8=======>

2022-07-09 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0955
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.4%
in alpha space · 26.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.40%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum3.94633.973+0.68%3.9189-0.69%0.0113✓0.721.2M2022-07-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.508468+0.59%0.4825-4.55%0.0134✗1.13249k2022-07-10
XMRMoneroMonero127.29128.0102+0.57%129.44+1.69%0.0508✓1.151.3M2022-07-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.082437+0.53%0.0787-4.02%0.0029✓1.267,1372022-07-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.677308+0.49%0.622-7.72%0.0432✗1.22952k2022-07-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.05336+0.49%0.0518-2.45%0.0027✓0.78213k2022-07-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-74.02e-7+0.47%3.80e-7-5.01%0.0178✗1.11566k2022-07-10
XVGVergenative0.003440.003455+0.45%0.00338-1.74%0.0255✓1.38670k2022-07-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.260562+0.45%0.2589-0.19%0.0342✓1.1831k2022-07-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9921,677.94+0.44%20,850.65-3.40%0.0043✓1.00493.8M2022-07-10
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0682.4036+0.42%77.73-5.28%0.0014✓1.658.5M2022-07-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36111.8259+0.42%106.77-4.12%0.0069✗1.145.7M2022-07-10
ZECZcashZcash61.2161.4654+0.42%59.63-2.58%0.0160✓1.341.8M2022-07-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.105932+0.41%0.0999-5.31%0.0121✗1.352.8M2022-07-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.203628+0.41%0.1986-2.07%0.0265✓1.49151k2022-07-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.285141+0.40%0.274-3.52%0.0044✗1.03663k2022-07-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.01317+0.39%0.012513-4.61%0.0224✗0.831.4M2022-07-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.691676+0.39%0.649-5.81%0.0087✗1.59222k2022-07-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.096973+0.39%0.0972+0.62%0.0496✓1.37701k2022-07-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.097166+0.38%0.0989+2.17%0.0453✓0.80167k2022-07-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002943+0.37%0.002839-3.17%0.0002✓1.041.4M2022-07-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009164+0.37%0.00916+0.33%0.0326✓0.951.2M2022-07-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.3932+0.36%6.26-1.73%0.0039✗0.50872k2022-07-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4541+0.36%1.359-6.21%0.0163✗1.48169k2022-07-10
FLOWFlownative1.6971.703+0.35%1.641-3.30%0.0043✓1.20297k2022-07-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,221.06+0.35%1,167.68-4.04%0.0043✗1.17342.2M2022-07-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.5333+0.35%9.15-3.68%0.0006✓1.17316k2022-07-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.005926+0.34%0.005663-4.11%0.0111✗0.993,1492022-07-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.697343+0.34%0.638-8.20%0.0571✗0.92419k2022-07-10
STXStacksnative0.41460.415996+0.34%0.4056-2.17%0.0187✓1.27345k2022-07-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.151408+0.34%0.1497-0.80%0.0331✓1.29105k2022-07-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.291193+0.34%0.28255-2.64%0.0141✓1.28465k2022-07-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.322461+0.33%0.3106-3.36%0.0036✓1.199.4M2022-07-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.42036+0.32%0.3916-6.54%0.0146✗1.63208k2022-07-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8515.9009+0.32%15.13-4.54%0.0089✗1.181.8M2022-07-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.1802+0.32%2.1805+0.33%0.0289✓0.831.2M2022-07-10
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4766+0.31%1.436-2.45%0.0224✓1.45453k2022-07-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.055571+0.31%0.053-4.33%0.0044✓1.50131k2022-07-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.407452+0.31%0.3914-3.64%0.0074✓1.3895k2022-07-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,617.93+0.30%20,768.90-3.64%0.0059✗0.9946k2022-07-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.914413+0.29%0.880054-3.47%0.0021✓1.0597k2022-07-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.069699+0.29%0.067208-3.29%0.0057✓1.222.2M2022-07-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004162+0.29%0.00408-1.69%0.0275✓1.37169k2022-07-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.00099158+0.29%0.00101+2.13%0.0635✓1.312.6M2022-07-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.04543+0.29%0.0432-4.64%0.0022✓1.3910k2022-07-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001213.0383+0.29%12.0425-7.37%0.0377✗1.21316k2022-07-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.853417+0.28%0.806-5.29%0.0289✗0.821.6M2022-07-10
KSMKusamaHydration53.153.2496+0.28%49.94-5.95%0.0233✗1.18396k2022-07-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.6638+0.28%9.27-3.81%0.0031✗1.113.1M2022-07-10
DASHDashDash47.7947.9221+0.28%45.16-5.50%0.0214✗1.10698k2022-07-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.093451+0.27%0.0923-0.97%0.0330✓1.31179k2022-07-10
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.069987+0.27%0.067605-3.14%0.0056✗0.84531k2022-07-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.986+0.27%5.46-8.54%0.0461✗1.33278k2022-07-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.126837+0.27%0.1194-5.61%0.0260✗1.004.0M2022-07-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1244+0.26%1.0736-4.27%0.0081✗1.1065k2022-07-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9429+0.25%1.8627-3.89%0.0011✓1.2540k2022-07-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006917+0.25%0.006728-2.49%0.0068✗0.61100k2022-07-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3956+0.25%1.315-5.54%0.0132✗1.34727k2022-07-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.030245+0.25%0.02852-5.47%0.0135✗1.3124k2022-07-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.253205+0.24%0.255+0.95%0.0466✓1.1463k2022-07-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.4533+0.24%2.4109-1.50%0.0190✓1.051.3M2022-07-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.908523+0.24%0.86883-4.14%0.0020✓1.35557k2022-07-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.521023+0.24%0.4933-5.10%0.0122✗1.23642k2022-07-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.289479+0.24%0.2971+2.87%0.0675✓1.203.0M2022-07-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007126+0.23%0.00683-3.94%0.0077✗1.01412k2022-07-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.133019+0.23%0.12453-6.17%0.0097✗1.63186k2022-07-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.02990.029967+0.22%0.0289-3.34%0.0201✗0.4771k2022-07-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.699554+0.22%0.67-4.01%0.0023✓1.32172k2022-07-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.112901+0.22%0.107379-4.68%0.0151✗1.019.3M2022-07-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.715+0.22%2.615-3.47%0.0034✓1.181.0M2022-07-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.061013+0.22%0.05771-5.21%0.0079✗1.3827k2022-07-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5734+0.22%1.52-3.18%0.0165✓1.48338k2022-07-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.5323+0.21%2.439-3.48%0.0057✗0.92148k2022-07-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.1327.1867+0.21%25.88-4.61%0.0168✗0.9411.6M2022-07-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.049903+0.21%0.0466-6.43%0.0214✗1.36922k2022-07-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8959+0.20%2.74-5.19%0.0170✗1.11560k2022-07-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.8339+0.20%1.8251-0.28%0.0241✓0.84954k2022-07-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.24689+0.20%0.263+6.74%0.1080✓1.30220k2022-07-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.103299+0.19%0.1052+2.04%0.0573✓1.13540k2022-07-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0554.1533+0.19%52.09-3.63%0.0019✓1.1818.8M2022-07-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.160706+0.19%0.1533-4.43%0.0010✓1.34355k2022-07-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.9119+0.19%17.02+0.83%0.0555✓1.4272k2022-07-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.05332+0.19%0.05109-4.00%0.0087✓1.49902k2022-07-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.112809+0.19%0.1047-7.02%0.0398✗1.017,0862022-07-10
PROPropyEthereum0.870.871605+0.18%0.85-2.30%0.0002✓0.72133k2022-07-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.0838.1495+0.18%36.69-3.65%0.0066✓1.3290.8M2022-07-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.01117+0.18%0.01063-4.66%0.0129✗1.065.5M2022-07-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011631+0.18%0.0000112-3.53%0.0059✓1.261.2M2022-07-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.0344+0.18%2.9428-2.85%0.0078✓1.1132k2022-07-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019565+0.18%0.01992+2.00%0.0442✓0.76414k2022-07-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3433+0.17%1.272-5.15%0.0072✗1.373.0M2022-07-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.432711+0.16%0.40809-5.53%0.0154✗1.25155k2022-07-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.4906+0.16%6.191-4.46%0.0028✗1.2921.1M2022-07-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066406+0.16%0.0631-4.83%0.0007✓1.46325k2022-07-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.331579+0.16%0.312585-5.58%0.0152✗1.272.3M2022-07-10
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.146327+0.16%0.1343-8.08%0.0415✗1.282.8M2022-07-10
HIVEHivenative0.48780.488538+0.15%0.4644-4.80%0.0065✗1.281.2M2022-07-10
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.478417+0.15%0.4622-3.24%0.0101✓1.2948.1M2022-07-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9524+0.15%2.9-1.63%0.0089✓0.78622k2022-07-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01421.0157+0.15%0.9522-6.11%0.0166✗1.394.5M2022-07-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.047049+0.15%0.04566-2.81%0.0027✓0.955,7282022-07-10
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.042143+0.15%0.040415-3.96%0.0013✓1.1712k2022-07-10
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.7425+0.14%1.71-1.72%0.0210✓1.15114k2022-07-10
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000041679+0.14%0.00004035-3.05%0.0107✓1.252.5M2022-07-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,505.91+0.13%6,033.03-7.14%0.0298✗1.324.5M2022-07-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.4922+0.13%2.301-7.55%0.0216✗1.6890k2022-07-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.311127+0.13%0.30438-2.04%0.0256✓1.382,7752022-07-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6259+0.13%4.48-3.03%0.0093✗0.66836k2022-07-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.9913+0.13%8.771-2.33%0.0217✓1.3513.7M2022-07-10
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.11e-7+0.12%8.90e-7-2.20%0.0061✓0.855.7M2022-07-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.146478+0.12%0.1569+7.25%0.1161✓1.3734k2022-07-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.972064+0.12%0.9127-5.99%0.0119✗1.482.1M2022-07-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.1581+0.12%14.41-4.82%0.0035✗1.361.5M2022-07-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2415+0.12%1.32+6.45%0.1137✓1.52755k2022-07-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8029+0.12%5.484-5.38%0.0162✗1.172.3M2022-07-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.052651+0.11%0.051898-1.32%0.0080✓0.6515k2022-07-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.557625+0.11%0.526-5.57%0.0103✗1.3999k2022-07-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.1344+0.11%4.03-2.42%0.0032✗0.65721k2022-07-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049649+0.10%0.0467-5.85%0.0186✗1.23266k2022-07-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.110.1097+0.10%9.4-6.93%0.0228✗1.451.1M2022-07-10
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.626+0.10%1.6258+0.09%0.0439✓1.27582k2022-07-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.7017+0.09%5.6377-1.03%0.0040✗0.21291k2022-07-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.253+0.09%3.22-0.92%0.0139✓0.70770k2022-07-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.2555+0.09%6.849-5.52%0.0145✗1.2511.8M2022-07-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0075.0114+0.09%4.783-4.47%0.0149✓1.7816.6M2022-07-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.114388+0.08%0.1083-5.25%0.0165✗1.10401k2022-07-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.919.9145+0.07%19.16-3.72%0.0138✓1.5229.2M2022-07-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.016434+0.07%0.017406+5.99%0.0768✓0.56337k2022-07-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3877+0.07%2.239-6.16%0.0156✗1.4167k2022-07-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.9662+0.06%6.385-8.29%0.0408✗1.345.5M2022-07-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.2247+0.06%1.161-5.15%0.0132✗1.161.7M2022-07-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5964+0.06%2.443-5.86%0.0000✓1.763.4M2022-07-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.0011.0015+0.05%0.952-4.90%0.0120✓1.81635k2022-07-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.021797+0.05%0.02131-2.19%0.0132✓1.048342022-07-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01857.0439+0.05%54.247-4.86%0.0213✗0.84525k2022-07-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.841436+0.04%0.78602-6.55%0.0385✗0.862472022-07-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5755.5886+0.03%53.32-4.05%0.0077✓1.4328k2022-07-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.2516+0.03%5.1-2.86%0.0223✓1.491.4M2022-07-10
METISMetisEthereum22.4722.4742+0.02%22.04-1.91%0.0151✓1.00110k2022-07-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6504+0.01%2.41-9.06%0.0406✗1.58255k2022-07-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.801018+0.01%0.7842-2.09%0.0151✓1.054.5M2022-07-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.4482+0.00%6.234-3.32%0.0132✓1.365.4M2022-07-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.198382-0.01%0.1745-12.05%0.0810✓1.373,2022022-07-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021126-0.02%0.02012-4.78%0.0116✓1.0796k2022-07-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.467886-0.02%0.417-10.90%0.0767✓1.1111k2022-07-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.8188-0.03%3.74-2.09%0.0008✗0.63778k2022-07-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.521334-0.03%0.492-5.66%0.0199✓1.1074k2022-07-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.6105-0.03%1.53-5.03%0.0167✓1.00180k2022-07-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.011.0095-0.05%1.0275+1.73%0.0579✗1.171,6262022-07-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.041376-0.06%0.0395-4.59%0.0025✓1.27134k2022-07-10
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.572654-0.06%0.534-6.81%0.0111✓1.701.5M2022-07-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260838-0.06%0.2614+0.15%0.0367✗1.0054k2022-07-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.028292-0.06%0.02678-5.40%0.0015✗1.632,0362022-07-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.6837-0.06%2.3894-11.02%0.0594✓1.644,8022022-07-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.1254-0.08%2.05-3.62%0.0147✗1.47123k2022-07-10
QNTQuantEthereum8584.9064-0.11%81.43-4.20%0.0077✓0.992.4M2022-07-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.024173-0.11%0.02608+7.77%0.1344✗1.6919.6M2022-07-10
API3Api3Ethereum2.0082.0056-0.12%1.901-5.33%0.0070✓1.35997k2022-07-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2061-0.12%4.26+32.71%0.2976✗0.3982k2022-07-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00751.0062-0.12%0.9372-6.98%0.0279✓1.25252k2022-07-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.194851-0.13%0.192-1.59%0.0381✗1.532,7942022-07-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.271598-0.15%0.266-2.21%0.0326✗1.551.1M2022-07-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7946-0.17%3.776-0.66%0.0177✗0.651.8M2022-07-10
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.463476-0.17%0.41658-10.27%0.0817✓0.7255k2022-07-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.072507-0.18%0.06842-5.81%0.0303✓0.802,3812022-07-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.731374-0.18%0.68167-6.97%0.0132✓1.66108k2022-07-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.428875-0.19%0.4021-6.42%0.0299✓1.00202k2022-07-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.51079-0.22%0.48008-6.22%0.0076✓1.571.6M2022-07-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.5548-0.23%3.453-3.09%0.0087✓0.592.2M2022-07-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.075018-0.24%0.0717-4.65%0.0077✓1.0999k2022-07-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.102765-0.25%0.10173-1.25%0.0244✗1.00343k2022-07-10
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.253865-0.25%0.2361-7.23%0.0313✓1.19682k2022-07-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4462-0.26%1.56+7.59%0.0860✗0.30575k2022-07-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3616.3109-0.30%14.56-11.00%0.0559✓1.67463k2022-07-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.236143-0.32%0.2502+5.61%0.0924✗1.00440k2022-07-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0343.0211-0.42%2.995-1.29%0.0132✗0.632.5M2022-07-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.747798-0.43%0.706-5.99%0.0058✓1.503,2002022-07-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.854024-0.58%0.832-3.14%0.0397✗1.9112.4M2022-07-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6616.5574-0.62%15.71-5.70%0.0171✓1.03501k2022-07-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.195832-0.65%0.17302-12.23%0.0218✓2.958572022-07-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000109673-0.71%0.00011091+0.41%0.0787✗1.95766k2022-07-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.797877-1.36%0.8039-0.62%0.0640✗1.63160k2022-07-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.