8=======>

2022-07-16 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0153
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 37.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.12774.1525+0.60%4.0915-0.88%0.0012✓0.72954k2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.496941+0.51%0.4787-3.18%0.0159✗1.13311k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.594594+0.44%0.602+1.69%0.0353✓1.21858k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero139.03139.639+0.44%135.99-2.19%0.0050✗1.131.3M2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.082454+0.43%0.0796-3.05%0.0116✗1.246,9262022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.58e-7+0.39%3.57e-7+0.30%0.0196✓1.08350k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.053895+0.36%0.054+0.56%0.0168✓0.78204k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.101654+0.35%0.0979-3.36%0.0120✗1.352.5M2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,263.21+0.35%20,791.74-1.88%0.0035✗1.00429.5M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.618115+0.34%0.621+0.81%0.0335✓1.52112k2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45109.81+0.33%109.99+0.49%0.0229✓1.124.0M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.260536+0.32%0.2537-2.31%0.0048✗1.1536k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash63.2463.4404+0.32%59.43-6.02%0.0400✗1.331.6M2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.6011.6061+0.32%1.564-2.31%0.0035✗1.22287k2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.012751+0.32%0.012404-2.42%0.0120✗0.821.2M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005818+0.31%0.005648-2.62%0.0122✗0.923,0112022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.142536+0.31%0.1386-2.46%0.0043✗1.2588k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.064506+0.31%0.062984-2.06%0.0008✓1.222.0M2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009077+0.30%0.00892-1.44%0.0000✓0.921.2M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.789314+0.29%0.777-1.27%0.0009✓0.781.2M2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.043023+0.29%0.0416-3.03%0.0080✗1.357,6872022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002867+0.27%0.002791-2.38%0.0070✗1.041.2M2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.051039+0.27%0.0507-0.39%0.0213✓1.48102k2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.101375+0.27%0.1027+1.58%0.0388✓1.36526k2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.4108+0.27%0.3946-3.69%0.0104✗1.57191k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.668761+0.26%0.644-3.45%0.0197✗0.95405k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.291768+0.26%0.282-3.09%0.0144✗1.03599k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.388211+0.26%0.3774-2.53%0.0030✗1.3382k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.7926+0.26%9.05+3.19%0.0514✓1.19272k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.3950.396015+0.26%0.3859-2.30%0.0019✓1.27405k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.003720.003729+0.25%0.00353-5.11%0.0291✗1.36650k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.869114+0.25%0.83755-3.39%0.0116✗1.34399k2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.09634+0.25%0.0943-1.87%0.0058✗0.82144k2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.3011+0.24%2.2375-2.53%0.0128✗0.80922k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.0786+0.24%1.0511-2.32%0.0052✗1.0948k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.3124+0.24%9.07-2.37%0.0053✗1.112.2M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8021,122.38+0.24%21,043.20-0.14%0.0150✓0.9941k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.12008+0.23%0.1168-2.50%0.0085✗1.013.8M2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.924515+0.23%0.90356-2.04%0.0035✗1.0264k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.8233+0.23%5.95+2.41%0.0474✓1.37263k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash44.8344.9321+0.23%45.92+2.43%0.0428✓1.11619k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.4242+0.22%1.382-2.74%0.0024✗1.46383k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.341157+0.22%0.3365-1.15%0.0087✓1.188.2M2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8393.0343+0.22%88.27-4.91%0.0207✗1.6810.8M2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.8246+0.21%6.82+0.15%0.0088✓0.50657k2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.091195+0.21%0.0857-5.82%0.0381✗1.27167k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004008+0.21%0.00394-1.50%0.0084✓1.35131k2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.8355+0.21%1.8014-1.65%0.0047✓1.2431k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.027778+0.21%0.02736-1.30%0.0091✓1.2820k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009259+0.21%0.0091-1.52%0.0021✓1.024.9M2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,358.32+0.19%1,338.20-1.29%0.0080✓1.21326.5M2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.279319+0.19%0.273-2.08%0.0003✓1.192.9M2022-07-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026449+0.18%0.0255-3.41%0.0274✗0.4859k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4727+0.18%1.46-0.68%0.0191✓1.47150k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006702+0.18%0.00645-3.59%0.0194✗1.00387k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.242027+0.18%0.2371-1.86%0.0003✓1.1060k2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.111594+0.17%0.1096-1.62%0.0006✓0.986,1432022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration56.3956.4872+0.17%54.43-3.48%0.0147✗1.18235k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006942+0.17%0.006838-1.33%0.0041✗0.5870k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.10974+0.17%0.106625-2.68%0.0097✗1.017.3M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.069025+0.17%0.067437-2.14%0.0078✗0.82433k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.06053+0.17%0.06269+3.74%0.0613✓1.3824k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.6684+0.17%2.624-1.50%0.0046✓1.13772k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.520257+0.17%0.5072-2.35%0.0025✗1.21491k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.688069+0.16%0.667-2.91%0.0071✗1.27120k2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.398352+0.15%0.38262-3.80%0.0167✗1.24128k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.810.811222+0.15%0.81+0.00%0.0125✓0.74111k2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.4084+0.15%1.3548-3.66%0.0118✗1.42684k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000011056+0.15%0.0000107-3.08%0.0092✗1.241.1M2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.5302+0.15%1.537+0.59%0.0326✓1.49182k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001023+0.15%0.0009901-3.07%0.0082✗1.291.8M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.138046+0.14%0.13279-3.67%0.0081✗1.62168k2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.3077+0.13%1.244-4.75%0.0246✗1.342.5M2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.2816+0.13%19.22+11.36%0.1290✓1.201.2M2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.238797+0.12%0.2316-2.89%0.0067✗1.26166k2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056714.0742+0.12%13.2428-5.79%0.0380✗1.21242k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0955.1576+0.12%55.74+1.18%0.0328✓1.1815.0M2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000040339+0.12%0.00004004-0.62%0.0155✓1.211.9M2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.018312+0.12%0.01857+1.53%0.0286✓0.77381k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.8902+0.12%2.9505+2.21%0.0415✓1.1025k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.9292+0.11%16.55-2.13%0.0043✓1.4281k2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.052109+0.11%0.05194-0.21%0.0247✓1.47773k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.041839+0.11%0.040555-2.96%0.0093✗1.1516k2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.513536+0.10%0.497-3.12%0.0064✗1.3984k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.928743+0.10%0.9124-1.66%0.0097✓1.451.4M2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum28.0128.0383+0.10%27.61-1.43%0.0026✓0.9510.6M2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.341327+0.10%0.32185-5.61%0.0346✗1.27411k2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.30816+0.10%0.294596-4.31%0.0210✗1.271.5M2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.45430.454729+0.09%0.4404-3.06%0.0081✗1.261.2M2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2691+0.09%2.164-4.54%0.0153✗1.6984k2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.458313+0.09%0.4477-2.23%0.0006✓1.2745.0M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.6013+0.08%6.345-3.81%0.0157✗1.2618.8M2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.052366+0.08%0.051428-1.71%0.0063✗0.6214k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana39.639.6299+0.08%38.63-2.45%0.0003✓1.3381.1M2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.15892+0.08%0.1663+4.72%0.0708✓1.34349k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.401+0.07%5.689+5.41%0.0734✓1.131.8M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.051628+0.05%0.0505-2.13%0.0037✓1.36837k2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.7716+0.05%4.969+4.19%0.0738✓1.7511.7M2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.00e-7+0.05%9.00e-7+0.00%0.0156✓0.855.7M2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,264.84+0.05%6,069.87-3.07%0.0062✗1.344.2M2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.4026+0.05%5.2307-3.14%0.0288✗0.19335k2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.3665+0.05%14.51+1.04%0.0357✓1.361.3M2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.2308+0.03%2.171-2.65%0.0003✓1.4244k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.1943+0.03%6.919-3.80%0.0156✗1.249.6M2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.110635+0.03%0.1055-4.61%0.0265✗1.11558k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2379.2397+0.03%8.915-3.49%0.0101✗1.3512.5M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.7023+0.02%9.37-3.40%0.0072✗1.461.1M2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.6011+0.02%1.5731-1.72%0.0065✓1.27535k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum55.155.1091+0.02%54.86-0.44%0.0216✓1.3831k2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.5544+0.02%2.355-7.79%0.0638✗0.9288k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.108816+0.01%0.1105+1.56%0.0362✓1.10362k2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.932088+0.01%0.896-3.86%0.0055✗1.79528k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29954.3038+0.01%53.662-1.17%0.0040✓0.84398k2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.554+0.01%2.5042-1.94%0.0006✗1.001.1M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.227902+0.00%0.2071-9.13%0.0675✗1.49117k2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.9567-0.01%3.872-2.15%0.0097✓0.631.6M2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.048894-0.01%0.0496+1.43%0.0380✗1.25264k2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.1792-0.01%5.15-0.58%0.0220✗1.461.2M2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.8292-0.02%4.78-1.04%0.0025✗0.67609k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2528-0.02%1.182-5.67%0.0359✓1.171.4M2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.520.519903-0.02%0.582+11.92%0.1453✗1.711.1M2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.073286-0.02%0.071-3.14%0.0045✓1.43299k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.4495-0.02%2.52+2.86%0.0579✗1.56205k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.389-0.02%4.32-1.59%0.0038✓0.64555k2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.479578-0.03%0.4817+0.42%0.0253✗1.1052k2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.03679-0.03%0.0363-1.36%0.0104✗1.2595k2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.020573-0.04%0.02009-2.38%0.0036✓1.06112k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.046253-0.04%0.04502-2.70%0.0096✓0.925,7282022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.898-0.05%3.91+0.26%0.0151✗0.63672k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.173-0.06%1.0786-8.09%0.0566✓1.444.2M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.017362-0.06%0.017915+3.13%0.0412✗0.52177k2022-07-17
METISMetisEthereum24.5924.5742-0.06%23.77-3.33%0.0143✓1.00128k2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.29399-0.06%0.28874-1.85%0.0076✗1.353,2792022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2421.2259-0.07%20.62-2.92%0.0005✓1.5525.2M2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1167.1112-0.07%7.225+1.53%0.0411✗1.335.2M2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.812743-0.07%0.8024-1.34%0.0067✗1.034.1M2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.449-0.07%1.4-3.45%0.0053✓1.53843k2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.942828-0.07%0.9377-0.61%0.0181✗1.24933k2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.023821-0.08%0.02299-3.57%0.0044✓1.6415.8M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.8016-0.09%2.653-5.39%0.0214✓1.753.7M2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.5165-0.10%3.47-1.42%0.0004✓0.72572k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.427202-0.10%0.43709+2.21%0.0374✗0.7654k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.8351-0.10%1.778-3.21%0.0070✓1.30729k2022-07-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.261417-0.11%0.2616-0.04%0.0197✗1.0045k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.130856-0.11%0.126-3.82%0.0125✓1.3434k2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.213765-0.11%0.203-5.14%0.0217✓1.58964k2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.464833-0.11%0.44441-4.50%0.0163✓1.51862k2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.186768-0.12%0.1784-4.60%0.0196✓1.392,2022022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.219117-0.13%0.2123-3.24%0.0086✓1.21705k2022-07-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.026724-0.14%0.0273+2.02%0.0490✗1.461,5542022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.4179-0.14%2.5474+5.21%0.0829✗1.625,4022022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.1091-0.16%2.043-3.29%0.0150✓0.89845k2022-07-17
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5535-0.16%1.529-1.74%0.0031✗1.00183k2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.132.1266-0.16%2.018-5.26%0.0241✓1.49112k2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.7319-0.16%3.597-3.77%0.0265✓0.542.2M2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071983-0.16%0.0706-2.08%0.0004✓1.00224k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.689704-0.19%0.66332-4.01%0.0081✓1.63117k2022-07-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.178633-0.21%0.187+4.47%0.0735✗1.462,5392022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.776-0.22%1.71-3.93%0.0167✓1.12125k2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.752788-0.23%0.78631+4.22%0.0600✗0.873642022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.074212-0.23%0.0772+3.79%0.0550✗0.821,9712022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.164424-0.23%0.1532-7.04%0.0457✓1.322.8M2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1123.1043-0.25%3.087-0.80%0.0064✗0.632.1M2022-07-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.093721-0.27%0.09082-3.35%0.0125✓1.00408k2022-07-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.400668-0.28%0.3873-3.61%0.0150✓1.00224k2022-07-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.07e-7-0.31%9.00e-7-1.10%0.0110✗1.0025k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.3954-0.31%3.223-5.37%0.0374✓0.77488k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.1669-0.32%3.268+2.86%0.0531✗1.15539k2022-07-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2596-0.32%3.54+8.26%0.0913✗0.4778k2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3757.3507-0.33%6.943-5.86%0.0307✓1.395.6M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5745-0.35%1.64+3.80%0.0457✗0.26447k2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7814.7269-0.36%14.48-2.03%0.0017✓0.981.7M2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.786091-0.37%0.776-1.65%0.0220✗1.847.4M2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.02571.0219-0.38%0.9894-3.54%0.0106✓1.144,5462022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7516.6863-0.38%17.39+3.82%0.0727✗1.65421k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum102.74102.34-0.39%98.86-3.78%0.0153✓1.022.6M2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.634501-0.39%0.64+0.47%0.0369✗1.493,6872022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.021032-0.42%0.021277+0.73%0.0306✗1.001,2172022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.830179-0.48%0.8755+4.95%0.0836✗1.61204k2022-07-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.182915-0.51%0.18476+0.49%0.0620✗2.748962022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000105139-0.52%0.0001015-3.96%0.0022✓1.97682k2022-07-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.280118-0.63%0.2865+1.63%0.0497✗1.43439k2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.652892-3.70%0.511-24.63%0.2224✓1.2011k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.