8=======>

2022-07-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1221
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.9%
in alpha space · 26.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+20.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45290.475651+5.02%0.6134+35.44%0.0487✓1.12289k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash99.04103.6545+4.66%142.18+43.56%0.1070✓1.145.3M2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8271.9095+2.99%111.17+59.22%0.1324✓1.659.9M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055430.005697+2.78%0.006634+19.69%0.0223✓0.953,1492022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0750.076906+2.54%0.1008+34.40%0.0405✓1.256,9982022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24360.249161+2.28%0.4951+103.24%0.4773✓1.1433k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026814+1.76%0.03518+33.51%0.0351✓1.2924k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin48.6749.5006+1.71%61.61+26.59%0.0018✓1.1818.4M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero126.93128.9454+1.59%167.53+31.99%0.0521✓1.141.3M2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum3.89333.953+1.53%4.9377+26.83%0.0926✓0.711.2M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.608876+1.48%0.766+27.67%0.0565✗1.56186k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,940.9020,217.62+1.39%23,919.30+19.95%0.0131✓0.9948k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5216.5987+1.19%9.529+46.13%0.1407✓1.2310.8M2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003258+1.18%0.00383+18.94%0.0852✗1.35664k2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05010.050685+1.17%0.0827+65.07%0.3473✓0.78209k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2832240.285979+0.97%0.369005+30.29%0.0212✓1.272.2M2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.08730.088125+0.94%0.1219+39.63%0.0770✓1.35644k2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117530.011857+0.89%0.015766+34.14%0.1304✓0.841.4M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19180.193467+0.87%0.2326+21.27%0.0840✗1.46145k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6040.609014+0.83%0.884+46.36%0.1499✓1.21936k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.37480.377621+0.75%0.4979+32.84%0.0429✓1.27364k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2650.266982+0.75%0.34+28.30%0.0551✓1.02575k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70521.7148+0.56%2.3862+39.93%0.1018✓1.2434k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.119020.11961+0.50%0.17975+51.03%0.1119✓1.61186k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.3117.3941+0.49%29.18+68.57%0.2369✓1.5326.1M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042986+0.44%0.0686+60.28%0.2179✓1.36879k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09150.091877+0.41%0.1462+59.78%0.2180✓1.342.7M2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,942.4320,019.56+0.39%23,962.18+20.16%0.0039✗1.00472.7M2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase0.8431570.845885+0.32%1.0722+27.16%0.0491✓1.0290k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative8.8678.8948+0.31%10.779+21.56%0.0136✗1.123.0M2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1533+0.29%1.58+37.39%0.0372✓1.51784k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645810.064754+0.27%0.070307+8.87%0.0707✗0.83611k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash55.6555.7827+0.24%78.7+41.42%0.1016✓1.321.7M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.258.2669+0.20%12.16+47.39%0.1703✓1.17299k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.003770.003775+0.14%0.00485+28.65%0.0010✓1.36165k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum2.70052.7032+0.10%4.1947+55.33%0.2364✓1.1130k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,095.561,096.56+0.09%1,854.12+69.24%0.3099✓1.17326.5M2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26640.266387-0.00%0.3479+30.59%0.0474✗1.203.1M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash41.4941.4781-0.03%54.6+31.60%0.0729✗1.10693k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019410.019394-0.08%0.02661+37.09%0.1218✗1.06100k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.68e-73.67e-7-0.16%3.34e-7-9.19%0.2979✓1.11513k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006490.006476-0.22%0.00896+38.06%0.1404✗1.00403k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.039701-0.25%0.0495+24.37%0.0299✓1.369,6482022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2941.2908-0.25%2.049+58.35%0.1923✗1.47170k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.214.1626-0.26%38.83+173.45%0.7923✗1.181.5M2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.57161.5674-0.26%1.8733+19.20%0.0548✓1.27582k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.28%0.00000101+16.09%0.0010✓0.835.7M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0480.04786-0.29%0.0635+32.29%0.0084✗1.49111k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.00461.0015-0.31%1.2251+21.95%0.0003✓1.1065k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0242.0173-0.33%2.928+44.66%0.0596✗1.7090k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46710.465548-0.33%0.6574+40.74%0.1231✗1.21611k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase15.0414.9868-0.35%21.93+45.81%0.1195✗1.4281k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.58861-0.40%0.883+49.41%0.2356✗0.93419k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.135135-0.42%0.1652+21.74%0.0335✓1.2898k2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana33.4133.2619-0.44%42.5+27.21%0.0036✓1.3290.8M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39460.392476-0.54%0.4648+17.79%0.0757✓1.3394k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0617270.061377-0.57%0.071244+15.42%0.0737✓1.212.3M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.046640.046373-0.57%0.10427+123.56%0.5366✗1.49821k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.830.825214-0.58%0.77-7.23%0.2017✓0.72129k2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09340.092825-0.62%0.1362+45.82%0.2330✗0.82157k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23511.2273-0.63%1.6203+31.19%0.0248✗1.38684k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11110.110373-0.65%0.1704+53.38%0.2519✗0.994.0M2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7777-0.67%6.71+39.50%0.0702✗1.471.3M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009430.000936624-0.68%0.001521+61.25%0.2479✗1.292.4M2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1935.1573-0.69%8.306+59.95%0.2674✗1.142.1M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase11.595511.5112-0.73%17.7+52.65%0.2133✗1.18316k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008820.00875-0.80%0.00837-5.10%0.2157✓0.931.2M2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration46.6646.2742-0.83%62.92+34.85%0.0906✗1.18270k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.5081.4953-0.84%3.057+102.72%0.4935✗1.21297k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.548.468-0.84%16.17+89.34%0.3791✗1.461.1M2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.281580.279196-0.85%0.37799+34.24%0.0732✗1.25464k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0610.060462-0.88%0.0607-0.49%0.2610✓1.44316k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.100497-0.89%0.1265+24.75%0.0273✗1.10388k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23570.233576-0.90%0.2649+12.39%0.1085✓1.28220k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09950.098537-0.97%0.1324+33.07%0.1142✗0.997,0862022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3072.2835-1.02%4.199+82.01%0.2889✗1.743.4M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.638367-1.03%0.976+51.32%0.1868✗1.29157k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0682.0463-1.05%2.856+38.10%0.0728✗1.4265k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13360.13219-1.06%0.1428+6.89%0.1703✓1.3534k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5615.5019-1.06%9.22+65.80%0.2658✗1.365.4M2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29022.2658-1.07%2.9592+29.21%0.0826✗1.001.3M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.23540.232881-1.07%0.2716+15.38%0.0523✓1.1262k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000037970.00003752-1.19%0.00004643+22.28%0.0120✓1.232.2M2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum24.9824.6788-1.21%31.37+25.58%0.0689✗0.9311.6M2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.804610.794831-1.22%1.072+33.23%0.0517✗1.35493k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.10630.105-1.22%0.1532+44.12%0.1762✗1.10551k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4713.3038-1.23%18.55+37.71%0.0824✗1.361.5M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026670.002633-1.29%0.003961+48.52%0.2194✗1.031.3M2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.209945-1.34%0.266+25.00%0.0139✗1.21695k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.054810.054048-1.39%0.08743+59.51%0.2249✗1.3927k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0510020.050285-1.41%0.057508+12.76%0.0169✗0.6415k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009740.009601-1.42%0.01031+5.85%0.1220✓1.055.3M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4042.3691-1.45%2.734+13.73%0.0236✓0.91127k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29670.292267-1.49%0.3644+22.82%0.0041✓1.189.2M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.4722.435-1.50%3.098+25.32%0.0289✗1.15969k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065280.006428-1.53%0.006078-6.89%0.1623✓0.5897k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1911.1725-1.55%1.444+21.24%0.0315✓1.312.8M2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum4.344.272-1.57%7.116+63.96%0.1825✗1.7816.0M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1013910.099777-1.59%0.125982+24.25%0.0470✗1.018.8M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.355.2647-1.59%10.61+98.32%0.4565✗1.33264k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5647.7473-1.67%65.2+34.27%0.0539✗1.4027k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.469874-1.70%0.697+45.82%0.1384✗1.3999k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3221.2989-1.75%1.849+39.86%0.0869✗1.45400k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4048-1.76%1.82+27.27%0.0093✓1.46214k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7455-1.77%4.046+44.76%0.2486✗0.76530k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.2924-1.78%5.97+36.61%0.2106✗0.65758k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.690.677698-1.78%1.1836+71.54%0.3995✗0.862702022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7710.756633-1.86%1.046+35.67%0.1767✗0.801.6M2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2062.1633-1.94%3.0285+37.28%0.0338✗1.654,8022022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.20649.2222-1.96%62.292+24.07%0.0802✗0.85456k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0365.9165-1.98%9.062+50.13%0.1931✗1.2720.3M2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.1503-2.02%8.348+32.99%0.0595✗1.345.5M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.1637.9927-2.09%11.986+46.83%0.1601✗1.3412.9M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,496.415,379.67-2.12%11,510.60+109.42%0.5155✗1.344.5M2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.945.811-2.17%8.75+47.31%0.3191✗0.49750k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017960.017562-2.21%0.01893+5.40%0.0701✓0.79414k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.88690.866817-2.26%1.3894+56.66%0.2172✗1.394.3M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.283380.276901-2.29%0.36767+29.74%0.0309✗1.383,1392022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.222.1682-2.34%3.04+36.94%0.0488✗1.57236k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.12410.12117-2.36%0.1819+46.58%0.1706✗1.282.8M2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010066-2.36%0.0000124+20.27%0.0185✓1.241.3M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.5382-2.38%4.198+61.46%0.2998✗1.11544k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.873.7746-2.47%5.68+46.77%0.2909✗0.64629k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85690.835506-2.50%1.133+32.22%0.0389✗1.451.8M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0378760.036906-2.56%0.052134+37.64%0.1311✗1.1714k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08222.0287-2.57%3.2108+54.20%0.3133✗0.791.0M2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40115.2608-2.60%4.7-12.98%0.1482✓0.19335k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3830.372947-2.62%0.532+38.90%0.1491✗1.1210k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.156094-2.68%0.2472+54.11%0.2006✗1.413,0332022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85920.836014-2.70%1.4709+71.19%0.3346✗1.25325k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0941.064-2.74%1.348+23.22%0.0210✓1.171.7M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043190.041964-2.84%0.05257+21.72%0.0551✗0.935,7282022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.43510.42257-2.88%0.6261+43.90%0.1591✗1.271.3M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75641.7057-2.89%3.3964+93.37%0.5304✗0.86937k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.43440.421754-2.91%0.5376+23.76%0.0085✓1.2846.5M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45390.440187-3.02%0.5471+20.53%0.0113✓1.1260k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202430.0196-3.17%0.024212+19.61%0.0253✓1.018952022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6427-3.37%2.59+52.35%0.2487✗1.13114k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8480.81911-3.41%1.1615+36.97%0.1667✗0.994.0M2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067030.064735-3.42%0.08525+27.18%0.1271✗0.812,1062022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.043723-3.48%0.0548+20.97%0.0005✓1.23264k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.134667-3.53%0.1861+33.31%0.0784✗1.33349k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.374050.360803-3.54%0.48951+30.87%0.1676✗0.7554k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025940.025004-3.61%0.03249+25.25%0.0358✓1.622,0152022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.4821.4282-3.63%2.108+42.24%0.2057✗1.00180k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5673.4371-3.64%4.752+33.22%0.2079✗0.631.8M2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07240.069753-3.66%0.0739+2.07%0.1322✓1.03114k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096810.09326-3.67%0.08979-7.25%0.2215✓1.00357k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08520.082063-3.68%0.0919+7.86%0.1224✓1.28179k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.072.9565-3.70%4.92+60.26%0.3794✗0.71693k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374050.360017-3.75%0.46429+24.13%0.0238✓1.26155k2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.4599-3.89%5.43+50.83%0.3370✗0.62726k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.761.6902-3.97%2.075+17.90%0.0395✓1.33915k2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.250551-4.00%0.2616+0.23%0.1405✓1.0045k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.218865-4.01%0.229+0.44%0.2395✓1.551.0M2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.8310.797433-4.04%0.98+17.93%0.1291✓1.83620k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38560.369804-4.10%0.4553+18.08%0.0853✓1.60215k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37520.359669-4.14%0.537+43.12%0.2172✗1.00180k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.644730.617618-4.21%0.71796+11.36%0.1524✓1.65120k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum20.2219.3644-4.23%47.24+133.63%0.7082✗1.00110k2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.03418-4.26%0.0441+23.53%0.0207✓1.28105k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017960.017178-4.35%0.020275+12.89%0.0661✗0.54241k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.966920.924547-4.38%1.145+18.42%0.0032✓1.152,3312022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022690.021674-4.48%0.03296+45.26%0.1124✗1.6721.5M2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.263.1098-4.61%3.02-7.36%0.1027✓0.4082k2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism0.4820.458692-4.84%1.569+225.52%0.9152✗1.711.4M2022-08-10
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.337788-4.85%–pending––1.004912022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7081.6246-4.88%2.452+43.56%0.1361✗1.50109k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444980.422997-4.94%0.41642-6.42%0.3020✓1.561.3M2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16710.158719-5.02%0.2383+42.61%0.1200✗1.562,7942022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.739638-5.05%0.88+12.97%0.1746✓1.908.7M2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum79.0174.8309-5.29%126.64+60.28%0.3440✗0.992.5M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.4613.5533-6.27%38.68+167.50%0.7445✗1.66446k2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.7528-6.40%4.079+38.69%0.2777✗0.632.3M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4224-6.42%1.52+0.00%0.0238✓0.23614k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7143.4669-6.65%6.395+72.19%0.5125✗0.542.2M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.27790.258751-6.89%0.3078+10.76%0.0100✓1.00440k2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7660.709856-7.33%0.9791+27.82%0.0214✓1.63173k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6330.586045-7.42%0.79+24.80%0.0218✓1.513,0312022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7413.6428-7.44%21.15+43.49%0.2490✗1.03527k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165620.149006-10.03%0.19756+19.29%0.2582✓2.948572022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010490.000093271-11.09%0.00009856-6.04%0.2955✓1.91744k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.