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2022-07-10 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1108
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.1403-2.81%3.26-23.47%0.2264✓0.2882k2022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000108679-2.01%0.0001049-5.42%0.0525✗1.97766k2022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.153841-1.95%0.1336-14.85%0.0818✓1.3334k2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.792206-1.45%0.766-4.71%0.0392✗1.64160k2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021057-1.19%0.020243-5.01%0.0059✓1.028952022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.697913-1.15%0.633-10.34%0.0309✓1.503,2002022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.070909-1.10%0.0724+0.98%0.0675✗1.05108k2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.777361-1.10%0.69-12.22%0.0816✓0.842472022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.5379-1.10%14.74-6.17%0.0070✓1.03501k2022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum81.4380.5637-1.06%79.01-2.97%0.0248✗0.992.5M2022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.233741-1.00%0.2128-9.87%0.0404✓1.20695k2022-07-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.171327-0.98%0.16562-4.28%0.0984✗2.978572022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0177-0.95%0.96692-5.89%0.0000✓1.151,9162022-07-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.100895-0.82%0.09681-4.84%0.0032✓1.00347k2022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.413995-0.72%0.383-8.15%0.0283✓1.1111k2022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.413623-0.71%0.37405-10.21%0.0680✓0.7355k2022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.930558-0.71%0.8592-8.32%0.0238✓1.26284k2022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.302261-0.70%0.28338-6.90%0.0033✓1.372,9402022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.4627-0.67%14.46-0.69%0.0744✗1.67463k2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5496-0.66%1.52-2.56%0.0092✓0.23575k2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025908-0.66%0.02269-13.00%0.0589✓1.6621.5M2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0375-0.61%1.708-16.68%0.1109✓1.47114k2022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.4321-0.61%3.714+7.56%0.1043✗0.572.2M2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.9175-0.60%15.04-11.63%0.0550✓1.4176k2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045386-0.60%0.04319-5.41%0.0082✓0.935,7282022-07-11
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.9125-0.58%20.22-8.26%0.0358✓1.00126k2022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.261493-0.57%0.2357-10.38%0.0473✓1.27220k2022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.0633-0.48%48.56-8.93%0.0261✓1.4127k2022-07-11
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.353336-0.47%0.355+0.00%0.0492✗1.005252022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3138-0.47%1.15-12.88%0.0666✓1.50784k2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9815-0.45%2.941-1.80%0.0144✗0.632.4M2022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068113-0.45%0.06703-2.03%0.0201✗0.812,3072022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.039325-0.44%0.0357-9.62%0.0403✓1.27112k2022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040241-0.43%0.037876-6.28%0.0085✓1.1714k2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046505-0.42%0.0453-3.00%0.0291✗1.24264k2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.3795-0.41%2.206-7.68%0.0022✓1.654,8022022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.678894-0.41%0.64473-5.42%0.0221✗1.66120k2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.00564-0.40%0.005543-2.12%0.0253✗0.963,1492022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017338-0.39%0.01796+3.18%0.0601✗0.56291k2022-07-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5242-0.38%1.482-3.14%0.0165✗1.00178k2022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.7258-0.38%3.6-3.74%0.0069✓0.62755k2022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7618-0.38%3.567-5.53%0.0254✓0.621.8M2022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.828921-0.37%0.779-6.37%0.0226✗1.9010.2M2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.2109-0.37%5.561-10.80%0.0504✓1.355.4M2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.46440.462689-0.37%0.4351-6.31%0.0045✓1.281.2M2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.406587-0.37%0.37405-8.34%0.0277✓1.25155k2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.894-0.37%1.76-7.42%0.0141✓1.33953k2022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020046-0.37%0.01941-3.53%0.0153✗1.0798k2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.133809-0.37%0.1241-7.59%0.0182✓1.282.8M2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.94853-0.36%0.831-12.71%0.0516✓1.81620k2022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.478365-0.36%0.44498-7.31%0.0030✓1.561.4M2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.104328-0.36%0.0995-4.97%0.0033✓0.997,0862022-07-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260473-0.35%0.261-0.15%0.0466✗1.0046k2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.091975-0.35%0.0852-7.69%0.0191✓1.29179k2022-07-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.400704-0.35%0.3752-6.69%0.0212✓1.00179k2022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.53215-0.35%0.482-9.74%0.0231✓1.701.5M2022-07-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.249344-0.34%0.2779+11.07%0.1530✗1.00436k2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.390274-0.34%0.3856-1.53%0.0597✗1.61208k2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.265113-0.33%0.228-14.29%0.0832✓1.521.1M2022-07-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.191361-0.33%0.1671-12.97%0.0678✓1.522,7942022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.78159-0.33%0.848+8.14%0.1275✗1.034.0M2022-07-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011164-0.32%0.00001031-7.95%0.0236✓1.261.3M2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.296162-0.32%0.2664-10.33%0.0533✓1.183.0M2022-07-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.026697-0.31%0.02594-3.14%0.0441✗1.642,0362022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3657-0.30%6.277-1.69%0.0462✗1.355.5M2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0856-0.28%4.81-5.69%0.0098✗1.471.3M2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.2113-0.27%3.07-4.66%0.0139✓0.70765k2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.460955-0.27%0.4344-6.01%0.0025✓1.2846.7M2022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.158-0.26%1.094-5.77%0.0048✓1.171.7M2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.174054-0.26%0.1604-8.08%0.0195✓1.403,2022022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.433-0.25%2.404-1.44%0.0291✗0.92148k2022-07-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.490817-0.24%0.4539-7.74%0.0289✓1.1167k2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.75-0.24%8.163-6.93%0.0100✓1.3313.1M2022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1753-0.24%2.0822-4.51%0.0085✓0.791.1M2022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.8208-0.24%1.7564-3.76%0.0019✓0.85954k2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7336-0.23%2.6-5.11%0.0006✓1.11552k2022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152943-0.23%0.1396-8.94%0.0319✓1.33353k2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7061-0.23%1.7-0.58%0.0472✗1.14114k2022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019874-0.23%0.01796-9.84%0.0670✓0.77414k2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.524829-0.22%0.478-9.13%0.0316✓1.3999k2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.950096-0.22%0.8869-6.86%0.0072✓1.384.5M2022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.910749-0.21%0.8569-6.11%0.0037✗1.452.0M2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.825-0.21%24.98-3.48%0.0082✗0.9311.6M2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2962-0.21%2.024-12.04%0.0509✓1.6990k2022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.057591-0.21%0.05481-5.03%0.0126✗1.3927k2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.3806-0.21%8.54-9.15%0.0293✓1.451.1M2022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002833-0.20%0.002667-6.06%0.0144✓1.031.3M2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.254486-0.20%0.2354-7.69%0.0281✓1.1262k2022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.867098-0.20%0.80461-7.39%0.0148✓1.35547k2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009142-0.20%0.00882-3.71%0.0059✗0.941.2M2022-07-11
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.5756-0.20%69.82-10.18%0.0321✓1.648.9M2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010609-0.20%0.00974-8.37%0.0396✓1.035.5M2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.104997-0.19%0.1063+1.05%0.0621✗1.12551k2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.1081-0.19%0.1014-6.37%0.0150✓1.10401k2022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6274-0.18%5.4011-4.20%0.0327✓0.19291k2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4334-0.18%1.322-7.94%0.0163✓1.45428k2022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7743-0.18%4.34-9.26%0.0159✓1.7816.6M2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004073-0.18%0.00377-7.60%0.0168✓1.36169k2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.804594-0.17%0.771-4.34%0.0066✓0.811.6M2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.17%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0164✗0.845.7M2022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.023-0.17%3.87-3.97%0.0101✓0.64689k2022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.051809-0.17%0.051002-1.73%0.0130✗0.6415k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.2494-0.17%5.94-5.11%0.0291✓0.49815k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6106-0.17%2.472-5.47%0.0029✓1.16969k2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,023.06-0.17%5,496.41-8.89%0.0324✓1.334.5M2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.406-0.16%2.22-7.88%0.0102✓1.58236k2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.40560.404953-0.16%0.3748-7.59%0.0209✓1.27354k2022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4391-0.16%2.307-5.57%0.0226✗1.763.4M2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.637017-0.15%0.591-7.37%0.0339✓0.92419k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028477-0.15%0.02635-7.61%0.0197✓1.3024k2022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006718-0.15%0.006528-2.97%0.0027✓0.5897k2022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1363-0.15%8.25-9.84%0.0500✓1.17307k2022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.357-0.14%1.294-4.78%0.0181✗1.47170k2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.067112-0.14%0.061727-8.15%0.0299✓1.212.3M2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2358-0.14%2.068-7.64%0.0148✓1.4266k2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5178-0.14%1.43-5.92%0.0057✗1.47284k2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.14949-0.14%0.1357-9.35%0.0402✓1.27102k2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.492618-0.14%0.4671-5.31%0.0008✓1.21634k2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.124359-0.14%0.11902-4.42%0.0284✗1.62198k2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107237-0.13%0.101391-5.58%0.0109✓1.019.2M2022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040299-0.13%0.00003797-5.90%0.0049✓1.232.4M2022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4532-0.12%5.35-2.01%0.0406✗1.34264k2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001009-0.11%0.000943-6.62%0.0101✓1.292.7M2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4751-0.11%4.37-2.46%0.0056✗0.66795k2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.043154-0.11%0.0398-7.87%0.0202✓1.369,9202022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.669297-0.10%0.645-3.73%0.0205✗1.29157k2022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6241-0.10%1.5716-3.33%0.0240✗1.28555k2022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003380.003377-0.10%0.00322-4.73%0.0129✗1.35664k2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1848-0.10%6.036-2.50%0.0326✗1.2820.5M2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8971-0.10%2.795-3.62%0.0021✓0.76583k2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3137-0.10%1.2351-6.08%0.0008✓1.37685k2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4087-0.09%2.2902-5.01%0.0052✓1.021.3M2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098811-0.09%0.0934-5.56%0.0201✓0.81157k2022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052954-0.09%0.048-9.43%0.0318✓1.49118k2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.119298-0.09%0.1111-6.95%0.0268✓1.004.0M2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.271-0.08%1.191-6.37%0.0041✓1.372.9M2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4795-0.08%5.193-5.31%0.0026✓1.152.2M2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006825-0.08%0.00649-4.98%0.0056✓1.00407k2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9405-0.08%2.7005-8.23%0.0362✓1.1030k2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24754.2067-0.07%50.206-7.45%0.0393✓0.84488k2022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012504-0.07%0.011753-6.07%0.0248✓0.831.4M2022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.87941-0.07%0.843157-4.19%0.0037✗1.0393k2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.258712-0.07%0.2436-5.91%0.0091✓1.1531k2022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067556-0.07%0.064581-4.47%0.0080✓0.83611k2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046567-0.07%0.0428-8.15%0.0237✓1.36897k2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.5878-0.07%55.65-6.67%0.0095✓1.321.8M2022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.6645-0.07%33.41-8.94%0.0346✓1.3190.8M2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,166.90-0.07%1,095.56-6.18%0.0110✓1.17339.3M2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099835-0.06%0.0915-8.41%0.0273✓1.342.8M2022-07-11
DASHDashDash45.1645.1329-0.06%41.49-8.13%0.0356✓1.09739k2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.310421-0.06%0.2967-4.48%0.0076✗1.199.4M2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.265-0.05%8.867-4.35%0.0060✗1.123.1M2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.282401-0.05%0.28158-0.34%0.0536✗1.27464k2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.4027-0.05%13.47-6.52%0.0062✓1.371.5M2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.919-0.04%46.66-6.57%0.0151✓1.18333k2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063074-0.04%0.061-3.33%0.0310✗1.45322k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0952.0749-0.03%48.67-6.57%0.0151✓1.1818.8M2022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.621821-0.03%0.604-2.89%0.0253✗1.22952k2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.0733-0.03%1.0046-6.43%0.0171✓1.1065k2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6406-0.02%1.508-8.10%0.0311✓1.19297k2022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.391303-0.02%0.3946+0.82%0.0689✗1.3694k2022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.0396-0.02%11.5955-3.71%0.0155✗1.19316k2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.80e-7-0.02%3.68e-7-3.23%0.0167✗1.11543k2022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.850.84989-0.01%0.83-2.35%0.0083✗0.72129k2022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051084-0.01%0.04664-8.71%0.0249✓1.49847k2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero129.44129.4285-0.01%126.93-1.94%0.0317✗1.151.3M2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.312574-0.00%0.283224-9.39%0.0423✓1.262.3M2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1605+0.00%17.31-9.66%0.0338✗1.5227.8M2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.078706+0.01%0.075-4.70%0.0078✓1.267,1372022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8629+0.01%1.7052-8.45%0.0331✗1.2437k2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.1322+0.01%14.2-6.15%0.0111✗1.181.7M2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.198639+0.02%0.1918-3.42%0.0304✓1.47146k2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097229+0.03%0.0873-10.19%0.0482✗1.34696k2022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,857.26+0.03%19,942.43-4.36%0.0003✓1.00472.7M2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,781.63+0.06%19,940.90-3.99%0.0027✓0.9946k2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.48283+0.07%0.4529-6.13%0.0141✗1.12252k2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274234+0.09%0.265-3.28%0.0112✓1.02600k2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051863+0.12%0.0501-3.28%0.0001✓0.77209k2022-07-11
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9238+0.13%3.8933-0.65%0.0240✓0.711.2M2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8578+0.13%6.521-4.79%0.0048✓1.2411.3M2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.649851+0.13%0.6-7.55%0.0100✗1.57214k2022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77106.9228+0.14%99.04-7.24%0.0260✗1.145.7M2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.