8=======>

2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0425
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.8%
in alpha space · 68.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.550608+8.92%0.6088+20.44%0.0107✓1.13249k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.087961+7.27%0.1038+26.59%0.0416✓1.267,1372022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29136.3351+7.11%167.1+31.28%0.0906✓1.151.3M2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94634.222+6.99%4.9055+24.31%0.0790✓0.721.2M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.719575+6.76%0.774+14.84%0.0467✓1.22952k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.05662+6.63%0.0826+55.56%0.3008✓0.78213k2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36118.2033+6.15%143.54+28.90%0.0822✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0686.9603+5.97%102.58+25.01%0.0031✓1.658.5M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003632+5.58%0.00377+9.59%0.0981✗1.38670k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-74.22e-7+5.46%3.37e-7-15.82%0.3342✗1.11566k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.724548+5.16%0.767+11.32%0.0996✗1.59222k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.006179+4.64%0.006716+13.72%0.0145✓0.993,1492022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.296785+4.50%0.339+19.37%0.0320✓1.03663k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.271072+4.50%0.5111+97.03%0.5186✓1.1831k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.21184+4.46%0.2285+12.67%0.0709✗1.49151k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2163.9373+4.46%77.53+26.66%0.0610✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9922,537.90+4.42%23,815.65+10.34%0.0432✓1.00493.8M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004327+4.25%0.00474+14.22%0.0438✗1.37169k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.8964+4.17%11.72+23.37%0.0540✓1.17316k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.003053+4.14%0.003433+17.09%0.0143✓1.041.4M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.100468+4.00%0.1199+24.12%0.0422✓1.37701k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.43105+3.97%0.5085+22.65%0.0401✓1.27345k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.301643+3.94%0.33107+14.08%0.0327✓1.28465k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.721952+3.88%0.835+20.14%0.0548✓0.92419k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3022,382.92+3.84%23,846.60+10.64%0.0340✓0.9946k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.109526+3.82%0.1491+41.33%0.1761✓1.352.8M2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.9909+3.67%10.767+11.73%0.0349✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009456+3.57%0.00837-8.32%0.2159✗0.951.2M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.5004+3.55%2.058+42.03%0.1699✓1.48169k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.057315+3.46%0.062+11.91%0.0687✗1.50131k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.137214+3.39%0.17585+32.50%0.0880✓1.63186k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,257.91+3.38%1,777.36+46.07%0.2307✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001213.4377+3.36%19.4666+49.73%0.2518✓1.21316k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1586+3.31%1.2304+9.71%0.0486✗1.1065k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.099984+3.29%0.1545+59.61%0.3565✓0.80167k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013538+3.20%0.016131+22.97%0.0934✓0.831.4M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.418448+3.02%0.4704+15.81%0.0183✓1.3895k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.155428+3.00%0.163+8.02%0.0790✗1.29105k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.051267+2.95%0.068+36.55%0.1486✓1.36922k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.007098+2.87%0.0063-8.70%0.1789✗0.61100k2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.130129+2.87%0.1674+32.33%0.1539✓1.004.0M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8516.294+2.80%38.06+140.13%0.7322✓1.181.8M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0555.5538+2.78%62.61+15.84%0.0036✓1.1818.8M2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.784+2.77%3.052+12.66%0.0245✓1.181.0M2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.33025+2.75%0.3629+12.91%0.0226✓1.199.4M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.935991+2.66%1.0843+18.93%0.0440✓1.0597k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.25911+2.58%0.2733+8.19%0.0593✗1.1463k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.5099+2.58%1.875+27.38%0.0734✓1.45453k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.071577+2.55%0.070047+0.36%0.1043✗0.84531k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.071258+2.54%0.070056+0.81%0.1368✗1.222.2M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.046438+2.51%0.0517+14.13%0.0298✗1.3910k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.5073+2.45%2.9975+22.47%0.0749✓1.051.3M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7948.9357+2.40%56.22+17.64%0.0306✓1.10698k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.295428+2.30%0.3474+20.29%0.0438✓1.203.0M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.4212+2.09%1.6087+15.56%0.0076✓1.34727k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0838.8673+2.07%42.2+10.82%0.0476✗1.3290.8M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.88705+1.96%0.79-9.20%0.1866✗0.72133k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.087+1.91%4.1656+37.53%0.1902✓1.1132k2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.251043+1.88%0.2624+6.49%0.0833✗1.30220k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.114766+1.88%0.130156+15.54%0.0262✓1.019.3M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.337256+1.87%0.363104+9.68%0.0508✗1.272.3M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.3847+1.87%9.276+27.96%0.1052✓1.2511.8M2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.866856+1.86%1.084+27.38%0.1432✓0.821.6M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.030725+1.84%0.0332+10.04%0.0512✗1.3124k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.154.0678+1.82%64.6+21.66%0.0615✓1.18396k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.001007+1.81%0.001192+20.58%0.0404✓1.312.6M2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.094868+1.79%0.0896-3.86%0.1864✗1.31179k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007236+1.77%0.00911+28.13%0.1313✓1.01412k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.104897+1.74%0.1526+48.01%0.2635✓1.13540k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.7263+1.73%3.023+78.14%0.4424✓1.20297k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.148789+1.70%0.1447-1.09%0.1628✗1.3734k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.425742+1.61%0.4659+11.19%0.0700✗1.63208k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.4691+1.56%8.84+38.78%0.2633✓0.50872k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.114345+1.55%0.1317+16.96%0.0422✓1.017,0862022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9679+1.55%2.385+23.07%0.0689✓1.2540k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.976.0605+1.52%10.19+70.69%0.3891✓1.33278k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.708114+1.45%0.894+28.08%0.1037✓1.32172k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.000042203+1.40%0.00004589+10.26%0.0388✗1.252.5M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.2033+1.38%3.2115+47.77%0.2949✓0.831.2M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.9296+1.37%3.99+38.06%0.1998✓1.11560k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.22e-7+1.36%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0133✓0.855.7M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,582.92+1.32%11,448.81+76.21%0.4234✓1.324.5M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6783+1.26%6.04+30.74%0.1907✓0.66836k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.011286+1.22%0.01044-6.37%0.1823✗1.065.5M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5882+1.16%1.85+17.83%0.0074✓1.48338k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.042569+1.16%0.052476+24.70%0.0937✓1.1712k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.147757+1.13%0.1804+23.48%0.0736✓1.282.8M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.053757+1.01%0.11272+111.80%0.5940✓1.49902k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1327.3932+0.97%31.49+16.07%0.0470✓0.9411.6M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8817.0423+0.96%19.15+13.45%0.0231✗1.4272k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9757+0.94%4.04+37.04%0.2295✓0.78622k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.066923+0.94%0.0607-8.45%0.2411✗1.46325k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.524617+0.93%0.6657+28.07%0.1173✓1.23642k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.313556+0.91%0.36941+18.88%0.0286✓1.382,7752022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.5497+0.90%2.626+3.92%0.0611✗0.92148k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.6379+0.83%1.894+16.60%0.0200✓1.27582k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.161719+0.82%0.1759+9.66%0.0475✗1.34355k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019689+0.81%0.01763-9.73%0.1850✗0.76414k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011696+0.74%0.00001229+5.86%0.0747✗1.261.2M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.8434+0.72%3.4773+90.00%0.5522✓0.84954k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.847074+0.71%1.1739+39.57%0.2420✓0.862472022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.506+0.68%2.889+16.07%0.0235✗1.6890k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.115074+0.68%0.1267+10.85%0.0125✗1.10401k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0075.0408+0.67%7.314+46.08%0.1971✓1.7816.6M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.989.0394+0.66%11.817+31.59%0.1355✓1.3513.7M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.920.0277+0.64%27.92+40.30%0.1829✓1.5229.2M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.5197+0.61%8.607+32.82%0.1513✓1.2921.1M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5755.8674+0.54%62.01+11.59%0.0361✗1.4328k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.434281+0.53%0.42996-0.47%0.1329✗1.25155k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01421.0193+0.51%1.4281+40.81%0.2007✓1.394.5M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.021893+0.49%0.023579+8.23%0.0277✗1.048342022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.910751+0.48%1.0855+19.76%0.0426✓1.35557k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.052832+0.46%0.05725+8.86%0.0165✓0.6515k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8208+0.43%8.73+50.62%0.2904✓1.172.3M2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2451+0.41%1.56+25.81%0.0763✓1.52755k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3462+0.39%1.438+7.23%0.0688✗1.373.0M2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.061116+0.39%0.08557+40.56%0.2007✓1.3827k2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.489478+0.34%0.6064+24.31%0.0884✓1.281.2M2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.973295+0.25%1.2133+24.97%0.0750✓1.482.1M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.110.1223+0.22%16.74+65.74%0.3607✓1.451.1M2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.558144+0.21%0.697+25.13%0.0853✓1.3999k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049694+0.19%0.0543+9.48%0.0328✗1.23266k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.047057+0.16%0.05269+12.15%0.0200✓0.955,7282022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.7413+0.08%2.74+57.47%0.3401✓1.15114k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3858-0.01%2.9+21.54%0.0565✗1.4167k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.1374-0.02%18.67+23.32%0.0758✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01856.9614-0.10%62.317+9.29%0.0073✗0.84525k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021109-0.10%0.029+37.25%0.2119✗1.0796k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.6783-0.32%4.8-15.73%0.1887✓0.21291k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.475735-0.41%0.5372+12.46%0.0054✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.466065-0.41%0.553+18.16%0.0616✗1.1111k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5819-0.51%4.095+57.80%0.2878✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.253032-0.58%0.2624+3.10%0.0811✓1.19682k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.016319-0.63%0.018974+15.54%0.0957✗0.56337k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.3972-0.79%8.791+36.34%0.1843✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.9008-0.88%8.259+18.63%0.0477✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.990038-1.10%0.944-5.69%0.2262✓1.81635k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.458742-1.19%0.48293+4.02%0.0196✓0.7255k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.2099-1.23%5.02+54.46%0.3785✗0.70770k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0761-1.30%5.71+38.26%0.2734✗0.65721k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4722.1627-1.37%45.63+103.07%0.6238✗1.00110k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8583.7829-1.43%128.79+51.52%0.3328✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1743-1.44%6.92+31.81%0.1438✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.2056-1.50%1.351+10.38%0.0006✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.074064-1.51%0.0737-1.99%0.1119✓1.0999k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.0926-1.61%2.498+17.44%0.0323✗1.47123k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.194981-1.72%0.2677+34.93%0.1823✗1.373,2022022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.992433-1.74%1.1648+15.33%0.0454✗1.171,6262022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.989861-1.75%1.0662+5.83%0.0485✓1.25252k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6008-1.86%3.02+13.96%0.0058✓1.58255k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5803-1.90%2.06+27.87%0.1667✗1.00180k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.785394-1.94%1.1662+45.61%0.2920✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.100535-2.41%0.08629-16.24%0.2512✓1.00343k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.040398-2.42%0.0454+9.66%0.0082✓1.27134k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.254266-2.58%0.2614+0.15%0.0707✓1.0054k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.6113-2.76%3.0082+12.02%0.0202✓1.644,8022022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.506968-2.79%0.5796+11.14%0.0258✓1.1074k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.707-2.96%5.62+47.12%0.3544✗0.63778k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.9473-3.02%2.141+6.62%0.0378✓1.35997k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.263407-3.16%0.23-15.44%0.2877✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.188812-3.22%0.2282+16.97%0.0389✗1.532,7942022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.070274-3.26%0.08965+23.42%0.1647✗0.802,3812022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.027335-3.44%0.03333+17.73%0.0375✗1.632,0362022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.707408-3.45%0.69895-4.61%0.1749✓1.66108k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.023325-3.61%0.03513+45.17%0.2432✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.550848-3.87%1.899+231.41%1.0702✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0668-4.46%3.05-4.98%0.0437✓0.3982k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.410376-4.50%0.561+30.56%0.2143✗1.00202k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3799-4.84%1.55+6.90%0.0869✗0.30575k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.8412-4.91%21.84+31.09%0.2203✗1.03501k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.608-5.08%4.707+23.84%0.2016✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.484986-5.26%0.42203-17.56%0.2938✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.765428-5.37%0.9875+22.08%0.0939✗1.63160k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.709562-5.52%0.841+11.98%0.0226✓1.503,2002022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3603-5.69%6.031+69.27%0.5270✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.3701-6.05%30.04+83.62%0.5060✗1.67463k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.220823-6.79%0.3126+31.95%0.2492✗1.00440k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.7909-8.01%4.125+35.96%0.3283✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.179423-8.98%0.19653-0.30%0.1994✓2.958572022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.776923-9.55%0.898+4.54%0.0427✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000099325-10.08%0.00009929-10.11%0.1924✓1.95766k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.