8=======>

2022-07-15 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1734
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.2%
in alpha space · 26.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107430.000096535-10.14%0.00010014-6.79%0.2651✓1.95682k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174570.156868-10.14%0.1917+9.81%0.2252✓2.758962022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum104.4294.981-9.04%118.61+13.59%0.0635✓1.022.6M2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83940.768056-8.50%1.0019+19.36%0.0161✓1.61192k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.582067-8.34%0.753+18.58%0.0256✓1.503,6872022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2563.0106-7.54%4.102+25.98%0.2101✗0.642.1M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7213.6651-7.17%21.24+44.29%0.2886✗0.981.7M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5315.3579-7.09%39.27+137.57%0.6816✗1.66421k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.8949-6.93%2.187+7.42%0.0879✓1.49112k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.563.333-6.38%5.06+42.13%0.3045✗0.73572k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.26450.247781-6.32%0.2996+13.27%0.0274✓1.40439k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.613.3826-6.30%6.354+76.01%0.5466✗0.542.1M2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.01880.959563-5.81%1.2058+18.36%0.0514✓1.144,5462022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4608-5.75%1.5-3.23%0.0131✓0.26485k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.463960.43761-5.68%0.40475-12.76%0.3128✓1.52945k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8313.6239-5.41%4.154+8.43%0.0130✓0.80488k2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.7004-5.36%5.42+38.62%0.2831✗0.64672k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.740526-4.94%0.874+12.20%0.1209✓1.857.5M2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.920.875158-4.87%0.981+6.63%0.1641✓1.80528k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.812210.773777-4.73%1.207+48.61%0.3083✗0.883642022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.38250.364405-4.73%0.4905+28.24%0.1423✗1.004832022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism0.4830.460174-4.73%1.44+198.14%0.8782✗1.701.2M2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17910.170664-4.71%0.2112+17.92%0.0153✓1.472,7232022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.406450.387685-4.62%0.49265+21.21%0.1223✗0.7654k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023470.022405-4.54%0.02926+24.67%0.0125✓1.6416.9M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.683460.65272-4.50%0.71015+3.91%0.1693✓1.64131k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.0466-4.50%2.98-6.58%0.0926✓0.4678k2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.8361.7575-4.28%2.387+30.01%0.1038✗1.31816k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.149413-4.22%0.1842+18.08%0.0016✓1.34349k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum23.4922.5055-4.19%43.26+84.16%0.4986✗1.00127k2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.03452-4.11%0.0428+18.89%0.0205✓1.2695k2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2080.19952-4.08%0.225+8.17%0.1225✓1.57964k2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.766.4845-4.08%8.97+32.69%0.2473✗0.50657k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0170930.016397-4.07%0.019846+16.11%0.1104✗0.52179k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074630.071621-4.03%0.08115+8.74%0.0032✓0.831,9712022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.4070.390857-3.97%0.5199+27.74%0.1304✗1.00202k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.14630.140522-3.95%0.171+16.88%0.0062✓1.312.8M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39680.381166-3.94%0.4793+20.79%0.0142✓1.57197k2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.07062-3.92%0.0721-1.90%0.1358✓1.01181k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.251065-3.81%0.2611+0.04%0.1157✓1.0037k2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.10671.0647-3.79%1.3892+25.53%0.0439✗1.434.2M2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.083094-3.71%0.0854-1.04%0.1685✓1.26171k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.388830.374485-3.69%0.44475+14.38%0.0210✓1.25128k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.046337-3.66%0.0541+12.47%0.0381✓1.25257k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.7816.5354-3.62%8.882+30.98%0.0923✗1.385.6M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.090681-3.50%0.08572-8.78%0.2111✓1.00394k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.17710.17091-3.49%0.2284+28.97%0.0760✗1.382,2022022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0208250.020123-3.37%0.025582+22.84%0.0842✗1.011,2172022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.382733-3.35%0.534+34.85%0.1613✗1.119,9052022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026870.025981-3.31%0.03229+20.17%0.0107✓1.471,7332022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.89880.869109-3.30%1.4588+62.31%0.3258✗1.24838k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045240.043759-3.27%0.05538+22.41%0.0931✗0.925,7282022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.4841.4359-3.24%2.039+37.40%0.1957✗1.00180k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.374.2325-3.15%6.12+40.05%0.2695✗0.64555k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2953.6123-3.03%63.04+14.02%0.0517✓1.3829k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.92251.8654-2.97%3.6932+92.10%0.5483✗0.87845k2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47310.459219-2.93%0.5344+12.96%0.0195✓1.1052k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.43260.420326-2.84%0.6213+43.62%0.1955✗1.261.2M2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,152.705,979.01-2.82%11,226.83+82.47%0.4223✗1.344.2M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80140.779007-2.79%1.1212+39.91%0.2061✗1.024.1M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2522.1891-2.79%3.5378+57.10%0.3553✗0.80922k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.823.7134-2.79%5.932+55.29%0.3714✗0.631.6M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6528-2.78%2.55+50.00%0.2609✗1.12117k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8136.6237-2.78%8.001+17.44%0.0167✓1.335.5M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7342.6582-2.77%3.865+41.37%0.2003✗1.12534k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2061.1728-2.76%1.341+11.19%0.0473✓1.171.4M2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0404450.039366-2.67%0.053806+33.03%0.1342✗1.1515k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2696-2.59%3.06+31.33%0.0577✗1.56216k2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.44190.430946-2.48%0.5701+29.01%0.0834✗1.2746.2M2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.43351.1616-2.42%62.391+18.99%0.0686✗0.84410k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.0588.8386-2.42%11.588+27.93%0.0611✗1.3512.7M2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.288960.281998-2.41%0.36752+27.19%0.0553✗1.353,2762022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010840.000010588-2.32%0.00001688+55.72%0.2735✗1.251.1M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.84.689-2.31%6.17+28.54%0.1705✗0.67609k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060290.058897-2.31%0.0883+46.46%0.1902✗1.3925k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90110.880447-2.29%1.0962+21.65%0.0058✓1.451.4M2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30132.2487-2.29%3.077+33.71%0.0629✗1.624,8022022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.50e-7-2.25%0.00000101+16.09%0.0171✓1.0033k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018090.017722-2.03%0.01762-2.60%0.1255✓0.77381k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3216.1996-1.92%8.77+38.74%0.1522✗1.2619.3M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07170.070348-1.89%0.0765+6.69%0.1382✓1.43299k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3405-1.86%1.732+26.79%0.0305✗1.46385k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41591.3903-1.81%1.6481+16.40%0.0509✓1.43651k2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2466-1.76%1.445+13.87%0.0559✓1.312.5M2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30345.2115-1.73%5.1274-3.32%0.0447✓0.18335k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32750.321874-1.72%0.3642+11.21%0.0596✓1.188.3M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027970.00275-1.67%0.00419+49.80%0.2598✗1.041.2M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.5932.5498-1.66%3.446+32.90%0.1270✗1.12830k2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10810.106324-1.64%0.1308+21.00%0.0559✗0.986,6852022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4065-1.64%1.75+22.38%0.0085✓1.47153k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.83112.6254-1.60%16.2019+26.27%0.0641✗1.20242k2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3778-1.58%1.48+5.71%0.1660✓1.53768k2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1972.1626-1.57%2.773+26.22%0.0284✗1.4247k2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.625.5324-1.56%10.26+82.56%0.4062✗1.36256k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6014.5323-1.49%6.368+38.40%0.0689✗1.7512.2M2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067390.00664-1.47%0.00672-0.28%0.0769✓0.5772k2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.219.0777-1.44%14.53+57.76%0.2447✗1.461.1M2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23020.226974-1.40%0.2693+16.99%0.0239✓1.26167k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5452.5096-1.39%3.821+50.14%0.1511✗1.743.7M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.494213-1.35%0.699+39.52%0.1311✗1.3985k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0519240.051226-1.34%0.056453+8.72%0.0006✓0.6214k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1074120.105988-1.33%0.125646+16.98%0.0142✗1.017.4M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum26.7826.4356-1.29%30.84+15.16%0.0086✓0.9410.7M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9713.792-1.27%18.56+32.86%0.0864✗1.361.3M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.658887-1.22%0.887+32.98%0.1013✗1.27120k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3332.3056-1.17%3.944+69.05%0.3955✗0.9188k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000039220.000038789-1.10%0.00004614+17.64%0.0139✓1.211.9M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration54.3753.7821-1.08%58.87+8.28%0.0923✓1.18235k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.760732-1.08%0.932+21.20%0.0817✗0.781.3M2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.165.1057-1.05%6.42+24.42%0.0027✓1.461.2M2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23760.235189-1.01%0.2868+20.71%0.0280✗1.1060k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097060.000961042-0.98%0.001432+47.49%0.1997✗1.281.8M2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10640.105426-0.92%0.1284+20.68%0.0269✗1.10380k2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.311360.308651-0.87%0.37655+20.94%0.0032✓1.26411k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase16.0315.8929-0.86%20.14+25.64%0.0172✗1.4274k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43932.4191-0.83%3.1608+29.58%0.1124✗1.001.1M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6530.64776-0.80%0.839+28.48%0.1115✗0.95405k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana37.3737.089-0.75%44.89+20.12%0.0144✓1.3383.9M2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009190.009123-0.73%0.01037+12.84%0.0311✓1.034.9M2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.10580.105085-0.68%0.1811+71.17%0.3732✗1.10549k2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.847240.841802-0.64%1.0735+26.71%0.0358✗1.34411k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.198829-0.64%0.2723+36.08%0.1288✗1.20705k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.062970.062575-0.63%0.0817+29.74%0.0784✗1.222.0M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008959-0.56%0.00825-8.44%0.2250✓0.921.2M2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4511.4434-0.52%1.939+33.63%0.0647✗1.49182k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2265.2015-0.47%8.235+57.58%0.2843✗1.131.8M2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12790.127321-0.45%0.1477+15.48%0.0587✓1.3434k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.118936-0.39%0.1641+37.44%0.1649✗1.013.9M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09070.090353-0.38%0.1275+40.57%0.2180✗0.82145k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003885-0.38%0.00499+27.95%0.0408✗1.35136k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative1.5461.5403-0.37%2.832+83.18%0.4213✗1.21287k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0670240.066798-0.34%0.070349+4.96%0.0747✓0.82433k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49540.493819-0.32%0.6094+23.01%0.0235✗1.21491k2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050590.050433-0.31%0.09281+83.46%0.3820✗1.47778k2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019390.01933-0.31%0.02573+32.70%0.1225✗1.0699k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1772.1711-0.27%2.808+28.98%0.0048✓1.6984k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.049381-0.24%0.067+35.35%0.0945✗1.36837k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum90.4190.212-0.22%107.44+18.84%0.0859✓1.6810.2M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash43.2443.1573-0.19%55.08+27.38%0.0720✗1.11623k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.0615.0348-0.17%41.57+176.03%0.8346✗1.181.2M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04950.049446-0.11%0.0703+42.02%0.1231✗1.48102k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.78182.7792-0.09%4.1906+50.65%0.2406✗1.1026k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.69e-7-0.08%0.00000101+16.09%0.0188✗0.855.7M2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.139801-0.07%0.1716+22.66%0.0107✗1.2593k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.810.809846-0.02%0.81+0.00%0.1148✓0.74111k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27060.270601+0.00%0.3467+28.12%0.0630✓1.193.0M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3519.3572+0.04%28.19+45.68%0.1371✓1.5425.2M2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.57431.575+0.05%1.8226+15.77%0.0517✗1.28555k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04090.040929+0.07%0.0472+15.40%0.0669✗1.357,6892022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.04781.0486+0.08%1.2606+20.30%0.0152✓1.0948k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8882140.888941+0.08%1.0568+18.98%0.0151✓1.0268k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006420.00643+0.16%0.00865+34.74%0.1429✓0.99390k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128940.129199+0.20%0.1773+37.51%0.0662✓1.62155k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.37735+0.23%0.4837+28.47%0.0417✓1.3382k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.098823+0.23%0.1393+41.28%0.1343✓1.352.5M2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.59e-7+0.24%4.26e-7+18.73%0.0017✓1.08392k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,231.101,234.15+0.25%1,935.85+57.25%0.2651✓1.20326.5M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.10080.101173+0.37%0.1166+15.67%0.0704✗1.37547k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2941580.295309+0.39%0.374117+27.18%0.0408✓1.261.7M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.568.5951+0.41%11.81+37.97%0.1335✓1.19288k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122360.012294+0.48%0.015677+28.12%0.1162✓0.821.2M2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash58.3758.7104+0.58%73.71+26.28%0.0222✓1.331.6M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,161.6021,285.25+0.58%24,209.70+14.40%0.0245✗0.9943k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.199.2442+0.59%10.646+15.84%0.0311✗1.112.4M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.286761+0.62%0.327+14.74%0.0288✗1.03575k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,827.5520,966.75+0.67%24,316.71+16.75%0.0067✓1.00447.1M2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.76811.7824+0.81%2.3122+30.78%0.0681✓1.2434k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003440.003474+0.98%0.00403+17.15%0.0610✗1.35664k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19830.200627+1.17%0.2555+28.85%0.0149✓1.47117k2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero138.94140.748+1.30%168.04+20.94%0.0014✓1.141.3M2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.38290.388076+1.35%0.4917+28.41%0.0406✓1.27405k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.053895+1.50%0.0809+52.35%0.2849✓0.78204k2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5770.585978+1.56%1.008+74.70%0.3558✓1.21867k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.00674.073+1.65%5.0549+26.16%0.1053✓0.711.0M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027280.027746+1.71%0.04879+78.85%0.3663✓1.2819k2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.7652.6596+1.74%63.17+22.04%0.0006✓1.1715.4M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6130.624025+1.80%0.7+14.19%0.1219✗1.53112k2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7946.9218+1.88%8.955+31.81%0.0668✓1.239.6M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24030.245997+2.37%0.4118+71.37%0.3383✓1.1433k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056970.005847+2.63%0.006713+17.84%0.0043✓0.923,0112022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07640.078773+3.11%0.0995+30.24%0.0426✓1.236,9262022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46710.489598+4.82%0.5947+27.32%0.0203✓1.12294k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.07111.2778+4.91%139.45+31.47%0.0520✓1.124.3M2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.