8=======>

2022-07-15 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1695
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.5%
in alpha space · 54.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.503196+7.73%0.5947+27.32%0.0071✓1.12294k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.2507+6.09%5.0549+26.16%0.0626✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.080976+5.99%0.0995+30.24%0.0150✓1.236,9262022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.608889+5.53%1.008+74.70%0.3174✓1.21867k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.055691+4.88%0.0809+52.35%0.2522✓0.78204k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07111.0366+4.68%139.45+31.47%0.0542✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94145.3993+4.65%168.04+20.94%0.0311✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.251028+4.46%0.4118+71.37%0.3181✓1.1433k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.005934+4.16%0.006713+17.84%0.0190✓0.923,0112022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.635477+3.67%0.7+14.19%0.1401✗1.53112k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.71e-7+3.56%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0309✓1.08392k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003555+3.34%0.00403+17.15%0.0841✗1.35664k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.395634+3.33%0.4917+28.41%0.0213✓1.27405k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3760.2969+3.30%73.71+26.28%0.0044✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.294076+3.18%0.327+14.74%0.0540✗1.03575k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.00402+3.08%0.00499+27.95%0.0068✓1.35136k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0794+3.01%1.2606+20.30%0.0137✓1.0948k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5521,447.86+2.98%24,316.71+16.75%0.0293✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.4624+2.96%10.646+15.84%0.0544✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.101375+2.81%0.1393+41.28%0.1088✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.7994+2.80%11.81+37.97%0.1100✓1.19288k2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.671158+2.78%0.839+28.48%0.0760✓0.95405k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.103558+2.74%0.1166+15.67%0.0937✗1.37547k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.064691+2.73%0.0817+29.74%0.0451✓1.222.0M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.002871+2.64%0.00419+49.80%0.2169✓1.041.2M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.132338+2.64%0.1773+37.51%0.0422✓1.62155k2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.05079+2.61%0.0703+42.02%0.0963✓1.48102k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.203395+2.57%0.2555+28.85%0.0012✓1.47117k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.04193+2.52%0.0472+15.40%0.0911✗1.357,6892022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.143389+2.49%0.1716+22.66%0.0146✓1.2593k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4192.6557+2.48%107.44+18.84%0.1127✗1.6810.2M2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.385773+2.46%0.4837+28.47%0.0196✓1.3382k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009225+2.38%0.00825-8.44%0.2542✗0.921.2M2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012526+2.37%0.015677+28.12%0.0975✓0.821.2M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.092848+2.37%0.1275+40.57%0.1908✓0.82145k2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6021,640.02+2.26%24,209.70+14.40%0.0410✗0.9943k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.786062+2.22%0.932+21.20%0.0490✓0.781.3M2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.12199+2.17%0.1641+37.44%0.1396✓1.013.9M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.317527+1.98%0.37655+20.94%0.0252✗1.26411k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,255.20+1.96%1,935.85+57.25%0.2481✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.905566+1.95%1.0568+18.98%0.0034✓1.0268k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.242119+1.90%0.2868+20.71%0.0010✓1.1060k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.6398+1.81%3.446+32.90%0.0923✓1.12830k2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.2926+1.80%3.5378+57.10%0.3092✓0.80922k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.006859+1.78%0.00672-0.28%0.1094✗0.5772k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.050379+1.78%0.067+35.35%0.0745✓1.36837k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.8747+1.70%8.97+32.69%0.1889✓0.50657k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.3152+1.69%41.57+176.03%0.8161✓1.181.2M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.4756+1.69%1.939+33.63%0.0427✓1.49182k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7652.635+1.69%63.17+22.04%0.0010✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2443.9568+1.66%55.08+27.38%0.0537✓1.11623k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4796+1.65%3.1608+29.58%0.0878✓1.001.1M2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.068105+1.61%0.070349+4.96%0.0941✗0.82433k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.274908+1.59%0.3467+28.12%0.0473✓1.193.0M2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83113.0349+1.59%16.2019+26.27%0.0322✓1.20242k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.332636+1.57%0.3642+11.21%0.0925✗1.188.3M2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.08754+1.44%0.0854-1.04%0.2207✗1.26171k2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.027663+1.40%0.04879+78.85%0.3692✓1.2819k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3847+1.37%1.732+26.79%0.0019✓1.46385k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.5671+1.37%2.832+83.18%0.4040✓1.21287k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.006505+1.33%0.00865+34.74%0.1313✓0.99390k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.040966+1.29%0.053806+33.03%0.0944✓1.1515k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.40179+1.26%0.4793+20.79%0.0669✗1.57197k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7946.8792+1.25%8.955+31.81%0.0730✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000039675+1.16%0.00004614+17.64%0.0365✗1.211.9M2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.232788+1.12%0.2693+16.99%0.0492✗1.26167k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.819055+1.12%0.81+0.00%0.1261✗0.74111k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.6818+1.10%10.26+82.56%0.3796✓1.36256k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009287+1.06%0.01037+12.84%0.0489✗1.034.9M2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.108514+1.03%0.125646+16.98%0.0093✓1.017.4M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.297175+1.03%0.374117+27.18%0.0345✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.854405+0.85%1.0735+26.71%0.0210✓1.34411k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.805+0.84%4.1906+50.65%0.2314✓1.1026k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.108989+0.82%0.1308+21.00%0.0312✓0.986,6852022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4411+0.78%1.75+22.38%0.0328✗1.47153k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.4269+0.78%1.6481+16.40%0.0769✗1.43651k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.7811+0.74%2.3122+30.78%0.0688✓1.2434k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.6422+0.73%44.89+20.12%0.0292✗1.3383.9M2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.9347+0.63%3.6932+92.10%0.5118✓0.87845k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.018186+0.53%0.01762-2.60%0.1514✗0.77381k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.1883+0.52%2.808+28.98%0.0127✗1.6984k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3754.6362+0.49%58.87+8.28%0.1081✗1.18235k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.390565+0.45%0.44475+14.38%0.0630✗1.25128k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.6699+0.43%0.887+32.98%0.0847✓1.27120k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.7437+0.36%3.865+41.37%0.1686✓1.12534k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.73e-7+0.35%0.00000101+16.09%0.0145✓0.855.7M2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.904158+0.34%1.0962+21.65%0.0324✗1.451.4M2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.6151+0.31%6.368+38.40%0.0508✓1.7512.2M2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.706,170.93+0.30%11,226.83+82.47%0.3907✓1.344.2M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.106098+0.28%0.1811+71.17%0.3636✓1.10549k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.496408+0.20%0.6094+23.01%0.0183✓1.21491k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0316.0558+0.16%20.14+25.64%0.0070✓1.4274k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.00001085+0.09%0.00001688+55.72%0.2491✓1.251.1M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.8032+0.07%6.17+28.54%0.1464✓0.67609k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.501333+0.07%0.699+39.52%0.1168✓1.3985k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.127963+0.05%0.1477+15.48%0.0638✗1.3434k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2692+0.01%1.445+13.87%0.0738✗1.312.5M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7826.7757-0.02%30.84+15.16%0.0042✓0.9410.7M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.050571-0.04%0.09281+83.46%0.3793✗1.47778k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000970046-0.06%0.001432+47.49%0.1904✗1.281.8M2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.432234-0.08%0.6213+43.62%0.1676✗1.261.2M2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.051825-0.19%0.056453+8.72%0.0110✓0.6214k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.155644-0.23%0.1842+18.08%0.0393✓1.34349k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.2132-0.24%8.235+57.58%0.2820✗1.131.8M2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.106122-0.26%0.1284+20.68%0.0203✗1.10380k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.060125-0.27%0.0883+46.46%0.1696✗1.3925k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.01932-0.36%0.02573+32.70%0.1230✗1.0699k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.5679-0.41%1.8226+15.77%0.0472✓1.28555k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.394389-0.41%0.534+34.85%0.1313✗1.119,9052022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.1722-0.41%14.53+57.76%0.2344✗1.461.1M2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.289-0.51%8.77+38.74%0.1379✗1.2619.3M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.07128-0.59%0.0765+6.69%0.1514✓1.43299k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.145425-0.60%0.171+16.88%0.0405✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.3186-0.62%3.944+69.05%0.3899✗0.9188k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.269-0.65%5.1274-3.32%0.0557✓0.18335k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1824-0.67%2.773+26.22%0.0193✗1.4247k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0588.9962-0.68%11.588+27.93%0.0435✗1.3512.7M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.2138-0.70%28.19+45.68%0.1446✗1.5425.2M2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.8916-0.80%1.4588+62.31%0.3003✗1.24838k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047701-0.83%0.0541+12.47%0.0671✓1.25257k2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43351.9594-0.90%62.391+18.99%0.0531✗0.84410k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.3249-1.03%6.12+40.05%0.2479✗0.64555k2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9713.8253-1.04%18.56+32.86%0.0840✗1.361.3M2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.044758-1.07%0.05538+22.41%0.0706✗0.925,7282022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.436892-1.13%0.5701+29.01%0.0697✗1.2746.2M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.515-1.18%3.821+50.14%0.1489✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.197693-1.20%0.2723+36.08%0.1346✗1.20705k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2954.5802-1.28%63.04+14.02%0.0696✓1.3829k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.285088-1.34%0.36752+27.19%0.0444✗1.353,2762022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.400564-1.45%0.49265+21.21%0.0896✗0.7654k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2954-1.49%3.06+31.33%0.0465✗1.56216k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.0899-1.52%1.3892+25.53%0.0205✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.905563-1.57%0.981+6.63%0.1982✓1.80528k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6709-1.71%2.55+50.00%0.2500✗1.12117k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.4986-1.72%5.06+42.13%0.2560✗0.73572k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8408-1.77%5.42+38.62%0.2459✗0.64672k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.797709-1.79%1.207+48.61%0.2778✗0.883642022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.0588-1.96%6.42+24.42%0.0119✓1.461.2M2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3725-1.96%1.48+5.71%0.1621✓1.53768k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071972-2.08%0.0721-1.90%0.1548✓1.01181k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.9926-2.13%2.187+7.42%0.1382✓1.49112k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.035215-2.18%0.0428+18.89%0.0006✓1.2695k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016714-2.22%0.019846+16.11%0.0912✗0.52179k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.7349-2.23%5.932+55.29%0.3657✗0.631.6M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4922.9636-2.24%43.26+84.16%0.4784✗1.00127k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020357-2.25%0.025582+22.84%0.0727✗1.011,2172022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.1787-2.26%1.341+11.19%0.0524✓1.171.4M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.203192-2.31%0.225+8.17%0.1407✓1.57964k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.7381-2.43%4.154+8.43%0.0180✓0.80488k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.470873-2.51%1.44+198.14%0.8553✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.46113-2.53%0.5344+12.96%0.0236✓1.1052k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.6397-2.54%8.001+17.44%0.0191✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.7811-2.99%2.387+30.01%0.0904✗1.31816k2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.776538-3.10%1.1212+39.91%0.2093✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4374-3.14%2.039+37.40%0.1947✗1.00180k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.171512-3.16%0.2284+28.97%0.0725✗1.382,2022022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2285-3.16%3.077+33.71%0.0720✗1.624,8022022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.0227-3.28%0.02926+24.67%0.0006✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.252245-3.35%0.2611+0.04%0.1204✓1.0037k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.660422-3.37%0.71015+3.91%0.1810✓1.64131k2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.40e-7-3.40%0.00000101+16.09%0.0289✓1.0033k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.369014-3.53%0.4905+28.24%0.1297✗1.004832022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.5319-3.67%8.882+30.98%0.0929✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.071536-4.15%0.08115+8.74%0.0020✓0.831,9712022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.090001-4.22%0.08572-8.78%0.2036✓1.00394k2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7214.0893-4.28%21.24+44.29%0.2580✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01880.974084-4.39%1.2058+18.36%0.0364✓1.144,5462022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.4479-4.49%6.354+76.01%0.5275✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.443065-4.50%0.40475-12.76%0.3252✓1.52945k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.025623-4.64%0.03229+20.17%0.0032✓1.471,7332022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.170691-4.70%0.2112+17.92%0.0154✓1.472,7232022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0384-4.75%2.98-6.58%0.0899✓0.4678k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.602739-5.08%0.753+18.58%0.0093✓1.503,6872022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4654-5.46%1.5-3.23%0.0162✓0.26485k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.0766-5.51%4.102+25.98%0.1884✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.383875-5.68%0.5199+27.74%0.1484✗1.00202k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.4297.9347-6.21%118.61+13.59%0.0329✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.24786-6.29%0.2996+13.27%0.0277✓1.40439k2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.784841-6.50%1.0019+19.36%0.0055✓1.61192k2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5315.3811-6.95%39.27+137.57%0.6801✗1.66421k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.722357-7.27%0.874+12.20%0.0960✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.161725-7.36%0.1917+9.81%0.2557✓2.758962022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.00009932-7.55%0.00010014-6.79%0.2936✓1.95682k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.