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2022-07-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1031
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.0%
in alpha space · 65.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.520912+7.96%0.5918+22.65%0.0100✓1.12252k2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.083793+6.47%0.0977+24.14%0.0216✓1.267,1372022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44137.5473+6.26%158.78+22.67%0.0228✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91894.1619+6.20%4.7738+21.81%0.0622✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.658686+5.90%0.81+30.23%0.0785✓1.22952k2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.054802+5.80%0.0811+56.56%0.3107✓0.77209k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7382.061+5.57%97.96+26.03%0.0045✓1.648.9M2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77112.1669+5.05%134.7+26.16%0.0638✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005946+5.00%0.006485+14.53%0.0136✓0.963,1492022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003533+4.51%0.00368+8.88%0.1013✗1.35664k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.97e-7+4.49%3.29e-7-13.34%0.3034✗1.11543k2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.677298+4.36%0.716+10.32%0.1090✗1.57214k2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.284552+3.85%0.328+19.71%0.0351✓1.02600k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6361.8806+3.77%79.81+33.84%0.1158✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6521,623.83+3.71%23,158.27+11.07%0.0364✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.4741+3.54%11.36+24.15%0.0589✓1.17307k2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.267867+3.46%0.4453+72.00%0.3879✓1.1531k2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002936+3.43%0.003356+18.21%0.0252✓1.031.3M2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.205383+3.42%0.2261+13.85%0.0581✗1.47146k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004219+3.41%0.00451+10.54%0.0757✗1.36169k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.100489+3.38%0.1129+16.15%0.0238✓1.34696k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.419114+3.33%0.4778+17.80%0.0020✓1.27354k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.291889+3.31%0.3489+23.48%0.0452✓1.27464k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.658984+3.29%0.808+26.65%0.1071✓0.92419k2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.4029+3.23%2.032+49.52%0.2156✓1.47170k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.128542+3.22%0.17382+39.58%0.1315✓1.62198k2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.10307+3.17%0.1396+39.74%0.1623✓1.342.8M2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.5532+3.06%10.536+13.66%0.0197✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.4016+2.98%17.0389+41.49%0.1926✓1.19316k2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.054507+2.84%0.0599+13.02%0.0622✗1.49118k2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.402432+2.82%0.4499+14.95%0.0312✗1.3694k2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.1037+2.80%1.1689+8.87%0.0583✗1.1065k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9021,349.61+2.80%23,209.60+11.75%0.0202✓0.9946k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009408+2.71%0.00825-9.93%0.2298✗0.941.2M2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012849+2.69%0.015341+22.60%0.0898✓0.831.4M2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,198.42+2.63%1,703.35+45.87%0.2287✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.068921+2.55%0.069028+2.71%0.1251✗1.212.3M2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6807+2.51%2.945+12.62%0.0276✗1.16969k2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.122336+2.46%0.1765+47.82%0.2620✓1.004.0M2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.101282+2.41%0.1336+35.09%0.1916✓0.81157k2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.901223+2.41%1.0376+17.91%0.0330✓1.0393k2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.047701+2.36%0.0642+37.77%0.1542✓1.36897k2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.153222+2.35%0.1548+3.41%0.1232✗1.27102k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.06919+2.34%0.068465+1.27%0.0978✗0.83611k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006883+2.31%0.006181-8.13%0.1688✗0.5897k2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.317697+2.28%0.3452+11.14%0.0414✗1.199.4M2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.044163+2.23%0.0475+9.95%0.0703✗1.369,9202022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.4483+2.10%36.4+140.58%0.7334✓1.181.7M2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0953.1778+2.09%59.18+13.61%0.0168✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4636+1.92%1.767+23.05%0.0362✓1.45428k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1646.0091+1.88%52.97+17.29%0.0263✓1.09739k2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3392+1.84%1.5258+16.03%0.0131✓1.37685k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.259605+1.81%0.2601+2.00%0.1155✗1.1262k2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.5539+1.72%10.31+88.83%0.4780✓1.34264k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.302052+1.67%0.3286+10.60%0.0399✗1.183.0M2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.819259+1.65%1.018+26.30%0.1323✓0.811.6M2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4494+1.60%2.8368+17.67%0.0402✓1.021.3M2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.9498+1.47%8.902+29.98%0.1175✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6937.2285+1.47%40.35+9.98%0.0569✗1.3190.8M2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028918+1.40%0.03156+10.66%0.0490✗1.3024k2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.108854+1.37%0.122043+13.66%0.0080✓1.019.2M2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.316879+1.37%0.344184+10.11%0.0501✗1.262.3M2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.861474+1.35%0.78-8.24%0.1746✗0.72129k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006922+1.35%0.00871+27.53%0.1244✓1.00407k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9819+1.33%4.0145+36.42%0.1819✓1.1030k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.2082+1.27%3.0659+40.61%0.2450✓0.791.1M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,107.91+1.24%11,188.01+85.45%0.4659✓1.334.5M2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.3369+1.23%8.51+35.94%0.2438✓0.49815k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.10649+1.23%0.1457+38.50%0.1962✓1.12551k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.396283+1.20%0.4317+10.24%0.0834✗1.61208k2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.135844+1.15%0.1714+27.62%0.0977✓1.282.8M2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040872+1.13%0.049307+22.00%0.0650✓1.1714k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.093343+1.13%0.0881-4.55%0.1930✗1.29179k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7703+1.11%4.387+60.11%0.3430✓1.11552k2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8828+1.08%2.2956+23.24%0.0679✓1.2437k2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6578+1.03%2.997+82.63%0.4667✓1.19297k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010734+0.98%0.00987-7.15%0.1921✗1.035.5M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040736+0.96%0.0000434+7.56%0.0653✗1.232.4M2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.676227+0.93%0.954+42.39%0.2088✓1.29157k2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.105666+0.92%0.127+21.30%0.0800✓0.997,0862022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001019+0.90%0.001479+46.46%0.2378✓1.292.7M2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5336+0.89%1.71+12.50%0.0451✗1.47284k2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9450.3863+0.89%60.26+20.66%0.0554✓1.18333k2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.5178+0.84%5.85+30.58%0.1893✓0.66795k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.26506+0.78%0.2512-4.49%0.1870✗1.27220k2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.3184+0.76%2.702+17.43%0.0241✗1.6990k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8375+0.68%3.2816+79.80%0.4906✓0.85954k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.96e-7+0.65%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0085✗0.845.7M2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.410281+0.54%0.43525+6.66%0.0723✗1.25155k2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8826.0155+0.52%29.88+15.46%0.0407✓0.9311.6M2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0217.1045+0.50%19.92+17.04%0.0048✓1.4176k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.916612+0.43%1.1074+21.33%0.0367✓1.452.0M2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.9123+0.42%3.927+35.41%0.2192✓0.76583k2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.153945+0.42%0.1697+10.70%0.0424✗1.33353k2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.955956+0.39%1.2926+35.75%0.1564✓1.384.5M2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063329+0.36%0.0589-6.66%0.2244✗1.45322k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051274+0.36%0.10285+101.31%0.5402✓1.49847k2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.057908+0.34%0.08598+48.99%0.2490✓1.3927k2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.494932+0.33%0.6234+26.37%0.1036✓1.21634k2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7974+0.30%7.024+46.85%0.1941✓1.7816.6M2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.2061+0.24%27.43+43.16%0.1968✓1.5227.8M2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.108528+0.21%0.1232+13.76%0.0114✓1.10401k2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4435+0.19%2.539+4.10%0.0585✗0.92148k2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.87004+0.14%1.0198+17.37%0.0174✓1.35547k2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011215+0.14%0.00001205+7.59%0.0600✗1.261.3M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051963+0.13%0.055293+6.54%0.0055✗0.6415k2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6277+0.12%1.8057+11.07%0.0303✗1.28555k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.7813+0.12%11.389+29.85%0.1199✓1.3313.1M2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.4105+0.11%15.57+65.64%0.3514✓1.451.1M2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.786851+0.11%1.1451+45.68%0.2866✓0.842472022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1973+0.10%8.75+41.33%0.2108✓1.2820.5M2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.304456+0.02%0.35509+16.66%0.0095✓1.372,9402022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2721+0.01%1.365+7.31%0.0731✗1.372.9M2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4838-0.00%8.044+46.68%0.2627✗1.152.2M2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.464382-0.00%0.6067+30.64%0.1330✗1.281.2M2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.3125-0.01%59.24+11.10%0.0421✓1.4127k2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019909-0.06%0.0175-12.15%0.2098✓0.77414k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.416616-0.09%0.519+24.46%0.1030✗1.1111k2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045616-0.10%0.05077+11.19%0.0095✗0.935,7282022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.524793-0.23%0.67+27.38%0.0985✗1.3999k2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046592-0.23%0.0538+15.20%0.0135✗1.24264k2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7057-0.25%2.63+53.80%0.3134✗1.14114k2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.156465-0.28%0.1365-13.00%0.2762✓1.3334k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2318-0.32%2.744+22.55%0.0575✗1.4266k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021209-0.47%0.022829+7.13%0.0332✓1.028952022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.9774-0.50%59.719+10.09%0.0131✗0.84488k2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4307-0.50%3.812+56.04%0.2654✗1.763.4M2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.323-0.60%17.58+22.00%0.0616✗1.371.5M2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.019965-0.77%0.02632+30.82%0.1643✗1.0798k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.593-0.79%5.0218-10.92%0.1274✓0.19291k2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3086-0.86%1.43+8.33%0.0683✓1.50784k2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.4125-0.98%0.48156+15.60%0.0781✗0.7355k2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.45727-1.07%0.513+10.99%0.0190✓1.2846.7M2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.1843-1.11%4.82+49.69%0.3414✗0.70765k2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3098-1.18%7.825+22.55%0.0732✗1.355.5M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.939483-1.31%0.949-0.32%0.1801✓1.81620k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.1495-1.36%8.439+35.37%0.1747✗1.355.4M2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.9751-1.36%5.51+36.72%0.2589✗0.64689k2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.923718-1.44%1.0382+10.78%0.0150✓1.26284k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3705-1.64%2.89+19.92%0.0326✗1.58236k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0132-1.70%6.51+27.65%0.1069✗1.471.3M2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017098-1.77%0.020161+15.83%0.1063✗0.56291k2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.231826-1.81%0.2508+6.23%0.0473✓1.20695k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.139-1.89%1.294+11.46%0.0049✓1.171.7M2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0105-1.93%2.337+14.00%0.0040✓1.47114k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4379.8552-1.93%125.81+54.50%0.3503✗0.992.5M2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.070271-1.99%0.0712-0.70%0.0968✓1.05108k2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.17099-2.01%0.236+35.24%0.1755✗1.403,2022022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.5628-2.17%42.65+93.51%0.5771✗1.00126k2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.765589-2.37%1.1027+40.61%0.2566✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.038529-2.46%0.0428+8.35%0.0279✓1.27112k2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3283-2.56%2.8956+21.19%0.0448✗1.654,8022022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.4871-2.80%2.101+37.32%0.2406✗1.00178k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02750.998664-2.80%1.1054+7.58%0.0191✓1.151,9162022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.478025-2.84%0.5171+5.10%0.0376✓1.1167k2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.6317-2.90%5.26+40.64%0.3057✗0.62755k2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8454-2.92%1.96+3.10%0.0794✓1.33953k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.253692-2.95%0.2613-0.04%0.0754✓1.0046k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.660872-3.05%0.66521-2.41%0.1673✓1.66120k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.098389-3.28%0.08946-12.06%0.2001✓1.00347k2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.257003-3.38%0.219-17.67%0.3194✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.515397-3.48%1.618+203.00%0.9652✗1.701.5M2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.342479-3.53%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.065986-3.56%0.0825+20.58%0.1381✗0.812,3072022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025034-4.01%0.03215+23.27%0.0763✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.183415-4.47%0.2183+13.70%0.0145✓1.522,7942022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7114.9817-4.64%20.57+30.94%0.2092✗1.03501k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.5994-4.68%4.564+20.87%0.1720✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.025525-4.69%0.03179+18.71%0.0477✓1.642,0362022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.455346-5.15%0.40504-15.63%0.2806✓1.561.4M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5613.8025-5.20%39.35+170.26%0.8719✗1.67463k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.380354-5.41%0.5163+28.40%0.2006✗1.00179k2022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.667663-5.43%0.763+8.07%0.0237✓1.503,2002022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.2645-5.46%6.461+87.11%0.6230✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.0267-5.48%2.87-32.63%0.3684✓0.2882k2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4737-5.53%1.53-1.92%0.0136✓0.23575k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.754996-6.08%0.9531+18.56%0.0613✓1.64160k2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.234579-6.24%0.3038+21.42%0.1536✗1.00436k2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.7676-7.59%4.013+33.99%0.3053✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.159274-7.94%0.19092+10.35%0.1306✓2.978572022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.759142-8.76%0.856+2.88%0.0795✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000100266-9.60%0.00009678-12.74%0.2426✓1.97766k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.