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2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1152
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.5%
in alpha space · 26.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000094446-14.50%0.00009929-10.11%0.1420✓1.95766k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.171656-12.92%0.19653-0.30%0.1551✓2.958572022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6614.9904-10.02%21.84+31.09%0.2755✗1.03501k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.682861-9.07%0.841+11.98%0.0610✓1.503,2002022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1271.9553-8.07%2.498+17.44%0.1002✗1.47123k2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.744418-7.97%0.9875+22.08%0.1218✗1.63160k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.8002-7.71%4.125+35.96%0.3250✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.1034-7.68%30.04+83.62%0.5235✗1.67463k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.531429-7.25%1.899+231.41%1.1061✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3115-7.06%6.031+69.27%0.5416✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8579.3128-6.69%128.79+51.52%0.3877✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.477893-6.64%0.42203-17.56%0.2791✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.434496-6.41%0.48293+4.02%0.0347✓0.7255k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.805341-6.25%0.898+4.54%0.0786✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.222872-5.92%0.3126+31.95%0.2399✗1.00440k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.03901-5.77%0.0454+9.66%0.0268✓1.27134k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3685-5.62%1.55+6.90%0.0952✗0.30575k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.022874-5.48%0.03513+45.17%0.2627✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.8983-5.47%2.141+6.62%0.0123✓1.35997k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.953586-5.35%1.0662+5.83%0.0112✓1.25252k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.40902-5.32%0.42996-0.47%0.0729✓1.25155k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.948658-5.23%0.944-5.69%0.1835✓1.81635k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.444025-5.12%0.553+18.16%0.1100✗1.1111k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.695618-5.06%0.69895-4.61%0.1581✓1.66108k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.959097-5.04%1.1648+15.33%0.0795✗1.171,6262022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.398197-4.96%0.4659+11.19%0.0031✓1.63208k2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.089-4.95%5.02+54.46%0.4169✗0.70770k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.6273-4.57%4.707+23.84%0.1963✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.259572-4.57%0.23-15.44%0.2730✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.0649-4.52%3.05-4.98%0.0431✓0.3982k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.6502-4.44%5.62+47.12%0.3698✗0.63778k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.186436-4.44%0.2282+16.97%0.0516✗1.532,7942022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.089178-4.32%0.0896-3.86%0.1245✓1.31179k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.153557-4.27%0.1759+9.66%0.0043✓1.34355k2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.243993-4.13%0.2624+3.10%0.0447✓1.19682k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.047567-4.10%0.0543+9.48%0.0110✓1.23266k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.5762-4.07%3.0082+12.02%0.0066✓1.644,8022022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.5425-4.06%3.02+13.96%0.0169✓1.58255k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.412768-3.94%0.561+30.56%0.2084✗1.00202k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.808184-3.91%1.1739+39.57%0.2890✗0.862472022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.25095-3.85%0.2614+0.15%0.0576✓1.0054k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.069889-3.79%0.08965+23.42%0.1702✗0.802,3812022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011181-3.70%0.00001229+5.86%0.0297✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.020985-3.68%0.023579+8.23%0.0147✓1.048342022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.502945-3.56%0.5796+11.14%0.0338✓1.1074k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,266.70-3.55%11,448.81+76.21%0.4726✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.191363-3.55%0.2677+34.93%0.2010✗1.373,2022022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.470636-3.52%0.6064+24.31%0.1277✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4721.683-3.50%45.63+103.07%0.6456✗1.00110k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.099429-3.49%0.08629-16.24%0.2401✓1.00343k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.07258-3.48%0.0737-1.99%0.0917✓1.0999k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.141099-3.42%0.1804+23.48%0.1197✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.040677-3.34%0.052476+24.70%0.1392✗1.1712k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.1008-3.34%3.2115+47.77%0.3426✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.045454-3.25%0.05269+12.15%0.0547✗0.955,7282022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5594-3.20%2.06+27.87%0.1800✗1.00180k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.462451-3.19%0.5372+12.46%0.0229✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5753.8036-3.18%62.01+11.59%0.0016✓1.4328k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.5157-3.17%4.8-15.73%0.1597✓0.21291k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01420.982089-3.17%1.4281+40.81%0.2379✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.300919-3.16%0.36941+18.88%0.0698✗1.382,7752022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.7732-3.11%3.4773+90.00%0.5911✗0.84954k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.027442-3.07%0.03333+17.73%0.0336✗1.632,0362022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.941616-3.02%1.2133+24.97%0.1081✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.1876-2.97%1.351+10.38%0.0145✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.6884-2.96%2.74+57.47%0.3709✗1.15114k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.01594-2.93%0.018974+15.54%0.1193✗0.56337k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.777598-2.91%1.1662+45.61%0.3019✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.2658-2.83%8.791+36.34%0.2050✗1.365.4M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0134-2.82%5.71+38.26%0.2889✗0.65721k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.1936-2.77%8.84+38.78%0.3068✗0.50872k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8116-2.71%3.99+38.06%0.2409✗1.11560k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.778-2.64%8.259+18.63%0.0657✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.7506-2.55%11.817+31.59%0.1679✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.8221-2.48%10.19+70.69%0.4292✗1.33278k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.543676-2.39%0.697+25.13%0.1115✗1.3999k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.059446-2.36%0.08557+40.56%0.2284✗1.3827k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3302-2.34%2.9+21.54%0.0801✗1.4167k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5353-2.30%4.095+57.80%0.3060✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4383-2.29%1.875+27.38%0.1220✗1.45453k2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.8924-2.29%7.314+46.08%0.2270✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01855.72-2.28%62.317+9.29%0.0293✗0.84525k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3111-2.23%1.438+7.23%0.0424✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.010902-2.23%0.01044-6.37%0.1476✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019106-2.17%0.01763-9.73%0.1550✓0.76414k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.3416-2.14%8.607+32.82%0.1790✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5371-2.09%1.85+17.83%0.0401✗1.48338k2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.11029-2.05%0.1317+16.96%0.0783✗1.017,0862022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6562-1.95%3.052+12.66%0.0225✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.14346-1.94%0.1447-1.09%0.1263✓1.3734k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.889077-1.91%1.0855+19.76%0.0667✗1.35557k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.834787-1.91%1.084+27.38%0.1809✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1326.6142-1.90%31.49+16.07%0.0758✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.5356-1.83%6.04+30.74%0.2217✗0.66836k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.19.9211-1.77%16.74+65.74%0.3808✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006782-1.72%0.0063-8.70%0.1333✓0.61100k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.248382-1.67%0.2733+8.19%0.0170✓1.1463k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.110788-1.65%0.130156+15.54%0.0614✗1.019.3M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.242357-1.64%0.2624+6.49%0.0481✓1.30220k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.316266-1.60%0.3629+12.91%0.0207✗1.199.4M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.112498-1.58%0.1267+10.85%0.0102✓1.10401k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1414.9092-1.52%18.67+23.32%0.0910✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.05179-1.52%0.05725+8.86%0.0364✗0.6515k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9051-1.45%4.04+37.04%0.2535✗0.78622k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.4903-1.45%2.626+3.92%0.0376✓0.92148k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.6725-1.45%3.023+78.14%0.4741✗1.20297k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.685035-1.43%0.835+20.14%0.1073✗0.92419k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.00004104-1.39%0.00004589+10.26%0.0109✓1.252.5M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.688458-1.37%0.894+28.08%0.1319✗1.32172k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.4552-1.36%2.889+16.07%0.0030✓1.6890k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.6509-1.36%19.15+13.45%0.0001✓1.4272k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.068602-1.28%0.070056+0.81%0.0988✓1.222.2M2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002895-1.27%0.003433+17.09%0.0678✗1.041.4M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1848-1.24%6.92+31.81%0.1418✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3753-1.20%1.6087+15.56%0.0252✗1.34727k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.149139-1.17%0.163+8.02%0.0377✓1.29105k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.054783-1.11%0.062+11.91%0.0235✓1.50131k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0292.9961-1.09%4.1656+37.53%0.2201✗1.1132k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.152.532-1.07%64.6+21.66%0.0903✗1.18396k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7947.2913-1.04%56.22+17.64%0.0648✗1.10698k2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.102042-1.03%0.1526+48.01%0.2911✗1.13540k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.044838-1.02%0.0517+14.13%0.0053✓1.3910k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0837.6957-1.01%42.2+10.82%0.0170✓1.3290.8M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.065644-0.99%0.0607-8.45%0.2218✓1.46325k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001212.8726-0.99%19.4666+49.73%0.2947✗1.21316k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.4235-0.98%2.9975+22.47%0.1089✗1.051.3M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.125285-0.96%0.1674+32.33%0.1918✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.7416-0.94%8.73+50.62%0.3041✗1.172.3M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007045-0.92%0.00911+28.13%0.1581✗1.01412k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009053-0.84%0.00837-8.32%0.1724✓0.951.2M2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.000980821-0.80%0.001192+20.58%0.0664✗1.312.6M2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1127-0.78%1.2304+9.71%0.0082✓1.1065k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.287984-0.77%0.33107+14.08%0.0136✗1.28465k2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.052821-0.75%0.11272+111.80%0.6115✗1.49902k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.4037-0.62%0.4704+15.81%0.0175✗1.3895k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.412053-0.61%0.5085+22.65%0.0851✗1.27345k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.6148-0.59%1.894+16.60%0.0342✗1.27582k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.06939-0.59%0.070047+0.36%0.0732✓0.84531k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4407-0.57%2.058+42.03%0.2105✗1.48169k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.287414-0.48%0.3474+20.29%0.0713✗1.203.0M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.4598-0.42%11.72+23.37%0.0992✗1.17316k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021043-0.41%0.029+37.25%0.2150✗1.0796k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.517803-0.38%0.6657+28.07%0.1303✗1.23642k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8515.7901-0.38%38.06+140.13%0.7637✗1.181.8M2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.866731-0.38%0.79-9.20%0.1635✓0.72133k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.9312-0.35%2.385+23.07%0.0878✗1.2540k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.08e-7-0.26%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0028✗0.855.7M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.919.8579-0.21%27.92+40.30%0.1914✗1.5229.2M2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.105328-0.16%0.1491+41.33%0.2151✗1.352.8M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.9106-0.12%1.0843+18.93%0.0715✗1.0597k2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.096726-0.08%0.1545+59.61%0.3896✗0.80167k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004148-0.04%0.00474+14.22%0.0017✓1.37169k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2401+0.01%1.56+25.81%0.0804✓1.52755k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.132986+0.20%0.17585+32.50%0.1193✓1.63186k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2161.3784+0.28%77.53+26.66%0.1018✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,220.77+0.33%1,777.36+46.07%0.2606✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.096935+0.35%0.1199+24.12%0.0780✓1.37701k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.332281+0.37%0.363104+9.68%0.0359✗1.272.3M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.030294+0.41%0.0332+10.04%0.0370✗1.3124k2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9921,681.79+0.45%23,815.65+10.34%0.0045✓1.00493.8M2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.050027+0.46%0.068+36.55%0.1730✓1.36922k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013205+0.66%0.016131+22.97%0.1183✓0.831.4M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.285917+0.67%0.339+19.37%0.0693✓1.03663k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-74.03e-7+0.70%3.37e-7-15.82%0.2880✗1.11566k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,704.54+0.70%23,846.60+10.64%0.0033✓0.9946k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.7132+0.79%10.767+11.73%0.0067✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.3171+0.94%9.276+27.96%0.1143✓1.2511.8M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003473+0.96%0.00377+9.59%0.0533✗1.38670k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.205023+1.10%0.2285+12.67%0.0382✗1.49151k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0682.9942+1.14%102.58+25.01%0.0498✓1.658.5M2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0554.8628+1.50%62.61+15.84%0.0162✓1.1818.8M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.684214+1.52%0.774+14.84%0.0037✓1.22952k2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.699561+1.53%0.767+11.32%0.0645✗1.59222k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94634.0087+1.58%4.9055+24.31%0.1309✓0.721.2M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.053966+1.63%0.0826+55.56%0.3488✓0.78213k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.264363+1.91%0.5111+97.03%0.5436✓1.1831k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29129.776+1.95%167.1+31.28%0.1399✓1.151.3M2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.006042+2.32%0.006716+13.72%0.0080✓0.993,1492022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.084439+2.97%0.1038+26.59%0.0825✓1.267,1372022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36116.7897+4.88%143.54+28.90%0.0942✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.533736+5.59%0.6088+20.44%0.0204✓1.13249k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.