8=======>

2022-07-03 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0557
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.4%
in alpha space · 27.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+19.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000129950.000104095-19.90%0.00010013-22.95%0.3606✓1.83951k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1815.2748-11.09%21.17+23.22%0.1418✗1.05238k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.142120.130185-8.40%0.18917+33.11%0.1983✗1.008392022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6620.608341-8.11%0.816+23.26%0.0217✓1.552,8402022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.651.5242-7.62%1.55-6.06%0.0481✓0.37648k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.05570.982182-6.96%0.9992-5.35%0.2227✓1.37224k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9512.7668-6.24%3.883+31.58%0.2218✗0.674.8M2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0387-5.78%5.16+60.00%0.4214✗0.622.9M2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.793185-5.69%0.823-2.14%0.3202✓2.0418.4M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3090.291826-5.56%0.212-31.39%0.6172✓1.701.1M2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023420.022148-5.43%0.03854+64.56%0.2452✗1.7625.4M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03760.035592-5.34%0.0396+5.32%0.1250✓1.32168k2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.520.492555-5.28%1.635+214.42%0.8974✗1.722.2M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400020.379277-5.19%0.39795-0.52%0.1831✓1.32150k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.8441.7521-4.98%1.966+6.62%0.1202✓1.34997k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17990.171152-4.86%0.202+12.28%0.0097✓1.003,1472022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.25190.239904-4.76%0.3039+20.64%0.0611✗1.00739k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.649760.619841-4.60%0.65971+1.53%0.2314✓1.6799k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.250111-4.46%0.2618+0.00%0.1297✓1.0068k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5581.4907-4.32%2.285+46.66%0.1677✗1.4893k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422920.404925-4.25%0.3926-7.17%0.3163✓1.632.0M2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6583.5024-4.25%4.526+23.73%0.1370✗0.682.3M2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09060.086836-4.16%0.0857-5.41%0.2614✓1.42166k2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.9153-4.10%3.18+4.61%0.0885✓1.0088k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.593.4433-4.09%6.51+81.34%0.5235✗0.651.1M2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0426770.041009-3.91%0.048695+14.10%0.0469✓1.2515k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.3931.339-3.88%1.796+28.93%0.1182✗1.00175k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.27930.268526-3.86%0.381+36.41%0.1745✗1.008122022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.043555-3.85%0.0531+17.22%0.0340✓1.32253k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54762.4513-3.78%2.7482+7.87%0.1920✓1.759,9282022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021870.021045-3.77%0.01794-17.97%0.3012✓0.81417k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.532.4347-3.77%2.72+7.51%0.1795✓1.66301k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.8090.778621-3.76%0.908+12.24%0.1654✓1.82813k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023880.022994-3.71%0.0314+31.49%0.1362✗1.002,1122022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37660.36288-3.64%0.4462+18.48%0.0940✓1.71202k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.610.2168-3.62%27.79+162.17%0.7162✗1.62448k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.12.9899-3.55%5.05+62.90%0.3966✗0.731.0M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.376290.363745-3.33%0.45527+20.99%0.0989✗0.7276k2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.043279-3.33%0.04946+10.48%0.0422✓1.008,5732022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16360.158297-3.24%0.225+37.53%0.1127✗1.363,4882022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72975.544-3.24%5.0698-11.52%0.1274✓0.22285k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74191.6855-3.24%3.3336+91.38%0.5317✗0.861.3M2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209440.020268-3.23%0.024372+16.37%0.0086✓1.101,5412022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73750.713726-3.22%0.9732+31.96%0.1198✗1.094.0M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47560.460323-3.21%0.4841+1.79%0.1250✓1.0098k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.913160.884387-3.15%1.126+23.31%0.0299✓1.212,6312022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.44730.433361-3.12%0.5942+32.84%0.0805✗1.341.2M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04250.041181-3.10%0.044+3.53%0.1206✓1.073,4202022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45550.441699-3.03%0.4966+9.02%0.1180✓1.3463.0M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14750.143092-2.99%0.1596+8.20%0.1396✓1.42574k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89530.869179-2.92%1.0451+16.73%0.0873✓1.552.6M2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.295670.287132-2.89%0.34832+17.81%0.0584✓1.433,4912022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0355-2.83%3.0467+45.43%0.2542✗0.851.8M2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.883.7728-2.76%5.73+47.68%0.3015✗0.661.2M2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0411.0129-2.70%1.27+22.00%0.0276✗1.131.6M2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010030.000009767-2.62%0.00001175+17.15%0.0388✓1.28952k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,833.855,681.94-2.60%10,752.27+84.31%0.4068✗1.324.1M2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.236-2.60%1.364+7.49%0.1549✓1.453.8M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.8927-2.60%9.54+57.69%0.3927✗0.511.0M2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063290.061682-2.54%0.0777+22.77%0.0899✗0.802,1062022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12330.12029-2.44%0.1716+39.17%0.1204✗1.343.0M2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3750.365907-2.42%0.519+38.40%0.1479✗1.1511k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.2090.203934-2.42%0.2502+19.71%0.0078✓1.21731k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142320.013892-2.39%0.021484+50.96%0.3418✗0.54383k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5842.5228-2.37%3.801+47.10%0.0867✗1.843.1M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.08851.8577-2.32%60.953+14.82%0.0108✓0.86957k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum1.561.5249-2.25%2.46+57.69%0.2753✗1.16177k2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.744610.727877-2.25%1.0569+41.94%0.2264✗0.842912022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum55.6954.4395-2.25%103.43+85.72%0.4712✗0.972.1M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9748.8484-2.24%56.33+12.73%0.1174✓1.4828k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.78174-2.16%1.218+52.44%0.2883✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056490.055273-2.16%0.08676+53.58%0.2060✗1.4032k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.028.8295-2.11%14.94+65.63%0.2627✗1.501.1M2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.6572.601-2.11%2.934+10.43%0.0989✓1.25907k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.3274-2.10%6.03+36.43%0.2128✗0.68973k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.216.0809-2.08%7.179+15.60%0.0651✓1.3229.0M2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2911.2644-2.06%1.635+26.65%0.0069✓1.50453k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0827.9157-2.06%9.92+22.74%0.0125✓1.3615.0M2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1090090.106889-1.94%0.115136+5.62%0.1112✓1.069.9M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5644.4762-1.92%6.638+45.44%0.0752✗1.8216.0M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30940.303546-1.89%0.3267+5.59%0.1424✓1.2310.0M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0513020.050337-1.88%0.05605+9.25%0.0090✓0.6625k2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4790.470248-1.83%0.608+26.93%0.0057✓1.4392k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4534-1.80%1.57+6.08%0.1932✓1.54386k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836820.822445-1.72%0.95943+14.65%0.0880✓1.38611k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6260.615463-1.68%0.744+18.85%0.0181✗0.98419k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8432.7959-1.66%3.985+40.17%0.2106✗0.821.0M2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5471.5217-1.64%1.874+21.14%0.0069✓1.23312k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2032.1675-1.61%2.716+23.29%0.0284✓1.4570k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1613.9434-1.53%17.22+21.61%0.0362✓1.411.5M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5022-1.49%3.951+55.55%0.2566✗1.14605k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009251-1.48%0.00965+2.77%0.1325✓1.006.2M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.10125-1.41%0.1155+12.46%0.0703✓1.15478k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44482.4113-1.37%2.8083+14.87%0.0415✓1.111.7M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000038210.000037691-1.36%0.00004282+12.06%0.0988✓1.292.5M2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0308-1.36%8.1+58.82%0.2436✗1.33300k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum2.82752.7896-1.34%3.9681+40.34%0.1478✗1.1732k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23080.227719-1.33%0.2636+14.21%0.0626✓1.1978k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052296-1.33%0.0595+12.26%0.1411✓1.54134k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672160.066396-1.22%0.066529-1.02%0.2195✓1.262.0M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006658-1.22%0.006716-0.36%0.1094✓0.67123k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration49.4648.8748-1.18%60.95+23.23%0.0103✓1.20526k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22250.219931-1.15%0.2502+12.45%0.1069✓1.34236k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3382.3114-1.14%2.419+3.46%0.1271✓0.98157k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.79540.786819-1.08%1.3359+67.95%0.2838✗1.403.7M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6190.612559-1.04%0.774+25.04%0.0018✓1.32169k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05910.058488-1.03%0.0612+3.55%0.2172✓1.50367k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1040.102927-1.03%0.1238+19.04%0.0036✓1.037,0862022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3015.2503-0.96%8.196+54.61%0.2348✗1.202.3M2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2385.1882-0.95%8+52.73%0.1977✗1.346.7M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7914.6588-0.89%36.59+147.40%0.6971✗1.242.0M2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.09850.097631-0.88%0.1359+37.97%0.1225✗1.19583k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026370.002614-0.87%0.003157+19.72%0.0008✓1.081.4M2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.850.842606-0.87%0.76-10.59%0.2328✓0.74159k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096520.00095703-0.85%0.001085+12.40%0.1120✓1.353.0M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03251.0238-0.84%1.163+12.64%0.0754✓1.1659k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.049988-0.82%0.068+34.92%0.1046✗1.1696k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048070.047691-0.79%0.08648+79.90%0.3308✗1.511.1M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0662470.065734-0.77%0.06831+3.11%0.1187✓0.90662k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138147-0.76%0.1674+20.26%0.0444✓1.35124k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum24.3924.2092-0.74%29.4+20.54%0.0289✗0.9412.2M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73290.727649-0.72%1.0822+47.66%0.2116✗1.0684k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash42.6742.3659-0.71%48.53+13.73%0.0632✓1.13739k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26980.267924-0.70%0.3198+18.53%0.0417✓1.253.1M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9124.8783-0.69%8.248+67.92%0.2837✗1.385.5M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38050.377961-0.67%0.4029+5.89%0.1879✓1.4495k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase13.6813.5979-0.60%17.17+25.51%0.0160✓1.4261k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11350.112824-0.60%0.1435+26.43%0.0617✗1.024.0M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2351.2278-0.59%1.4894+20.60%0.0339✓1.29767k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana33.3633.1785-0.54%39.81+19.33%0.0529✓1.3492.9M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.38470.382662-0.53%0.4398+14.32%0.0924✓1.32318k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042283-0.51%0.0463+8.94%0.1565✓1.4112k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.009150.009104-0.51%0.00839-8.31%0.2553✓0.991.2M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.251280.250051-0.49%0.30205+20.20%0.0369✓1.29480k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81061.8034-0.40%2.1689+19.79%0.0447✓1.3162k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.702-0.38%6.57+39.19%0.0657✗1.531.4M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9348-0.37%2.6+33.88%0.0016✓1.68101k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006766-0.35%0.00928+36.67%0.1356✗1.03412k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.281.2757-0.34%2.017+57.58%0.1909✗1.52170k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019230.019175-0.29%0.02154+12.01%0.0612✓1.0198k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10040.100152-0.25%0.073-27.29%0.4676✓0.86188k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2962750.295805-0.16%0.34061+14.96%0.0922✓1.332.5M2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11510.115023-0.07%0.1378+19.72%0.0640✓1.4032k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.00e-78.00e-7-0.03%9.70e-7+21.25%0.0453✗0.845.3M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,072.881,072.65-0.02%1,631.28+52.05%0.2146✗1.17342.2M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.44641.4461-0.02%1.7139+18.49%0.0603✓1.31654k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47720.47722+0.00%0.6132+28.50%0.0268✓1.28662k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003860.003861+0.02%0.00462+19.69%0.0731✗1.44176k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.198.1956+0.07%11.02+34.55%0.0835✓1.21374k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase11.810111.8271+0.14%14.5774+23.43%0.0112✗1.26316k2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0450.045065+0.14%0.0581+29.11%0.0061✓1.411.1M2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09450.094668+0.18%0.1168+23.60%0.0338✗1.393.3M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274554+0.20%0.328+19.71%0.0064✗1.05713k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash54.4654.5939+0.25%61.49+12.91%0.1182✗1.352.0M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.021.0227+0.27%1.36+33.33%0.0114✓1.56749k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8144970.816714+0.27%1.0235+25.66%0.0375✓1.0797k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09060.090955+0.39%0.1134+25.17%0.0327✗1.44762k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12190.122398+0.41%0.1626+33.39%0.0070✗1.66181k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.6316.7004+0.42%22.85+37.40%0.0460✓1.5330.5M2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027620.027757+0.50%0.03144+13.83%0.1154✗1.3726k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,291.3319,418.84+0.66%22,989.40+19.17%0.0066✓1.00500.8M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25440.256093+0.67%0.318+25.00%0.0044✓1.2127k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058030.00585+0.81%0.006204+6.92%0.1229✗1.043,8612022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120610.01216+0.82%0.015628+29.57%0.1008✓0.861.6M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative8.3048.3729+0.83%9.938+19.68%0.0275✗1.133.1M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8446.9033+0.87%7.928+15.84%0.0853✗1.2813.1M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.31e-73.34e-7+0.94%3.39e-7+2.49%0.1624✗1.01603k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18430.186463+1.17%0.2308+25.23%0.0429✗1.46155k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5830.589895+1.18%0.742+27.27%0.0176✓1.21952k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.10994.1603+1.23%4.3491+5.82%0.0894✗0.761.2M2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,258.8019,544.19+1.48%23,023.60+19.55%0.0087✓0.9843k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.8651.6246+1.50%58.09+14.22%0.0949✗1.2118.7M2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6730.683844+1.61%0.709+5.35%0.2582✗1.68242k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04870.049634+1.92%0.0745+52.98%0.2693✓0.78222k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero116.22118.9082+2.31%156.99+35.08%0.0729✓1.171.2M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.002960.003029+2.32%0.00371+25.34%0.0407✗1.39664k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07660.079335+3.57%0.0936+22.19%0.0585✗1.287,1822022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum57.5759.8412+3.95%93.42+62.27%0.1556✓1.657.7M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.93110.9031+4.69%133.77+26.28%0.0168✓1.166.0M2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017720.001867+5.37%0.001664-6.09%0.3032✗1.078,9762022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48860.515679+5.54%0.5396+10.44%0.1567✗1.15173k2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.