8=======>

2022-07-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1730
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.7%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.535904+8.39%0.5804+17.39%0.0659✓1.13311k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.12774.3794+6.10%4.9822+20.70%0.0367✓0.72954k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.087093+6.08%0.1007+22.66%0.0149✓1.246,9262022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.624871+5.55%0.99+67.23%0.3048✓1.21858k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero139.03146.1151+5.10%163.5+17.60%0.0335✓1.131.3M2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45115.006+5.08%137.34+25.48%0.0331✓1.124.0M2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.05637+4.97%0.0788+46.74%0.2342✓0.78204k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.006074+4.73%0.006763+16.59%0.0108✓0.923,0112022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.643324+4.44%0.72+16.88%0.0832✗1.52112k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.270272+4.07%0.4009+54.37%0.2465✓1.1536k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.70e-7+3.90%7.43e-7+108.39%0.5571✓1.08350k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.3950.408859+3.51%0.4859+23.01%0.0098✓1.27405k2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash63.2465.3516+3.34%73.84+16.76%0.0494✗1.331.6M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.1111+3.26%1.2755+18.54%0.0023✓1.0948k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004128+3.21%0.00488+22.00%0.0064✓1.35131k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.5874+3.20%10.526+13.30%0.0495✗1.112.2M2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.052522+3.19%0.067+31.63%0.0536✓1.48102k2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,855.59+3.14%24,097.82+13.72%0.0309✗1.00429.5M2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.104425+3.08%0.1342+32.48%0.0772✓1.352.5M2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8021,715.13+3.05%23,840.30+13.13%0.0336✗0.9941k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.066248+3.01%0.076696+19.26%0.0098✓1.222.0M2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.299703+2.99%0.324+11.34%0.0551✗1.03599k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.686507+2.92%0.819+22.79%0.0542✓0.95405k2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.779.0189+2.84%11.94+36.15%0.1275✓1.19272k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.103938+2.81%0.1148+13.55%0.0760✗1.36526k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.04409+2.77%0.045+4.90%0.1537✗1.357,6872022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.234081+2.71%0.2573+12.90%0.0966✗1.49117k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009295+2.70%0.00821-9.28%0.2423✗0.921.2M2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003720.00382+2.68%0.00403+8.33%0.1214✗1.36650k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.145904+2.68%0.1994+40.32%0.1515✓1.2588k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002934+2.62%0.004238+48.23%0.2336✓1.041.2M2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.397179+2.58%0.4715+21.77%0.0002✓1.3382k2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.070638+2.51%0.068965+0.08%0.1290✗0.82433k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.1227+2.42%0.1569+30.97%0.1159✓1.013.8M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.141163+2.40%0.1756+27.38%0.0098✓1.62168k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.013+2.27%0.016006+25.92%0.1020✓0.821.2M2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8394.8752+2.20%107.14+15.42%0.0947✗1.6810.8M2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.803511+2.10%0.947+20.33%0.0640✓0.781.2M2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.7196+2.09%3.305+24.06%0.0502✓1.13772k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.098067+2.05%0.1145+19.15%0.0491✓0.82144k2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.940961+2.01%1.0171+10.27%0.0536✗1.0264k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.007061+1.89%0.006721-3.02%0.1236✗0.5870k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0956.1166+1.86%60.69+10.17%0.0729✗1.1815.0M2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.283843+1.81%0.3448+23.67%0.0411✓1.192.9M2022-08-15
DASHDashDash44.8345.6294+1.78%53.17+18.60%0.0099✓1.11619k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.245821+1.75%0.2853+18.09%0.0076✓1.1060k2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.5594+1.73%41.97+143.16%0.7175✓1.201.2M2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.9234+1.67%8.78+28.93%0.1735✓0.50657k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,377.72+1.62%1,899.39+40.10%0.1658✓1.21326.5M2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.5528+1.62%1.893+23.89%0.0070✓1.49182k2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative1.6011.6268+1.61%2.71+69.27%0.3539✓1.22287k2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.3319+1.59%3.4246+49.19%0.2808✓0.80922k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.052412+1.57%0.0659+27.71%0.0537✓1.36837k2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.346196+1.53%0.35764+4.88%0.1312✗1.27411k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.028142+1.52%0.04885+76.23%0.3873✓1.2820k2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.5915+1.48%3.0966+21.25%0.0489✓1.001.1M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000040875+1.45%0.00004601+14.20%0.0372✗1.211.9M2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.345239+1.42%0.3578+5.11%0.1165✗1.188.2M2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.092288+1.42%0.0835-8.24%0.2631✗1.27167k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.4403+1.36%1.711+20.41%0.0152✗1.46383k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.2895+1.36%8.787+22.18%0.0279✓1.249.6M2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.820955+1.35%0.82+1.23%0.0961✗0.74111k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056714.2392+1.30%15.8559+12.80%0.0475✗1.21242k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006776+1.28%0.0085+27.06%0.0985✓1.00387k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009358+1.28%0.01073+16.13%0.0051✓1.024.9M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.9237+1.28%4.042+40.02%0.1826✓1.1025k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.110927+1.25%0.123528+12.75%0.0217✗1.017.3M2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.042281+1.17%0.053067+26.98%0.0791✓1.1516k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.414395+1.15%0.4503+9.91%0.1190✗1.57191k2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.8763+1.14%9.92+70.74%0.3479✓1.37263k2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.8505+1.03%2.3338+27.42%0.0725✓1.2431k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.311021+1.03%0.371538+20.68%0.0151✓1.271.5M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.875337+0.97%1.0534+21.51%0.0132✓1.34399k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.40145+0.93%0.44286+11.34%0.0616✗1.24128k2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.24068+0.91%0.2726+14.30%0.0376✗1.26166k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.419+0.90%1.6772+19.26%0.0155✗1.42684k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.132177+0.90%0.1474+12.52%0.0629✗1.3434k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.112261+0.77%0.129+15.80%0.0129✓0.986,1432022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.48+0.68%1.72+17.01%0.0383✗1.47150k2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana39.639.8608+0.66%43.72+10.40%0.0789✗1.3381.1M2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.05e-7+0.60%9.90e-7+10.00%0.0199✗0.855.7M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,294.18+0.52%11,093.56+77.16%0.3943✓1.344.2M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.793+0.50%6.215+30.32%0.0343✓1.7511.7M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.690434+0.50%0.857+24.75%0.0534✓1.27120k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.018381+0.50%0.01742-4.76%0.1528✗0.77381k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.3956.6452+0.45%57.71+2.34%0.1335✗1.18235k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.9834+0.43%20.11+18.92%0.0137✗1.4281k2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000011081+0.37%0.00001525+38.13%0.1594✓1.241.1M2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.514729+0.34%0.681+32.75%0.1012✓1.3984k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.930831+0.33%1.0393+12.02%0.0762✗1.451.4M2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.45430.455725+0.31%0.6251+37.60%0.1535✓1.261.2M2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2737+0.29%2.725+20.20%0.0369✗1.6984k2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.052448+0.24%0.055866+6.77%0.0169✗0.6214k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.3083+0.17%1.47+12.56%0.0557✗1.342.5M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.520298+0.17%0.5965+14.84%0.0191✗1.21491k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.001022+0.04%0.001637+60.25%0.3053✓1.291.8M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.5544+0.01%3.896+52.55%0.3033✓0.9288k2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.052039-0.02%0.09505+82.61%0.4130✗1.47773k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.110547-0.05%0.1968+77.94%0.4345✗1.11558k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.0127.9926-0.06%30.85+10.14%0.0250✓0.9510.6M2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.108721-0.07%0.1261+15.90%0.0070✗1.10362k2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3928-0.08%8.417+55.96%0.2999✗1.131.8M2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.5986-0.13%1.8279+14.19%0.0296✓1.27535k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.1095-0.14%3.6239+71.55%0.4268✗0.89845k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.060306-0.21%0.0886+46.62%0.2070✗1.3824k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.158321-0.30%0.1799+13.29%0.0442✓1.34349k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.6706-0.30%15.12+55.88%0.2593✗1.461.1M2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.1672-0.31%3.69+16.15%0.0055✗1.15539k2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.020512-0.33%0.02686+30.52%0.1327✗1.06112k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.8122-0.37%6.12+26.71%0.1540✗0.67609k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.2214-0.38%2.73+22.42%0.0236✗1.4244k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.5637-0.49%8.649+31.12%0.1139✗1.2618.8M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.938526-0.53%1.4669+55.47%0.2869✗1.24933k2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2379.1821-0.59%11.408+23.50%0.0431✗1.3512.5M2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.048592-0.63%0.0544+11.25%0.0474✓1.25264k2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.748967-0.73%1.2127+60.74%0.3701✗0.873642022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.3596-0.75%5.3846-0.29%0.0194✓0.19335k2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29953.8724-0.79%61.418+13.11%0.0231✗0.84398k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.246-0.79%18.18+26.60%0.0690✗1.361.3M2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.217491-0.87%0.2752+25.43%0.0796✗1.21705k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.154.5694-0.96%62.03+12.58%0.0493✓1.3831k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.045803-1.01%0.05379+16.25%0.0425✗0.925,7282022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.452998-1.07%0.5501+20.14%0.0310✗1.2745.0M2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.072515-1.07%0.0707-3.55%0.2099✓1.43299k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.3424-1.08%6.38+45.33%0.3029✗0.64555k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2420.9872-1.19%27.9+31.36%0.0849✗1.5525.2M2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.290593-1.22%0.36134+22.83%0.0439✗1.353,2792022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.3544-1.51%4.131+21.29%0.1086✗0.77488k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.4651-1.56%4.97+41.19%0.2676✗0.72572k2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.916769-1.63%1.053+12.98%0.0921✓1.79528k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7504-1.66%2.46+38.20%0.1965✗1.12125k2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.070866-1.71%0.0692-4.02%0.1527✓1.00224k2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.4078-1.72%3.32+35.51%0.1208✗1.56205k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.419907-1.81%0.47474+11.01%0.0245✗0.7654k2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.8292-1.81%5.44+39.49%0.2697✗0.63672k2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.0811-1.91%6.3+21.62%0.0277✗1.461.2M2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.161615-1.93%0.168+1.94%0.1309✓1.322.8M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.7487-1.97%3.694+31.74%0.0708✗1.753.7M2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.036065-2.00%0.0425+15.49%0.0028✓1.2595k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.1497-2.03%1.3341+13.68%0.0364✓1.444.2M2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.020685-2.07%0.025193+19.27%0.0680✗1.001,2172022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.20951-2.10%0.226+5.61%0.1272✓1.58964k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.132.0849-2.12%2.119-0.52%0.1760✓1.49112k2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2263-2.13%1.311+4.63%0.0843✓1.171.4M2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum24.5924.0539-2.18%40.9+66.33%0.4022✗1.00128k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4177-2.23%1.44-0.69%0.1816✓1.53843k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.868-2.25%5.456+37.88%0.2630✗0.631.6M2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.016955-2.40%0.020413+17.51%0.1186✗0.52177k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.46814-2.41%0.5236+9.15%0.0297✓1.1052k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.7906-2.52%2.455+33.64%0.1484✗1.30729k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1166.9213-2.74%7.794+9.53%0.0520✓1.335.2M2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5117-2.84%2.01+29.18%0.1563✗1.00183k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.181665-2.85%0.2205+17.91%0.0154✓1.392,2022022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism0.520.50516-2.85%1.569+201.73%0.9132✗1.711.1M2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.253857-3.00%0.2613-0.15%0.0997✓1.0045k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.78844-3.06%1.1419+40.40%0.2384✗1.034.1M2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.81e-7-3.20%0.000001+9.89%0.0017✓1.0025k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.023072-3.22%0.02883+20.93%0.0122✓1.6415.8M2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.3419-3.28%3.3016+36.36%0.1349✗1.625,4022022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.668294-3.29%0.71526+3.51%0.1419✓1.63117k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7814.1956-3.95%20.58+39.24%0.2451✗0.981.7M2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.07132-4.11%0.08413+13.11%0.0598✗0.821,9712022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.445568-4.25%0.41114-11.65%0.2744✓1.51862k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1294-4.30%2.96-9.48%0.1155✓0.4778k2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.171271-4.32%0.2114+18.10%0.0224✓1.462,5392022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.08991-4.32%0.08417-10.43%0.1946✓1.00408k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.02570.981263-4.34%1.184+15.43%0.0411✓1.144,5462022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.025592-4.37%0.03112+16.29%0.0079✓1.461,5542022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.5647-4.64%6.023+61.13%0.4546✗0.542.2M2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3757.0317-4.65%8.475+14.92%0.0077✓1.395.6M2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.606416-4.80%0.718+12.72%0.0232✓1.493,6872022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1122.9481-5.27%3.991+28.25%0.2219✗0.632.1M2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.491-5.63%1.47-6.96%0.0482✓0.26447k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.378673-5.76%0.4992+24.24%0.1477✗1.00224k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum102.7496.532-6.04%113.47+10.44%0.0309✓1.022.6M2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.781075-6.37%1.0012+20.02%0.0417✓1.61204k2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000098445-6.85%0.00009691-8.31%0.2693✓1.97682k2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7515.539-7.23%40+138.81%0.7329✗1.65421k2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.731207-7.32%0.87+10.27%0.0631✓1.847.4M2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.261204-7.34%0.2975+5.53%0.0544✓1.43439k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.169821-7.63%0.18875+2.67%0.2470✓2.748962022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.603911-10.93%0.519-23.45%0.3053✓1.2011k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.