8=======>

2022-07-14 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0894
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.8%
in alpha space · 35.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.792540.780832-1.48%0.81221+2.48%0.0288✗0.883222022-07-15
QNTQuantEthereum97.5496.2544-1.32%104.42+7.05%0.0691✗1.022.6M2022-07-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205260.020271-1.24%0.020825+1.46%0.0148✗1.019372022-07-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174850.172689-1.24%0.17457-0.16%0.0226✓2.778962022-07-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.639437-1.17%0.635-1.85%0.0251✓1.503,6872022-07-15
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0136.9374-1.08%6.781-3.31%0.0397✓1.395.6M2022-07-15
DIADIAEthereum0.407030.402731-1.06%0.40645-0.14%0.0000✓0.7654k2022-07-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78890.781618-0.92%0.8394+6.40%0.0519✗1.61180k2022-07-15
DODODODOEthereum0.14780.146585-0.82%0.1463-1.01%0.0178✓1.312.8M2022-07-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1681.1584-0.82%1.1067-5.25%0.0631✓1.444.3M2022-07-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.970160.962223-0.82%1.0188+5.01%0.0433✗1.143,5002022-07-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.1617.0203-0.81%16.53-3.67%0.0494✓1.67427k2022-07-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4080.404817-0.78%0.396-2.94%0.0355✓1.119,6592022-07-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.5914.4768-0.78%14.72+0.89%0.0047✓0.991.7M2022-07-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044679-0.76%0.04524+0.49%0.0013✓0.925,7282022-07-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.068485-0.75%0.0735+6.52%0.0585✗1.00145k2022-07-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6832.6634-0.73%2.734+1.90%0.0126✗1.12534k2022-07-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074240.073736-0.68%0.07463+0.53%0.0020✓0.831,9362022-07-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0362.0225-0.66%2.036+0.00%0.0115✓1.50112k2022-07-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93090.924774-0.66%0.8988-3.45%0.0436✓1.25794k2022-07-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009210.000091503-0.65%0.00010743+16.64%0.1373✗1.92682k2022-07-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4421.4328-0.64%1.451+0.62%0.0054✓1.49182k2022-07-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3815-0.61%1.4+0.72%0.0052✓1.54768k2022-07-15
METISMetisEthereum22.3322.1987-0.59%23.49+5.19%0.0444✗1.00126k2022-07-15
AAVEAaveEthereum91.2290.7085-0.56%90.41-0.89%0.0237✓1.6910.4M2022-07-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4583.4391-0.55%3.61+4.40%0.0420✗0.542.1M2022-07-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.288030.286486-0.54%0.28896+0.32%0.0078✓1.353,2762022-07-15
COMPCompoundEthereum54.9754.6858-0.52%55.29+0.58%0.0057✓1.3828k2022-07-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.185663-0.50%0.1771-5.09%0.0641✓1.392,2342022-07-15
ELAElastosEthereum1.4581.4508-0.49%1.484+1.78%0.0105✗1.00178k2022-07-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046273-0.49%0.0481+3.44%0.0237✗1.24257k2022-07-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095360.094897-0.49%0.09397-1.46%0.0219✓1.00379k2022-07-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9420.937678-0.46%0.92-2.34%0.0408✓1.80528k2022-07-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38910.387331-0.45%0.407+4.60%0.0374✗1.00180k2022-07-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.250.248887-0.45%0.2645+5.80%0.0487✗1.00503k2022-07-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26142.2516-0.43%2.3013+1.76%0.0022✓1.624,8022022-07-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.150854-0.43%0.156+2.97%0.0173✗1.34349k2022-07-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.6246-0.42%3.91+7.42%0.0682✗0.63672k2022-07-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4837-0.42%1.55+4.03%0.0407✗0.25512k2022-07-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023640.023541-0.42%0.02347-0.72%0.0229✓1.6517.7M2022-07-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8326.8042-0.41%6.813-0.28%0.0148✓1.335.5M2022-07-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10770.107268-0.40%0.1081+0.37%0.0041✓0.986,6852022-07-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40470.403109-0.39%0.3968-1.95%0.0348✓1.58197k2022-07-15
XVSVenusEthereum5.195.1696-0.39%5.16-0.58%0.0196✓1.471.3M2022-07-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7092.6984-0.39%2.545-6.05%0.0797✓1.753.5M2022-07-15
XEMNEMnative0.0399020.039748-0.39%0.040445+1.36%0.0035✓1.1515k2022-07-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.260618-0.38%0.261-0.23%0.0106✓1.0045k2022-07-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173790.017315-0.37%0.017093-1.65%0.0192✓0.52199k2022-07-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9818.9478-0.37%9.058+0.86%0.0042✓1.3612.7M2022-07-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8171.8103-0.37%1.836+1.05%0.0017✓1.31864k2022-07-15
FISStafiEthereum0.37350.37216-0.36%0.3825+2.41%0.0153✗1.004752022-07-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056870.005668-0.34%0.005697+0.17%0.0060✓0.923,1492022-07-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8912.8813-0.33%3.256+12.63%0.1147✗0.632.1M2022-07-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2322.2245-0.33%2.177-2.46%0.0422✓1.7084k2022-07-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.1096-0.33%3.19+2.24%0.0201✗0.4582k2022-07-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6446-0.32%1.7+3.03%0.0196✗1.11117k2022-07-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.650460.648367-0.32%0.68346+5.07%0.0329✗1.63130k2022-07-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80490.802327-0.32%0.8014-0.43%0.0135✓1.024.5M2022-07-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387560.386332-0.32%0.38883+0.33%0.0087✓1.25130k2022-07-15
OPTIMOptimism0.4910.489448-0.32%0.483-1.63%0.0339✓1.701.2M2022-07-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2051.2012-0.32%1.206+0.08%0.0102✓1.181.5M2022-07-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08620.085946-0.29%0.0863+0.12%0.0112✓1.27171k2022-07-15
ADACardanoCardano0.44140.440112-0.29%0.4419+0.11%0.0113✓1.2746.2M2022-07-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17490.174406-0.28%0.1791+2.40%0.0087✗1.482,7942022-07-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03620.036098-0.28%0.036-0.55%0.0179✓1.2699k2022-07-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056930.056772-0.28%0.06029+5.90%0.0434✗1.3824k2022-07-15
ZENHorizenBase15.4115.3676-0.27%16.03+4.02%0.0251✗1.4177k2022-07-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6983.6879-0.27%3.82+3.30%0.0277✗0.621.6M2022-07-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026010.025941-0.27%0.02687+3.31%0.0174✗1.471,9122022-07-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2110.210441-0.26%0.208-1.42%0.0307✓1.571.0M2022-07-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.189.156-0.26%9.21+0.33%0.0118✓1.461.1M2022-07-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.1319-0.26%3.56+13.38%0.1195✗0.71572k2022-07-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.725.7054-0.26%5.62-1.75%0.0316✓1.37256k2022-07-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450.448851-0.26%0.46396+3.10%0.0148✗1.511.0M2022-07-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.129640.129309-0.26%0.12894-0.54%0.0225✓1.62155k2022-07-15
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.8247-0.25%26.78+3.44%0.0250✗0.9411.0M2022-07-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91640.91409-0.25%0.9011-1.67%0.0320✓1.461.5M2022-07-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10670.106434-0.25%0.1064-0.28%0.0136✓1.10388k2022-07-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7810.779069-0.25%0.779-0.26%0.0225✓1.867.9M2022-07-15
XVGVergenative0.003490.003482-0.24%0.00344-1.43%0.0285✓1.36664k2022-07-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283338-0.23%0.285+0.35%0.0067✓1.03575k2022-07-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46250.461449-0.23%0.4731+2.29%0.0116✗1.1053k2022-07-15
HIVEHivenative0.42440.423443-0.23%0.4326+1.93%0.0061✗1.261.2M2022-07-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,010.905,997.46-0.22%6,152.70+2.36%0.0093✗1.344.4M2022-07-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12560.125324-0.22%0.1279+1.83%0.0042✗1.3435k2022-07-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,192.701,190.17-0.21%1,231.10+3.22%0.0194✗1.19326.5M2022-07-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50710.506035-0.21%0.4954-2.31%0.0359✓1.21536k2022-07-15
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6854.6752-0.21%4.601-1.79%0.0372✓1.7613.1M2022-07-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0508990.050795-0.20%0.051924+2.01%0.0145✗0.6214k2022-07-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78561.782-0.20%1.9225+7.67%0.0655✗0.86845k2022-07-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7419.7006-0.20%19.35-1.98%0.0367✓1.5525.2M2022-07-15
BANDBandEthereum1.3541.3513-0.20%1.366+0.89%0.0068✓1.46387k2022-07-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1252.1208-0.20%2.252+5.98%0.0504✗0.80922k2022-07-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32970.329048-0.20%0.3275-0.67%0.0191✓1.198.5M2022-07-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5010.500014-0.20%0.501+0.00%0.0149✓1.3985k2022-07-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.835040.83345-0.19%0.84724+1.46%0.0002✓1.34411k2022-07-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06610.065975-0.19%0.0717+8.47%0.0660✗1.43299k2022-07-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001060.00001058-0.19%0.00001084+2.26%0.0092✗1.241.2M2022-07-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.26.1883-0.19%6.76+9.03%0.0825✗0.49657k2022-07-15
STEEMSteemnative0.20250.202117-0.19%0.2001-1.19%0.0246✓1.20705k2022-07-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019740.019703-0.19%0.01939-1.77%0.0288✓1.0699k2022-07-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027490.002744-0.19%0.002797+1.75%0.0066✗1.041.2M2022-07-15
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.58e-7-0.19%8.70e-7+1.16%0.0032✗0.855.8M2022-07-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006745-0.18%0.006739-0.27%0.0078✓0.5784k2022-07-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39995.39-0.18%5.3034-1.79%0.0185✓0.19335k2022-07-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.993.9827-0.18%4.37+9.52%0.0852✗0.63555k2022-07-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1071370.106942-0.18%0.107412+0.26%0.0078✓1.017.8M2022-07-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017847-0.18%0.01809+1.17%0.0042✗0.77381k2022-07-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.5762.5714-0.18%2.593+0.66%0.0053✓1.13895k2022-07-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.797578-0.18%0.769-3.75%0.0461✓0.791.3M2022-07-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32011.3178-0.18%1.4159+7.26%0.0547✗1.42651k2022-07-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.1050.104817-0.17%0.1058+0.76%0.0040✓1.10549k2022-07-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04230.042229-0.17%0.0409-3.31%0.0484✓1.368,3162022-07-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.008975-0.17%0.00901+0.22%0.0073✓0.921.2M2022-07-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.276.2596-0.17%6.321+0.81%0.0055✓1.2619.7M2022-07-15
SOLSolanaSolana37.1237.059-0.16%37.37+0.67%0.0077✓1.3384.4M2022-07-15
XMRMoneroMonero133.62133.4029-0.16%138.94+3.98%0.0270✗1.131.3M2022-07-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6680.666933-0.16%0.667-0.15%0.0152✓1.27127k2022-07-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.2350.234646-0.15%0.2376+1.11%0.0008✓1.1060k2022-07-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2566-0.15%2.33+3.10%0.0132✗1.56216k2022-07-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.289410.288996-0.14%0.31136+7.58%0.0594✗1.25421k2022-07-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22860.228279-0.14%0.2302+0.70%0.0069✓1.26172k2022-07-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1782.1749-0.14%2.197+0.87%0.0071✓1.4252k2022-07-15
FLOWFlownative1.5621.5599-0.14%1.546-1.02%0.0237✓1.22287k2022-07-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.434.424-0.14%4.8+8.35%0.0736✗0.66609k2022-07-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38370.383194-0.13%0.3765-1.88%0.0338✓1.3494k2022-07-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003875-0.13%0.0039+0.52%0.0099✓1.35141k2022-07-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4281-0.13%1.43+0.00%0.0165✓1.47155k2022-07-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.338.3194-0.13%8.56+2.76%0.0141✗1.19288k2022-07-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7915-0.13%3.831+37.07%0.3074✗0.76488k2022-07-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04430.044244-0.13%0.0495+11.74%0.0960✗1.35837k2022-07-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.33592.3331-0.12%2.4393+4.43%0.0325✗1.001.1M2022-07-15
ZECZcashZcash57.5957.5225-0.12%58.37+1.35%0.0014✓1.331.6M2022-07-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009469-0.12%0.00919-3.06%0.0424✓1.035.1M2022-07-15
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038945-0.12%0.00003922+0.59%0.0076✓1.211.9M2022-07-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05190.05184-0.12%0.0531+2.31%0.0146✗0.78204k2022-07-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3545.3481-0.11%5.226-2.39%0.0369✓1.141.9M2022-07-15
KSMKusamaHydration51.5151.4551-0.11%54.37+5.55%0.0409✗1.17235k2022-07-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25690.256653-0.10%0.2403-6.46%0.0798✓1.1533k2022-07-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0623920.062333-0.10%0.06297+0.93%0.0045✓1.222.0M2022-07-15
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353412.3416-0.10%12.831+3.87%0.0244✗1.19265k2022-07-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09610.096011-0.09%0.0986+2.60%0.0103✗1.352.5M2022-07-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2261.2249-0.09%1.269+3.51%0.0195✗1.312.5M2022-07-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26880.268569-0.09%0.2706+0.67%0.0069✓1.193.0M2022-07-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6150.614489-0.08%0.653+6.18%0.0494✗0.94391k2022-07-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2162.2142-0.08%2.333+5.28%0.0413✗0.9198k2022-07-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.20452.1611-0.08%52.433+0.44%0.0050✓0.84414k2022-07-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.13680.136689-0.08%0.1399+2.27%0.0081✗1.2593k2022-07-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1140.113909-0.08%0.1194+4.74%0.0349✗1.013.9M2022-07-15
TRXTRONTron0.0669340.066883-0.08%0.067024+0.13%0.0078✓0.82453k2022-07-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9613.9496-0.07%13.97+0.07%0.0150✓1.361.3M2022-07-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08880.088737-0.07%0.0907+2.14%0.0121✗0.81145k2022-07-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120520.012044-0.07%0.012236+1.53%0.0060✗0.821.3M2022-07-15
XTZTezosTezos1.56011.5591-0.06%1.5743+0.91%0.0058✓1.28582k2022-07-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049560.049528-0.06%0.05059+2.08%0.0034✗1.47778k2022-07-15
KCSKuCoinnative9.19.0945-0.06%9.19+0.99%0.0030✓1.112.5M2022-07-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095450.000953933-0.06%0.0009706+1.69%0.0018✗1.281.9M2022-07-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.7332.7314-0.06%2.7818+1.79%0.0050✗1.1027k2022-07-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027090.027075-0.05%0.02728+0.70%0.0080✓1.2819k2022-07-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6110.610678-0.05%0.577-5.56%0.0714✓1.21867k2022-07-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.70e-7-0.05%3.58e-7-3.24%0.0456✓1.09441k2022-07-15
DASHDashDash43.6243.6002-0.05%43.24-0.87%0.0218✓1.11628k2022-07-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3251.2982-0.04%51.76+0.86%0.0052✓1.1715.5M2022-07-15
STXStacksnative0.38020.380041-0.04%0.3829+0.71%0.0078✓1.27405k2022-07-15
NANOnanopayBase0.885170.884805-0.04%0.888214+0.34%0.0085✓1.0274k2022-07-15
PROPropyEthereum0.820.819694-0.04%0.81-1.22%0.0209✓0.74114k2022-07-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.04960.049585-0.03%0.0495-0.20%0.0196✓1.48106k2022-07-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006409-0.02%0.00642+0.16%0.0103✓0.99392k2022-07-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,577.0220,573.22-0.02%20,827.55+1.22%0.0002✗1.00453.1M2022-07-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07690.076888-0.02%0.0764-0.65%0.0213✓1.246,9262022-07-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7414.7385-0.01%15.06+2.17%0.0073✗1.181.3M2022-07-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.77041.7703-0.01%1.7681-0.13%0.0163✓1.2436k2022-07-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2907120.290732+0.01%0.294158+1.19%0.0036✗1.261.7M2022-07-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18910.189114+0.01%0.1983+4.87%0.0297✓1.46127k2022-07-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.02531.0254+0.01%1.0478+2.20%0.0084✓1.0952k2022-07-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.091923+0.03%0.1008+9.68%0.0757✓1.36547k2022-07-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,493.5020,503.28+0.05%21,161.60+3.26%0.0197✓0.9945k2022-07-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4670.467295+0.06%0.4671+0.02%0.0140✗1.13311k2022-07-15
GTGateEthereum4.00914.0122+0.08%4.0067-0.06%0.0100✗0.721.1M2022-07-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6090.609658+0.11%0.613+0.66%0.0131✗1.53118k2022-07-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7226.7305+0.13%6.794+1.07%0.0055✗1.239.7M2022-07-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.99103.1293+0.14%106.07+2.99%0.0146✓1.124.5M2022-07-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.