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2022-07-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1168
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.0%
in alpha space · 23.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.175560.156757-10.71%0.19851+13.07%0.2910✓2.808572022-08-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000094970.000086406-9.02%0.00009809+3.29%0.2348✓1.92724k2022-08-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.595625-7.94%0.792+22.41%0.0008✓1.513,2002022-08-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.2423-7.34%39.38+139.39%0.6348✗1.67427k2022-08-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.6213.5642-7.22%21.15+44.66%0.2582✗0.991.6M2022-08-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78120.725257-7.16%1.0248+31.18%0.0430✓1.61180k2022-08-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.252031-6.69%0.3094+14.55%0.0166✓1.00565k2022-08-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.4543-6.18%1.59+2.58%0.0417✓0.25535k2022-08-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8622.6893-6.03%4.176+45.91%0.3224✗0.622.2M2022-08-12
QNTQuantEthereum84.7879.6748-6.02%128.24+51.26%0.2885✗0.992.6M2022-08-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.1875-5.44%6.594+95.61%0.6264✗0.532.1M2022-08-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7981.701-5.40%2.341+30.20%0.0405✓1.48115k2022-08-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444970.422278-5.10%0.42697-4.05%0.2748✓1.521.1M2022-08-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16480.156718-4.90%0.2224+34.95%0.0740✗1.462,9732022-08-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7650.728499-4.77%0.944+23.40%0.0903✓1.858.4M2022-08-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023660.022542-4.72%0.03262+37.87%0.0581✗1.6518.5M2022-08-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8850.843561-4.68%0.983+11.07%0.1856✓1.80574k2022-08-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4750.453048-4.62%1.651+247.58%0.9728✗1.701.3M2022-08-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0307-4.40%3-5.36%0.0953✓0.4582k2022-08-12
METISMetisEthereum21.620.6508-4.39%49.07+127.18%0.6770✗1.00110k2022-08-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0177970.017043-4.23%0.020089+12.88%0.0642✗0.53222k2022-08-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0360.034476-4.23%0.0445+23.61%0.0172✓1.2699k2022-08-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.947520.908215-4.15%1.2318+30.00%0.0908✗1.142,3312022-08-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.638180.611788-4.14%0.72656+13.85%0.1360✓1.63120k2022-08-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37510.359623-4.13%0.5531+47.45%0.2420✗1.00180k2022-08-12
DIADIAEthereum0.390620.374957-4.01%0.48246+23.51%0.1094✗0.7654k2022-08-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.751.6799-4.00%2.426+38.63%0.1173✗1.33864k2022-08-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4331.3775-3.87%2.075+44.80%0.2212✗1.00172k2022-08-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08630.082981-3.85%0.0919+6.49%0.1359✓1.26171k2022-08-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.9907-3.84%5.08+63.34%0.3954✗0.71597k2022-08-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.384740.370039-3.82%0.46635+21.21%0.0042✓1.25142k2022-08-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26170.251769-3.79%0.2614-0.11%0.1510✓1.0045k2022-08-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38910.374394-3.78%0.4764+22.44%0.0555✓1.57202k2022-08-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14580.140301-3.77%0.196+34.43%0.0827✗1.33349k2022-08-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.419-3.69%5.53+55.77%0.3633✗0.62672k2022-08-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04821.0098-3.66%1.4231+35.77%0.0742✗1.434.2M2022-08-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.044034-3.65%0.0569+24.51%0.0228✓1.24257k2022-08-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2090.201405-3.63%0.236+12.92%0.1367✓1.571.1M2022-08-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094850.091419-3.62%0.08726-8.00%0.2351✓1.00373k2022-08-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025310.024414-3.54%0.03363+32.87%0.0429✗1.471,9122022-08-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066990.064635-3.52%0.08331+24.36%0.1029✗0.801,9502022-08-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07190.069479-3.37%0.0727+1.11%0.1475✓1.02131k2022-08-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16440.158872-3.36%0.2434+48.05%0.1689✗1.372,4272022-08-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6613.5417-3.26%4.875+33.16%0.2020✗0.621.7M2022-08-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13310.128871-3.18%0.1809+35.91%0.0949✗1.302.8M2022-08-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202080.019589-3.06%0.025466+26.02%0.0727✗1.019372022-08-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043670.042343-3.04%0.05396+23.56%0.0692✗0.925,7282022-08-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3760.364758-2.99%0.554+47.34%0.2093✗1.119,6592022-08-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.7892.7066-2.96%4.17+49.52%0.2189✗1.13534k2022-08-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1691.135-2.91%1.334+14.11%0.0598✓1.171.6M2022-08-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45050.437519-2.88%0.5574+23.73%0.0348✗1.1055k2022-08-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74771.6979-2.85%3.4443+97.08%0.5457✗0.86857k2022-08-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80340.780523-2.85%1.1564+43.94%0.1999✗1.024.5M2022-08-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.720570.700714-2.76%1.2293+70.60%0.3992✗0.862982022-08-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85730.833776-2.74%1.4259+66.32%0.3040✗1.23622k2022-08-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43820.426387-2.70%0.5407+23.39%0.0026✓1.2746.2M2022-08-12
HIVEHivenative0.42210.410726-2.69%0.6348+50.39%0.1977✗1.261.2M2022-08-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,907.645,755.25-2.58%11,508.57+94.81%0.4403✗1.344.5M2022-08-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.943.839-2.56%6.32+60.41%0.3802✗0.63584k2022-08-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.145.9847-2.53%8.86+44.30%0.2994✗0.49670k2022-08-12
XEMNEMnative0.0388410.037866-2.51%0.055699+43.40%0.1691✗1.1515k2022-08-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08812.036-2.50%3.3109+58.56%0.3363✗0.80976k2022-08-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.88290.860867-2.50%1.1467+29.88%0.0130✓1.451.6M2022-08-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85850.5902-2.44%63.536+22.52%0.0693✗0.84417k2022-08-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.287360.28046-2.40%0.37096+29.09%0.0239✓1.363,2762022-08-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1185.9735-2.36%9.21+50.54%0.1739✗1.375.6M2022-08-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4936.3431-2.31%8.394+29.28%0.0301✗1.335.5M2022-08-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010530.000010287-2.30%0.0000127+20.61%0.0239✓1.241.2M2022-08-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.22.1508-2.23%3.25+47.73%0.1190✗1.56218k2022-08-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017358-2.21%0.01781+0.34%0.1202✓0.77385k2022-08-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.621.5845-2.19%2.59+59.88%0.2805✗1.12117k2022-08-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.285.1706-2.07%4.7972-9.14%0.1097✓0.18335k2022-08-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1726.0469-2.03%9.333+51.22%0.1963✗1.2620.2M2022-08-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.3514-2.00%6.13+38.06%0.2178✗0.66664k2022-08-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.495.3848-1.92%10.7+94.90%0.4313✗1.35256k2022-08-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7992.7456-1.91%4.151+48.30%0.2705✗0.76497k2022-08-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.2188.0621-1.90%12.061+46.76%0.1499✗1.3412.7M2022-08-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.18762.1493-1.75%3.2354+47.90%0.1035✗1.624,8022022-08-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.767422-1.74%1.013+29.71%0.1283✗0.791.5M2022-08-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5152.472-1.71%4.15+65.01%0.1894✗1.743.3M2022-08-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3947.5734-1.69%65.12+34.57%0.0569✗1.3627k2022-08-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.584.5033-1.67%7.035+53.60%0.1157✗1.7514.8M2022-08-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1971.1773-1.65%1.496+24.98%0.0061✓1.302.6M2022-08-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30970.304635-1.64%0.3656+18.05%0.0397✓1.188.7M2022-08-12
BANDBandEthereum1.2851.2642-1.62%1.801+40.16%0.0807✗1.45387k2022-08-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4840.476431-1.56%0.7+44.63%0.1229✗1.3988k2022-08-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055170.054317-1.55%0.0916+66.03%0.2625✗1.3824k2022-08-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1052750.103667-1.53%0.126413+20.08%0.0072✓1.018.4M2022-08-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027460.002705-1.49%0.004523+64.71%0.3185✗1.041.3M2022-08-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3595-1.49%1.9+37.68%0.0582✗1.47160k2022-08-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10280.101284-1.47%0.139+35.21%0.1334✗0.976,6852022-08-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067490.006654-1.41%0.006832+1.23%0.0801✓0.5795k2022-08-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1392.1093-1.39%2.947+37.77%0.0662✗1.4260k2022-08-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5352.5001-1.38%3.223+27.14%0.0418✗1.13929k2022-08-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0508050.050135-1.32%0.056411+11.03%0.0008✓0.6214k2022-08-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.981411.8274-1.29%17.1241+42.92%0.1458✗1.19289k2022-08-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3713.2016-1.26%18.66+39.57%0.0900✗1.361.3M2022-08-12
XECeCashnative0.000038640.000038174-1.21%0.00004784+23.81%0.0029✓1.211.9M2022-08-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.878.7649-1.18%16.03+80.72%0.3289✗1.461.1M2022-08-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23560.232825-1.18%0.2956+25.47%0.0308✗1.1060k2022-08-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.647296-1.18%0.938+43.21%0.1318✗1.27143k2022-08-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.075.0133-1.12%6.66+31.36%0.0072✓1.471.3M2022-08-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009287-1.10%0.01039+10.65%0.0814✓1.035.1M2022-08-12
FTTFTXEthereum2524.744-1.02%31.22+24.88%0.0563✗0.9311.0M2022-08-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22740.225154-0.99%0.2787+22.56%0.0250✓1.26185k2022-08-12
STEEMSteemnative0.20490.202936-0.96%0.2777+35.53%0.0860✗1.21731k2022-08-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.101727-0.95%0.1304+26.97%0.0415✗1.10388k2022-08-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.814170.807142-0.86%1.0686+31.25%0.0285✗1.34433k2022-08-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.27242.2538-0.82%3.0168+32.76%0.1049✗0.991.2M2022-08-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28471.2742-0.82%1.6851+31.17%0.0122✗1.42684k2022-08-12
KSMKusamaHydration49.0648.6599-0.82%61.14+24.62%0.0074✓1.17247k2022-08-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0618380.06134-0.80%0.072322+16.95%0.0648✓1.222.1M2022-08-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06140.06091-0.80%0.0739+20.36%0.0733✓1.41299k2022-08-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.1852.1677-0.79%4.051+85.40%0.4546✗0.91105k2022-08-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.291830.289797-0.70%0.39278+34.59%0.0667✗1.26445k2022-08-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2955.2602-0.66%8.751+65.27%0.2940✗1.142.0M2022-08-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008880.008822-0.66%0.00838-5.63%0.2248✓0.921.2M2022-08-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5940.590181-0.64%0.88+48.15%0.2225✗0.94405k2022-08-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10190.101246-0.64%0.164+60.94%0.2746✗1.10549k2022-08-12
SOLSolanaSolana34.9434.7236-0.62%45.5+30.22%0.0217✗1.3284.4M2022-08-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049540.049235-0.62%0.10047+102.81%0.4355✗1.47793k2022-08-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4171.4085-0.60%2.034+43.54%0.0861✗1.49173k2022-08-12
FLOWFlownative1.5111.5021-0.59%2.945+94.90%0.4447✗1.21287k2022-08-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49440.491519-0.58%0.644+30.26%0.0427✗1.21579k2022-08-12
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.2016-0.58%21.35+39.63%0.0723✗1.4277k2022-08-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.12.0882-0.56%2.964+41.14%0.0312✗1.6984k2022-08-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11210.11149-0.54%0.1745+55.66%0.2588✗1.004.0M2022-08-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00093240.000927615-0.51%0.001509+61.87%0.2451✗1.282.0M2022-08-12
PROPropyEthereum0.820.816013-0.49%0.83+1.22%0.1153✓0.70114k2022-08-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.234-0.48%1.56+25.81%0.0523✓1.52768k2022-08-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.089917-0.42%0.127+40.64%0.1912✗0.82150k2022-08-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04260.042439-0.38%0.0502+17.84%0.0879✓1.368,3162022-08-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.04880.048676-0.25%0.066+35.25%0.0253✗1.48108k2022-08-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019120.019082-0.20%0.02664+39.33%0.1354✗1.05100k2022-08-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003893-0.18%0.00511+31.03%0.0162✗1.36153k2022-08-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.4114.3865-0.16%43.41+201.25%0.8828✗1.181.3M2022-08-12
DASHDashDash42.3942.3272-0.15%56.16+32.48%0.0730✗1.11632k2022-08-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13550.135309-0.14%0.1752+29.30%0.0216✗1.2696k2022-08-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1270.126826-0.14%0.1535+20.87%0.0618✓1.3435k2022-08-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0141.0127-0.14%1.2878+27.00%0.0351✗1.0954k2022-08-12
TRXTRONTron0.0662310.066156-0.11%0.070487+6.43%0.0916✓0.82462k2022-08-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8118.8006-0.05%29.35+56.03%0.1550✗1.5425.2M2022-08-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26570.265699-0.00%0.3631+36.66%0.0870✗1.203.1M2022-08-12
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.40e-7+0.03%0.00000103+22.62%0.0441✓0.855.8M2022-08-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.59e-7+0.08%3.20e-7-10.73%0.3194✗1.09465k2022-08-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.0063+0.16%0.00892+41.81%0.1606✓0.99392k2022-08-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.72412.7292+0.19%4.2925+57.57%0.2453✓1.1030k2022-08-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.122480.122755+0.22%0.18299+49.40%0.0951✓1.61155k2022-08-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8632120.865577+0.27%1.1083+28.39%0.0559✓1.0181k2022-08-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09380.094086+0.30%0.1472+56.93%0.1939✓1.352.5M2022-08-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,114.261,117.67+0.31%1,959.91+75.89%0.3387✓1.18326.5M2022-08-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.282948+0.34%0.329+16.67%0.0446✗1.04575k2022-08-12
XTZTezosTezos1.51911.5244+0.35%1.9249+26.71%0.0079✗1.28603k2022-08-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36920.370535+0.36%0.476+28.93%0.0014✓1.3494k2022-08-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042965+0.38%0.0733+71.26%0.2815✓1.34855k2022-08-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.9378.9744+0.42%10.654+19.21%0.0384✗1.112.8M2022-08-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.128.1554+0.44%12.4+52.71%0.1965✓1.18288k2022-08-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,220.2320,340.26+0.59%24,415.18+20.75%0.0059✗1.00453.1M2022-08-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2830910.28502+0.68%0.388363+37.19%0.0721✓1.261.8M2022-08-12
ZECZcashZcash54.9255.2972+0.69%77.34+40.82%0.0865✓1.321.7M2022-08-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.73941.7522+0.73%2.3981+37.87%0.0791✓1.2536k2022-08-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119380.012038+0.84%0.01628+36.37%0.1478✓0.821.3M2022-08-12
XVGVergenative0.00340.003431+0.92%0.00392+15.29%0.1216✗1.35664k2022-08-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6060.61178+0.95%0.942+55.45%0.2024✓1.22874k2022-08-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08680.087808+1.16%0.1237+42.51%0.0879✓1.35576k2022-08-12
STXStacksnative0.37740.381855+1.18%0.5099+35.11%0.0505✓1.27405k2022-08-12
AAVEAaveEthereum79.7880.7461+1.21%114.79+43.88%0.0371✓1.679.9M2022-08-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18230.184626+1.28%0.2537+39.17%0.0438✓1.45136k2022-08-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.051035+1.46%0.0827+64.41%0.3363✓0.78204k2022-08-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026730.027142+1.54%0.04843+81.18%0.3379✓1.2821k2022-08-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6030.612396+1.56%0.741+22.89%0.0997✗1.54129k2022-08-12
GTGateEthereum3.95944.0219+1.58%5.044+27.39%0.0919✓0.711.1M2022-08-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,219.9020,544.45+1.61%24,153.80+19.46%0.0242✗0.9948k2022-08-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.4646.5681+1.61%9.484+46.72%0.1355✓1.2310.3M2022-08-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.550.3534+1.72%62.95+27.17%0.0022✓1.1716.5M2022-08-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23910.244523+2.27%0.4449+86.07%0.3830✓1.1433k2022-08-12
XMRMoneroMonero124.11126.9337+2.28%166.92+34.49%0.0615✓1.131.3M2022-08-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.076097+2.69%0.104+40.35%0.0804✓1.236,9262022-08-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055490.005712+2.94%0.006893+24.23%0.0147✓0.923,1492022-08-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash102.54107.2578+4.60%143.1+39.56%0.0771✓1.124.8M2022-08-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46030.481888+4.69%0.6074+31.96%0.0195✓1.12311k2022-08-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.