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2022-07-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0051
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.2%
in alpha space · 62.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+19.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017720.001932+9.03%0.001664-6.09%0.3374✗1.078,9762022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum57.5761.4014+6.66%93.42+62.27%0.1298✓1.657.7M2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero116.22123.7601+6.49%156.99+35.08%0.0329✓1.171.2M2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48860.519914+6.41%0.5396+10.44%0.1649✗1.15173k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07660.080762+5.43%0.0936+22.19%0.0764✗1.287,1822022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04870.051327+5.39%0.0745+52.98%0.2357✓0.78222k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.10994.3304+5.37%4.3491+5.82%0.1295✗0.761.2M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.002960.003101+4.76%0.00371+25.34%0.0643✗1.39664k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5830.610683+4.75%0.742+27.27%0.0170✓1.21952k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.31e-73.45e-7+4.40%3.39e-7+2.49%0.1961✗1.01603k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.93110.5591+4.37%133.77+26.28%0.0137✓1.166.0M2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6730.701806+4.28%0.709+5.35%0.2841✗1.68242k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.2842+3.72%0.328+19.71%0.0409✗1.05713k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058030.006012+3.62%0.006204+6.92%0.1504✗1.043,8612022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,291.3319,981.12+3.58%22,989.40+19.17%0.0351✓1.00500.8M2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026370.002731+3.56%0.003157+19.72%0.0445✗1.081.4M2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09060.093724+3.45%0.1134+25.17%0.0627✗1.44762k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash54.4656.3347+3.44%61.49+12.91%0.1496✗1.352.0M2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.198.4602+3.30%11.02+34.55%0.0517✓1.21374k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003860.003985+3.23%0.00462+19.69%0.1046✗1.44176k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.281.3208+3.19%2.017+57.58%0.1561✓1.52170k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18430.190167+3.18%0.2308+25.23%0.0626✗1.46155k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.051939+3.05%0.068+34.92%0.0663✓1.1696k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,258.8019,832.09+2.98%23,023.60+19.55%0.0233✓0.9843k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25440.261873+2.94%0.318+25.00%0.0179✓1.2127k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09450.097169+2.82%0.1168+23.60%0.0599✗1.393.3M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.251280.258259+2.78%0.30205+20.20%0.0692✗1.29480k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11510.118062+2.57%0.1378+19.72%0.0901✗1.4032k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006909+2.50%0.006716-0.36%0.1464✗0.67123k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12190.124932+2.49%0.1626+33.39%0.0275✗1.66181k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120610.012356+2.45%0.015628+29.57%0.0848✓0.861.6M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase11.810112.0936+2.40%14.5774+23.43%0.0335✗1.26316k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38050.389555+2.38%0.4029+5.89%0.2181✗1.4495k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.38470.393843+2.38%0.4398+14.32%0.1212✗1.32318k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03251.0554+2.22%1.163+12.64%0.1058✗1.1659k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8144970.832503+2.21%1.0235+25.66%0.0183✓1.0797k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6260.639686+2.19%0.744+18.85%0.0205✓0.98419k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative8.3048.481+2.13%9.938+19.68%0.0403✗1.133.1M2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.142055+2.05%0.1674+20.26%0.0723✗1.35124k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,072.881,094.84+2.05%1,631.28+52.05%0.1941✓1.17342.2M2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10040.102414+2.01%0.073-27.29%0.4899✗0.86188k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11350.115765+2.00%0.1435+26.43%0.0360✓1.024.0M2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23080.235286+1.94%0.2636+14.21%0.0953✗1.1978k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053981+1.85%0.0595+12.26%0.1728✗1.54134k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.5058+1.75%1.57+6.08%0.2287✗1.54386k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30940.314619+1.69%0.3267+5.59%0.1782✗1.2310.0M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5828+1.69%3.951+55.55%0.2249✓1.14605k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.009150.009304+1.68%0.00839-8.31%0.2771✗0.991.2M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672160.068346+1.68%0.066529-1.02%0.2485✗1.262.0M2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.6572.7005+1.64%2.934+10.43%0.1365✗1.25907k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2911.312+1.63%1.635+26.65%0.0439✗1.50453k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2351.2547+1.60%1.4894+20.60%0.0556✗1.29767k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.04316+1.55%0.0463+8.94%0.1770✗1.4112k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0450.045688+1.53%0.0581+29.11%0.0076✓1.411.1M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12330.125054+1.42%0.1716+39.17%0.0815✓1.343.0M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7914.9989+1.41%36.59+147.40%0.6742✓1.242.0M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22250.225558+1.37%0.2502+12.45%0.1321✗1.34236k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.1697+1.37%8.1+58.82%0.2164✓1.33300k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.79540.806214+1.36%1.3359+67.95%0.2594✓1.403.7M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26980.273424+1.34%0.3198+18.53%0.0621✗1.253.1M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6190.627122+1.31%0.774+25.04%0.0217✗1.32169k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37660.381265+1.24%0.4462+18.48%0.1434✗1.71202k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.808798+1.23%1.218+52.44%0.2542✓0.881.6M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006872+1.21%0.00928+36.67%0.1200✓1.03412k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash42.6743.152+1.13%48.53+13.73%0.0816✗1.13739k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,833.855,896.39+1.07%10,752.27+84.31%0.3698✓1.324.1M2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009489+1.06%0.00965+2.77%0.1578✗1.006.2M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.056.1135+1.05%9.54+57.69%0.3559✓0.511.0M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8446.913+1.01%7.928+15.84%0.0867✗1.2813.1M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000038210.000038574+0.95%0.00004282+12.06%0.1220✗1.292.5M2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.8651.3417+0.95%58.09+14.22%0.0894✗1.2118.7M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.09492.1144+0.93%3.0467+45.43%0.2162✓0.851.8M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14750.148847+0.91%0.1596+8.20%0.1790✗1.42574k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9592+0.88%2.6+33.88%0.0109✗1.68101k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana33.3633.654+0.88%39.81+19.33%0.0671✗1.3492.9M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration49.4649.886+0.86%60.95+23.23%0.0102✗1.20526k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44482.4638+0.78%2.8083+14.87%0.0631✗1.111.7M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0662470.066753+0.76%0.06831+3.11%0.1341✗0.90662k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2962750.298438+0.73%0.34061+14.96%0.1011✗1.332.5M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9750.3055+0.67%56.33+12.73%0.1467✗1.4828k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1040.104688+0.66%0.1238+19.04%0.0134✗1.037,0862022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase13.6813.7642+0.62%17.17+25.51%0.0281✗1.4261k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1090090.109679+0.61%0.115136+5.62%0.1369✗1.069.9M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.09850.099104+0.61%0.1359+37.97%0.1075✓1.19583k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09060.091122+0.58%0.0857-5.41%0.3095✗1.42166k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3750.377016+0.54%0.519+38.40%0.1180✓1.1511k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5471.555+0.52%1.874+21.14%0.0286✗1.23312k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.00e-78.04e-7+0.52%9.70e-7+21.25%0.0399✓0.845.3M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum55.6955.9715+0.51%103.43+85.72%0.4434✓0.972.1M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836820.840613+0.45%0.95943+14.65%0.1099✗1.38611k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056490.056739+0.44%0.08676+53.58%0.1798✓1.4032k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5581.5638+0.37%2.285+46.66%0.1199✓1.4893k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096520.000968618+0.35%0.001085+12.40%0.1240✗1.353.0M2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.744610.747198+0.35%1.0569+41.94%0.2002✓0.842912022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5644.5783+0.31%6.638+45.44%0.0526✓1.8216.0M2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0828.1065+0.30%9.92+22.74%0.0363✗1.3615.0M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0426770.042801+0.29%0.048695+14.10%0.0897✗1.2515k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102957+0.25%0.1155+12.46%0.0870✗1.15478k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81061.8151+0.25%2.1689+19.79%0.0512✗1.3162k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum2.82752.8343+0.24%3.9681+40.34%0.1319✓1.1732k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.8090.810929+0.24%0.908+12.24%0.2061✗1.82813k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum24.3924.4479+0.24%29.4+20.54%0.0191✓0.9412.2M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05910.059215+0.20%0.0612+3.55%0.2296✗1.50367k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010030.000010045+0.15%0.00001175+17.15%0.0669✗1.28952k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04250.042563+0.15%0.044+3.53%0.1536✗1.073,4202022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.6316.6457+0.09%22.85+37.40%0.0493✓1.5330.5M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.376290.376493+0.05%0.45527+20.99%0.0644✓0.7276k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.4223+0.05%6.03+36.43%0.1911✓0.68973k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.13.1008+0.03%5.05+62.90%0.3602✓0.731.0M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048070.048066-0.01%0.08648+79.90%0.3230✗1.511.1M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.44641.4457-0.05%1.7139+18.49%0.0600✓1.31654k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8432.8411-0.07%3.985+40.17%0.1946✗0.821.0M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.850.849258-0.09%0.76-10.59%0.2406✓0.74159k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89530.894007-0.14%1.0451+16.73%0.1155✓1.552.6M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74191.7391-0.16%3.3336+91.38%0.5004✗0.861.3M2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47720.475922-0.27%0.6132+28.50%0.0295✗1.28662k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2385.2238-0.27%8+52.73%0.1909✗1.346.7M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019230.019169-0.32%0.02154+12.01%0.0609✓1.0198k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400020.398679-0.34%0.39795-0.52%0.2330✓1.32150k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.216.1888-0.34%7.179+15.60%0.0827✓1.3229.0M2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3382.3296-0.36%2.419+3.46%0.1350✓0.98157k2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73290.730252-0.36%1.0822+47.66%0.2080✗1.0684k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum1.561.5543-0.37%2.46+57.69%0.2562✗1.16177k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027620.027501-0.43%0.03144+13.83%0.1062✓1.3726k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4790.476793-0.46%0.608+26.93%0.0081✓1.4392k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209440.020846-0.47%0.024372+16.37%0.0368✓1.101,5412022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.2624-0.52%1.364+7.49%0.1761✓1.453.8M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.295670.293996-0.57%0.34832+17.81%0.0820✓1.433,4912022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.44730.444708-0.58%0.5942+32.84%0.0547✗1.341.2M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9124.8829-0.59%8.248+67.92%0.2828✗1.385.5M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.021.0136-0.63%1.36+33.33%0.0204✗1.56749k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2032.1871-0.72%2.716+23.29%0.0374✓1.4570k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3015.2626-0.72%8.196+54.61%0.2324✗1.202.3M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0513020.050908-0.77%0.05605+9.25%0.0203✓0.6625k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.044946-0.78%0.0531+17.22%0.0654✓1.32253k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.028.9408-0.88%14.94+65.63%0.2501✗1.501.1M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.08852.594-0.93%60.953+14.82%0.0033✓0.86957k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45550.450484-1.10%0.4966+9.02%0.1377✓1.3463.0M2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142320.01407-1.14%0.021484+50.96%0.3291✗0.54383k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.883.8323-1.23%5.73+47.68%0.2859✗0.661.2M2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1613.9766-1.30%17.22+21.61%0.0386✓1.411.5M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.044189-1.30%0.04946+10.48%0.0630✓1.008,5732022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.610.4246-1.65%27.79+162.17%0.6960✗1.62448k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5842.5379-1.78%3.801+47.10%0.0807✗1.843.1M2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.6276-1.96%6.57+39.19%0.0817✗1.531.4M2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021870.021432-2.00%0.01794-17.97%0.3194✓0.81417k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.2090.204714-2.05%0.2502+19.71%0.0116✓1.21731k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.532.4756-2.15%2.72+7.51%0.1961✓1.66301k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.913160.893377-2.17%1.126+23.31%0.0198✓1.212,6312022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.255996-2.22%0.2618+0.00%0.1530✓1.0068k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.593.5091-2.25%6.51+81.34%0.5046✗0.651.1M2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0411.0169-2.32%1.27+22.00%0.0237✗1.131.6M2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16360.159726-2.37%0.225+37.53%0.1037✗1.363,4882022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03760.036698-2.40%0.0396+5.32%0.1556✓1.32168k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.520.507363-2.43%1.635+214.42%0.8677✗1.722.2M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47560.464031-2.43%0.4841+1.79%0.1330✓1.0098k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72975.58-2.61%5.0698-11.52%0.1339✓0.22285k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73750.716936-2.79%0.9732+31.96%0.1153✗1.094.0M2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.8441.7925-2.79%1.966+6.62%0.1431✓1.34997k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54762.4762-2.80%2.7482+7.87%0.2021✓1.759,9282022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.27930.27065-3.10%0.381+36.41%0.1666✗1.008122022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.649760.627623-3.41%0.65971+1.53%0.2439✓1.6799k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.3931.3448-3.46%1.796+28.93%0.1139✗1.00175k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023420.022572-3.62%0.03854+64.56%0.2263✗1.7625.4M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17990.172931-3.87%0.202+12.28%0.0200✓1.003,1472022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.9183-4.00%3.18+4.61%0.0895✓1.0088k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.25190.241423-4.16%0.3039+20.64%0.0548✗1.00739k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063290.060591-4.26%0.0777+22.77%0.1077✗0.802,1062022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422920.404575-4.34%0.3926-7.17%0.3154✓1.632.0M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3090.295282-4.44%0.212-31.39%0.6290✓1.701.1M2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.05571.0086-4.46%0.9992-5.35%0.2493✓1.37224k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6583.4858-4.71%4.526+23.73%0.1418✗0.682.3M2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0715-4.76%5.16+60.00%0.4107✗0.622.9M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023880.022689-4.99%0.0314+31.49%0.1496✗1.002,1122022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.142120.13472-5.21%0.18917+33.11%0.1641✗1.008392022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6620.626532-5.36%0.816+23.26%0.0078✓1.552,8402022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.651.5501-6.06%1.55-6.06%0.0649✓0.37648k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9512.7655-6.28%3.883+31.58%0.2222✗0.674.8M2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1815.9818-6.97%21.17+23.22%0.0965✗1.05238k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.775836-7.75%0.823-2.14%0.2981✓2.0418.4M2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000129950.000111447-14.24%0.00010013-22.95%0.4289✓1.83951k2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.