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2022-07-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0521
182 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.2%
in alpha space · 28.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011260.000093636-16.84%0.00010002-11.17%0.0521✓1.95822k2022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.2010.169693-15.58%0.19836-1.31%0.0957✓1.008432022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6515.0208-9.78%21.63+29.91%0.3027✗1.03409k2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7270.661312-9.04%0.802+10.32%0.1026✗1.493,0312022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84030.769786-8.39%0.9885+17.64%0.1514✗1.63127k2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0532.8194-7.65%4.041+32.36%0.3216✗0.643.6M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.1814.0256-7.60%31.73+109.03%0.7155✗1.67463k2022-08-06
OPTIMOptimism0.5770.533808-7.49%1.901+229.46%1.1673✗1.701.5M2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9321.7927-7.21%2.366+22.46%0.1886✗1.47117k2022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5043.2526-7.17%5.583+59.33%0.5046✗0.592.3M2022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.805640.751543-6.71%0.69175-14.14%0.1833✓1.66104k2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1021.9644-6.54%2.119+0.81%0.0060✓1.351.1M2022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.818084-6.50%0.871-0.46%0.0528✓1.9114.7M2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.452680.424607-6.20%0.43078-4.84%0.0614✓1.26155k2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3826-5.95%1.53+4.08%0.0839✗0.29637k2022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02520.023764-5.70%0.03525+39.88%0.2917✗1.7019.6M2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01050.953051-5.69%1.0945+8.31%0.0627✗1.25252k2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum1.0140.956391-5.68%0.923-8.97%0.1452✓1.81718k2022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24580.231836-5.68%0.313+27.34%0.2397✗1.00649k2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.456820.431283-5.59%0.41209-9.79%0.1406✓1.571.6M2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.037312-5.54%0.0444+12.41%0.0973✗1.27168k2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42580.402552-5.46%0.4528+6.34%0.0189✓1.63205k2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10080.095421-5.34%0.0869-13.79%0.1733✓1.32171k2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.077704-5.24%0.071-13.41%0.1561✓1.0994k2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.35790.339318-5.19%–pending––1.006002022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.243.0859-4.76%5.03+55.25%0.4468✗0.69812k2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2750.262234-4.64%0.223-18.91%0.2575✓1.581.1M2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7733.598-4.64%4.656+23.40%0.2185✗0.652.0M2022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.142.9962-4.58%3.1-1.27%0.0264✓1.0078k2022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.853.6768-4.50%5.65+46.75%0.3918✗0.63930k2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04950.047298-4.45%0.0547+10.51%0.0705✗1.24255k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19150.183127-4.37%0.2155+12.53%0.1024✗1.002,7992022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.415540.397455-4.35%0.47249+13.71%0.1298✗0.7156k2022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.572.4606-4.26%3.03+17.90%0.1125✗1.58282k2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.970430.929317-4.24%1.1588+19.41%0.1503✗1.161,9162022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15720.150624-4.18%0.1743+10.88%0.0648✗1.34363k2022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.251343-4.07%0.2613-0.27%0.0216✓1.0065k2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.53982.4379-4.01%3.0029+18.23%0.1087✗1.654,8022022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011310.000010864-3.94%0.00001195+5.66%0.0189✓1.261.1M2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,584.146,332.77-3.82%11,723.93+78.06%0.5361✗1.324.5M2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05051.011-3.76%1.3733+30.73%0.2220✗1.394.5M2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum21.7720.9687-3.68%41.23+89.39%0.6157✗1.0086k2022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071420.06881-3.65%0.07779+8.92%0.0744✗0.802,5182022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5190.501197-3.43%0.5694+9.71%0.0612✗1.1088k2022-08-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7845.5863-3.42%4.95-14.42%0.1336✓0.21291k2022-08-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.561.5068-3.41%2.279+46.09%0.3533✗1.00172k2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.0416320.040228-3.37%0.051804+24.43%0.1817✗1.1814k2022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.182162-3.36%0.2645+40.32%0.2904✗1.373,2472022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum64.3662.208-3.34%120.14+86.67%0.5994✗0.972.2M2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.46590.450324-3.34%0.5841+25.37%0.1829✗1.281.1M2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.47740.461627-3.30%0.5114+7.12%0.0244✓1.2957.5M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.848410.82038-3.30%1.1084+30.64%0.2494✗0.852472022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.30560.295618-3.27%0.36027+17.89%0.1148✗1.372,9402022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08910.086205-3.25%0.0864-3.03%0.0582✓1.00297k2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00440.971938-3.23%1.1291+12.42%0.0603✗1.482.1M2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2831.2417-3.22%1.32+2.88%0.0093✓1.171.8M2022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.6646-3.22%2.51+45.93%0.3416✗1.14125k2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18512.1147-3.22%3.2103+46.92%0.3672✗0.831.4M2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029070.028149-3.17%0.03137+7.91%0.0479✗1.002,1122022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211680.020506-3.13%0.023204+9.62%0.0609✗1.048952022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045610.044211-3.07%0.05523+21.09%0.1654✗0.956,4892022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8421.7855-3.07%3.4478+87.18%0.6073✗0.841.0M2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80890.784348-3.04%1.1668+44.25%0.3334✗1.064.5M2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4030.390802-3.03%0.549+36.23%0.2731✗1.1111k2022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.13560.131566-2.97%0.1805+33.11%0.2389✗1.282.9M2022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6662.5877-2.94%4.274+60.32%0.3950✗1.773.4M2022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025310.024571-2.92%0.02302-9.05%0.1306✓1.0894k2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.369.0898-2.89%10.632+13.59%0.0753✗1.3516.0M2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041370.040185-2.86%0.04651+12.42%0.0867✗0.982,9412022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0156670.015242-2.71%0.020238+29.18%0.2502✗0.55345k2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.0192-2.68%5.75+39.23%0.3191✗0.65742k2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.7918-2.66%10.6+78.15%0.5242✗1.33300k2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.286.1138-2.65%8.88+41.40%0.3432✗0.50883k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4262.3624-2.62%2.76+13.77%0.0701✗1.4168k2022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5560.541647-2.58%0.678+21.94%0.1397✗1.4099k2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.4221.3861-2.52%1.828+28.55%0.1887✗1.46453k2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020470.019957-2.51%0.01771-13.48%0.1653✓0.76414k2022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11170.108923-2.49%0.1298+16.20%0.1142✗1.016,6852022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.822.7501-2.48%3.966+40.64%0.2991✗1.11567k2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1054.9814-2.42%7.264+42.29%0.2700✗1.7716.6M2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8920.870583-2.40%1.178+32.06%0.2527✗0.821.7M2022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058940.057554-2.35%0.08609+46.06%0.3196✗1.3728k2022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86154.5498-2.35%61.424+9.96%0.0680✗0.84627k2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6366.4806-2.34%7.794+17.45%0.1068✗1.2925.4M2022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3321.3015-2.29%1.43+7.36%0.0108✓1.383.3M2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.551.5154-2.23%1.83+18.06%0.0991✗1.48374k2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum27.4326.8223-2.22%30.39+10.79%0.0680✗0.9412.9M2022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4310.2064-2.14%16.93+62.32%0.4184✗1.451.2M2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01110.010867-2.10%0.01006-9.37%0.1415✓1.075.9M2022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.6952.6389-2.08%3.034+12.58%0.0678✗1.191.0M2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0533730.052265-2.08%0.05463+2.36%0.0051✓0.6517k2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.935170.916804-1.96%1.0472+11.98%0.0511✗1.36557k2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.215276-1.92%0.2578+17.45%0.1087✗1.18682k2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2456.1264-1.90%8.285+32.67%0.2210✗1.345.5M2022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.113640.111502-1.88%0.121903+7.27%0.0279✗1.019.3M2022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000043040.000042278-1.77%0.00004474+3.95%0.0187✓1.252.6M2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.0798-1.76%17.94+16.87%0.0913✗1.361.5M2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.735.6309-1.73%8.78+53.23%0.3624✗1.355.4M2022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.574.4913-1.72%6.11+33.70%0.2680✗0.66880k2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6547.8332-1.68%65.05+33.71%0.2220✗1.4127k2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069630.006846-1.67%0.006459-7.24%0.0951✓0.61105k2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05710.056164-1.64%0.0601+5.25%0.0232✓1.50136k2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32240.317225-1.61%0.3492+8.31%0.0240✗1.199.6M2022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24780.24395-1.55%0.2708+9.28%0.0354✗1.1465k2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7110.700027-1.54%0.835+17.44%0.0968✗1.32169k2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative1.6661.6404-1.54%2.57+54.26%0.3767✗1.20297k2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6430.633264-1.51%0.808+25.66%0.1877✗0.93396k2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3922.356-1.51%2.45+2.42%0.0165✓0.92154k2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0706190.069643-1.38%0.068641-2.80%0.0879✓1.222.2M2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum5.245.1686-1.36%6.62+26.34%0.1572✗1.491.5M2022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.99662.9572-1.31%4.1275+37.74%0.2660✗1.1232k2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10730.105892-1.31%0.1212+12.95%0.0681✗1.11401k2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase16.8616.6438-1.28%19.27+14.29%0.0605✗1.4269k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22990.227015-1.26%0.2586+12.48%0.0522✗1.29220k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42171.4044-1.22%1.5589+9.65%0.0246✗1.32728k2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9112.8757-1.21%3.961+36.07%0.2729✗0.78663k2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.10370.102444-1.21%0.1462+40.98%0.2869✗1.14551k2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration52.6852.0804-1.14%66.41+26.06%0.1713✗1.19444k2022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010010.000989554-1.11%0.001117+11.59%0.0413✗1.322.7M2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06250.061813-1.10%0.0604-3.36%0.1108✓1.45325k2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.7324-1.10%9.445+62.96%0.4287✗1.172.3M2022-08-06
DASHDashDash46.0945.5874-1.09%52.57+14.06%0.0760✗1.10698k2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.08691.0751-1.08%1.1937+9.83%0.0379✗1.1159k2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009320.009219-1.08%0.00834-10.52%0.1581✓0.961.2M2022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana38.4338.0166-1.08%40.07+4.27%0.0273✓1.3290.8M2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.044821-1.06%0.0505+11.48%0.0347✗1.4011k2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3812.3566-1.02%2.698+13.31%0.0337✗1.6897k2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.41060.406426-1.02%0.4845+18.00%0.0986✗1.28317k2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.145519-1.01%0.1626+10.61%0.0333✗1.29106k2022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12560.124349-1.00%0.1584+26.11%0.1818✗1.004.0M2022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.291450.288778-0.92%0.31626+8.51%0.0137✗1.28465k2022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002695-0.90%0.003241+19.15%0.1214✗1.041.4M2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41920.415566-0.87%0.4353+3.84%0.0371✓1.3896k2022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47232.4517-0.83%2.9758+20.37%0.1300✗1.061.4M2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05260.052164-0.83%0.08585+63.21%0.4084✗1.49976k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91781.9049-0.68%2.3396+21.99%0.1296✗1.2659k2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.598412.5183-0.64%18.5059+46.89%0.3179✗1.21316k2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.006807-0.63%0.00885+29.20%0.2019✗1.00417k2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.57191.5622-0.62%1.8777+19.45%0.1071✗1.27628k2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.24e-7-0.62%9.70e-7+4.30%0.0035✓0.865.6M2022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28760.285956-0.57%0.3411+18.60%0.1035✗1.213.0M2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.9115.8217-0.56%37.8+137.59%0.7994✗1.181.8M2022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0686330.06826-0.54%0.06951+1.28%0.0327✓0.84531k2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.130215-0.52%0.1385+5.81%0.0208✓1.3632k2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4481.4419-0.42%1.993+37.64%0.2343✗1.48170k2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum98.9682-0.35%11.63+29.22%0.1890✗1.17353k2022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.850.847492-0.30%0.92+8.24%0.0387✗0.72150k2022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.1820.1269-0.26%26.64+32.01%0.1886✗1.5229.4M2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51630.515156-0.22%0.652+26.28%0.1611✗1.23634k2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003991-0.21%0.00468+17.00%0.0761✗1.37167k2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase0.9147280.913202-0.17%1.0463+14.38%0.0728✗1.05100k2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029610.029567-0.15%0.03265+10.27%0.0201✗1.3123k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10020.100173-0.03%0.0774-22.75%0.3069✓0.81180k2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.102655+0.05%0.1278+24.56%0.1377✓1.352.9M2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.181+0.08%1.51+27.97%0.1540✓1.52749k2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3149840.315245+0.08%0.353472+12.22%0.0378✓1.272.2M2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.29036+0.12%0.339+16.90%0.0921✓1.04639k2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.094966+0.28%0.1141+20.49%0.1002✓1.38746k2022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,662.9021,727.81+0.30%23,221.90+7.20%0.0067✓0.9946k2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.04965+0.30%0.0647+30.71%0.1825✓1.36950k2022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132750.133209+0.35%0.16929+27.53%0.1414✓1.63169k2022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,237.131,241.82+0.38%1,690.81+36.67%0.2379✓1.17339.3M2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash59.8360.0972+0.45%67.65+13.07%0.0374✓1.341.8M2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,614.6021,724.99+0.51%22,960.93+6.23%0.0051✗1.00493.8M2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01240.012492+0.74%0.015891+28.15%0.1903✓0.831.4M2022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.37.3693+0.95%8.524+16.77%0.0701✓1.2512.5M2022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.9449.0308+0.97%10.501+17.41%0.0835✓1.113.1M2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.05e-7+0.98%3.37e-7-15.98%0.2505✗1.10590k2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20250.204651+1.06%0.2353+16.20%0.0500✓1.48155k2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25830.261378+1.19%0.4323+67.36%0.4323✓1.1729k2022-08-06
GTGateEthereum4.03254.0861+1.33%4.7775+18.47%0.1128✓0.721.2M2022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003310.003356+1.40%0.0037+11.78%0.0146✓1.37708k2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.676501+1.42%0.749+12.29%0.0285✓1.21952k2022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.054475+1.44%0.0744+38.55%0.2645✓0.78209k2022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1152.9838+1.68%60.84+16.75%0.0672✓1.1818.8M2022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.700883+1.72%0.769+11.61%0.0036✓1.59242k2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero130.4133.113+2.08%160.51+23.09%0.1171✓1.161.3M2022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061190.006264+2.37%0.006324+3.36%0.0511✗1.003,9102022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum71.1272.9375+2.56%99.08+39.31%0.2073✓1.647.7M2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001590.001641+3.20%0.001709+7.48%0.0209✓1.0212k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08020.083136+3.66%0.1014+26.43%0.1226✓1.267,2862022-08-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.48117.022+4.97%141.34+26.79%0.1201✓1.145.7M2022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50720.537253+5.93%0.5729+12.95%0.0041✓1.13212k2022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.