8=======>

2022-07-05 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0194
180 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-19.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.6%
in alpha space · 25.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.022920.00307-86.61%1.0192+4346.77%5.6944✗0.9689k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000116350.000095699-17.75%0.00009925-14.70%0.1855✓1.92951k2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.915.8756-11.31%21.62+20.78%0.1847✗1.07267k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.147960.1333-9.91%0.18887+27.65%0.2328✗1.008392022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6750.616426-8.68%0.786+16.44%0.0686✓1.512,8402022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum2.1251.9739-7.11%2.223+4.61%0.0416✓1.391.1M2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04070.967325-7.05%1.0339-0.65%0.0833✓1.30240k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.851.7204-7.01%2.252+21.73%0.0956✗1.50115k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.739-6.71%3.844+30.93%0.2643✗0.654.1M2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08170.076331-6.57%0.0667-18.36%0.2676✓1.1594k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440140.411868-6.42%0.40433-8.14%0.1672✓1.29155k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4147-6.31%1.58+4.64%0.0739✗0.32648k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3073.1073-6.04%5.156+55.91%0.4361✗0.612.6M2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8390.789479-5.90%0.846+0.83%0.1585✓1.9716.4M2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism0.5240.494051-5.72%1.918+266.03%1.1581✗1.711.6M2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024450.023105-5.50%0.03497+43.03%0.2130✗1.7423.0M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.24830.235473-5.17%0.302+21.63%0.1332✗1.00651k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.439360.418033-4.85%0.41954-4.51%0.1814✓1.601.9M2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03640.034664-4.77%0.0421+15.66%0.0458✓1.28168k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2860.272433-4.74%0.218-23.78%0.4130✓1.641.2M2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.320.304996-4.69%–pending––1.008122022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17920.170887-4.64%0.1995+11.33%0.0392✓1.002,7992022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9030.861884-4.55%0.909+0.66%0.1579✓1.83813k2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.73.5361-4.43%5.59+51.08%0.3846✗0.631.0M2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.683.518-4.40%4.616+25.43%0.1945✗0.672.2M2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.638010.610214-4.36%0.66591+4.37%0.1013✓1.6399k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26190.250592-4.32%0.2611-0.31%0.0746✓1.0067k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.012.8813-4.28%3.09+2.66%0.0457✓1.0086k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.0867-4.09%0.0854-5.53%0.1699✓1.34171k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54752.4452-4.02%3.1854+25.04%0.0675✗1.708,1182022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.4091.3525-4.01%1.814+28.74%0.1779✗1.00150k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.044262-3.99%0.0537+16.49%0.0446✗1.29253k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.18530.177946-3.97%0.2175+17.38%0.0396✓1.393,3092022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.1110.6713-3.95%27.99+151.94%0.7780✗1.61463k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3821-3.95%3.12+25.81%0.0823✗1.62301k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38050.365868-3.85%0.4388+15.32%0.0114✓1.67202k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024470.02353-3.84%0.03038+24.15%0.1399✗1.001,9592022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.112.9909-3.83%4.83+55.31%0.3984✗0.70904k2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.380980.367634-3.50%0.45707+19.97%0.1361✗0.7162k2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98950.955227-3.46%1.1273+13.93%0.0105✓1.522.4M2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14790.142872-3.40%0.1642+11.02%0.0192✓1.37514k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.73255.5464-3.25%5-12.78%0.1285✓0.21312k2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48240.466981-3.20%0.5677+17.68%0.0797✗1.0089k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066780.06467-3.16%0.07693+15.20%0.0797✗0.812,3072022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1841.1469-3.13%1.297+9.54%0.0149✓1.191.7M2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.913310.88491-3.11%1.1129+21.86%0.0930✗1.182,3312022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74920.726024-3.09%1.1853+58.21%0.3665✗1.074.0M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76421.7096-3.09%3.3721+91.14%0.5813✗0.851.2M2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.45670.442612-3.08%0.4997+9.42%0.0306✓1.3163.0M2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.44180.428253-3.07%0.5813+31.58%0.1552✗1.301.2M2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157980.015315-3.06%0.020525+29.92%0.2266✗0.57366k2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205980.019969-3.06%0.022448+8.98%0.0058✓1.061,2032022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3940.381997-3.05%0.558+41.62%0.2481✗1.1311k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,140.605,954.96-3.02%10,646.82+73.38%0.4277✗1.334.5M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.298010.289174-2.97%0.36281+21.74%0.0648✗1.403,3372022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043960.04269-2.89%0.0491+11.69%0.0289✓0.967,9572022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.07872.0188-2.88%3.1416+51.13%0.3428✗0.861.6M2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010320.000010023-2.88%0.00001185+14.83%0.0214✓1.261.0M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9437-2.86%5.54+36.45%0.2641✗0.661.1M2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0403190.039172-2.85%0.05021+24.53%0.1093✗1.2015k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95430.927437-2.81%1.3286+39.22%0.1978✗1.404.3M2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6492.5754-2.78%3.777+42.58%0.1726✗1.823.7M2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum59.7158.066-2.75%103.74+73.74%0.4671✗0.982.2M2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041120.040005-2.71%0.04386+6.66%0.0252✓1.013,1732022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.918.6687-2.71%10.359+16.26%0.0208✓1.3616.0M2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020340.019794-2.69%0.01758-13.57%0.2077✓0.77417k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.125.9568-2.67%8.75+42.97%0.3263✗0.50960k2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.787620.766931-2.63%1.0505+33.37%0.2172✗0.842702022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum1.591.5502-2.50%2.48+55.97%0.3385✗1.14140k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.118985-2.39%0.1729+41.84%0.2241✗1.292.9M2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9114.7988-2.28%7.437+51.44%0.2285✗1.8116.0M2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.21360.208761-2.27%0.2522+18.07%0.0497✗1.21701k2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.11652.928-2.20%60.269+11.37%0.0313✗0.85873k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5360.524347-2.17%0.686+27.99%0.1036✗1.43109k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057040.055805-2.16%0.08615+51.03%0.2748✗1.3828k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.2964-2.16%1.755+32.45%0.1324✗1.47471k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3056.1719-2.11%7.364+16.80%0.0263✗1.3027.1M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2521.2261-2.07%1.399+11.74%0.0300✓1.403.6M2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000041560.000040731-2.00%0.00004294+3.32%0.0940✓1.272.6M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.766289-1.88%1.214+55.44%0.3631✗0.841.6M2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.3576-1.86%5.82+31.08%0.2125✗0.67939k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1077690.105787-1.84%0.113921+5.71%0.0448✓1.039.7M2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.6332.585-1.82%2.982+13.25%0.0021✓1.221.0M2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0510.050078-1.81%0.054264+6.40%0.0049✓0.6521k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.553-1.81%3.982+53.15%0.3149✗1.12577k2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.39.1332-1.79%15.86+70.54%0.3814✗1.471.2M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873770.858601-1.74%0.99245+13.58%0.0144✓1.38611k2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2212.1827-1.72%2.728+22.83%0.0578✗1.4368k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4058-1.69%1.7+18.88%0.0168✓1.50386k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30750.30236-1.67%0.3361+9.30%0.0341✓1.2110.0M2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068660.006753-1.65%0.0067-2.42%0.0799✓0.62114k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.315.2228-1.64%9.2+73.26%0.4125✗1.33300k2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.6021.5761-1.62%2.6+62.30%0.3601✗1.21304k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009880.009731-1.51%0.00979-0.91%0.1163✓1.066.2M2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6210.611876-1.47%0.799+28.66%0.1581✗0.94412k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum2.86132.8193-1.47%3.9592+38.37%0.2084✗1.1332k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.2578-1.47%17.75+22.67%0.0592✗1.381.5M2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.24010.23662-1.45%0.2606+8.54%0.0379✓1.1678k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10390.102414-1.43%0.1168+12.42%0.0019✓1.12478k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8282.7876-1.43%3.83+35.43%0.2255✗0.80841k2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2955.2235-1.35%8.819+66.55%0.3655✗1.375.5M2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37421.3557-1.34%1.502+9.30%0.0498✓1.32767k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10370.102341-1.31%0.1269+22.37%0.0983✗1.016,3732022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5045.4333-1.28%7.98+44.99%0.2307✗1.335.7M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum46.746.1423-1.19%56+19.91%0.0288✗1.4328k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.1624.8725-1.14%29.14+15.82%0.0498✗0.9412.9M2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067030.066265-1.14%0.067353+0.48%0.1259✓1.232.1M2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.052608-1.11%0.0593+11.47%0.0561✓1.52146k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3262.3003-1.10%2.415+3.83%0.0618✓0.96157k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4152.3892-1.07%2.9175+20.81%0.0755✗1.071.6M2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.349.773-1.05%61.12+21.51%0.0660✗1.21505k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4795.4228-1.03%8.092+47.69%0.2638✗1.182.3M2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.03871.0281-1.03%1.1502+10.73%0.0181✓1.1354k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22310.220821-1.02%0.2485+11.39%0.0339✓1.31236k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05980.059203-1.00%0.0616+3.01%0.1303✓1.47367k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40410.400183-0.97%0.4162+2.99%0.1239✓1.41101k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.650.643767-0.96%0.782+20.31%0.0405✗1.33178k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14310.141793-0.91%0.1561+9.08%0.0567✓1.32120k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0681290.067547-0.85%0.068981+1.25%0.0790✓0.86627k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.09860.09777-0.84%0.1447+46.75%0.2585✗1.15566k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009550.000947055-0.83%0.001089+14.00%0.0158✓1.342.9M2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.8903-0.81%6.43+30.43%0.0977✗1.521.5M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.009110.009038-0.80%0.00822-9.77%0.2071✓0.971.2M2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase14.614.4845-0.79%17.32+18.63%0.0149✗1.4267k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049630.049243-0.78%0.0809+63.01%0.3223✗1.511.1M2022-08-04
DASHDashDash43.1342.7964-0.77%49.4+14.54%0.0152✗1.11739k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1042.088-0.76%2.596+23.38%0.0223✗1.69101k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11490.114084-0.71%0.1392+21.15%0.0831✗1.004.0M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.9114.8164-0.63%34.8+133.40%0.7144✗1.212.0M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana35.3735.1594-0.60%38.82+9.75%0.0557✓1.3495.5M2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025870.002572-0.57%0.003069+18.63%0.0540✗1.061.4M2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12610.125442-0.52%0.1347+6.82%0.0893✓1.3933k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.258130.256851-0.50%0.31338+21.40%0.0515✗1.28480k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27130.270046-0.46%0.3306+21.86%0.0611✗1.223.1M2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.830.826244-0.45%0.74-10.84%0.1951✓0.73155k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042328-0.40%0.0482+13.41%0.0335✓1.4112k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.40070.399135-0.39%0.4737+18.22%0.0211✗1.30341k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2911.2862-0.37%1.967+52.36%0.2537✗1.48169k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.36%9.60e-7+10.34%0.0035✓0.855.5M2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019560.019505-0.28%0.02113+8.03%0.0358✓1.0096k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80841.8048-0.20%2.1899+21.10%0.0462✗1.2762k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.46571.4629-0.19%1.8249+24.51%0.0716✗1.29654k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003783-0.17%0.00454+19.79%0.0204✗1.40169k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48740.48689-0.10%0.5965+22.38%0.0583✗1.25634k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3011210.300827-0.10%0.340211+12.98%0.0252✓1.282.3M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.358.3441-0.07%11.07+32.57%0.1454✗1.19374k2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09730.097252-0.05%0.0731-24.87%0.3796✓0.81185k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase12.036512.0328-0.03%14.6359+21.60%0.0539✗1.23316k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2790.278922-0.03%0.333+19.35%0.0571✗1.04704k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006589-0.02%0.009+36.57%0.1949✗1.01417k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.8360410.837087+0.13%1.0151+21.42%0.0710✓1.0597k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,131.261,133.19+0.17%1,608.16+42.16%0.2148✓1.17342.2M2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046692+0.20%0.063+35.19%0.1397✓1.381.1M2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.081.083+0.27%1.47+36.11%0.1277✓1.54749k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26580.266588+0.30%0.329+23.78%0.0690✓1.2227k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.0930.093284+0.31%0.1096+17.85%0.0036✗1.42762k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09650.096797+0.31%0.1202+24.56%0.0584✓1.373.0M2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0318.0922+0.34%23.37+29.62%0.0797✓1.5230.5M2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash57.0557.2485+0.35%64.38+12.85%0.0403✗1.361.9M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.02760.027714+0.41%0.03231+17.07%0.0000✓1.3326k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120550.121213+0.55%0.16+32.73%0.0881✓1.64169k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,153.5120,272.44+0.59%22,623.94+12.26%0.0059✓1.00500.8M2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119420.01204+0.82%0.015595+30.59%0.1614✓0.841.6M2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative8.8218.9012+0.91%10.035+13.76%0.0122✗1.143.1M2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.46e-73.49e-7+0.99%3.56e-7+3.00%0.1049✗1.08598k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.608276+1.04%0.738+22.59%0.0537✓1.21952k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8456.9224+1.13%8.092+18.22%0.0105✓1.2613.1M2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,328.4020,561.75+1.15%22,495.20+10.66%0.0243✗0.9943k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19430.196803+1.29%0.2263+16.47%0.0308✗1.47155k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.05294.1082+1.36%4.55+12.27%0.0163✓0.741.2M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6740.683988+1.48%0.727+7.86%0.1282✗1.64242k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061870.006279+1.48%0.006146-0.66%0.1404✗1.033,9102022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05070.051601+1.78%0.0733+44.58%0.2613✓0.78217k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.6550.5513+1.82%59.65+20.14%0.0279✓1.1918.8M2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003030.003088+1.90%0.00377+24.42%0.0407✓1.38664k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero122.3124.8593+2.09%159.25+30.21%0.1072✓1.181.3M2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07440.077107+3.64%0.0975+31.05%0.0895✓1.267,1822022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum60.5762.8083+3.70%96.34+59.06%0.2388✓1.637.7M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.95109.1398+4.99%134.34+29.24%0.0759✓1.146.0M2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001610.001695+5.28%0.001657+2.92%0.1427✗1.0412k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48720.515562+5.82%0.5454+11.95%0.0757✗1.14203k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.