8=======>

2022-07-14 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1714
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.4%
in alpha space · 25.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.156173-10.68%0.20197+15.51%0.2206✓2.778962022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.59057-8.72%0.792+22.41%0.0341✓1.503,6872022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000084225-8.55%0.00009674+5.04%0.1924✓1.92682k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.5489.67-8.07%126.57+29.76%0.1689✗1.022.6M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1615.8597-7.58%40.15+133.97%0.6405✗1.67427k2022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5913.5453-7.16%21.34+46.26%0.2844✗0.991.7M2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0361.895-6.93%2.328+14.34%0.0526✓1.50112k2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.734522-6.89%1.0121+28.29%0.0430✓1.61180k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.234514-6.19%0.3084+23.36%0.1012✗1.00503k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.7151-6.09%4.099+41.78%0.3038✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4068-5.58%1.55+4.03%0.0537✓0.25512k2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.2664-5.54%6.38+84.50%0.5768✗0.542.1M2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.425519-5.44%0.41477-7.83%0.2872✓1.511.0M2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.893401-5.16%0.974+3.40%0.2250✓1.80528k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.386762-4.98%0.53395+31.18%0.1915✗0.7654k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.742759-4.90%0.912+16.77%0.1152✓1.867.9M2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.467257-4.84%1.542+214.05%0.8998✗1.701.2M2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.166532-4.78%0.2195+25.50%0.0214✓1.482,7942022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.6788-4.77%8.987+28.15%0.0564✗1.395.6M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.924217-4.74%1.2311+26.90%0.0902✗1.143,5002022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.022532-4.69%0.03126+32.23%0.0430✓1.6517.7M2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.1137-4.65%1.4348+22.84%0.0039✓1.444.3M2022-08-13
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.356364-4.59%0.3736+0.03%0.1255✓1.004752022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.122.984-4.36%3.03-2.88%0.0619✓0.4582k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.7585-4.29%1.243+56.84%0.3422✗0.883222022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.034657-4.26%0.0442+22.10%0.0258✓1.2699k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum22.3321.3807-4.25%47.76+113.88%0.6310✗1.00126k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.071108-4.22%0.08281+11.54%0.0091✓0.831,9362022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.387851-4.16%0.462+14.16%0.0972✓1.58197k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.141658-4.16%0.1759+19.01%0.0099✓1.312.8M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.7415-4.15%2.408+32.53%0.0984✗1.31864k2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.178972-4.09%0.2265+21.38%0.0048✓1.392,2342022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.623911-4.08%0.72052+10.77%0.1384✓1.63130k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.0131-4.04%4.96+57.96%0.3751✗0.71572k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.016677-4.04%0.020481+17.85%0.1153✗0.52199k2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.373467-4.02%0.5216+34.05%0.1613✗1.00180k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.894208-3.94%1.419+52.43%0.2464✗1.25794k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.202704-3.93%0.235+11.37%0.1238✓1.571.0M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.145603-3.89%0.1908+25.94%0.0390✓1.34349k2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.392278-3.85%0.558+36.76%0.1600✗1.119,6592022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.082911-3.82%0.0916+6.26%0.1190✓1.27171k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.372922-3.78%0.46097+18.94%0.0038✓1.25130k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.5026-3.77%5.4+48.35%0.3245✗0.63672k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.251844-3.73%0.261-0.23%0.1370✓1.0045k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.091953-3.57%0.08755-8.19%0.2218✓1.00379k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.044843-3.56%0.0554+19.14%0.0032✓1.24257k2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4071-3.49%2.107+44.51%0.2310✗1.00178k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025115-3.44%0.03326+27.87%0.0271✓1.471,9122022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.019836-3.36%0.025853+25.95%0.0913✗1.019372022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.043543-3.28%0.05467+21.43%0.0687✗0.925,7282022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9753.298-3.04%65.44+19.05%0.0333✓1.3828k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.5862-3.02%4.814+30.18%0.1868✗0.621.6M2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.066923-3.01%0.0716+3.77%0.1059✓1.00145k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.449013-2.92%0.5584+20.74%0.0277✓1.1053k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.7343-2.87%3.4312+92.16%0.5335✗0.86845k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.1706-2.85%1.326+10.04%0.0783✓1.181.5M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.782302-2.81%1.1627+44.45%0.2195✗1.024.5M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.6424-2.77%8.197+19.98%0.0197✓1.335.5M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6097-2.73%4.065+51.51%0.2492✗1.12534k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.42440.412996-2.69%0.6334+49.25%0.2100✗1.261.2M2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.038841-2.66%0.054466+36.50%0.1393✗1.1515k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,852.52-2.63%11,424.48+90.06%0.4374✗1.344.4M2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2005-2.63%3.24+43.36%0.1183✗1.56216k2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.42994-2.60%0.5598+26.82%0.0445✗1.2746.2M2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.8865-2.59%6.12+53.38%0.3454✗0.63555k2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.89275-2.58%1.138+24.18%0.0092✓1.461.5M2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.0706-2.56%3.4228+61.07%0.3647✗0.80922k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.0426-2.54%8.81+42.10%0.2928✗0.49657k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6085-2.52%2.66+61.21%0.3109✗1.11117k2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20450.9079-2.48%63.346+21.34%0.0735✗0.84414k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.7626-2.43%11.906+32.57%0.0725✗1.3612.7M2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.6434-2.42%3.972+46.62%0.1049✗1.753.5M2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.281178-2.38%0.37115+28.86%0.0436✗1.353,2762022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.000010366-2.21%0.00001262+19.06%0.0181✓1.241.2M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017502-2.12%0.01788+0.00%0.1120✓0.77381k2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.6007-2.09%10.46+82.87%0.3882✗1.37256k2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.2144-2.08%3.2141+42.13%0.0929✗1.624,8022022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.292-2.00%4.8922-9.40%0.1108✓0.19335k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.3426-1.97%6.06+36.79%0.2192✗0.66609k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.1464-1.97%9.149+45.92%0.1806✗1.2619.7M2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.323353-1.93%0.3686+11.80%0.0738✓1.198.5M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.105694-1.86%0.1341+24.51%0.0693✗0.986,6852022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.055898-1.81%0.09127+60.32%0.2517✗1.3824k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7444-1.81%4.086+46.19%0.2675✗0.76488k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3298-1.78%1.823+34.64%0.0635✗1.46387k2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3662-1.71%1.54+10.79%0.1455✓1.54768k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2052-1.70%1.485+21.13%0.0178✓1.312.5M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.785716-1.66%0.991+24.03%0.0956✗0.791.3M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.6079-1.65%6.66+42.16%0.0651✗1.7613.1M2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4065-1.64%1.85+29.37%0.0205✗1.47155k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.492858-1.63%0.702+40.12%0.1130✗1.3985k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006651-1.56%0.006824+0.99%0.0733✓0.5784k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.144-1.56%2.867+31.63%0.0446✗1.4252k2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.0426-1.50%15.39+67.65%0.2797✗1.461.1M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002708-1.49%0.004633+68.53%0.3574✗1.041.2M2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.538-1.48%3.746+45.42%0.1949✗1.13895k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.105568-1.46%0.126836+18.39%0.0094✓1.017.8M2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.1803-1.40%17.0389+37.93%0.1294✗1.19265k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.7697-1.36%19.24+37.82%0.0995✗1.361.3M2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.225542-1.34%0.2745+20.08%0.0211✓1.26172k2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.659245-1.31%0.917+37.28%0.1109✗1.27127k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.065284-1.23%0.0784+18.61%0.0632✓1.43299k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.1295-1.17%6.65+28.13%0.0065✓1.471.3M2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.3049-1.15%1.7029+29.00%0.0211✗1.42651k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038542-1.15%0.0000474+21.57%0.0023✓1.211.9M2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.5933-1.15%31.33+21.01%0.0405✗0.9411.0M2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009373-1.13%0.01031+8.76%0.0834✓1.035.1M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration51.5150.9385-1.11%61.18+18.77%0.0197✓1.17235k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.10552-1.11%0.1296+21.46%0.0153✗1.10388k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.050338-1.10%0.056988+11.96%0.0168✗0.6214k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.232698-0.98%0.2886+22.81%0.0253✗1.1060k2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.1964-0.88%4.135+86.60%0.4760✗0.9198k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana37.1236.8012-0.86%46.63+25.62%0.0075✓1.3384.4M2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.827934-0.85%1.0614+27.10%0.0171✗1.34411k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.104132-0.83%0.1616+53.90%0.2486✗1.10549k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.200894-0.79%0.2759+36.25%0.1097✗1.20705k2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000947368-0.75%0.001473+54.30%0.2197✗1.281.9M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.61048-0.74%0.872+41.79%0.1936✗0.94391k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3188-0.73%2.999+28.39%0.0852✗1.001.1M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2167-0.68%2.902+30.02%0.0241✓1.7084k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.3189-0.66%8.374+56.41%0.2572✗1.141.9M2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2290.6303-0.65%110.5+21.14%0.0932✓1.6910.4M2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.008934-0.62%0.00828-7.90%0.2352✓0.921.2M2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.062011-0.61%0.072906+16.85%0.0482✓1.222.0M2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.3164-0.61%20.82+35.11%0.0627✗1.4177k2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.504451-0.52%0.6271+23.66%0.0084✗1.21536k2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative1.5621.554-0.51%2.923+87.13%0.4217✗1.22287k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019644-0.49%0.02741+38.86%0.1501✗1.0699k2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.288175-0.43%0.3817+31.89%0.0645✗1.25421k2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.049358-0.41%0.09698+95.68%0.4215✗1.47778k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003864-0.40%0.00504+29.90%0.0319✗1.35141k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash43.6243.4461-0.40%57.07+30.83%0.0806✗1.11628k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.088459-0.38%0.1176+32.43%0.1446✗0.81145k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.113574-0.37%0.1717+50.61%0.2392✗1.013.9M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.6755-0.33%29.19+47.87%0.1273✗1.5525.2M2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4375-0.31%1.994+38.28%0.0696✗1.49182k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.066753-0.27%0.069903+4.44%0.0953✓0.82453k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.820.818119-0.23%0.82+0.00%0.1264✓0.74114k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049501-0.20%0.0672+35.48%0.0502✗1.48106k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.7127-0.19%43.58+195.66%0.8825✗1.181.3M2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.136558-0.18%0.1743+27.41%0.0275✗1.2593k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.125549-0.04%0.1512+20.38%0.0452✓1.3435k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.70e-7-0.01%3.22e-7-13.15%0.3292✓1.09441k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.60e-7-0.00%0.00000102+18.60%0.0245✗0.855.8M2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.268821+0.01%0.3595+33.74%0.0844✓1.193.0M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.88546+0.03%1.0828+22.32%0.0249✓1.0274k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006412+0.04%0.00886+38.22%0.1519✓0.99392k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.129693+0.04%0.18116+39.74%0.0545✓1.62155k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042321+0.05%0.0501+18.44%0.0658✗1.368,3162022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0261+0.07%1.2916+25.97%0.0420✓1.0952k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.384142+0.12%0.4939+28.72%0.0200✓1.3494k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7361+0.12%4.2917+57.03%0.2604✓1.1027k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5624+0.14%1.9104+22.45%0.0197✗1.28582k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,195.15+0.21%1,984.75+66.41%0.3012✓1.19326.5M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.096396+0.31%0.1441+49.95%0.1693✓1.352.5M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.044445+0.33%0.0714+61.17%0.2416✓1.35837k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.292071+0.47%0.387693+33.36%0.0650✓1.261.7M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.3696+0.48%12.18+46.22%0.1701✓1.19288k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.146+0.51%10.697+17.55%0.0356✗1.112.5M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.285491+0.52%0.333+17.25%0.0247✗1.03575k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash57.5957.925+0.58%76.21+32.33%0.0454✓1.331.6M2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0220,716.64+0.68%24,456.49+18.85%0.0068✗1.00453.1M2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.012141+0.74%0.01624+34.75%0.1497✓0.821.3M2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7845+0.80%2.4159+36.46%0.0882✓1.2436k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.003490.003521+0.88%0.00389+11.46%0.1347✗1.36664k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.092718+0.89%0.1229+33.73%0.0469✓1.36547k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.617148+1.01%1.038+69.89%0.3101✓1.21867k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.38020.385175+1.31%0.5095+34.01%0.0610✓1.27405k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.191638+1.34%0.2699+42.73%0.0901✓1.46127k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,772.17+1.36%24,547.20+19.78%0.0034✓0.9945k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.260738+1.49%0.4375+70.30%0.3186✓1.1533k2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027497+1.50%0.04514+66.63%0.2745✓1.2819k2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0721+1.57%5.1095+27.45%0.1033✓0.721.1M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.052732+1.60%0.0823+58.57%0.3103✓0.78204k2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.8304+1.61%9.31+38.50%0.0969✓1.239.7M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3252.1727+1.66%63.86+24.43%0.0004✓1.1715.5M2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.619395+1.71%0.733+20.36%0.0959✗1.53118k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero133.62135.9738+1.76%168.13+25.83%0.0168✓1.131.3M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.078916+2.62%0.1028+33.68%0.0511✓1.246,9262022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.00586+3.05%0.006994+22.98%0.0178✓0.923,1492022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.489619+4.84%0.6153+31.76%0.0342✓1.13311k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99108.001+4.87%144.43+40.24%0.0974✓1.124.5M2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.