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2022-07-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0910
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.2%
in alpha space · 22.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.240490.19918-17.18%0.19602-18.49%0.1428✓1.008412022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.00011220.000093708-16.48%0.00010097-10.01%0.1693✓1.92920k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2515.4219-10.60%21.35+23.77%0.1905✗1.06336k2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6940.627295-9.61%0.824+18.73%0.0817✓1.512,9032022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09490.086732-8.61%0.0689-27.40%0.3788✓1.1794k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.79990.740606-7.41%0.9869+23.38%0.0779✗1.65101k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9552.7483-6.99%3.911+32.35%0.2714✗0.643.6M2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4493.2151-6.78%5.341+54.86%0.4307✗0.612.6M2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.0841.9453-6.66%2.195+5.33%0.0554✓1.391.1M2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44970.420115-6.58%0.4587+2.00%0.1267✓1.69205k2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8261.7063-6.55%2.333+27.77%0.1240✗1.49127k2022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism0.5430.509348-6.20%1.946+258.38%1.1224✗1.721.6M2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.441390.414231-6.15%0.42676-3.31%0.1322✓1.28155k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.3893-6.13%1.58+6.76%0.0899✗0.30648k2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8490.797366-6.08%0.875+3.06%0.1553✓1.9615.6M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.0020.944435-5.75%1.0748+7.27%0.0331✓1.28252k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025120.023694-5.68%0.03628+44.43%0.2057✗1.7421.5M2022-08-05
FISStafiEthereum0.35930.339674-5.46%0.3903+8.63%0.0121✓1.006412022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09910.093775-5.37%0.0907-8.48%0.2039✓1.34171k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.25040.236958-5.37%0.3054+21.96%0.1269✗1.00650k2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9650.914016-5.28%0.939-2.69%0.2057✓1.83774k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.7020.665543-5.19%0.69514-0.98%0.1647✓1.6499k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.441920.419757-5.02%0.42795-3.16%0.1829✓1.591.8M2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03710.035291-4.88%0.0451+21.56%0.0828✗1.28168k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18160.172952-4.76%0.2201+21.20%0.1142✗1.002,7282022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.911.3389-4.71%32.59+173.87%0.8510✗1.61463k2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.26872-4.71%0.228-19.15%0.3710✓1.631.1M2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.843.6595-4.70%5.69+48.18%0.3605✗0.641.0M2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.713.5444-4.46%4.72+27.22%0.2024✗0.662.2M2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.9052-4.44%3.17+4.28%0.0396✓1.0082k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.250193-4.25%0.2615+0.08%0.0826✓1.0067k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.193.0552-4.23%5.02+57.37%0.4078✗0.70846k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.045505-4.20%0.0559+17.68%0.0462✗1.26255k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4982.3952-4.12%3.1425+25.80%0.0575✗1.695,9182022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.512.4074-4.09%3.17+26.29%0.0706✗1.61298k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.394340.379255-3.83%0.47865+21.38%0.1427✗0.7157k2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15260.146834-3.78%0.1787+17.10%0.0230✓1.37437k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.4671.4116-3.78%3.073+109.48%0.6511✗1.00167k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.18660.179719-3.69%0.2306+23.58%0.0728✗1.393,3092022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028860.027796-3.69%0.03111+7.80%0.0142✓1.002,0362022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.94080.906218-3.68%1.1532+22.58%0.0918✗1.182,3312022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070490.067941-3.62%0.07814+10.85%0.0349✓0.832,3812022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.01390.978078-3.53%1.1864+17.01%0.0007✓1.522.2M2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80465.6058-3.42%4.9519-14.69%0.1513✓0.22291k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2611.218-3.41%1.35+7.06%0.0497✓1.201.7M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50930.492085-3.38%0.5966+17.14%0.0658✗1.0093k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,308.796,096.04-3.37%12,281.30+94.67%0.5318✗1.334.5M2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.45550.440296-3.34%0.5908+29.70%0.1293✗1.301.1M2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.46190.447083-3.21%0.5176+12.06%0.0194✓1.3162.0M2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160490.015542-3.16%0.020288+26.41%0.1936✗0.57357k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.0407620.039495-3.11%0.052815+29.57%0.1388✗1.2014k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum61.9760.0445-3.11%107.26+73.08%0.4558✗0.982.2M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79611.7407-3.08%3.4602+92.65%0.5803✗0.841.1M2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.298480.289275-3.08%0.3677+23.19%0.0633✗1.393,1392022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3930.3809-3.08%0.57+45.04%0.2607✗1.1211k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206570.020024-3.06%0.023038+11.53%0.0066✓1.059552022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75810.735035-3.04%1.1895+56.91%0.3464✗1.064.0M2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044410.043073-3.01%0.05101+14.86%0.0480✗0.957,5132022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12142.0579-3.00%3.2379+52.63%0.3457✗0.851.5M2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.13350.129527-2.98%0.1844+38.13%0.1878✗1.302.9M2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum1.661.611-2.95%2.51+51.20%0.2991✗1.14133k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010470.000010162-2.94%0.00001212+15.76%0.0164✓1.261.0M2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040920.039755-2.85%0.04533+10.78%0.0040✓1.003,1732022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.960.932714-2.84%1.4417+50.18%0.2588✗1.394.4M2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8850.860316-2.79%1.159+30.96%0.1906✗0.851.6M2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0781-2.75%8.9+42.40%0.3175✗0.50910k2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9494-2.72%5.7+40.39%0.2839✗0.65916k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02040.019859-2.65%0.01819-10.83%0.1855✓0.77417k2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6122.5435-2.62%4.061+55.47%0.2390✗1.803.7M2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.8868.6602-2.54%10.966+23.41%0.0645✗1.3516.6M2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.540.527016-2.40%0.708+31.11%0.1156✗1.4299k2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.778160.759516-2.40%1.0569+35.82%0.2256✗0.832702022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.63653.3284-2.39%62.05+13.57%0.0435✗0.85756k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0144.8975-2.32%7.573+51.04%0.2069✗1.8116.6M2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.726-2.29%4.154+48.89%0.2780✗1.13577k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.2610.0251-2.29%17.22+67.84%0.3525✗1.491.2M2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3165-2.27%1.831+35.93%0.1434✗1.47471k2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2972.2455-2.24%2.845+23.86%0.0557✗1.4367k2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.645.5141-2.23%10.63+88.48%0.4866✗1.34323k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3276.1885-2.19%7.878+24.51%0.0772✗1.2926.6M2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.21510.210437-2.17%0.2623+21.94%0.0678✗1.20695k2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042620.000041719-2.11%0.00004553+6.83%0.0731✓1.272.6M2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2611.2351-2.06%1.432+13.56%0.0287✓1.393.3M2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055720.05462-1.97%0.0866+55.42%0.2869✗1.3728k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.05170.050683-1.97%0.055256+6.88%0.0038✓0.6519k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.914590.89705-1.92%1.0756+17.60%0.0067✓1.38586k2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.6422.5914-1.91%3.047+15.33%0.0089✓1.211.0M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1092830.107222-1.89%0.118541+8.47%0.0294✓1.029.5M2022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.394-1.89%2.47+1.23%0.0890✓0.95157k2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.54.4155-1.88%6.06+34.67%0.2327✗0.66914k2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10610.104111-1.88%0.1296+22.15%0.0911✗1.016,3732022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4334-1.82%1.77+21.23%0.0216✗1.49386k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010250.010068-1.78%0.0103+0.49%0.1127✓1.075.9M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.2825.8281-1.72%30.76+17.05%0.0552✗0.9412.9M2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.305535-1.63%0.3589+15.55%0.0083✓1.209.6M2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7714.5301-1.62%18.43+24.78%0.0626✗1.381.5M2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069250.006815-1.58%0.006749-2.54%0.0887✓0.62114k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10610.104434-1.57%0.1255+18.28%0.0419✗1.12437k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6240.614575-1.51%0.833+33.49%0.1855✗0.93412k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative1.61.576-1.50%2.732+70.75%0.3970✗1.21304k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.24290.239281-1.49%0.2713+11.69%0.0213✓1.1671k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6245.5469-1.37%8.382+49.04%0.2446✗1.335.5M2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.832.7923-1.33%3.946+39.43%0.2454✗0.79742k2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum2.87732.8391-1.33%4.0794+41.78%0.2195✗1.1332k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.053492-1.31%0.061+12.55%0.0610✓1.52136k2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39261.3745-1.30%1.6+14.89%0.0139✓1.31750k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0685160.067633-1.29%0.069799+1.87%0.1242✓1.232.1M2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3425.274-1.27%8.972+67.95%0.3588✗1.365.5M2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum5.064.9996-1.19%6.65+31.42%0.0928✗1.521.5M2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6720.66415-1.17%0.848+26.19%0.0769✗1.32169k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.2550.6558-1.16%63.5+23.90%0.0736✗1.20472k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.2649-1.14%2.752+20.12%0.0214✓1.7097k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060021-1.12%0.0624+2.80%0.1471✓1.47329k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum4645.5194-1.04%61.31+33.28%0.1183✗1.4128k2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.0591.0479-1.04%1.196+12.94%0.0103✓1.1259k2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22320.220882-1.04%0.2612+17.03%0.0019✓1.31233k2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5595.5016-1.03%8.341+50.04%0.2669✗1.182.3M2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.09960.098598-1.01%0.1459+46.49%0.2463✗1.15560k2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.009039-1.00%0.00843-7.67%0.1925✓0.971.2M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.281130.278436-0.96%0.32566+15.84%0.0069✓1.29467k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14280.141448-0.95%0.164+14.85%0.0181✓1.31112k2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase15.2915.1459-0.94%18.43+20.54%0.0164✗1.4267k2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.422.3973-0.94%3.0096+24.36%0.0917✗1.071.5M2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002720.002695-0.93%0.003213+18.12%0.0404✗1.071.4M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051580.051101-0.93%0.08336+61.61%0.2979✗1.511.0M2022-08-05
DASHDashDash44.243.7935-0.92%52.4+18.55%0.0388✗1.11739k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana37.0136.6724-0.91%40.54+9.54%0.0695✓1.3492.9M2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40740.403781-0.89%0.438+7.51%0.0966✓1.4096k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095920.000950809-0.87%0.001125+17.32%0.0005✓1.332.8M2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.115869-0.80%0.1507+29.02%0.1362✗1.004.0M2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.54331.5317-0.75%1.8665+20.94%0.0332✗1.30654k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3771.3673-0.71%2.025+47.06%0.2039✗1.49169k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1815.0763-0.68%38.27+152.11%0.7802✗1.192.0M2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0675040.067046-0.68%0.069837+3.46%0.0679✓0.86546k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.042723-0.65%0.0495+15.12%0.0303✓1.4011k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.850.844808-0.61%0.74-12.94%0.2259✓0.74152k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.3980.395805-0.55%0.4918+23.57%0.0534✗1.29318k2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27550.274075-0.52%0.3403+23.52%0.0622✗1.223.0M2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9111820.906947-0.46%1.0527+15.53%0.0138✗1.07100k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83761.8293-0.45%2.3513+27.95%0.0901✗1.2760k2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.003870.003853-0.44%0.0047+21.45%0.0219✗1.39167k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12510.124631-0.38%0.1383+10.55%0.0707✓1.3832k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.30%9.80e-7+12.64%0.0145✗0.855.5M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006680.006661-0.29%0.00904+35.33%0.1770✗1.01417k2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.698.6652-0.29%12.03+38.43%0.1776✗1.19374k2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.311112.2803-0.25%15.3166+24.41%0.0657✗1.22316k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50550.5043-0.24%0.6718+32.90%0.1280✗1.25634k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019580.019537-0.22%0.02241+14.45%0.0107✗1.0094k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.149-0.09%1.51+31.30%0.0774✗1.54749k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3076780.307421-0.08%0.358859+16.63%0.0071✓1.282.2M2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1519.1419-0.04%24.97+30.39%0.0722✗1.5330.2M2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2830.28298-0.01%0.337+19.08%0.0428✗1.04639k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09270.092817+0.13%0.0739-20.28%0.3286✗0.79183k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028340.028377+0.13%0.03358+18.49%0.0006✓1.3224k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,185.611,187.53+0.16%1,736.79+46.49%0.2313✓1.17339.3M2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09860.098764+0.17%0.131+32.86%0.1095✓1.362.9M2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.093065+0.29%0.1139+22.74%0.0233✓1.41762k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0470.047145+0.31%0.0674+43.40%0.1829✓1.381.0M2022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12610.126527+0.34%0.17777+40.98%0.1323✓1.64169k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash58.1658.3779+0.37%69.15+18.90%0.0027✓1.361.9M2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,542.6720,651.03+0.53%23,320.81+13.52%0.0053✗1.00493.8M2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.79e-73.81e-7+0.66%3.48e-7-8.12%0.2301✗1.09590k2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120590.012145+0.71%0.016324+35.37%0.1893✓0.841.5M2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative8.9799.0455+0.74%10.44+16.27%0.0012✓1.143.1M2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,413.5020,572.67+0.78%23,205.30+13.68%0.0046✓0.9943k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6370.642525+0.87%0.753+18.21%0.0043✓1.22952k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25980.262341+0.98%0.4379+68.55%0.3577✓1.2227k2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9156.9996+1.22%8.81+27.40%0.0709✓1.2512.9M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19060.193135+1.33%0.2419+26.92%0.0388✓1.47155k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.01424.0697+1.38%4.7375+18.02%0.0587✓0.731.2M2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6770.687026+1.48%0.758+11.96%0.1076✗1.62242k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.003138+1.54%0.00385+24.60%0.0306✓1.37664k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05110.051916+1.60%0.0745+45.79%0.2629✓0.77213k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.2951.184+1.78%62.49+24.26%0.0490✓1.1918.8M2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060970.006215+1.93%0.006334+3.88%0.1106✗1.023,9102022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero125.33127.9442+2.09%161.87+29.16%0.0866✓1.171.4M2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum62.9465.0869+3.41%103.27+64.08%0.2547✓1.637.6M2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07570.078476+3.67%0.1005+32.76%0.0881✓1.267,2862022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015880.00166+4.52%0.001677+5.60%0.1205✗1.0312k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.86111.149+5.00%141.93+34.07%0.1000✓1.146.0M2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4920.521003+5.89%0.5836+18.62%0.0308✓1.14208k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.