78.13%0.8426✗1.781.1M2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2814.2896-6.48%41.75+173.23%1.2402✗1.55431k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum96.6490.5251-6.33%99.28+2.73%0.2012✗1.002.7M2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3813.5156-6.01%17.46+21.42%0.3591✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.423836-5.97%0.33831-24.95%0.0663✓1.46791k2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.5148-5.67%6.927+85.91%0.7393✗0.562.2M2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.926838-5.33%0.776-20.74%0.0183✓1.80574k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.720526-5.32%0.676-11.17%0.1276✗1.766.3M2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.457395-5.30%0.429-11.18%0.0636✗1.1811k2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.281676-5.22%0.2715-8.65%0.1037✗1.29409k2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.112.9499-5.15%4.972+59.87%0.5899✗0.621.7M2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.6308-4.45%5.39+41.84%0.4780✗0.76597k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.04459-4.40%0.04452-4.55%0.0974✗0.918,1912022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.4745-4.26%1.38-10.39%0.0402✓0.24426k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.8487-4.21%2.29+18.65%0.3336✗1.10150k2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.3143-4.21%2.75-20.52%0.1339✓0.4986k2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.406091-4.07%0.38673-8.64%0.0306✓0.7352k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.156284-4.06%0.1513-7.12%0.1066✗1.28354k2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048110.046186-4.00%0.045265-5.91%0.1101✗1.2017k2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.02108-3.98%0.021066-4.04%0.1063✗0.981,5692022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.142818-3.89%0.1293-12.99%0.0405✗1.292.9M2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.38729-3.44%0.36-10.25%0.0927✗1.53208k2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.035941-3.38%0.0347-6.72%0.0987✗1.2395k2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.075408-3.32%0.0657-15.77%0.0259✓1.03209k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.12-3.32%1.0504-9.33%0.0946✗1.464.7M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.023814-3.31%0.0224-9.05%0.1137✗1.6114.6M2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.6357-3.23%6.895+0.55%0.1851✗1.355.7M2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.0613-3.21%3-5.15%0.0970✗1.08555k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.068527-3.21%0.0562-20.62%0.0915✓0.98229k2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.201169-3.19%0.1722-17.13%0.0020✓1.412,6032022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.6996-3.15%6.23+63.09%0.5893✗0.63715k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.299462-3.03%0.29333-5.02%0.1249✗1.345,5012022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.085916-3.03%0.0618-30.25%0.1946✓1.24188k2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.197256-3.02%0.1767-13.13%0.0419✗1.402,1172022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.7474-2.97%1.914+6.27%0.2290✗1.27637k2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.904704-2.91%1.2326+32.28%0.4400✗1.201.2M2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.380885-2.90%0.36149-7.84%0.0811✗1.23128k2022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.059943-2.89%0.07429+20.35%0.3574✗1.3125k2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.047447-2.77%0.0447-8.40%0.0706✗1.20282k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.648526-2.76%0.5697-14.58%0.0395✗1.56104k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.01689-2.74%0.025967+49.52%0.4821✗0.48171k2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0376-2.73%6.7571+222.55%1.2965✗0.90890k2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,317.75-2.71%8,613.21+32.64%0.4544✗1.334.4M2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.357334-2.63%0.3599-1.93%0.1158✗1.004752022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.7511-2.62%13.488+250.16%1.3475✗0.621.4M2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.069513-2.62%0.06643-6.93%0.0343✗0.731,5492022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.01691-2.59%0.01381-20.44%0.1022✓0.921.2M2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.247755-2.57%0.2304-9.40%0.0549✗1.17703k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3029.2479-2.51%32.4+8.00%0.2110✗1.00130k2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.207705-2.49%0.186-12.68%0.0578✗1.55881k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.5035-2.37%1.206-21.69%0.0791✓1.302.8M2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.4554-2.33%2.3044-8.33%0.1062✗1.567,1792022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.433894-2.32%0.3796-14.54%0.0250✓1.00258k2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3422.7989-2.32%32.98+41.30%0.5075✗1.271.2M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3455.0491-2.29%49.91-11.41%0.0505✗1.3733k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.7413-2.26%5.106-13.07%0.0712✗1.7311.7M2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011638-2.20%0.00001317+10.67%0.2594✗1.251.3M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.25574-2.20%0.2612-0.11%0.1298✗1.0046k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.791843-2.10%1.0221+26.37%0.3631✗0.993.5M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.45370.444406-2.05%0.5569+22.75%0.3613✗1.251.3M2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.5965-2.03%6.409-4.81%0.1090✗1.275.5M2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.4865-2.01%10.759+11.14%0.2725✗1.3512.9M2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.2997-1.98%1.045-21.19%0.0853✓1.221.7M2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.8081-1.85%2.801-2.10%0.1804✗1.683.8M2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.088912-1.79%0.08741-3.45%0.0916✗1.00589k2022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.491015-1.72%0.4043-19.08%0.0748✓1.1049k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.6057-1.67%1.87+14.51%0.2611✗1.00181k2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.2079-1.65%5.0422+124.59%0.9125✗0.80947k2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.002999-1.58%0.003321+8.99%0.2157✗1.051.1M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.1634-1.57%6.87+62.41%0.5698✗0.63579k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.8809-1.49%7.67+28.48%0.4085✗1.31256k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.118739-1.46%0.1065-11.62%0.0025✓0.985,8712022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.48457-1.33%0.4497-8.43%0.0631✗1.2743.9M2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.7817-1.27%6.899+0.44%0.1542✗1.2617.9M2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8354-1.27%2.121+14.09%0.2797✗1.24332k2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.026908-1.25%0.02581-5.28%0.1065✗1.361,4722022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.5075-1.25%9.57+45.22%0.4385✗0.49670k2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.01903-1.24%0.01707-11.42%0.0272✓0.75354k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.2986-1.24%22.44-4.87%0.1324✗1.5627.0M2022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.7728.4277-1.19%26.41-8.20%0.0294✗0.9511.0M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.1656-1.19%12.8+13.27%0.2964✗1.471.1M2022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.4834-1.17%1.325-11.73%0.0432✗1.44385k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.589116-1.16%0.562-5.70%0.1071✗1.4284k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.1819-1.13%5.2071-0.65%0.0262✗0.20335k2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.964647-1.13%0.879-9.91%0.0618✗1.421.4M2022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.11028-1.09%0.1085-2.69%0.1013✗1.08398k2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094612.9762-0.90%12.9755-0.91%0.1292✗1.19194k2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.6905-0.85%35.82-14.82%0.0069✓1.3381.1M2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.48-0.80%2.3-8.00%0.0883✗1.51216k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.240496-0.79%0.2209-8.87%0.0503✗1.24147k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.34218-0.76%0.303-12.12%0.0048✓1.168.2M2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.5566-0.72%1.506-3.95%0.1246✗1.45203k2022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.6114-0.67%2.112-19.67%0.0234✓1.7484k2022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4303-0.64%2.151-12.06%0.0304✗1.4043k2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.7116-0.60%7.02+48.10%0.4711✗0.67574k2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.1961-0.56%4.701+46.27%0.4690✗0.77488k2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134001-0.52%0.1221-9.35%0.0499✗1.3144k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration60.359.9974-0.50%48.63-19.35%0.0794✓1.20235k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.4262-0.48%1.7825+24.39%0.3770✗1.42684k2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.493-0.47%1.32-12.00%0.0328✗1.43142k2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020732-0.47%0.02251+8.07%0.1969✗1.05134k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6512-0.44%2.82+5.90%0.1816✗1.10673k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62655.3925-0.42%51.302-7.77%0.0139✗0.83387k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.424134-0.39%0.3724-12.54%0.0150✗1.3396k2022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.348041-0.33%0.29551-15.37%0.0291✓1.24411k2022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.4696-0.33%14.23-8.31%0.0647✗1.361.3M2022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,518.05-0.27%1,608.72+5.69%0.1913✗1.23326.5M2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.006956-0.26%0.006691-4.06%0.0246✗0.5851k2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.05439-0.25%0.04825-11.51%0.0523✓0.6214k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000040810.000040714-0.24%0.00003843-5.83%0.0711✗1.191.9M2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.245209-0.20%0.2516+2.40%0.1435✗1.0861k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.071461-0.19%0.0635-11.31%0.0330✗1.39312k2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.090146-0.17%0.1096+21.37%0.2819✗0.80150k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.725816-0.16%0.708-2.61%0.1126✗1.26139k2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.09e-7-0.16%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0653✗1.0028k2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.001073-0.15%0.001441+34.05%0.4343✗1.291.7M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3282-0.14%1.18-11.28%0.0420✗1.47910k2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4023,324.26+0.03%21,334.30-8.51%0.0171✓0.9829k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.3728+0.05%5.8+8.01%0.2291✓1.401.2M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.11e-7+0.11%8.70e-7-4.40%0.0435✓0.825.8M2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.053281+0.15%0.051-4.14%0.1007✓1.33817k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.112239+0.16%0.108067-3.56%0.0709✓1.007.2M2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.109266+0.24%0.1961+79.91%0.7045✓1.10560k2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.773989+0.26%0.847+9.72%0.1740✓0.771.1M2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.13285+0.26%0.1279-3.47%0.0729✓1.023.5M2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.92249+0.27%0.84451-8.21%0.0579✓1.35423k2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6225+0.27%1.5782-2.47%0.1092✓1.26499k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase16.7716.8165+0.28%16.17-3.58%0.1114✓1.3996k2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.056068+0.28%0.07173+28.30%0.4054✓1.46773k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash47.1247.2534+0.28%44.86-4.80%0.0663✓1.09616k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.070288+0.37%0.067937-2.99%0.0964✓1.202.0M2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.004431+0.47%0.00412-6.58%0.0724✓1.33127k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.135286+0.49%0.13844+2.84%0.1965✓1.60158k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.6127+0.51%6.466+15.80%0.2609✓1.101.9M2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4714+0.51%3.7255+51.52%0.5190✓1.001.1M2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1316+0.52%1.068-5.13%0.0585✓1.0745k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5798+0.58%3.13+22.03%0.2910✓0.9098k2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.006886+0.67%0.00743+8.63%0.1854✓1.01387k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.810.815789+0.71%0.74-8.64%0.0209✗0.71111k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.0771+0.74%3.3477+9.60%0.2022✓1.0827k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.0093+0.75%0.00905-1.95%0.0789✓0.984.9M2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003670.003698+0.75%0.0032-12.81%0.0009✓1.34649k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.294637+0.77%0.2828-3.28%0.0878✓1.192.9M2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.068109+0.79%0.063977-5.32%0.0239✓0.80373k2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009435+0.91%0.00703-24.81%0.1945✗0.921.3M2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.680345+0.94%0.678+0.59%0.1016✓0.97443k2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8891.7541+0.96%83.37-8.26%0.0814✓1.6311.3M2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.019.1052+1.06%9.77+8.44%0.1972✓1.17288k2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.287468+1.15%0.3103+9.18%0.1984✓1.1242k2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.4140.418894+1.18%0.3909-5.58%0.0682✓1.26414k2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.928858+1.22%0.884025-3.66%0.0601✓1.0163k2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.75e-7+1.27%6.08e-7+63.93%0.5909✓1.00268k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero151.47153.452+1.31%142.31-6.05%0.0459✓1.121.3M2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.9224+1.37%1.8825-0.73%0.1119✓1.2227k2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.147992+1.50%0.1502+3.02%0.1496✓1.2487k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.318647+1.54%0.302298-3.67%0.0815✓1.231.4M2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.532019+1.59%0.4967-5.16%0.0621✓1.20491k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.442+1.61%9.359-8.93%0.0112✓1.112.2M2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9923,607.68+1.64%20,834.94-10.30%0.0163✓1.00398.7M2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.107054+1.67%0.0975-7.41%0.0497✓1.32526k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.106559+1.78%0.1055+0.76%0.1379✓1.362.5M2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash62.0663.2284+1.88%62.23+0.27%0.1253✓1.301.5M2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.04321+1.91%0.0398-6.13%0.0640✓1.347,6872022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.305035+2.02%0.272-9.03%0.0002✓1.05664k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2258.4456+2.14%54.02-5.59%0.0443✓1.1314.8M2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.054897+2.23%0.0532-0.93%0.1283✓1.47115k2022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.237999+2.37%0.2125-8.60%0.0469✓1.47117k2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.030753+2.37%0.0386+28.50%0.3652✓1.2723k2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.15454.2605+2.55%4.373+5.26%0.1024✓0.70930k2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.6923+2.99%7.303-2.22%0.0816✓1.239.0M2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.707276+3.25%0.834+21.75%0.2988✓1.23858k2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.006101+3.95%0.005861-0.14%0.0592✓0.912,9222022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.737616+4.33%0.609-13.86%0.0262✓1.52108k2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.088585+4.71%0.0848+0.24%0.0897✓1.236,8122022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82128.9699+5.87%114.49-6.02%0.0040✓1.134.0M2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.537795+6.33%0.4754-6.01%0.0000✓1.14333k2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.