8=======>

2022-07-07 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1568
181 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.9%
in alpha space · 68.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.2010.194449-3.26%0.19987-0.56%0.0290✓1.008432022-07-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.079644-2.87%0.0765-6.71%0.0386✓1.0994k2022-07-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84030.817762-2.68%0.8333-0.83%0.0213✓1.63127k2022-07-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025310.024714-2.35%0.02218-12.37%0.1066✓1.0894k2022-07-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6516.3927-1.55%16.32-1.98%0.0029✓1.03409k2022-07-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011260.000110984-1.43%0.00011005-2.26%0.0055✓1.95822k2022-07-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.1814.9801-1.32%15.45+1.78%0.0334✗1.67463k2022-07-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.805640.797188-1.05%0.74474-7.56%0.0656✓1.66104k2022-07-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7270.719877-0.98%0.706-2.89%0.0172✓1.493,0312022-07-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029070.0288-0.93%0.02882-0.86%0.0022✓1.002,1122022-07-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01051.0015-0.89%0.9456-6.42%0.0556✓1.25252k2022-07-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11170.110813-0.79%0.1096-1.88%0.0095✓1.016,6852022-07-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9321.9174-0.76%2.16+11.80%0.1214✗1.47117k2022-07-08
METISMetisEthereum21.7721.6056-0.76%22.48+3.26%0.0412✗1.0086k2022-07-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10080.100042-0.75%0.0957-5.06%0.0424✓1.32171k2022-07-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8616.7359-0.74%16.6-1.54%0.0060✓1.4269k2022-07-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5043.4786-0.72%3.431-2.08%0.0129✓0.592.3M2022-07-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42580.422795-0.71%0.4174-1.97%0.0104✓1.63205k2022-07-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071420.070918-0.70%0.07124-0.25%0.0057✓0.802,5182022-07-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19150.190254-0.65%0.1878-1.93%0.0115✓1.002,7992022-07-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04950.049187-0.63%0.0491-0.81%0.0001✓1.24255k2022-07-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05051.0439-0.63%1.0101-3.85%0.0309✓1.394.5M2022-07-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0533.0342-0.62%3.005-1.57%0.0087✓0.643.6M2022-07-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061190.006083-0.58%0.005934-3.02%0.0233✓1.003,9102022-07-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.452680.450155-0.56%0.43135-4.71%0.0408✓1.26155k2022-07-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.03928-0.56%0.0392-0.76%0.0001✓1.27168k2022-07-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.1022.0904-0.55%2.011-4.33%0.0367✓1.351.1M2022-07-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0141.0085-0.55%0.999-1.48%0.0067✓1.81718k2022-07-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4481.4401-0.54%1.401-3.25%0.0253✓1.48170k2022-07-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02520.025064-0.54%0.0239-5.16%0.0450✓1.7019.6M2022-07-08
FISStafiEthereum0.35790.356043-0.52%0.2955-17.44%0.1849✓1.006002022-07-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8750.870554-0.51%0.845-3.43%0.0269✓1.9114.7M2022-07-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011310.000011254-0.49%0.00001119-1.06%0.0038✓1.261.1M2022-07-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8920.887643-0.49%0.849-4.82%0.0433✓0.821.7M2022-07-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2831.2768-0.49%1.22-4.91%0.0437✓1.171.8M2022-07-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.561.5525-0.48%1.532-1.79%0.0118✓1.00172k2022-07-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.853.8316-0.48%3.77-2.08%0.0153✓0.63930k2022-07-08
XEMNEMnative0.0416320.041436-0.47%0.0416-0.08%0.0057✗1.1814k2022-07-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5770.574326-0.46%0.565-2.08%0.0138✓1.701.5M2022-07-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132750.132149-0.45%0.12854-3.17%0.0252✓1.63169k2022-07-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4634-0.45%1.52+3.40%0.0383✗0.29637k2022-07-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08910.088716-0.43%0.09793+9.91%0.1003✗1.00297k2022-07-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80890.805425-0.43%0.7754-4.14%0.0364✓1.064.5M2022-07-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058940.058698-0.41%0.06263+6.26%0.0669✗1.3728k2022-07-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.18776-0.39%0.1793-4.88%0.0441✓1.373,2472022-07-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3812.3717-0.39%2.252-5.42%0.0493✓1.6897k2022-07-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7733.7584-0.39%3.754-0.50%0.0002✓0.652.0M2022-07-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.245.2198-0.39%5.16-1.53%0.0093✓1.491.5M2022-07-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.4327.3261-0.38%27.36-0.26%0.0027✓0.9412.9M2022-07-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4030.401503-0.37%0.413+2.48%0.0299✗1.1111k2022-07-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.261064-0.36%0.2616-0.15%0.0036✓1.0065k2022-07-08
HIVEHivenative0.46590.464244-0.36%0.4878+4.70%0.0514✗1.281.1M2022-07-08
QNTQuantEthereum64.3664.1342-0.35%73.15+13.66%0.1330✗0.972.2M2022-07-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01110.011061-0.35%0.01089-1.89%0.0140✓1.075.9M2022-07-08
DODODODOEthereum0.13560.135128-0.35%0.137+1.03%0.0157✗1.282.9M2022-07-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.369.3277-0.35%8.979-4.07%0.0361✓1.3516.0M2022-07-08
XECeCashnative0.000043040.000042892-0.34%0.00004136-3.90%0.0345✓1.252.6M2022-07-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2750.274067-0.34%0.295+7.27%0.0760✗1.581.1M2022-07-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4310.3947-0.34%10.09-3.26%0.0276✓1.451.2M2022-07-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5190.517271-0.33%0.5107-1.60%0.0111✓1.1088k2022-07-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.53982.5314-0.33%2.5773+1.48%0.0204✗1.654,8022022-07-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.24580.245-0.33%0.2359-4.03%0.0363✓1.00649k2022-07-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,584.146,562.71-0.33%6,296.14-4.37%0.0395✓1.324.5M2022-07-08
UNIUniswapEthereum5.735.7114-0.32%5.791+1.06%0.0159✗1.355.4M2022-07-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2456.225-0.32%6.955+11.37%0.1129✗1.345.5M2022-07-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47740.475912-0.31%0.4657-2.45%0.0198✓1.2957.5M2022-07-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5560.554276-0.31%0.534-3.96%0.0352✓1.4099k2022-07-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05710.056925-0.31%0.0539-5.60%0.0523✓1.50136k2022-07-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9318-0.31%5.65-5.04%0.0467✓1.33300k2022-07-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.243.2302-0.30%3.2-1.23%0.0084✓0.69812k2022-07-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020470.020409-0.30%0.02068+1.03%0.0143✗0.76414k2022-07-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00441.0014-0.30%0.9667-3.75%0.0330✓1.482.1M2022-07-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4262.4188-0.30%2.375-2.10%0.0162✓1.4168k2022-07-08
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.27e-7-0.29%9.00e-7-3.23%0.0286✓0.865.6M2022-07-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6662.6584-0.29%2.503-6.11%0.0576✓1.773.4M2022-07-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.822.812-0.28%2.88+2.13%0.0256✗1.11567k2022-07-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.848410.846028-0.28%0.89541+5.54%0.0580✗0.852472022-07-08
DIADIAEthereum0.415540.414388-0.28%0.40138-3.41%0.0308✓0.7156k2022-07-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.935170.932627-0.27%0.8961-4.18%0.0379✓1.36557k2022-07-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.456820.455581-0.27%0.52003+13.84%0.1347✗1.571.6M2022-07-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041370.041259-0.27%–pending––0.982,9412022-07-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.572.5632-0.26%2.59+0.78%0.0128✗1.58282k2022-07-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0706190.070438-0.26%0.068872-2.47%0.0207✓1.222.2M2022-07-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1055.0921-0.25%4.951-3.02%0.0254✓1.7716.6M2022-07-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6548.5301-0.25%47.2-2.98%0.0257✓1.4127k2022-07-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.143.1323-0.24%2.87-8.60%0.0860✓1.0078k2022-07-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7110.709302-0.24%0.692-2.67%0.0227✓1.32169k2022-07-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7159-0.24%1.7-1.16%0.0076✓1.14125k2022-07-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15720.156836-0.23%0.155-1.40%0.0098✓1.34363k2022-07-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.970430.968211-0.23%0.99219+2.24%0.0262✗1.161,9162022-07-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0156670.015632-0.23%0.016479+5.18%0.0536✗0.55345k2022-07-08
XVGVergenative0.003310.003303-0.23%0.00337+1.81%0.0223✗1.37708k2022-07-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.130607-0.22%0.1335+1.99%0.0240✗1.3632k2022-07-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18512.1803-0.22%2.1519-1.52%0.0118✓0.831.4M2022-07-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7845.7718-0.21%5.7-1.45%0.0122✓0.21291k2022-07-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6952.6893-0.21%2.635-2.23%0.0186✓1.191.0M2022-07-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12560.125344-0.20%0.1205-4.06%0.0379✓1.004.0M2022-07-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.1219-0.20%4.09-0.97%0.0068✓0.65742k2022-07-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009320.009302-0.20%0.00914-1.93%0.0161✓0.961.2M2022-07-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9147280.912938-0.20%0.895313-2.12%0.0179✓1.05100k2022-07-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51630.515322-0.19%0.5175+0.23%0.0061✗1.23634k2022-07-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069630.00695-0.19%0.006994+0.45%0.0073✗0.61105k2022-07-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41920.418424-0.19%0.4014-4.25%0.0395✓1.3896k2022-07-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3922.3876-0.18%2.437+1.88%0.0218✗0.92154k2022-07-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4221.4194-0.18%1.419-0.21%0.0019✗1.46453k2022-07-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.181.1779-0.18%1.16-1.69%0.0130✓1.52749k2022-07-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.24780.247351-0.18%0.2516+1.53%0.0187✗1.1465k2022-07-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6366.624-0.18%6.353-4.26%0.0398✓1.2925.4M2022-07-08
XLMStellarStellar0.113640.113436-0.18%0.1132-0.39%0.0006✓1.019.3M2022-07-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029610.029557-0.18%0.02901-2.03%0.0167✓1.3123k2022-07-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.7856-0.18%5.73-1.14%0.0079✓1.172.3M2022-07-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8421.8387-0.18%1.8093-1.78%0.0149✓0.841.0M2022-07-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.42171.4192-0.18%1.3779-3.08%0.0275✓1.32728k2022-07-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.286.269-0.18%6.17-1.75%0.0152✓0.50883k2022-07-08
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.219127-0.17%0.2249+2.46%0.0278✗1.18682k2022-07-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,237.131,235.04-0.17%1,213.19-1.94%0.0161✓1.17339.3M2022-07-08
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.003994-0.16%0.004+0.00%0.0037✗1.37167k2022-07-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.045228-0.16%0.0448-1.10%0.0074✓1.4011k2022-07-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3321.3299-0.16%1.313-1.43%0.0107✓1.383.3M2022-07-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10730.107135-0.15%0.108+0.65%0.0097✗1.11401k2022-07-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.551.5476-0.15%1.52-1.94%0.0158✓1.48374k2022-07-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.30560.305145-0.15%0.30669+0.36%0.0071✗1.372,9402022-07-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.291450.291018-0.15%0.29333+0.65%0.0098✗1.28465k2022-07-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0533730.053294-0.15%0.0521-2.39%0.0217✓0.6517k2022-07-08
QTUMQtumQtum2.99662.9923-0.14%2.9437-1.76%0.0147✓1.1232k2022-07-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045610.045546-0.14%0.04686+2.74%0.0299✗0.956,4892022-07-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.1468-0.14%0.1463-0.48%0.0015✓1.29106k2022-07-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.4338.3789-0.13%38.1-0.86%0.0053✓1.3290.8M2022-07-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.666128-0.13%0.642-3.75%0.0351✓1.21952k2022-07-08
STXStacksnative0.41060.410087-0.12%0.4064-1.02%0.0071✓1.28317k2022-07-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.01e-7-0.12%3.96e-7-1.15%0.0086✓1.10590k2022-07-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.3312-0.12%14.83-3.39%0.0312✓1.361.5M2022-07-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04950.04944-0.12%0.0473-4.44%0.0422✓1.36950k2022-07-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.574.5645-0.12%4.54-0.66%0.0044✓0.66880k2022-07-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32240.322025-0.12%0.3144-2.48%0.0222✓1.199.6M2022-07-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum98.9896-0.12%9.06+0.67%0.0096✗1.17353k2022-07-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,662.9021,638.06-0.11%21,763.70+0.47%0.0073✗0.9946k2022-07-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.1820.1589-0.10%19.7-2.38%0.0208✓1.5229.4M2022-07-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002717-0.10%0.002732+0.44%0.0070✗1.041.4M2022-07-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86155.8061-0.10%56.835+1.74%0.0195✗0.84627k2022-07-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28760.287325-0.10%0.2802-2.57%0.0233✓1.213.0M2022-07-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0211680.021148-0.09%0.021498+1.56%0.0180✗1.048952022-07-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.102504-0.09%0.0993-3.22%0.0297✓1.352.9M2022-07-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47232.4701-0.09%2.4193-2.14%0.0192✓1.061.4M2022-07-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.08691.0859-0.09%1.1082+1.97%0.0220✗1.1159k2022-07-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6430.64244-0.09%0.687+6.84%0.0685✗0.93396k2022-07-08
DASHDashDash46.0946.0526-0.08%45.65-0.95%0.0071✓1.10698k2022-07-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010010.000999908-0.08%0.0009634-3.73%0.0352✓1.322.7M2022-07-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50720.506812-0.08%0.4979-1.83%0.0160✓1.13212k2022-07-08
TRXTRONTron0.0686330.068581-0.08%0.068997+0.53%0.0073✗0.84531k2022-07-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.598412.5899-0.07%12.4403-1.25%0.0101✓1.21316k2022-07-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.006846-0.07%0.00686+0.15%0.0036✗1.00417k2022-07-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10370.103638-0.06%0.1008-2.80%0.0261✓1.14551k2022-07-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22990.229764-0.06%0.2315+0.70%0.0095✗1.29220k2022-07-08
KSMKusamaHydration52.6852.6502-0.06%51.55-2.15%0.0193✓1.19444k2022-07-08
ZECZcashZcash59.8359.7963-0.06%59.43-0.67%0.0041✓1.341.8M2022-07-08
AAVEAaveEthereum71.1271.0809-0.05%71.72+0.84%0.0114✗1.647.7M2022-07-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91781.9168-0.05%1.8913-1.38%0.0115✓1.2659k2022-07-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9112.9095-0.05%2.878-1.13%0.0097✓0.78663k2022-07-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01240.012394-0.05%0.013052+5.26%0.0530✗0.831.4M2022-07-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10020.100149-0.05%0.0933-6.89%0.0696✓0.81180k2022-07-08
XTZTezosTezos1.57191.5712-0.05%1.5279-2.80%0.0260✓1.27628k2022-07-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05260.052582-0.03%0.05087-3.29%0.0309✓1.49976k2022-07-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.289909-0.03%0.284-2.07%0.0190✓1.04639k2022-07-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25830.258223-0.03%0.2601+0.70%0.0090✗1.1729k2022-07-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.9115.9053-0.03%15.56-2.20%0.0202✓1.181.8M2022-07-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1152.0947-0.03%51.31-1.54%0.0134✓1.1818.8M2022-07-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,614.6021,608.55-0.03%21,582.20-0.15%0.0003✓1.00493.8M2022-07-08
KCSKuCoinnative8.9448.9417-0.03%9.144+2.24%0.0240✗1.113.1M2022-07-08
FLOWFlownative1.6661.6656-0.02%1.634-1.92%0.0174✓1.20297k2022-07-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08020.080185-0.02%0.081+1.00%0.0120✗1.267,2862022-07-08
XMRMoneroMonero130.4130.3778-0.02%125.24-3.96%0.0385✓1.161.3M2022-07-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3149840.314936-0.02%0.317081+0.67%0.0087✗1.272.2M2022-07-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06250.062497-0.00%0.0663+6.08%0.0612✗1.45325k2022-07-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20250.202532+0.02%0.1981-2.17%0.0199✗1.48155k2022-07-08
PROPropyEthereum0.850.850143+0.02%0.83-2.35%0.0229✗0.72150k2022-07-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.37.3039+0.05%7.041-3.55%0.0348✗1.2512.5M2022-07-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.094768+0.07%0.0929-1.90%0.0178✗1.38746k2022-07-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05370.053753+0.10%0.0533-0.74%0.0073✗0.78209k2022-07-08
GTGateEthereum4.03254.0371+0.11%3.9299-2.54%0.0258✗0.721.2M2022-07-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.689789+0.11%0.686-0.44%0.0031✗1.59242k2022-07-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.48111.6274+0.13%108.45-2.72%0.0272✗1.145.7M2022-07-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001590.001594+0.28%–pending––1.0212k2022-07-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.