8=======>

2022-07-05 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0044
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-21.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.5%
in alpha space · 24.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.022920.018396-19.74%0.7999+3389.97%3.7540✗0.9689k2022-07-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08170.078588-3.81%0.0949+16.16%0.1667✗1.1594k2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.917.5244-2.10%17.25-3.63%0.0363✓1.07267k2022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04071.0212-1.88%1.002-3.72%0.0438✓1.30240k2022-07-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000116350.000114448-1.63%0.0001122-3.57%0.0565✓1.92951k2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.851.8275-1.21%1.826-1.30%0.0296✓1.50115k2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6750.668214-1.01%0.694+2.81%0.0090✓1.512,8402022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1252.1075-0.82%2.084-1.93%0.0378✓1.391.1M2022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440140.436567-0.81%0.44139+0.28%0.0136✓1.29155k2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95430.946689-0.80%0.96+0.60%0.0128✓1.404.3M2022-07-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.147960.146873-0.73%0.24049+62.54%0.4740✗1.008392022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0403190.040068-0.62%0.040762+1.10%0.0058✓1.2015k2022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061870.00615-0.59%0.006097-1.45%0.0284✓1.033,9102022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3073.2885-0.56%3.449+4.29%0.0360✗0.612.6M2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.73.6795-0.55%3.84+3.78%0.0306✗0.631.0M2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024450.024323-0.52%0.02512+2.74%0.0011✓1.7423.0M2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.5022-0.52%1.48-1.99%0.0209✓0.32648k2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.18530.184375-0.50%0.1866+0.70%0.0147✓1.393,3092022-07-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066780.066451-0.49%0.07049+5.56%0.0435✗0.812,3072022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.089965-0.48%0.0991+9.62%0.0711✗1.34171k2022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2860.284685-0.46%0.282-1.40%0.0409✓1.641.2M2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041120.040939-0.44%0.04092-0.49%0.0198✓1.013,1732022-07-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26190.260759-0.44%0.2613-0.23%0.0171✓1.0067k2022-07-06
FISStafiEthereum0.320.318624-0.43%0.3593+12.28%0.1010✗1.008122022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5360.533766-0.42%0.54+0.75%0.0157✓1.43109k2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9030.899246-0.42%0.965+6.87%0.0356✗1.83813k2022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000041560.000041389-0.41%0.00004262+2.55%0.0050✗1.272.6M2022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020340.020256-0.41%0.0204+0.29%0.0077✓0.77417k2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.045914-0.40%0.0475+3.04%0.0094✗1.29253k2022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.9242-0.40%2.955+0.65%0.0019✓0.654.1M2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1841.1793-0.40%1.261+6.50%0.0442✗1.191.7M2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98950.985771-0.38%1.0139+2.47%0.0010✓1.522.4M2022-07-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.4091.4038-0.37%1.467+4.12%0.0249✗1.00150k2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8390.836018-0.36%0.849+1.19%0.0222✓1.9716.4M2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.683.6671-0.35%3.71+0.82%0.0011✓0.672.2M2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.918.8787-0.35%8.886-0.27%0.0252✓1.3616.0M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74920.746709-0.33%0.7581+1.19%0.0053✓1.074.0M2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.1111.0732-0.33%11.9+7.11%0.0412✗1.61463k2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6492.6404-0.33%2.612-1.40%0.0456✓1.823.7M2022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.44180.440364-0.33%0.4555+3.10%0.0089✗1.301.2M2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9141-0.32%5.06+2.64%0.0001✓1.521.5M2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum59.7159.5266-0.31%61.97+3.78%0.0215✗0.982.2M2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03640.036289-0.31%0.0371+1.92%0.0025✓1.28168k2022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157980.015751-0.30%0.016049+1.59%0.0078✗0.57366k2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38050.379414-0.29%0.4497+18.19%0.1380✗1.67202k2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.638010.636189-0.29%0.702+10.03%0.0672✗1.6399k2022-07-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,140.606,123.37-0.28%6,308.79+2.74%0.0045✗1.334.5M2022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3940.392921-0.27%0.393-0.25%0.0214✓1.1311k2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase14.614.5604-0.27%15.29+4.73%0.0218✗1.4267k2022-07-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17920.178718-0.27%0.1816+1.34%0.0031✓1.002,7992022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.39.2754-0.26%10.26+10.32%0.0727✗1.471.2M2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.45670.455497-0.26%0.4619+1.14%0.0112✓1.3163.0M2022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum46.746.5777-0.26%46-1.50%0.0397✓1.4328k2022-07-06
OPTIMOptimism0.5240.522672-0.25%0.543+3.63%0.0054✗1.711.6M2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.40070.399697-0.25%0.398-0.67%0.0291✓1.30341k2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010320.000010294-0.25%0.00001047+1.45%0.0072✓1.261.0M2022-07-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024470.024409-0.25%0.02886+17.94%0.1484✗1.001,9592022-07-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.24%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0139✓0.855.5M2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0502-0.24%4.06+0.00%0.0101✓0.661.1M2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9114.8992-0.24%5.014+2.10%0.0115✓1.8116.0M2022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.73255.7188-0.24%5.8046+1.26%0.0108✗0.21312k2022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54752.5415-0.24%2.498-1.94%0.0498✓1.708,1182022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.6332.6268-0.23%2.642+0.34%0.0175✓1.221.0M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24010.23956-0.23%0.2429+1.17%0.0084✓1.1678k2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.1625.1041-0.22%26.28+4.45%0.0278✗0.9412.9M2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873770.871852-0.22%0.91459+4.67%0.0215✗1.38611k2022-07-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48240.481357-0.22%0.5093+5.58%0.0373✗1.0089k2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12610.12583-0.21%0.1251-0.79%0.0324✓1.3933k2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2955.2838-0.21%5.342+0.89%0.0152✓1.375.5M2022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043960.043867-0.21%0.04441+1.02%0.0060✓0.967,9572022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4748-0.21%2.51+1.21%0.0169✓1.62301k2022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1042.0997-0.20%2.291+8.89%0.0549✗1.69101k2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10370.103492-0.20%0.1061+2.31%0.0056✗1.016,3732022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.315.2995-0.20%5.64+6.21%0.0369✗1.33300k2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.1041-0.19%3.19+2.57%0.0139✗0.70904k2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37421.3717-0.18%1.3926+1.34%0.0100✓1.32767k2022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.126.1087-0.18%6.25+2.12%0.0132✗0.50960k2022-07-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24830.247844-0.18%0.2504+0.85%0.0089✓1.00651k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.5953-0.18%2.79+7.31%0.0509✗1.12577k2022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.07872.0751-0.17%2.1214+2.05%0.0056✗0.861.6M2022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.439360.438599-0.17%0.44192+0.58%0.0231✓1.601.9M2022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76421.7612-0.17%1.7961+1.81%0.0034✗0.851.2M2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068660.006854-0.17%0.006925+0.86%0.0017✓0.62114k2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067030.066919-0.17%0.068516+2.22%0.0001✓1.232.1M2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.21360.213248-0.16%0.2151+0.70%0.0144✓1.21701k2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.121705-0.16%0.1335+9.52%0.0678✗1.292.9M2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009110.009095-0.16%0.00913+0.22%0.0148✓0.971.2M2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40410.403456-0.16%0.4074+0.82%0.0173✓1.41101k2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.650.649023-0.15%0.672+3.38%0.0093✗1.33178k2022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.380980.380412-0.15%0.39434+3.51%0.0224✗0.7162k2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1077690.10761-0.15%0.109283+1.40%0.0042✓1.039.7M2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.3231-0.15%1.347+1.66%0.0103✓1.47471k2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum1.591.5878-0.14%1.66+4.40%0.0228✗1.14140k2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.787620.786517-0.14%0.77816-1.20%0.0268✓0.842702022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2212.218-0.14%2.297+3.42%0.0077✗1.4368k2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14790.1477-0.14%0.1526+3.18%0.0065✗1.37514k2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3056.2965-0.13%6.327+0.35%0.0200✓1.3027.1M2022-07-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.013.006-0.13%3.04+1.00%0.0079✓1.0086k2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0510.050933-0.13%0.0517+1.37%0.0025✗0.6521k2022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.779969-0.13%0.885+13.32%0.1103✗0.841.6M2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10390.103768-0.13%0.1061+2.12%0.0008✓1.12478k2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4344-0.13%4.5+1.35%0.0020✗0.67939k2022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0681290.068044-0.13%0.067504-0.92%0.0245✓0.86627k2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009880.009868-0.12%0.01025+3.74%0.0177✗1.066.2M2022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053138-0.12%0.0542+1.88%0.0093✓1.52146k2022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4795.4727-0.12%5.559+1.46%0.0069✓1.182.3M2022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057040.056975-0.11%0.05572-2.31%0.0486✓1.3828k2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042452-0.11%0.043+1.18%0.0142✓1.4112k2022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48740.486861-0.11%0.5055+3.71%0.0136✗1.25634k2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.298010.297695-0.11%0.29848+0.16%0.0242✓1.403,3372022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22310.22287-0.10%0.2232+0.04%0.0237✓1.31236k2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14310.142957-0.10%0.1428-0.21%0.0264✓1.32120k2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48720.486723-0.10%0.492+0.99%0.0110✓1.14203k2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4286-0.10%1.46+2.10%0.0069✓1.50386k2022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.081.079-0.10%1.15+6.48%0.0343✗1.54749k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.02760.027574-0.09%0.02834+2.68%0.0020✗1.3326k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5045.4991-0.09%5.624+2.18%0.0030✓1.335.7M2022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2521.2509-0.09%1.261+0.72%0.0188✓1.403.6M2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3262.324-0.09%2.44+4.90%0.0305✗0.96157k2022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003787-0.09%0.00387+2.11%0.0050✓1.40169k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.86132.8589-0.08%2.8773+0.56%0.0153✓1.1332k2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4152.413-0.08%2.42+0.21%0.0177✓1.071.6M2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,131.261,130.33-0.08%1,185.61+4.80%0.0254✗1.17342.2M2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana35.3735.3412-0.08%37.01+4.64%0.0205✗1.3495.5M2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11490.114809-0.08%0.1168+1.65%0.0020✓1.004.0M2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.11654.0733-0.08%54.636+0.96%0.0060✓0.85873k2022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2911.29-0.08%1.377+6.66%0.0369✗1.48169k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120550.120465-0.07%0.1261+4.60%0.0144✗1.64169k2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025870.002585-0.07%0.00272+5.14%0.0306✗1.061.4M2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.8218.8151-0.07%8.979+1.79%0.0034✓1.143.1M2022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27130.271121-0.07%0.2755+1.55%0.0073✓1.223.1M2022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046569-0.07%0.047+0.86%0.0172✓1.381.1M2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6210.620594-0.07%0.624+0.48%0.0125✓0.94412k2022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4606-0.06%14.77+2.07%0.0053✓1.381.5M2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.03871.0381-0.06%1.059+1.95%0.0016✓1.1354k2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.358.3447-0.06%8.69+4.07%0.0178✗1.19374k2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30750.307311-0.06%0.3106+1.01%0.0125✓1.2110.0M2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.036512.0292-0.06%12.3111+2.28%0.0003✓1.23316k2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash57.0557.0172-0.06%58.16+1.95%0.0062✓1.361.9M2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26580.265652-0.06%0.2598-2.26%0.0457✓1.2227k2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019560.01955-0.05%0.01958+0.10%0.0176✓1.0096k2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205980.020589-0.05%0.020657+0.29%0.0170✓1.061,2032022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8282.8268-0.04%2.83+0.07%0.0141✓0.80841k2022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration50.350.2806-0.04%51.25+1.89%0.0040✓1.21505k2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.258130.258032-0.04%0.28113+8.91%0.0613✗1.28480k2022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.09860.098563-0.04%0.0996+1.01%0.0116✓1.15566k2022-07-06
FLOWFlownative1.6021.6016-0.03%1.6-0.12%0.0242✓1.21304k2022-07-06
DASHDashDash43.1343.1191-0.03%44.2+2.48%0.0035✗1.11739k2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009550.000954765-0.02%0.0009592+0.44%0.0210✓1.342.9M2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase0.8360410.835846-0.02%0.911182+8.99%0.0661✗1.0597k2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09650.096479-0.02%0.0986+2.18%0.0044✓1.373.0M2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006589-0.02%0.00668+1.37%0.0056✓1.01417k2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3011210.301084-0.01%0.307678+2.18%0.0029✓1.282.3M2022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049630.049628-0.00%0.05158+3.93%0.0098✗1.511.1M2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.6549.6486-0.00%50.29+1.29%0.0099✓1.1918.8M2022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80841.8084-0.00%1.8376+1.61%0.0083✓1.2762k2022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.913310.913302-0.00%0.9408+3.01%0.0071✗1.182,3312022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09730.0973-0.00%0.0927-4.73%0.0640✓0.81185k2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0318.0302+0.00%19.15+6.21%0.0311✓1.5230.5M2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119420.011942+0.00%0.012059+0.98%0.0064✗0.841.6M2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.9114.9109+0.01%15.18+1.81%0.0052✗1.212.0M2022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.602065+0.01%0.637+5.81%0.0333✓1.21952k2022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05980.059807+0.01%0.0607+1.51%0.0133✗1.47367k2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.003030.003031+0.02%0.00309+1.98%0.0069✗1.38664k2022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos1.46571.466+0.02%1.5433+5.29%0.0267✓1.29654k2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19430.194345+0.02%0.1906-1.90%0.0476✗1.47155k2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum0.830.830196+0.02%0.85+2.41%0.0095✓0.73155k2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2790.279091+0.03%0.283+1.43%0.0060✗1.04704k2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,153.5120,163.28+0.05%20,542.67+1.93%0.0005✗1.00500.8M2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero122.3122.3708+0.06%125.33+2.48%0.0014✓1.181.3M2022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.46e-73.46e-7+0.07%3.79e-7+9.50%0.0694✓1.08598k2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.0930.093064+0.07%0.0928-0.22%0.0301✗1.42762k2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07440.074455+0.07%0.0757+1.75%0.0074✗1.267,1822022-07-06
GTGateEthereum4.05294.0574+0.11%4.0142-0.95%0.0249✗0.741.2M2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8456.853+0.12%6.915+1.02%0.0151✗1.2613.1M2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6740.674841+0.12%0.677+0.45%0.0281✗1.64242k2022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05070.050778+0.15%0.0511+0.79%0.0085✗0.78217k2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,328.4020,360.55+0.16%20,413.50+0.42%0.0163✗0.9943k2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.95104.137+0.18%105.86+1.84%0.0054✗1.146.0M2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum60.5760.6978+0.21%62.94+3.91%0.0050✓1.637.7M2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001610.001617+0.42%0.001588-1.37%0.0378✗1.0412k2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.