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2022-07-12 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1601
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.5%
in alpha space · 25.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+24.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171770.154788-9.89%0.1952+13.64%0.3956✓2.918572022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009180.000083368-9.18%0.00009727+5.96%0.2484✓1.87744k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.2414.0206-8.00%21.14+38.71%0.1909✗1.021.0M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7780.716665-7.88%1.0027+28.88%0.0155✓1.63180k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6080.561164-7.70%0.769+26.48%0.0102✓1.513,2002022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5113.5897-6.34%36.12+148.93%0.6221✗1.65431k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3836-5.88%1.52+3.40%0.0431✓0.24575k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8672.7023-5.75%4.034+40.70%0.2639✗0.632.3M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.24210.22855-5.60%0.3078+27.14%0.0822✗1.00503k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum80.275.7123-5.60%124.47+55.20%0.2832✗0.992.6M2022-08-11
FISStafiEthereum0.38240.361358-5.50%–pending––1.004832022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4223.2345-5.48%6.256+82.82%0.5405✗0.552.2M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1680.159328-5.16%0.2226+32.50%0.0012✓1.552,9732022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.45560.43263-5.04%0.40616-10.85%0.3973✓1.551.2M2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7371.6495-5.04%2.326+33.91%0.0219✓1.49115k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.73959-4.69%0.889+14.56%0.2241✓1.898.5M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum19.7218.8137-4.60%44.8+127.18%0.6522✗1.0093k2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.8470.809074-4.48%0.967+14.17%0.2120✓1.81610k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022680.021667-4.47%0.03161+39.37%0.0189✓1.6719.6M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176180.016848-4.37%0.019255+9.29%0.0182✓0.54231k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.36160.346267-4.24%0.5389+49.03%0.2269✗1.00179k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.24912-4.15%0.2613+0.54%0.1677✓1.0045k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.012.886-4.12%2.93-2.66%0.0743✓0.4282k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.033467-4.11%0.0439+25.79%0.0033✓1.27102k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.608110.583259-4.09%0.7242+19.09%0.1383✓1.65120k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.432673-4.06%1.558+245.45%0.9117✗1.711.4M2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.921880.885378-3.96%1.1706+26.98%0.0328✓1.142,3312022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.4451.3886-3.90%2.089+44.57%0.1929✗1.00178k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16860.162091-3.86%0.2554+51.48%0.1543✗1.392,7352022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.095110.09146-3.84%0.08746-8.04%0.2602✓1.00368k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.6771.6144-3.74%2.184+30.23%0.0142✓1.34874k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027130.026123-3.71%0.03187+17.47%0.1452✓1.601,9882022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37390.360299-3.64%0.4591+22.79%0.0976✓1.58208k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.463.3344-3.63%5.28+52.60%0.3252✗0.62697k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.195684-3.60%0.228+12.32%0.1836✓1.561.1M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367180.354016-3.59%0.4605+25.42%0.0072✓1.25155k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.369240.35608-3.56%0.47814+29.49%0.1338✗0.7554k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.042821-3.56%0.0549+23.65%0.0208✓1.25264k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08220.079299-3.53%0.0916+11.44%0.1289✓1.27179k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.4534-3.51%4.683+30.85%0.1693✗0.631.7M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13620.131465-3.48%0.1949+43.10%0.1067✗1.33349k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.032.9258-3.44%4.8+58.42%0.3403✗0.72612k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07110.068728-3.34%0.0718+0.98%0.1798✓1.04117k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.065050.063043-3.08%0.08332+28.09%0.1046✗0.812,1062022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.71881.667-3.01%3.3972+97.65%0.5271✗0.86899k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198240.019228-3.01%0.024997+26.09%0.0448✗1.019372022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04240.041133-2.99%0.05344+26.04%0.0627✗0.925,7282022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.361862-2.99%0.551+47.72%0.1795✗1.129,6592022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0881.0567-2.87%1.324+21.69%0.0259✓1.171.6M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43870.42619-2.85%0.5522+25.87%0.0171✓1.1257k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74840.727225-2.83%1.127+50.59%0.2194✗1.014.5M2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.4150.403344-2.81%0.6302+51.86%0.1713✗1.281.3M2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.41650.405172-2.72%0.5306+27.39%0.0058✓1.2846.2M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85370.830598-2.71%1.4845+73.89%0.3119✗1.25444k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3895.2469-2.64%4.7078-12.64%0.1502✓0.19335k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.0376920.036708-2.61%0.053086+40.84%0.1192✗1.1615k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.12270.119548-2.57%0.1775+44.66%0.1200✗1.282.8M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.813.7126-2.56%5.8+52.23%0.3077✗0.64595k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018190.017727-2.55%0.01787-1.76%0.1633✓0.80405k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.282330.275261-2.50%0.36776+30.26%0.0058✓1.373,2622022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82640.806025-2.47%1.1274+36.42%0.0226✓1.451.6M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.03291.9831-2.45%3.2004+57.43%0.3076✗0.791.0M2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.48448.2814-2.43%61.928+25.15%0.0684✗0.84434k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.61.5612-2.43%2.58+61.25%0.2585✗1.13114k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.512.4494-2.41%4.091+62.99%0.2734✗1.11539k2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.87530.854609-2.36%1.3595+55.32%0.1665✗1.384.2M2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.935.7912-2.34%8.57+44.52%0.2874✗0.49704k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.1359-2.25%8.186+30.41%0.0006✓1.345.5M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,437.915,315.88-2.24%11,294.44+107.70%0.4672✗1.334.5M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.122.0734-2.20%3.13+47.64%0.0726✗1.57218k2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7650.749092-2.08%0.993+29.80%0.1100✗0.801.5M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9445.8211-2.07%8.96+50.74%0.1576✗1.2720.2M2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7472.6908-2.04%4.044+47.22%0.2445✗0.76497k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009890.000009693-1.99%0.00001233+24.67%0.0273✓1.241.3M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.7927.6438-1.90%11.749+50.78%0.1406✗1.3412.7M2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.679550.666901-1.86%1.2255+80.35%0.4244✗0.852912022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.264.1824-1.82%5.91+38.73%0.2052✗0.65733k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.100450.098636-1.81%0.125283+24.72%0.0211✗1.018.4M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.5382.493-1.77%3.021+19.03%0.0548✓1.15969k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009590.009424-1.73%0.01006+4.90%0.1630✓1.065.1M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1462.1092-1.71%3.1366+46.16%0.0425✗1.644,8022022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.2374.1657-1.68%6.929+63.54%0.1299✗1.7614.9M2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.2261.2054-1.68%1.767+44.13%0.0689✗1.46391k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29230.287416-1.67%0.3613+23.61%0.0245✓1.188.8M2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4620.454308-1.66%0.691+49.57%0.1188✗1.4092k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1581.1391-1.63%1.456+25.73%0.0398✓1.322.8M2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006393-1.57%0.006698+3.13%0.0742✓0.5695k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2901-1.52%1.91+45.80%0.0755✗1.47164k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.0647-1.46%10.3+100.39%0.4227✗1.33263k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0500210.0493-1.44%0.057169+14.29%0.0130✓0.6315k2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026230.002586-1.43%0.004951+88.75%0.4268✗1.031.3M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10170.100249-1.43%0.134+31.76%0.0782✗0.987,0862022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum46.7846.1234-1.40%63.11+34.91%0.0176✗1.3728k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5285.4556-1.31%8.964+62.16%0.2037✗1.365.6M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000037310.000036825-1.30%0.00004644+24.47%0.0308✓1.222.0M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.8312.6699-1.25%18.45+43.80%0.0820✗1.361.4M2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.783920.774365-1.22%1.0527+34.29%0.0169✗1.35433k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.053080.052437-1.21%0.08708+64.05%0.2078✗1.3925k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09990.098746-1.15%0.1263+26.43%0.0085✓1.10388k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase11.150611.0273-1.11%17.0874+53.24%0.1837✗1.18304k2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6330.626104-1.09%0.924+45.97%0.1125✗1.28157k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.322.2949-1.08%4.038+74.05%0.1908✗1.743.4M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.38.2121-1.06%15.6+87.95%0.3268✗1.461.1M2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.2052.1817-1.06%3.611+63.76%0.3050✗0.92127k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.230.227585-1.05%0.3041+32.22%0.0499✗1.1162k2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.22342.2001-1.05%2.9337+31.95%0.0719✗1.001.3M2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.1990.197043-0.98%0.2695+35.43%0.0508✗1.22701k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059611-0.98%0.078+29.57%0.0404✓1.44312k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum23.8723.6371-0.98%30.52+27.86%0.0543✗0.9311.3M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0141.9949-0.95%2.849+41.46%0.0502✗1.4265k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0597970.059258-0.90%0.070882+18.54%0.0831✓1.222.2M2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.0745.0286-0.90%8.347+64.51%0.2607✗1.142.0M2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047150.04674-0.87%0.09833+108.55%0.4252✗1.48793k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.820.812897-0.87%0.85+3.66%0.0946✓0.65121k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008696-0.85%0.00834-4.90%0.2425✓0.931.2M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration46.8646.4647-0.84%60.91+29.98%0.0191✗1.17270k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0920.091241-0.83%0.1304+41.74%0.1790✗0.83150k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.267610.265591-0.75%0.38689+44.57%0.1069✗1.25445k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative1.4271.4171-0.70%2.971+108.20%0.4796✗1.21287k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.220563-0.69%0.2705+21.79%0.0721✓1.28201k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10380.103096-0.68%0.1646+58.57%0.2543✗0.994.0M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46390.46088-0.65%0.6487+39.84%0.0827✗1.20579k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5580.554449-0.64%0.864+54.84%0.2434✗0.93412k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00090210.000896527-0.62%0.001521+68.62%0.2510✗1.292.0M2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.654.6221-0.60%6.61+42.15%0.0426✗1.461.3M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.61e-73.59e-7-0.59%3.27e-7-9.54%0.3323✓1.10486k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.6632.4744-0.57%42.8+31.05%0.0073✓1.3288.2M2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.971.9598-0.52%2.875+45.94%0.0173✗1.7084k2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.09660.096108-0.51%0.1497+54.97%0.2064✗1.10549k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8213.7513-0.50%42.06+204.34%0.8637✗1.181.4M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.19071.1849-0.49%1.6643+39.77%0.0418✗1.38684k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum0.9915970.986825-0.48%1.2591+26.98%0.0074✗1.1059k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase14.314.2357-0.45%21.63+51.26%0.1123✗1.4277k2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.04690.046708-0.41%0.0621+32.41%0.0363✓1.49109k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04040.040267-0.33%0.0488+20.79%0.1007✓1.369,2782022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2631.2589-0.32%2.005+58.75%0.1487✗1.47173k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.13140.13105-0.27%0.1701+29.45%0.0124✓1.2796k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019010.018964-0.24%0.02718+42.98%0.1308✗1.06100k2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.003640.003634-0.17%0.00517+42.03%0.0615✗1.35165k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12310.122928-0.14%0.1474+19.74%0.1097✓1.3535k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0645720.064506-0.10%0.070371+8.98%0.0919✓0.83531k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25440.254305-0.04%0.3493+37.30%0.0592✗1.203.1M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash39.7539.743-0.02%55.61+39.90%0.0988✗1.10642k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.121.1202+0.02%1.54+37.50%0.0068✗1.51768k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,037.341,037.80+0.04%1,881.04+81.33%0.3416✓1.17326.5M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC8.00e-78.00e-7+0.06%0.00000101+26.25%0.0525✓0.845.8M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase0.840820.841538+0.09%1.0862+29.18%0.0348✓1.0285k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04150.041542+0.10%0.0749+80.48%0.2992✓1.35855k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006160.006167+0.11%0.00871+41.40%0.1295✓1.00397k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.59592.599+0.12%4.2149+62.37%0.2462✓1.1030k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative8.6598.67+0.13%10.512+21.40%0.0482✗1.123.0M2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36030.36105+0.21%0.458+27.12%0.0531✗1.3594k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.747.7604+0.26%11.8+52.45%0.1650✓1.18288k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash51.9252.0916+0.33%79.26+52.66%0.1343✓1.321.7M2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.08740.087694+0.34%0.1425+63.04%0.1963✓1.342.5M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.7316.7913+0.37%28.54+70.59%0.2029✓1.5225.2M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.43251.438+0.38%1.9022+32.79%0.0043✓1.28603k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,303.6519,379.10+0.39%23,944.86+24.04%0.0039✓1.00453.1M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.114450.114953+0.44%0.17809+55.61%0.0908✓1.61169k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5740.577098+0.54%0.911+58.71%0.1951✓1.21874k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2721740.273742+0.58%0.376118+38.19%0.0455✓1.262.0M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.260572+0.61%0.321+23.94%0.0112✗1.02575k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.63521.6474+0.75%2.3938+46.40%0.1063✓1.2438k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.011640.01174+0.86%0.015949+37.02%0.1293✓0.821.4M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5770.58205+0.88%0.74+28.25%0.0928✗1.55139k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.35970.362865+0.88%0.5032+39.89%0.0540✓1.27405k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.08270.083456+0.91%0.1215+46.92%0.0843✓1.35576k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18120.182862+0.92%0.2297+26.77%0.0903✗1.48142k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003160.00319+0.94%0.00393+24.37%0.0798✗1.34664k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04830.048805+1.05%0.0819+69.57%0.3508✓0.77204k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.2736.347+1.18%9.201+46.68%0.1050✓1.2410.4M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0260.026383+1.47%0.05195+99.81%0.3998✓1.2923k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,265.3019,560.15+1.53%24,153.10+25.37%0.0016✓0.9948k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.2848.0169+1.56%61.89+30.90%0.0006✓1.1817.7M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum3.78773.8497+1.64%4.9372+30.35%0.0967✓0.711.1M2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero122.96125.177+1.80%160.49+30.52%0.0020✓1.141.3M2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056730.005789+2.04%0.006618+16.64%0.0686✗0.943,1492022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07330.074921+2.21%0.0988+34.79%0.0078✓1.256,9982022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22590.231442+2.45%0.4285+89.69%0.3699✓1.1433k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum68.2470.1322+2.77%107.55+57.61%0.0745✓1.649.9M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash97.19101.2614+4.19%142.98+47.11%0.1050✓1.115.0M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43740.456527+4.37%0.5937+35.73%0.0218✓1.12289k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.