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2022-07-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0364
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.6%
in alpha space · 21.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9442+0.65%3.8933-0.65%0.0188✓0.711.2M2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.485317+0.58%0.4529-6.13%0.0192✗1.12252k2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero129.44130.114+0.52%126.93-1.94%0.0265✓1.151.3M2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.079101+0.51%0.075-4.70%0.0028✓1.267,1372022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.624952+0.47%0.604-2.89%0.0203✓1.22952k2022-07-11
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7378.0954+0.47%69.82-10.18%0.0388✗1.648.9M2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.052036+0.46%0.0501-3.28%0.0035✓0.77209k2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.82e-7+0.44%3.68e-7-3.23%0.0122✓1.11543k2022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003380.003394+0.42%0.00322-4.73%0.0077✓1.35664k2022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,934.96+0.40%19,942.43-4.36%0.0040✓1.00472.7M2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.259929+0.40%0.2436-5.91%0.0138✗1.1531k2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.8629+0.39%55.65-6.67%0.0142✗1.321.8M2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.100289+0.39%0.0915-8.41%0.0319✗1.342.8M2022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77107.1822+0.39%99.04-7.24%0.0284✗1.145.7M2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.275055+0.38%0.265-3.28%0.0082✓1.02600k2022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012559+0.37%0.011753-6.07%0.0292✗0.831.4M2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.651359+0.36%0.6-7.55%0.0123✗1.57214k2022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3639+0.36%1.294-4.78%0.0131✓1.47170k2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097549+0.36%0.0873-10.19%0.0515✗1.34696k2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.19931+0.36%0.1918-3.42%0.0270✓1.47146k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.282+0.35%5.94-5.11%0.0343✗0.49815k2022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002849+0.35%0.002667-6.06%0.0200✗1.031.3M2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005682+0.34%0.005543-2.12%0.0178✓0.963,1492022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1802+0.33%8.25-9.84%0.0548✗1.17307k2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.640096+0.33%0.591-7.37%0.0388✗0.92419k2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.099225+0.33%0.0934-5.56%0.0243✗0.81157k2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.40560.406913+0.32%0.3748-7.59%0.0258✗1.27354k2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,171.42+0.32%1,095.56-6.18%0.0148✗1.17339.3M2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009189+0.32%0.00882-3.71%0.0008✓0.941.2M2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.067422+0.32%0.061727-8.15%0.0345✗1.212.3M2022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1874+0.32%2.0822-4.51%0.0140✗0.791.1M2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.311584+0.32%0.2967-4.48%0.0038✓1.199.4M2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6462+0.31%1.508-8.10%0.0345✗1.19297k2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.283434+0.31%0.28158-0.34%0.0500✓1.27464k2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.150157+0.31%0.1357-9.35%0.0446✗1.27102k2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.39279+0.30%0.3856-1.53%0.0532✓1.61208k2022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.392584+0.30%0.3946+0.82%0.0657✓1.3694k2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.1752+0.30%14.2-6.15%0.0140✗1.181.7M2022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4761+0.29%5.35-2.01%0.0364✓1.34264k2022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053152+0.29%0.048-9.43%0.0355✗1.49118k2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4401+0.29%1.322-7.94%0.0210✗1.45428k2022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.882571+0.29%0.843157-4.19%0.0001✓1.0393k2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.808294+0.28%0.771-4.34%0.0112✗0.811.6M2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.043323+0.28%0.0398-7.87%0.0241✗1.369,9202022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.0764+0.28%11.5955-3.71%0.0124✓1.19316k2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119725+0.27%0.1111-6.95%0.0304✗1.004.0M2022-07-11
DASHDashDash45.1645.282+0.27%41.49-8.13%0.0389✗1.09739k2022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067784+0.27%0.064581-4.47%0.0114✗0.83611k2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.2943+0.26%8.867-4.35%0.0029✓1.123.1M2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,822.37+0.26%19,940.90-3.99%0.0008✓0.9946k2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.00409+0.25%0.00377-7.60%0.0211✗1.36169k2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0763+0.25%1.0046-6.43%0.0199✗1.1065k2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.124839+0.25%0.11902-4.42%0.0245✓1.62198k2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3183+0.25%1.2351-6.08%0.0043✗1.37685k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028591+0.25%0.02635-7.61%0.0237✗1.3024k2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.134621+0.24%0.1241-7.59%0.0242✗1.282.8M2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001012+0.24%0.000943-6.62%0.0136✗1.292.7M2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.092513+0.23%0.0852-7.69%0.0250✗1.29179k2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration49.9450.0542+0.23%46.66-6.57%0.0178✗1.18333k2022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.870804+0.23%0.80461-7.39%0.0191✗1.35547k2022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8669+0.23%1.7052-8.45%0.0353✗1.2437k2022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.057839+0.22%0.05481-5.03%0.0083✓1.3927k2022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006743+0.22%0.006528-2.97%0.0064✗0.5897k2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5233+0.21%1.43-5.92%0.0022✓1.47284k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6206+0.21%2.472-5.47%0.0067✗1.16969k2022-07-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02890.028961+0.21%0.0267-7.61%0.0606✗0.4664k2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107603+0.21%0.101391-5.58%0.0143✗1.019.2M2022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8289+0.21%1.7564-3.76%0.0025✗0.85954k2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006844+0.21%0.00649-4.98%0.0084✗1.00407k2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7454+0.20%2.6-5.11%0.0049✗1.11552k2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046692+0.20%0.0428-8.15%0.0264✗1.36897k2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.494277+0.20%0.4671-5.31%0.0026✗1.21634k2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.255496+0.19%0.2354-7.69%0.0321✗1.1262k2022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.671297+0.19%0.645-3.73%0.0175✓1.29157k2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.9301+0.19%24.98-3.48%0.0042✓0.9311.6M2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4155+0.19%2.2902-5.01%0.0080✗1.021.3M2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.104899+0.19%0.0995-4.97%0.0088✗0.997,0862022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.153587+0.19%0.1396-8.94%0.0361✗1.33353k2022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4435+0.18%2.404-1.44%0.0248✓0.92148k2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.297646+0.18%0.2664-10.33%0.0583✗1.183.0M2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.01065+0.18%0.00974-8.37%0.0434✗1.035.5M2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.408801+0.17%0.37405-8.34%0.0331✗1.25155k2022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040483+0.17%0.037876-6.28%0.0145✗1.1714k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0952.1774+0.17%48.67-6.57%0.0171✗1.1818.8M2022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051173+0.16%0.04664-8.71%0.0266✗1.49847k2022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.7495+0.16%33.41-8.94%0.0370✗1.3190.8M2022-07-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011218+0.16%0.00001031-7.95%0.0285✗1.261.3M2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.3047+0.16%2.024-12.04%0.0547✗1.6990k2022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.850.851367+0.16%0.83-2.35%0.0065✓0.72129k2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.46440.465134+0.16%0.4351-6.31%0.0098✗1.281.2M2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.105365+0.16%0.1063+1.05%0.0586✓1.12551k2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.274+0.16%1.191-6.37%0.0065✗1.372.9M2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063195+0.15%0.061-3.33%0.0291✓1.45322k2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9472+0.15%2.7005-8.23%0.0384✗1.1030k2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.2003+0.15%6.036-2.50%0.0301✓1.2820.5M2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.953592+0.15%0.8869-6.86%0.0108✗1.384.5M2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,041.82+0.15%5,496.41-8.89%0.0355✗1.334.5M2022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.913995+0.14%0.8569-6.11%0.0001✓1.452.0M2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.313022+0.14%0.283224-9.39%0.0437✗1.262.3M2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase17.0217.0422+0.13%15.04-11.63%0.0624✗1.4176k2022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.417538+0.13%0.383-8.15%0.0368✗1.1111k2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.9037+0.13%2.795-3.62%0.0043✗0.76583k2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7122+0.13%1.7-0.58%0.0436✓1.14114k2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045716+0.12%0.04319-5.41%0.0155✗0.935,7282022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.263311+0.12%0.2357-10.38%0.0542✗1.27220k2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.462747+0.12%0.4344-6.01%0.0064✗1.2846.7M2022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040398+0.12%0.00003797-5.90%0.0074✗1.232.4M2022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019943+0.11%0.01796-9.84%0.0704✗0.77414k2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.485+0.11%4.37-2.46%0.0033✓0.66795k2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.2236+0.11%3.07-4.66%0.0178✗0.70765k2022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0342+0.10%3.87-3.97%0.0129✗0.64689k2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.4097+0.10%8.54-9.15%0.0324✗1.451.1M2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4895+0.10%5.193-5.31%0.0045✗1.152.2M2022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.05195+0.10%0.051002-1.73%0.0103✓0.6415k2022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.3726+0.10%48.56-8.93%0.0319✗1.4127k2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.4241+0.10%13.47-6.52%0.0076✗1.371.5M2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.7793+0.10%8.163-6.93%0.0133✗1.3313.1M2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8554+0.09%6.521-4.79%0.0052✓1.2411.3M2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.526488+0.09%0.478-9.13%0.0348✗1.3999k2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046742+0.09%0.0453-3.00%0.0240✓1.24264k2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.91e-7+0.09%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0137✓0.845.7M2022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.445+0.08%2.307-5.57%0.0202✓1.763.4M2022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3902+0.08%6.277-1.69%0.0424✓1.355.5M2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4119+0.08%2.22-7.88%0.0127✗1.58236k2022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.304601+0.07%0.28338-6.90%0.0110✗1.372,9402022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6415+0.07%5.4011-4.20%0.0352✗0.19291k2022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7862+0.07%4.34-9.26%0.0184✗1.7816.6M2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2405+0.07%2.068-7.64%0.0168✗1.4266k2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.174606+0.06%0.1604-8.08%0.0226✗1.403,2022022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6268+0.06%1.5716-3.33%0.0224✓1.28555k2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1713+0.06%17.31-9.66%0.0344✗1.5227.8M2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.108363+0.06%0.1014-6.37%0.0174✗1.10401k2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24754.2753+0.05%50.206-7.45%0.0406✗0.84488k2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.952424+0.04%0.831-12.71%0.0557✗1.81620k2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.786292+0.03%0.69-12.22%0.0930✗0.842472022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1614+0.03%1.094-5.77%0.0077✗1.171.7M2022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.416691+0.03%0.37405-10.21%0.0754✗0.7355k2022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3203+0.03%1.15-12.88%0.0715✗1.50784k2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.1008+0.02%4.81-5.69%0.0068✓1.471.3M2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.2345+0.01%5.561-10.80%0.0542✗1.355.4M2022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.78422+0.00%0.848+8.14%0.1241✓1.034.0M2022-07-11
METISMetisEthereum22.0422.0404+0.00%20.22-8.26%0.0417✗1.00126k2022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017404-0.01%0.01796+3.18%0.0563✗0.56291k2022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.533912-0.02%0.482-9.74%0.0264✓1.701.5M2022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.03949-0.02%0.0357-9.62%0.0445✓1.27112k2022-07-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.491877-0.02%0.4539-7.74%0.0311✓1.1167k2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3888-0.03%2.206-7.68%0.0061✓1.654,8022022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.739-0.03%3.6-3.74%0.0104✓0.62755k2022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.936882-0.03%0.8592-8.32%0.0306✓1.26284k2022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum81.4381.4007-0.04%79.01-2.97%0.0144✗0.992.5M2022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020111-0.05%0.01941-3.53%0.0121✗1.0798k2022-07-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5292-0.05%1.482-3.14%0.0132✗1.00178k2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0486-0.07%1.708-16.68%0.1163✓1.47114k2022-07-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.261208-0.07%0.261-0.15%0.0437✗1.0046k2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8994-0.08%1.76-7.42%0.0170✓1.33953k2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021289-0.10%0.020243-5.01%0.0051✓1.028952022-07-11
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.354639-0.10%0.355+0.00%0.0456✗1.005252022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.680957-0.10%0.64473-5.42%0.0191✗1.66120k2022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.235824-0.12%0.2128-9.87%0.0493✓1.20695k2022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0262-0.12%0.96692-5.89%0.0083✓1.151,9162022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7711-0.13%3.567-5.53%0.0279✓0.621.8M2022-07-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.026745-0.13%0.02594-3.14%0.0423✗1.642,0362022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068321-0.15%0.06703-2.03%0.0171✗0.812,3072022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.47935-0.15%0.44498-7.31%0.0050✓1.561.4M2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.02604-0.15%0.02269-13.00%0.0640✓1.6621.5M2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.265576-0.16%0.228-14.29%0.0849✓1.521.1M2022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.071582-0.16%0.0724+0.98%0.0580✗1.05108k2022-07-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.101562-0.17%0.09681-4.84%0.0034✓1.00347k2022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.5332-0.18%14.46-0.69%0.0695✗1.67463k2022-07-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.401326-0.19%0.3752-6.69%0.0228✓1.00179k2022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.446-0.20%3.714+7.56%0.1002✗0.572.2M2022-07-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.191582-0.22%0.1671-12.97%0.0690✓1.522,7942022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.156464-0.28%0.1336-14.85%0.0987✓1.3334k2022-07-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.249365-0.33%0.2779+11.07%0.1529✗1.00436k2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5545-0.35%1.52-2.56%0.0124✓0.23575k2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9837-0.38%2.941-1.80%0.0137✗0.632.4M2022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.6503-0.38%14.74-6.17%0.0142✓1.03501k2022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.702969-0.43%0.633-10.34%0.0382✓1.503,2002022-07-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.172252-0.44%0.16562-4.28%0.0931✗2.978572022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.828003-0.48%0.779-6.37%0.0237✗1.9010.2M2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.796365-0.94%0.766-4.71%0.0340✗1.64160k2022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000109827-0.98%0.0001049-5.42%0.0420✗1.97766k2022-07-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.1902-1.64%3.26-23.47%0.2384✓0.2882k2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.