8=======>

2022-07-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2029
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.9%
in alpha space · 22.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.502014+4.87%0.5677+18.59%0.0328✓1.13311k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99115.2126+4.75%136.34+23.96%0.0146✓1.124.0M2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.081714+2.66%0.1069+34.30%0.0975✓1.246,7832022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005765+2.08%0.006767+19.81%0.0338✓0.922,9622022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.632942+1.92%0.7+12.72%0.1065✗1.51108k2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.210894+1.83%0.2556+23.42%0.0157✓1.51117k2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9197.0391+1.74%8.839+27.75%0.0572✓1.249.0M2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027831+1.72%0.05113+86.88%0.4327✓1.2821k2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.257928+1.67%0.3985+57.08%0.2779✓1.1440k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.61161+1.60%0.959+59.30%0.2842✓1.20858k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.09154.1473+1.36%4.8932+19.59%0.0669✓0.72930k2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero135.99137.8039+1.33%169.61+24.72%0.0536✓1.121.3M2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.054644+1.19%0.0784+45.19%0.2531✓0.78209k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7456.4021+1.19%61.33+10.03%0.0781✗1.1814.8M2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.284801+0.99%0.316+12.06%0.0397✗1.04599k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.38590.388715+0.73%0.4762+23.40%0.0300✓1.26381k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.1326+0.69%10.39+14.55%0.0243✗1.112.2M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash59.4359.7863+0.60%75.95+27.80%0.0585✓1.311.5M2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.8093+0.44%2.2701+26.02%0.0566✓1.2427k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.098311+0.42%0.1301+32.89%0.0946✓1.352.4M2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7420,869.13+0.37%23,857.93+14.75%0.0037✗1.00398.7M2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003530.00354+0.28%0.00401+13.60%0.0638✗1.37635k2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,088.49+0.22%23,861.50+13.39%0.0128✗0.9935k2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.006464+0.21%0.00854+32.40%0.1401✓1.01390k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2788.4014+0.15%109.79+24.38%0.0162✗1.6910.8M2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012416+0.10%0.015966+28.72%0.1367✓0.831.2M2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.102797+0.09%0.1138+10.81%0.0856✗1.36526k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0514+0.03%1.2535+19.26%0.0254✓1.0948k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.294674+0.03%0.362039+22.89%0.0316✓1.271.4M2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.067444+0.01%0.069764+3.45%0.0788✗0.82405k2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.13278-0.01%0.16955+27.68%0.0211✗1.62176k2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.138585-0.01%0.1861+34.27%0.1224✗1.2587k2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050666-0.07%0.0696+37.28%0.1140✗1.48106k2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.902245-0.15%1.0226+13.18%0.0152✓1.0263k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.272574-0.16%0.3392+24.25%0.0546✗1.192.9M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.810.808678-0.16%0.81+0.00%0.1015✓0.75111k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.57e-7-0.16%7.44e-7+108.16%0.5928✗1.03344k2022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.059.0341-0.18%12.36+36.57%0.1510✗1.18272k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5702-0.18%1.8887+20.06%0.0093✗1.27519k2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.041515-0.20%0.0445+6.97%0.1167✓1.357,2812022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.376142-0.33%0.4559+20.80%0.0107✗1.3282k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,333.74-0.33%1,876.57+40.23%0.1750✗1.21326.5M2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.116405-0.34%0.1546+32.36%0.1455✗1.013.3M2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.97e-7-0.34%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0389✓0.855.8M2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.50521-0.39%0.5897+16.27%0.0134✓1.22456k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9386-0.40%4.0127+36.00%0.1608✗1.1026k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1545-0.44%2.651+22.50%0.0259✓1.7084k2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125439-0.44%0.1437+14.05%0.0494✓1.3534k2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.003918-0.55%0.00476+20.81%0.0086✗1.35127k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008871-0.55%0.00828-7.17%0.1970✓0.931.2M2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.640421-0.56%0.818+27.02%0.1137✗0.95425k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.050212-0.57%0.0642+27.13%0.0585✗1.36817k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.104796-0.67%0.2097+98.77%0.5413✗1.11560k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.051583-0.69%0.08996+73.20%0.3539✗1.47773k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.487-0.69%3.1212+24.64%0.0880✗1.011.1M2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.831751-0.69%1.0299+22.96%0.0289✗1.34399k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash45.9245.5895-0.72%52.46+14.24%0.0117✓1.11616k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5527-0.72%2.685+71.68%0.3804✗1.22287k2022-08-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.093615-0.73%0.1024+8.59%0.0239✓0.83144k2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.3377-0.74%3.876+64.59%0.3790✗0.9288k2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.019942-0.74%0.02539+26.38%0.0935✗1.08112k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5245-0.81%1.924+25.18%0.0285✗1.48182k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009022-0.86%0.01154+26.81%0.1049✗1.034.9M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.6399-0.86%8.426+48.11%0.2460✗1.131.9M2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.062437-0.87%0.087041+38.20%0.1642✗1.222.0M2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.4359-0.89%27.11+31.47%0.0686✗1.5625.2M2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.3945-0.94%20.12+21.57%0.0093✓1.4289k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.318727-0.97%0.35342+9.81%0.0676✓1.24411k2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.234664-1.03%0.3001+26.57%0.0938✗1.1160k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration54.4353.8276-1.11%56.07+3.01%0.1232✓1.19235k2022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.109236-1.14%0.1265+14.48%0.0047✓1.10380k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.659216-1.17%0.84+25.94%0.0689✗1.26127k2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000978471-1.17%0.001587+60.24%0.3048✗1.301.8M2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.209765-1.19%0.27+27.18%0.0857✗1.21705k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.000040040.00003956-1.20%0.00004498+12.34%0.0383✓1.211.9M2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.050799-1.22%0.054802+6.56%0.0106✓0.6314k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.1534-1.23%43.09+11.55%0.0620✓1.3481.1M2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1437-1.26%2.752+26.76%0.0537✗1.4343k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2282-1.27%1.425+14.55%0.0340✓1.332.6M2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.767073-1.28%0.967+24.45%0.1244✗0.781.1M2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.0814-1.33%5.96+15.73%0.0408✓1.461.2M2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.105157-1.38%0.12178+14.21%0.0089✓1.007.2M2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.2401-1.39%15+60.09%0.2835✗1.461.1M2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.3052-1.41%17.95+23.71%0.0398✗1.361.3M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3355-1.43%1.635+20.68%0.0057✓1.43684k2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.489628-1.48%0.672+35.21%0.1246✗1.4084k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006733-1.54%0.006937+1.45%0.0500✓0.5869k2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.069865-1.60%0.0734+3.38%0.1498✓1.45312k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2218.9028-1.65%39.88+107.49%0.5826✗1.191.2M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3765-1.68%1.41+0.71%0.1875✓1.54809k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.107748-1.69%0.123+12.23%0.0035✓0.996,1432022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.5782-1.74%3.334+27.06%0.1022✗1.13729k2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.227488-1.78%0.2645+14.21%0.0237✓1.27160k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.1173-1.78%30.67+11.08%0.0096✓0.9610.6M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.1343-1.84%5.2507+0.38%0.0034✓0.19358k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002739-1.85%0.004101+46.94%0.2611✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4327-1.87%1.75+19.86%0.0012✓1.46142k2022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.8383-1.88%10.19+71.26%0.3686✗1.37263k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.329956-1.94%0.3526+4.78%0.0962✓1.188.2M2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242812.9773-2.00%15.0779+13.86%0.0166✓1.21242k2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.8689-2.02%6.197+24.71%0.0004✓1.7611.7M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.5989-2.04%3.68+38.71%0.1064✗1.763.7M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.6808-2.07%6.14+28.45%0.1783✗0.68574k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.2124-2.09%8.453+33.22%0.1342✗1.2617.9M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.018174-2.13%0.01753-5.60%0.1417✓0.77381k2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.00001046-2.25%0.00001581+47.76%0.2416✗1.251.1M2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1494-2.28%4.19+30.00%0.1779✗0.78488k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3504-2.29%1.675+21.20%0.0156✓1.45380k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.78e-7-2.43%0.000001+11.11%0.0077✓1.0025k2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1532-2.43%1.271+7.53%0.0651✓1.181.4M2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.1822-2.47%3.514+57.05%0.3645✗0.81947k2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.889848-2.47%1.0221+12.02%0.0618✓1.461.4M2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.469184-2.60%0.5047+4.77%0.0782✓1.1052k2022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8653.4277-2.61%61.09+11.36%0.0589✓1.4032k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.6786-2.65%11.396+27.83%0.0862✗1.3512.5M2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.28097-2.69%0.35527+23.04%0.0476✗1.363,2792022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.435601-2.70%0.5571+24.44%0.0710✗1.2743.9M2022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2006-2.76%6.29+45.60%0.3140✗0.65579k2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.039423-2.79%0.051969+28.14%0.1170✗1.1616k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66252.1565-2.81%61.168+13.99%0.0435✗0.84387k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.44040.427932-2.83%0.6115+38.85%0.1820✗1.271.2M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.7608-2.87%5.889+52.09%0.3596✗0.651.5M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.875,894.09-2.90%11,010.19+81.39%0.4400✗1.344.2M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.778943-2.92%1.1489+43.18%0.2472✗1.033.5M2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.060809-3.00%0.09121+45.49%0.2143✗1.3924k2022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6581-3.03%2.36+38.01%0.1981✗1.13127k2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.482-3.07%2.061+34.79%0.1922✗1.00180k2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4415-3.11%3.26+29.37%0.0744✗1.56205k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0431.9777-3.20%3.7239+82.28%0.5077✗0.91857k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.068284-3.28%0.0688-2.55%0.1302✓1.00253k2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.5915-3.35%8.89+30.35%0.2302✗0.50670k2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026378-3.38%0.03136+14.87%0.0270✓1.451,4722022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.4588-3.48%3.3012+29.59%0.0712✗1.625,9882022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.252362-3.53%0.2612-0.15%0.1031✓1.0045k2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043425-3.54%0.05205+15.62%0.0544✗0.926,5622022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.082638-3.57%0.0811-5.37%0.1925✓1.26167k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.368882-3.59%0.42922+12.18%0.0191✓1.24128k2022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2256.9636-3.62%7.773+7.58%0.0724✓1.335.5M2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.0395-3.62%1.2853+19.16%0.0120✓1.464.2M2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.171873-3.66%0.207+16.03%0.0056✓1.392,2022022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.087483-3.67%0.08578-5.55%0.1572✓1.00432k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.711-3.77%2.409+35.49%0.1626✗1.31668k2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.047724-3.78%0.0539+8.67%0.0493✓1.24276k2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.379666-3.78%0.4464+13.13%0.0553✓1.58191k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.020462-3.83%0.024604+15.64%0.0462✗1.001,5692022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.372401-3.85%0.4749+22.62%0.1056✗1.00241k2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.901381-3.87%1.4706+56.83%0.3187✗1.241.0M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.194963-3.96%0.244+20.20%0.0084✓1.57881k2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.034836-4.03%0.0426+17.36%0.0278✓1.2695k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum23.7722.8035-4.07%38.9+63.65%0.3965✗1.00127k2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.66-4.08%8.346+20.21%0.0327✓1.405.7M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.1302-4.22%3.62+10.77%0.0123✓1.15544k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.073897-4.28%0.08258+6.97%0.0009✓0.811,9712022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.7422-4.29%5.44+39.13%0.2867✗0.64694k2022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.634615-4.33%0.69252+4.40%0.1383✓1.64104k2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.146481-4.39%0.1676+9.40%0.0475✓1.322.8M2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.021962-4.47%0.02789+21.31%0.0126✓1.6514.6M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.750535-4.55%1.1875+51.02%0.3393✗0.874662022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.3111-4.58%4.95+42.65%0.3010✗0.74597k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017091-4.60%0.025638+43.11%0.3328✗0.53176k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.178112-4.75%0.2113+12.99%0.0292✓1.452,5392022-08-16
FISStafiEthereum0.40.380823-4.79%0.4514+12.85%0.0325✓1.003902022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.738489-4.83%0.87+12.11%0.0896✓1.847.0M2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.158067-4.95%0.1798+8.12%0.0542✓1.33349k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.3592-5.11%2.94-16.95%0.1956✓0.4578k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.938345-5.16%1.1561+16.85%0.0513✓1.144,6812022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.414047-5.27%0.47192+7.97%0.0252✓0.7753k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.848438-5.31%1.072+19.64%0.0129✓1.79528k2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.420139-5.46%0.40858-8.06%0.2361✓1.51862k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.3914-5.72%6.018+67.31%0.4973✗0.552.2M2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.54699-6.02%1.454+149.83%0.7451✗1.691.1M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.5374-6.26%1.47-10.37%0.0820✓0.27485k2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0872.8934-6.27%4.038+30.81%0.2446✗0.641.9M2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.267665-6.57%0.3019+5.38%0.0732✓1.41435k2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.8853-6.58%2.016-0.10%0.1399✓1.50116k2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4813.4916-6.83%20.32+40.33%0.2732✗0.991.7M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum98.8691.609-7.33%116.11+17.45%0.0959✗1.032.7M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.1002-7.42%40.61+133.53%0.6978✗1.65421k2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.471999-7.63%0.545+6.65%0.0239✓1.2211k2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.804507-8.11%0.967+10.45%0.0376✓1.61209k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.586213-8.40%0.71+10.94%0.0156✓1.513,6872022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000092461-8.91%0.0000971-4.33%0.2126✓1.90692k2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.167035-9.59%0.1883+1.92%0.2568✓2.747222022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.