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2022-07-04 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0578
180 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.0%
in alpha space · 27.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000128140.000102977-19.64%0.00009997-21.98%0.2566✓1.87951k2022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.5416.779-14.13%21.98+12.49%0.1381✓1.08247k2022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155970.138507-11.20%0.18804+20.56%0.1841✗1.008412022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6560.595619-9.20%0.78+18.90%0.0852✓1.522,8402022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8931.7484-7.64%2.246+18.65%0.0653✓1.5299k2022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum2.0741.9252-7.17%1.997-3.71%0.1297✓1.371.1M2022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9932.7873-6.87%3.826+27.83%0.2363✗0.664.3M2022-08-03
OPTIMOptimism0.560.524602-6.32%1.993+255.89%1.1253✗1.721.7M2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3123.1053-6.24%4.981+50.39%0.3976✗0.622.8M2022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.3978-6.19%1.52+2.01%0.0451✓0.32648k2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8620.809595-6.08%0.816-5.34%0.2354✓2.0016.4M2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00680.947059-5.93%1.0178+1.09%0.0887✓1.32229k2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025010.023539-5.88%0.03749+49.90%0.2531✗1.7524.4M2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3130.295452-5.61%0.213-31.95%0.5298✓1.671.1M2022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.036053-5.37%0.0413+8.40%0.0223✓1.30168k2022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.40740.385549-5.36%0.39422-3.24%0.1355✓1.30150k2022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.25810.244854-5.13%0.3183+23.32%0.1407✗1.00695k2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444070.422164-4.93%0.40592-8.59%0.2354✓1.612.0M2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.671710.639676-4.77%0.64899-3.38%0.1865✓1.6599k2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18890.180057-4.68%0.1999+5.82%0.0171✓1.002,9732022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.0211.4617-4.65%27.64+129.95%0.6808✗1.64463k2022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.753.5772-4.61%4.478+19.41%0.1421✗0.682.2M2022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26240.250611-4.49%0.2612-0.46%0.0802✓1.0068k2022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.642.5214-4.49%2.81+6.44%0.0909✓1.64301k2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.8870.847571-4.45%0.905+2.03%0.1563✓1.82813k2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.0391-4.43%3.17-0.31%0.0795✓1.0087k2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0470.045007-4.24%0.0546+16.17%0.0349✓1.30253k2022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.2980.285392-4.23%–pending––1.009832022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39280.376189-4.23%0.4399+11.99%0.0501✓1.70202k2022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.60322.4938-4.20%2.7381+5.18%0.1158✓1.728,9122022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.653.4973-4.18%6.43+76.16%0.5310✗0.641.0M2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8392.723-4.09%3.71+30.68%0.0862✗1.833.5M2022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87420.838942-4.03%1.0027+14.70%0.0438✗1.1189k2022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.173.0427-4.02%5.08+60.25%0.4262✗0.71971k2022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.3921.3376-3.91%1.799+29.24%0.1747✗1.00167k2022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.18310.175949-3.91%0.207+13.05%0.0053✓1.383,4882022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025180.024207-3.87%0.0308+22.32%0.1193✗1.002,0362022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.391450.376987-3.69%0.46564+18.95%0.1238✗0.7271k2022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08680.083711-3.56%0.0861-0.81%0.1386✓1.37171k2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.476,130.48-3.51%10,725.04+68.81%0.3976✗1.334.4M2022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49330.476601-3.39%0.4744-3.83%0.1262✓1.0093k2022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163870.015836-3.37%0.019949+21.74%0.1602✗0.58372k2022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.930410.899188-3.36%1.1056+18.83%0.0617✗1.192,5102022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78190.75572-3.35%1.0343+32.28%0.1816✗1.094.0M2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9550.923217-3.33%1.0834+13.45%0.0274✓1.542.5M2022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2021.1622-3.31%1.259+4.74%0.0651✓1.191.7M2022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15080.145851-3.28%0.1588+5.31%0.0851✓1.40541k2022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72955.5419-3.27%5.0151-12.47%0.1251✓0.21285k2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15452.0843-3.26%3.2654+51.56%0.3454✗0.851.7M2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.45480.440036-3.25%0.596+31.05%0.1428✗1.321.2M2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.4690.453801-3.24%0.5009+6.80%0.0626✓1.3363.0M2022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0210460.020365-3.24%0.023056+9.55%0.0075✓1.081,4232022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.79751.7397-3.22%3.3577+86.80%0.5533✗0.861.3M2022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.823840.797691-3.17%1.0372+25.90%0.1579✗0.862912022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.304450.294818-3.16%0.34922+14.71%0.0030✓1.423,4742022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066540.064435-3.16%0.07828+17.64%0.0959✗0.812,1062022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0417250.040406-3.16%0.049291+18.13%0.0510✗1.2115k2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044920.043511-3.14%0.04834+7.61%0.0144✓0.988,2962022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3960.383918-3.05%0.517+30.56%0.1572✗1.1511k2022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010480.00001016-3.05%0.00001183+12.88%0.0026✓1.27952k2022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021060.020426-3.01%0.01768-16.05%0.2387✓0.78417k2022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041970.040725-2.97%0.04345+3.53%0.0615✓1.043,1732022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.8833-2.92%5.82+45.50%0.3238✗0.66943k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum60.5358.7806-2.89%105.18+73.77%0.4619✗0.992.2M2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6024-2.88%2.47+49.70%0.2915✗1.16152k2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12870.125096-2.80%0.1708+32.71%0.1495✗1.332.9M2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.135.959-2.79%9.55+55.79%0.4098✗0.51960k2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.2190.213282-2.61%0.2495+13.93%0.0101✓1.21731k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7448.5168-2.60%10.165+16.25%0.0111✓1.3615.0M2022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.291.2581-2.47%1.359+5.35%0.0959✓1.423.8M2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.63354.2701-2.45%60.311+8.41%0.0008✓0.86928k2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3561.3229-2.44%1.689+24.56%0.0621✗1.50453k2022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9154.7986-2.37%7.168+45.84%0.1809✗1.8116.0M2022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7412.6777-2.31%2.964+8.14%0.0492✓1.24969k2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4276.279-2.30%7.285+13.35%0.0101✓1.3128.0M2022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.053320.052093-2.30%0.055731+4.52%0.0140✓0.6723k2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.789.5577-2.27%16.44+68.10%0.3598✗1.501.2M2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3392.2877-2.19%2.695+15.22%0.0118✓1.4468k2022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.524.4214-2.18%5.99+32.52%0.2217✗0.67939k2022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.508799-2.15%0.633+21.73%0.0436✗1.4499k2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.905150.886003-2.12%0.96+6.06%0.0883✓1.39611k2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.4881-2.10%1.6+5.26%0.1125✓1.52386k2022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056240.055072-2.08%0.08771+55.96%0.2988✗1.3729k2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8070.790256-2.07%1.125+39.41%0.2473✗0.871.6M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1111160.108876-2.02%0.114184+2.76%0.0794✓1.049.7M2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31930.312931-1.99%0.3267+2.32%0.1051✓1.2210.0M2022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010073-1.92%0.00976-4.97%0.1547✓1.016.2M2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum49.1948.2991-1.81%55.76+13.36%0.0321✓1.4528k2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.632.5825-1.81%3.905+48.48%0.2751✗1.14584k2022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8714.6043-1.79%17.17+15.47%0.0090✓1.401.5M2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.335.2349-1.78%10.73+101.31%0.5569✗1.32278k2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.6051.577-1.75%1.84+14.64%0.0065✓1.21312k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05560.05465-1.71%0.0583+4.86%0.1218✓1.53136k2022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.86530.850581-1.70%1.334+54.17%0.2789✗1.414.0M2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.625204-1.70%0.767+20.60%0.0868✗0.97412k2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.24110.237101-1.66%0.2598+7.76%0.0525✓1.1880k2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum2.90942.8612-1.66%3.8986+34.00%0.1691✗1.1532k2022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.104693-1.60%0.1288+21.05%0.0819✗1.036,7622022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8582.8126-1.59%3.978+39.19%0.2490✗0.80914k2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3455.2621-1.55%8.907+66.64%0.3582✗1.385.5M2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10520.103579-1.54%0.116+10.27%0.0253✓1.14478k2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.000039710.000039111-1.51%0.00004244+6.87%0.0748✓1.292.5M2022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22880.225354-1.51%0.2461+7.56%0.0740✓1.33236k2022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4242.3887-1.46%2.475+2.10%0.0839✓0.98157k2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum25.9125.5359-1.44%29.1+12.31%0.0154✗0.9512.2M2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5855.5089-1.36%7.861+40.75%0.1922✗1.346.0M2022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0693040.068362-1.36%0.0662-4.48%0.1864✓1.272.1M2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006609-1.36%0.006698-0.03%0.0665✓0.66123k2022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.47912.4457-1.35%2.8485+14.90%0.0172✗1.111.6M2022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration51.6450.9825-1.27%61.31+18.73%0.0391✗1.19505k2022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.880.868967-1.25%0.74-15.91%0.2507✓0.74159k2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.146273-1.23%0.1552+4.79%0.1044✓1.35124k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6510.643391-1.17%0.79+21.35%0.0437✗1.33169k2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5455.4814-1.15%8.087+45.84%0.2429✗1.202.3M2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.2735-1.14%38.55+5.07%0.1037✓1.3592.9M2022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06060.05993-1.11%0.0587-3.14%0.2004✓1.48367k2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase15.0214.8542-1.10%17.15+14.18%0.0300✓1.4365k2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009910.000980112-1.10%0.001087+9.65%0.0594✓1.343.0M2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40150.397121-1.09%0.4022+0.17%0.1611✓1.4395k2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1020.100892-1.09%0.1338+31.18%0.1391✗1.18566k2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.051.0387-1.07%1.1385+8.43%0.0469✓1.1459k2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1682.1451-1.06%2.672+23.25%0.0138✗1.69101k2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051110.050589-1.02%0.08121+58.89%0.2901✗1.511.1M2022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum54.9492-1.02%6.43+28.60%0.0756✗1.531.5M2022-08-03
DASHDashDash44.1943.7492-1.00%48.77+10.36%0.0283✓1.13739k2022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.049931-0.93%0.0682+35.32%0.1735✗1.1494k2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29451.2828-0.90%1.4589+12.70%0.0277✓1.29767k2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.009370.009289-0.86%0.00819-12.59%0.2454✓0.981.2M2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11860.117599-0.84%0.1448+22.09%0.0842✗1.024.0M2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04420.043828-0.84%0.0458+3.62%0.1262✓1.4012k2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3915.2609-0.84%36.06+134.31%0.7101✗1.232.0M2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.39390.39073-0.80%0.4663+18.38%0.0180✗1.31318k2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.0672290.066726-0.75%0.067799+0.85%0.0913✓0.88627k2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002650.002631-0.73%0.003141+18.53%0.0477✗1.071.4M2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27930.277255-0.73%0.32+14.57%0.0070✓1.243.1M2022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.87881.8661-0.68%2.1759+15.81%0.0039✓1.3062k2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.257720.256169-0.60%0.30931+20.02%0.0330✗1.28480k2022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.53471.5279-0.44%1.7204+12.10%0.0404✓1.31654k2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3091.3034-0.43%2.024+54.62%0.2566✗1.51169k2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019950.019866-0.42%0.0213+6.77%0.0531✓1.0196k2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50520.503088-0.42%0.6036+19.48%0.0268✗1.28656k2022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12420.123697-0.40%0.1349+8.62%0.0837✓1.4032k2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.37%9.60e-7+10.34%0.0025✓0.865.5M2022-08-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006850.006826-0.35%0.00868+26.72%0.1171✗1.01417k2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.353912.3216-0.26%14.6221+18.36%0.0192✗1.25316k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.00390.003891-0.23%0.00456+16.92%0.0140✓1.42176k2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3002110.299587-0.21%0.335893+11.89%0.0441✓1.302.5M2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283586-0.15%0.332+16.90%0.0302✗1.05713k2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09830.098234-0.07%0.062-36.93%0.5633✓0.85188k2022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.58.4965-0.04%10.82+27.29%0.0950✗1.21374k2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,149.981,150.18+0.02%1,618.82+40.77%0.1991✓1.17342.2M2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047617+0.04%0.0585+22.90%0.0344✓1.411.1M2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8406230.841204+0.07%1.0243+21.85%0.0675✓1.0697k2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.091.0911+0.10%1.43+31.19%0.0814✓1.56749k2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.097996+0.10%0.118+20.53%0.0182✓1.383.2M2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028290.028322+0.11%0.03127+10.53%0.0658✗1.3626k2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09470.094819+0.13%0.1109+17.11%0.0187✗1.44762k2022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26670.267156+0.17%0.3182+19.31%0.0283✓1.2127k2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash58.0758.2078+0.24%61.85+6.51%0.1036✗1.351.9M2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.8917.9385+0.27%23.04+28.79%0.0646✓1.5329.4M2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124470.124853+0.31%0.16304+30.99%0.0679✓1.64181k2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,211.3520,304.22+0.46%22,825.00+12.93%0.0046✓1.00500.8M2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.167.206+0.64%8.003+11.77%0.0494✗1.2713.1M2022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122710.012352+0.66%0.015785+28.64%0.1419✓0.851.6M2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.0139.0808+0.75%10.028+11.26%0.0401✗1.153.1M2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.55e-73.58e-7+0.82%3.49e-7-1.63%0.1488✗1.02603k2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,210.1020,420.26+1.04%22,844.10+13.03%0.0078✓0.9943k2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19680.198938+1.09%0.2311+17.43%0.0285✗1.47155k2022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.618726+1.10%0.744+21.57%0.0375✓1.21952k2022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059960.006068+1.19%0.006208+3.54%0.1027✗1.033,8612022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.07964.1335+1.32%4.5094+10.54%0.0039✓0.751.2M2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6990.708675+1.38%0.686-1.86%0.2337✗1.65242k2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.252.9455+1.43%57.78+10.69%0.0589✗1.2018.7M2022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003170.003225+1.73%0.00373+17.67%0.0232✗1.39708k2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05030.051196+1.78%0.0773+53.68%0.3168✓0.78222k2022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero123.81126.3594+2.06%157.11+26.90%0.0752✓1.171.3M2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum63.0665.1579+3.33%94.97+50.60%0.1756✓1.657.7M2022-08-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07750.080337+3.66%0.0972+25.42%0.0377✓1.267,1822022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash107.98113.1559+4.79%133.7+23.82%0.0267✓1.156.0M2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49890.526665+5.57%0.5453+9.30%0.1041✗1.14188k2022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016870.001781+5.60%0.001704+1.01%0.1710✗1.0411k2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.