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2022-07-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1424
181 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 28.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.07%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000094184-15.08%0.00009678-12.74%0.1800✓1.97766k2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.153897-11.05%0.19092+10.35%0.0963✓2.978572022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.643648-8.83%0.763+8.07%0.0129✓1.503,2002022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7114.4009-8.33%20.57+30.94%0.2487✗1.03501k2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.743362-7.53%0.9531+18.56%0.0768✓1.64160k2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.051.899-7.37%2.337+14.00%0.0531✓1.47114k2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.263.9525-7.22%2.87-32.63%0.3498✓0.2882k2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.7805-7.16%4.013+33.99%0.3007✗0.632.4M2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.4594-6.45%1.53-1.92%0.0234✓0.23575k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.232-6.40%6.461+87.11%0.6330✗0.572.2M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5613.6465-6.27%39.35+170.26%0.8832✗1.67463k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.501032-6.17%1.618+203.00%0.9934✗1.701.5M2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.235393-5.92%0.3038+21.42%0.1501✗1.00436k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.783835-5.79%0.856+2.88%0.1115✓1.9010.2M2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum81.4376.7504-5.75%125.81+54.50%0.3899✗0.992.5M2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.452742-5.69%0.40504-15.63%0.2749✓1.561.4M2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.024612-5.63%0.03215+23.27%0.0933✗1.6621.5M2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.02750.971628-5.43%1.1054+7.58%0.0084✓1.151,9162022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.037486-5.10%0.0428+8.35%0.0004✓1.27112k2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.904596-4.98%0.949-0.32%0.1422✓1.81620k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.337979-4.79%–pending––1.005252022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.8107-4.75%1.96+3.10%0.0604✓1.33953k2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.182913-4.73%0.2183+13.70%0.0172✓1.522,7942022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.397186-4.66%0.48156+15.60%0.1160✗0.7355k2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.253707-4.62%0.219-17.67%0.3065✓1.521.1M2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.389288-4.61%0.43525+6.66%0.0198✓1.25155k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.651214-4.47%0.66521-2.41%0.1526✓1.66120k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.0791-4.38%4.82+49.69%0.3749✗0.70765k2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.088343-4.29%0.0881-4.55%0.1380✓1.29179k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.375153-4.20%0.4317+10.24%0.0286✓1.61208k2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.5839-4.17%5.26+40.64%0.3189✗0.62755k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.6195-4.14%4.564+20.87%0.1664✗0.621.8M2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.899214-4.05%1.0382+10.78%0.0119✓1.26284k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.385813-4.05%0.5163+28.40%0.1864✗1.00179k2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.147248-3.95%0.1697+10.70%0.0020✓1.33353k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.25111-3.94%0.2613-0.04%0.0652✓1.0046k2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.150736-3.93%0.1365-13.00%0.2389✓1.3334k2022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.2055-3.79%42.65+93.51%0.5938✗1.00126k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.016754-3.75%0.020161+15.83%0.1266✗0.56291k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.020529-3.66%0.022829+7.13%0.0006✓1.028952022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.025836-3.52%0.03179+18.71%0.0356✓1.642,0362022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.045062-3.51%0.0538+15.20%0.0469✗1.24264k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.098204-3.47%0.08946-12.06%0.1982✓1.00347k2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.4771-3.46%2.101+37.32%0.2474✗1.00178k2022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.066116-3.37%0.0825+20.58%0.1361✗0.812,3072022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.475436-3.37%0.5171+5.10%0.0322✓1.1167k2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.760387-3.26%1.1451+45.68%0.3208✗0.842472022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000010842-3.19%0.00001205+7.59%0.0262✓1.261.3M2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.044206-3.18%0.05077+11.19%0.0409✗0.935,7282022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.46440.449768-3.15%0.6067+30.64%0.1650✗1.281.2M2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.44769-3.14%0.513+10.99%0.0022✓1.2846.7M2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3362-3.06%2.89+19.92%0.0472✗1.58236k2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.404295-3.05%0.519+24.46%0.1330✗1.1111k2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.069536-3.02%0.0712-0.70%0.0863✓1.05108k2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.4686-3.00%5.0218-10.92%0.1049✓0.19291k2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.039204-3.00%0.049307+22.00%0.1067✗1.1714k2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1159-2.96%3.0659+40.61%0.2877✗0.791.1M2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.295361-2.96%0.35509+16.66%0.0399✗1.372,9402022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.761619-2.88%1.1027+40.61%0.2618✗1.034.0M2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.7726-2.87%3.2816+79.80%0.5265✗0.85954k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1284-2.81%1.294+11.46%0.0142✓1.171.7M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.035,866.06-2.77%11,188.01+85.45%0.5063✗1.334.5M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6631-2.74%2.63+53.80%0.3386✗1.14114k2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.169761-2.72%0.236+35.24%0.1827✗1.403,2022022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.325-2.69%2.8956+21.19%0.0462✗1.654,8022022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.888314-2.67%1.1074+21.33%0.0681✗1.452.0M2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.130728-2.66%0.1714+27.62%0.1361✗1.282.8M2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.927171-2.63%1.2926+35.75%0.1869✗1.384.5M2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.9243-2.62%5.51+36.72%0.2718✗0.64689k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3251.9244-2.62%59.24+11.10%0.0158✓1.4127k2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.0991-2.57%8.51+35.94%0.2820✗0.49815k2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.230144-2.52%0.2508+6.23%0.0400✓1.20695k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.55-2.52%11.389+29.85%0.1466✗1.3313.1M2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019419-2.52%0.0175-12.15%0.1848✓0.77414k2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.6725-2.46%4.387+60.11%0.3790✗1.11552k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.256588-2.44%0.2512-4.49%0.1545✓1.27220k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.0826-2.43%8.439+35.37%0.1857✗1.355.4M2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.514431-2.20%0.67+27.38%0.1184✗1.3999k2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.6815-2.12%7.024+46.85%0.2185✗1.7816.6M2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.406-2.09%1.767+23.05%0.0763✗1.45428k2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24753.1328-2.05%59.719+10.09%0.0289✗0.84488k2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.0687-1.98%8.75+41.33%0.2318✗1.2820.5M2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.2618-1.93%7.825+22.55%0.0809✗1.355.5M2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.250106-1.92%0.2601+2.00%0.0782✓1.1262k2022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2476-1.92%1.365+7.31%0.0536✓1.372.9M2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4912-1.90%1.71+12.50%0.0171✓1.47284k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010434-1.84%0.00987-7.15%0.1638✓1.035.5M2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.056651-1.84%0.08598+48.99%0.2709✗1.3927k2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.791565-1.79%1.018+26.30%0.1667✗0.811.6M2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4016-1.75%5.85+30.58%0.2154✗0.66795k2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.853989-1.71%1.0198+17.37%0.0360✗1.35547k2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2017-1.67%2.744+22.55%0.0711✗1.4266k2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.573-1.61%2.945+12.62%0.0134✓1.16969k2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8544-1.57%3.927+35.41%0.2393✗0.76583k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006622-1.57%0.006181-8.13%0.1302✓0.5897k2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.1057-1.56%0.122043+13.66%0.0374✗1.019.2M2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.3757-1.54%10.31+88.83%0.5106✗1.34264k2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.305854-1.53%0.3452+11.14%0.0034✓1.199.4M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4058-1.52%3.812+56.04%0.2757✗1.763.4M2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.5065-1.44%29.88+15.46%0.0604✗0.9311.6M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000039787-1.40%0.0000434+7.56%0.0417✓1.232.4M2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.2699-1.38%15.57+65.64%0.3664✗1.451.1M2022-08-09
FLOWFlownative1.6411.619-1.34%2.997+82.63%0.4904✗1.19297k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.218-1.33%17.58+22.00%0.0690✗1.371.5M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051217-1.31%0.055293+6.54%0.0090✓0.6415k2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002803-1.26%0.003356+18.21%0.0716✗1.031.3M2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.103408-1.23%0.127+21.30%0.1016✗0.997,0862022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.662155-1.17%0.954+42.39%0.2298✗1.29157k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.107032-1.17%0.1232+13.76%0.0252✗1.10401k2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.8288-1.12%19.92+17.04%0.0210✗1.4176k2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.385-1.07%2.8368+17.67%0.0669✗1.021.3M2022-08-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.148143-1.04%0.1548+3.41%0.0895✓1.27102k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.104118-1.03%0.1457+38.50%0.2187✗1.12551k2022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0485-1.01%6.51+27.65%0.0999✗1.471.3M2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.4354-1.01%60.26+20.66%0.0745✗1.18333k2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.302-0.98%1.5258+16.03%0.0150✗1.37685k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.3419-0.95%40.35+9.98%0.0328✓1.3190.8M2022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001001-0.90%0.001479+46.46%0.2558✗1.292.7M2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4178-0.87%2.539+4.10%0.0479✓0.92148k2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.066625-0.87%0.069028+2.71%0.0912✓1.212.3M2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2811-0.86%2.702+17.43%0.0079✓1.6990k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009082-0.85%0.00825-9.93%0.1945✓0.941.2M2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3091-0.83%1.43+8.33%0.0686✓1.50784k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9194-0.79%4.0145+36.42%0.2031✗1.1030k2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.118484-0.77%0.1765+47.82%0.2940✗1.004.0M2022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052601-0.75%0.0599+13.02%0.0266✓1.49118k2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.050711-0.74%0.10285+101.31%0.5512✗1.49847k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.062636-0.74%0.0589-6.66%0.2134✓1.45322k2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.042885-0.73%0.0475+9.95%0.0409✓1.369,9202022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4452-0.71%8.044+46.68%0.2698✗1.152.2M2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.280628-0.68%0.3489+23.48%0.0845✗1.27464k2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042511.9673-0.62%17.0389+41.49%0.2282✗1.19316k2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0674-0.58%1.1689+8.87%0.0248✓1.1065k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.634423-0.56%0.808+26.65%0.1451✗0.92419k2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6175-0.51%1.8057+11.07%0.0240✓1.28555k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash45.1644.938-0.49%52.97+17.29%0.0499✗1.09739k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.295744-0.46%0.3286+10.60%0.0188✓1.183.0M2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.491083-0.45%0.6234+26.37%0.1114✗1.21634k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.0068-0.44%0.00871+27.53%0.1421✗1.00407k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.850.846885-0.37%0.78-8.24%0.1575✓0.72129k2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098574-0.33%0.1336+35.09%0.2188✗0.81157k2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.390206-0.31%0.4499+14.95%0.0004✓1.3694k2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.0875-0.28%36.4+140.58%0.7571✗1.181.7M2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067461-0.21%0.068465+1.27%0.0724✓0.83611k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.21%9.70e-7+8.99%0.0001✓0.845.7M2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3562-0.20%2.032+49.52%0.2495✗1.47170k2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1405-0.10%11.36+24.15%0.0947✗1.17307k2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020102-0.09%0.02632+30.82%0.1574✗1.0798k2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1581-0.01%27.43+43.16%0.1993✗1.5227.8M2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099954+0.05%0.1396+39.74%0.1930✓1.342.8M2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004083+0.07%0.00451+10.54%0.0429✗1.36169k2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.40560.405929+0.08%0.4778+17.80%0.0300✓1.27354k2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8657+0.16%2.2956+23.24%0.0771✓1.2437k2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,169.64+0.17%1,703.35+45.87%0.2530✓1.17339.3M2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.7393+0.18%79.81+33.84%0.1510✓1.321.8M2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.882014+0.22%1.0376+17.91%0.0545✓1.0393k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097545+0.35%0.1129+16.15%0.0059✓1.34696k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,929.54+0.38%23,158.27+11.07%0.0038✗1.00472.7M2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.81e-7+0.40%3.29e-7-13.34%0.2635✗1.11543k2022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046841+0.52%0.0642+37.77%0.1724✓1.36897k2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.125218+0.55%0.17382+39.58%0.1577✓1.62198k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.3242+0.58%10.536+13.66%0.0045✓1.123.1M2022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.314534+0.62%0.344184+10.11%0.0427✗1.262.3M2022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012613+0.80%0.015341+22.60%0.1083✓0.831.4M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.276282+0.83%0.328+19.71%0.0645✓1.02600k2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,955.41+0.90%23,209.60+11.75%0.0016✓0.9946k2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003380.003413+0.97%0.00368+8.88%0.0668✗1.35664k2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.200626+1.02%0.2261+13.85%0.0347✗1.47146k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.9307+1.19%8.902+29.98%0.1202✓1.2411.3M2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028877+1.25%0.03156+10.66%0.0476✗1.3024k2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.630387+1.35%0.81+30.23%0.1225✓1.22952k2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.052565+1.48%0.0811+56.56%0.3524✓0.77209k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9804+1.57%4.7738+21.81%0.1068✓0.711.2M2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero129.44131.4919+1.59%158.78+22.67%0.0678✓1.151.3M2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0952.9503+1.65%59.18+13.61%0.0125✓1.1818.8M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.659835+1.67%0.716+10.32%0.0829✗1.57214k2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.263733+1.87%0.4453+72.00%0.4035✓1.1531k2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7379.2338+1.93%97.96+26.03%0.0396✓1.648.9M2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.080936+2.84%0.0977+24.14%0.0563✓1.267,1372022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005832+3.00%0.006485+14.53%0.0056✓0.963,1492022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77111.7319+4.65%134.7+26.16%0.0677✓1.145.7M2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.50829+5.34%0.5918+22.65%0.0345✓1.12252k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.