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2022-07-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1799
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.8%
in alpha space · 26.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6780.584001-13.86%0.519-23.45%0.2717✓1.2011k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183850.164639-10.45%0.18875+2.67%0.2160✓2.748962022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000105690.000095613-9.53%0.00009691-8.31%0.2401✓1.97682k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6370.5833-8.43%0.718+12.72%0.0157✓1.493,6872022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum102.7494.5686-7.95%113.47+10.44%0.0514✓1.022.6M2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83420.771205-7.55%1.0012+20.02%0.0544✓1.61204k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.131.9712-7.46%2.119-0.52%0.1199✓1.49112k2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.7515.5554-7.13%40+138.81%0.7318✗1.65421k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7813.7362-7.06%20.58+39.24%0.2780✗0.981.7M2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.28190.262568-6.86%0.2975+5.53%0.0596✓1.43439k2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1122.9047-6.66%3.991+28.25%0.2367✗0.632.1M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7383.5101-6.10%6.023+61.13%0.4701✗0.542.2M2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.02570.964598-5.96%1.184+15.43%0.0582✓1.144,5462022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.465360.438641-5.74%0.41114-11.65%0.2588✓1.51862k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.4896-5.72%1.47-6.96%0.0472✓0.26447k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.3323-5.33%4.97+41.19%0.3067✗0.72572k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.427640.404961-5.30%0.47474+11.01%0.0607✗0.7654k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism0.520.492697-5.25%1.569+201.73%0.9382✗1.711.1M2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.16480.15616-5.24%0.168+1.94%0.0966✓1.322.8M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9320.884691-5.08%1.053+12.98%0.0565✓1.79528k2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7890.749217-5.04%0.87+10.27%0.0874✓1.847.4M2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.1146-4.75%2.96-9.48%0.1107✓0.4778k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.3757.026-4.73%8.475+14.92%0.0085✓1.395.6M2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.93.7159-4.72%5.44+39.49%0.2998✗0.63672k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023840.022727-4.67%0.02883+20.93%0.0272✓1.6415.8M2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1790.17099-4.48%0.2114+18.10%0.0241✓1.462,5392022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1773.0366-4.42%3.69+16.15%0.0475✗1.15539k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.6910.6605-4.41%0.71526+3.51%0.1302✓1.63117k2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17361.1231-4.30%1.3341+13.68%0.0130✓1.444.2M2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.152069-4.24%0.1799+13.29%0.0039✓1.34349k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173720.016637-4.23%0.020413+17.51%0.1376✗0.52177k2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03680.035285-4.12%0.0425+15.49%0.0247✓1.2595k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40970.39284-4.12%0.4503+9.91%0.0655✓1.57191k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8371.7618-4.09%2.455+33.64%0.1647✗1.30729k2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum24.5923.5987-4.03%40.9+66.33%0.4213✗1.00128k2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94350.905542-4.02%1.4669+55.47%0.3227✗1.24933k2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0910.087353-4.01%0.0835-8.24%0.2082✓1.27167k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074380.071432-3.96%0.08413+13.11%0.0582✗0.821,9712022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2140.205604-3.92%0.226+5.61%0.1084✓1.58964k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.816.5549-3.75%8.78+28.93%0.2282✗0.50657k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397740.382913-3.73%0.44286+11.34%0.0143✓1.24128k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40180.38702-3.68%0.4992+24.24%0.1259✗1.00224k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.1870.18015-3.66%0.2205+17.91%0.0238✓1.392,2022022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.754490.726986-3.65%1.2127+60.74%0.3999✗0.873642022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04890.047145-3.59%0.0544+11.25%0.0172✓1.25264k2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7167-3.55%2.46+38.20%0.2159✗1.12125k2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.252503-3.51%0.2613-0.15%0.0944✓1.0045k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211220.020387-3.48%0.025193+19.27%0.0825✗1.001,2172022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046270.044674-3.45%0.05379+16.25%0.0675✗0.925,7282022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.069615-3.45%0.0692-4.02%0.1349✓1.00224k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.090755-3.42%0.08417-10.43%0.2039✓1.00408k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11242.0405-3.40%3.6239+71.55%0.4601✗0.89845k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1166.8867-3.22%7.794+9.53%0.0470✓1.335.2M2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026760.025933-3.09%0.03112+16.29%0.0054✓1.461,5542022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4063.3031-3.02%4.131+21.29%0.1240✗0.77488k2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,261.846,076.20-2.96%11,093.56+77.16%0.4295✗1.344.2M2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.452.3783-2.93%3.32+35.51%0.1331✗1.56205k2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.45430.441077-2.91%0.6251+37.60%0.1861✗1.261.2M2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0417930.04059-2.88%0.053067+26.98%0.1199✗1.1516k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.394.2639-2.87%6.38+45.33%0.3211✗0.64555k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.5561.5118-2.84%2.01+29.18%0.1562✗1.00183k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47970.466099-2.84%0.5236+9.15%0.0254✓1.1052k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81330.790281-2.83%1.1419+40.40%0.2360✗1.034.1M2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2531.2177-2.82%1.311+4.63%0.0772✓1.171.4M2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42132.3536-2.80%3.3016+36.36%0.1300✗1.625,4022022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9573.8469-2.78%5.456+37.88%0.2684✗0.631.6M2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum55.153.579-2.76%62.03+12.58%0.0309✓1.3831k2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.294180.286202-2.71%0.36134+22.83%0.0591✗1.353,2792022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2378.9896-2.68%11.408+23.50%0.0643✗1.3512.5M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29552.2347-2.65%3.4246+49.19%0.3234✗0.80922k2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.45790.445988-2.60%0.5501+20.14%0.0466✗1.2745.0M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8042.7335-2.51%3.694+31.74%0.0763✗1.753.7M2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.29952.9347-2.51%61.418+13.11%0.0407✗0.84398k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.92780.905702-2.38%1.0393+12.02%0.0488✓1.451.4M2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000010778-2.37%0.00001525+38.13%0.1871✗1.241.1M2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060430.058999-2.37%0.0886+46.62%0.2289✗1.3824k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase14.056713.7505-2.18%15.8559+12.80%0.0126✓1.21242k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.284-2.15%5.3846-0.29%0.0052✓0.19335k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.91e-7-2.13%0.000001+9.89%0.0127✓1.0025k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4211.391-2.11%1.711+20.41%0.0196✓1.46383k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5966.4578-2.10%8.649+31.12%0.1302✗1.2618.8M2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.834.7288-2.09%6.12+26.71%0.1715✗0.67609k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018290.017919-2.03%0.01742-4.76%0.1273✓0.77381k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028590.002805-1.91%0.004238+48.23%0.2786✗1.041.2M2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23850.234013-1.88%0.2726+14.30%0.0095✓1.26166k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34040.334062-1.86%0.3578+5.11%0.0836✓1.188.2M2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4428-1.85%1.72+17.01%0.0128✓1.47150k2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5542.507-1.84%3.896+52.55%0.3220✗0.9288k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.451.4234-1.84%1.44-0.69%0.1856✓1.53843k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07330.071982-1.80%0.0707-3.55%0.2025✓1.43299k2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11140.10944-1.76%0.129+15.80%0.0383✗0.986,1432022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3061.2842-1.67%1.47+12.56%0.0372✓1.342.5M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7694.69-1.66%6.215+30.32%0.0560✗1.7511.7M2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.6642.6204-1.64%3.305+24.06%0.0874✗1.13772k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum28.0127.5565-1.62%30.85+10.14%0.0093✓0.9510.6M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.815.7161-1.62%9.92+70.74%0.3756✗1.37263k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40631.3838-1.60%1.6772+19.26%0.0095✓1.42684k2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006821-1.58%0.006721-3.02%0.0889✓0.5870k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.79.5483-1.56%15.12+55.88%0.2721✗1.461.1M2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.232.1957-1.54%2.73+22.42%0.0353✗1.4244k2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.340990.336041-1.45%0.35764+4.88%0.1014✓1.27411k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.21940.216277-1.42%0.2752+25.43%0.0852✗1.21705k2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6870.677499-1.38%0.857+24.75%0.0723✗1.27120k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.24160.238386-1.33%0.2853+18.09%0.0383✗1.1060k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.3614.173-1.30%18.18+26.60%0.0741✗1.361.3M2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5130.506432-1.28%0.681+32.75%0.1174✗1.3984k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration56.3955.6732-1.27%57.71+2.34%0.1161✓1.18235k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1095560.108203-1.23%0.123528+12.75%0.0032✓1.017.3M2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0523250.05169-1.21%0.055866+6.77%0.0023✓0.6214k2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana39.639.1217-1.21%43.72+10.40%0.0602✓1.3381.1M2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010220.00101-1.14%0.001637+60.25%0.3173✗1.291.8M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000040290.000039832-1.14%0.00004601+14.20%0.0114✓1.211.9M2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.185.1215-1.13%6.3+21.62%0.0198✗1.461.2M2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10880.107607-1.10%0.1261+15.90%0.0173✗1.10362k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7870.778379-1.10%0.947+20.33%0.0958✗0.781.2M2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11060.109425-1.06%0.1968+77.94%0.4447✗1.11558k2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase16.9116.7338-1.04%20.11+18.92%0.0011✓1.4281k2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55382.5307-0.91%3.0966+21.25%0.0727✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.2421.0519-0.89%27.9+31.36%0.0819✗1.5525.2M2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5281.5154-0.82%1.893+23.89%0.0313✗1.49182k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6670.661918-0.76%0.819+22.79%0.0907✗0.95405k2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.866940.86076-0.71%1.0534+21.51%0.0300✗1.34399k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009174-0.71%0.01073+16.13%0.0250✗1.024.9M2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020580.02044-0.68%0.02686+30.52%0.1362✗1.06112k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0643090.063893-0.65%0.076696+19.26%0.0264✗1.222.0M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative1.6011.5911-0.62%2.71+69.27%0.3761✗1.22287k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1310.130199-0.61%0.1474+12.52%0.0478✓1.3434k2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51940.516243-0.61%0.5965+14.84%0.0113✓1.21491k2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09610.095539-0.58%0.1145+19.15%0.0753✗0.82144k2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.052050.051756-0.57%0.09505+82.61%0.4184✗1.47773k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009002-0.53%0.00821-9.28%0.2103✓0.921.2M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3691-0.52%8.417+55.96%0.3043✗1.131.8M2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003981-0.48%0.00488+22.00%0.0300✗1.35131k2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative17.2617.1781-0.47%41.97+143.16%0.7395✗1.201.2M2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2672.2566-0.46%2.725+20.20%0.0293✓1.6984k2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05160.051389-0.41%0.0659+27.71%0.0734✗1.36837k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum92.8392.4658-0.39%107.14+15.42%0.0689✓1.6810.8M2022-08-15
DASHDashDash44.8344.6556-0.39%53.17+18.60%0.0315✗1.11619k2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.88672.8766-0.35%4.042+40.02%0.1989✗1.1025k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38720.386265-0.24%0.4715+21.77%0.0281✗1.3382k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.98e-7-0.22%9.90e-7+10.00%0.0117✓0.855.7M2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11980.119534-0.22%0.1569+30.97%0.1421✗1.013.8M2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137850.137573-0.20%0.1756+27.38%0.0355✗1.62168k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,355.701,353.15-0.19%1,899.39+40.10%0.1838✗1.21326.5M2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase0.9223820.920758-0.18%1.0171+10.27%0.0319✓1.0264k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04290.042825-0.17%0.045+4.90%0.1245✓1.357,6872022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27880.278467-0.12%0.3448+23.67%0.0602✗1.192.9M2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.14210.14193-0.12%0.1994+40.32%0.1791✗1.2588k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006683-0.10%0.0085+27.06%0.1123✗1.00387k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.60071.6003-0.03%1.8279+14.19%0.0307✓1.27535k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003720.003721+0.02%0.00403+8.33%0.0952✗1.36650k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.05092+0.04%0.067+31.63%0.0846✓1.48102k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0127110.012725+0.11%0.016006+25.92%0.1235✓0.821.2M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0689110.068998+0.13%0.068965+0.08%0.1055✗0.82433k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3078610.308312+0.15%0.371538+20.68%0.0238✓1.271.5M2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.0761.0778+0.16%1.2755+18.54%0.0282✓1.0948k2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.811774+0.22%0.82+1.23%0.0848✗0.74111k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10130.101579+0.28%0.1342+32.48%0.1049✓1.352.5M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.778.7974+0.31%11.94+36.15%0.1524✓1.19272k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.58e-7+0.40%7.43e-7+108.39%0.5913✓1.08350k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.101638+0.53%0.1148+13.55%0.0537✗1.36526k2022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash63.2463.5919+0.56%73.84+16.76%0.0221✗1.331.6M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,189.6821,307.79+0.56%24,097.82+13.72%0.0056✗1.00429.5M2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83161.8423+0.58%2.3338+27.42%0.0769✓1.2431k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.299.357+0.72%10.526+13.30%0.0252✗1.112.2M2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2910.293121+0.73%0.324+11.34%0.0329✗1.03599k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,072.8021,227.57+0.73%23,840.30+13.13%0.0109✗0.9941k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.3950.398587+0.91%0.4859+23.01%0.0352✓1.27405k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22790.230005+0.92%0.2573+12.90%0.0790✗1.49117k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.12774.185+1.39%4.9822+20.70%0.0821✓0.72954k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero139.03141.0319+1.44%163.5+17.60%0.0019✓1.131.3M2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.0955.901+1.47%60.69+10.17%0.0691✗1.1815.0M2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.054524+1.53%0.0788+46.74%0.2675✓0.78204k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5920.601787+1.65%0.99+67.23%0.3425✓1.21858k2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027720.028195+1.71%0.04885+76.23%0.3854✓1.2820k2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25970.264312+1.78%0.4009+54.37%0.2688✓1.1536k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.1927.3255+1.86%8.787+22.18%0.0230✓1.249.6M2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.00580.005931+2.26%0.006763+16.59%0.0130✓0.923,0112022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6160.63097+2.43%0.72+16.88%0.0638✗1.52112k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.084835+3.33%0.1007+22.66%0.0114✓1.246,9262022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49440.519058+4.99%0.5804+17.39%0.0340✓1.13311k2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.45114.9271+5.00%137.34+25.48%0.0338✓1.124.0M2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.