8=======>

2022-07-01 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1432
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.2%
in alpha space · 33.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+21.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131240.0001011-22.97%0.00009807-25.27%0.3827✓1.84969k2022-07-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5617.5701-14.54%21.07+2.48%0.0219✓1.07230k2022-07-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3271.1574-12.78%0.9949-25.03%0.4161✓1.39190k2022-07-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7440.669409-10.03%0.875+17.61%0.0292✓1.552,8402022-07-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.136990.125052-8.71%0.19423+41.78%0.2492✗1.008432022-07-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1732.9826-6.00%4.72+48.76%0.3417✗0.613.1M2022-07-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9582.7815-5.97%3.679+24.37%0.1518✗0.675.2M2022-07-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.036424-5.88%0.0386-0.26%0.1953✓1.33185k2022-07-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3648-5.88%1.54+6.21%0.0480✓0.38637k2022-07-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8430.794275-5.78%0.861+2.14%0.3078✓2.0321.0M2022-07-31
OPTIMOptimism0.5290.500447-5.40%1.583+199.24%0.8213✗1.733.0M2022-07-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.399870.378651-5.31%0.40065+0.20%0.1950✓1.32150k2022-07-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.8571.7627-5.08%1.948+4.90%0.1579✓1.35997k2022-07-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.27010.25702-4.84%0.294+8.85%0.0567✓1.00931k2022-07-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18060.171941-4.79%0.207+14.62%0.0056✓1.003,9762022-07-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02260.021529-4.74%0.03423+51.46%0.1279✗1.7627.3M2022-07-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.654550.62412-4.65%0.68545+4.72%0.2256✓1.6795k2022-07-31
FISStafiEthereum0.29240.279511-4.41%0.3858+31.94%0.1312✗1.001,1382022-07-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.353.2032-4.38%3.39+1.19%0.1344✓1.00138k2022-07-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.451080.431447-4.35%0.42666-5.41%0.3218✓1.632.3M2022-07-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39970.383377-4.08%0.464+16.09%0.1357✓1.71205k2022-07-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26270.252015-4.07%0.2612-0.57%0.1553✓1.0074k2022-07-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4753.3356-4.01%4.198+20.81%0.1009✗0.682.4M2022-07-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.66942.5628-3.99%3.1688+18.71%0.1209✓1.7411k2022-07-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.563.4197-3.94%5.75+61.52%0.3969✗0.641.1M2022-07-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2430.233765-3.80%0.214-11.93%0.4082✓1.671.1M2022-07-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04540.043715-3.71%0.0542+19.38%0.0529✓1.40266k2022-07-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.085413-3.71%0.0884-0.34%0.2335✓1.40179k2022-07-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.8270.796531-3.68%0.955+15.48%0.1667✓1.82856k2022-07-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.612.5179-3.53%3.2+22.61%0.0767✓1.66301k2022-07-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024390.023548-3.45%0.03056+25.30%0.0695✗1.002,2492022-07-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.3921.3456-3.34%1.793+28.81%0.0960✗1.00175k2022-07-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.022.9224-3.23%4.79+58.61%0.3564✗0.721.0M2022-07-31
HIVEHivenative0.47540.460184-3.20%0.5301+11.51%0.1125✓1.331.2M2022-07-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.79025.6051-3.20%5.0103-13.47%0.1531✓0.21255k2022-07-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043780.042386-3.18%0.04906+12.06%0.0425✓0.9911k2022-07-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.69351.6424-3.02%3.0397+79.49%0.4524✗0.851.4M2022-07-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46130.447453-3.00%0.5044+9.34%0.0713✓1.00102k2022-07-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72980.708675-2.89%0.9212+26.23%0.0556✗1.084.0M2022-07-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.900670.875351-2.81%1.1203+24.39%0.0192✓1.194,5462022-07-31
DIADIAEthereum0.368850.358624-2.77%0.462+25.25%0.1167✗0.7190k2022-07-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.16160.157144-2.76%0.227+40.47%0.1090✗1.353,8092022-07-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205230.019962-2.74%0.022614+10.19%0.0834✓1.091,7072022-07-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3890.378385-2.73%0.528+35.73%0.1129✗1.1511k2022-07-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.302040.293804-2.73%0.32317+7.00%0.1804✓1.444,3752022-07-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum109.7388-2.61%26.37+163.70%0.6884✗1.61427k2022-07-31
XEMNEMnative0.0380660.03709-2.56%0.049408+29.80%0.0500✗1.2415k2022-07-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89690.873912-2.56%1.0822+20.66%0.0831✓1.552.8M2022-07-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018950.018466-2.56%0.01841-2.85%0.1550✓0.79385k2022-07-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0681.0409-2.54%1.308+22.47%0.0109✓1.141.6M2022-07-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06912.0169-2.52%2.7752+34.13%0.1569✗0.852.0M2022-07-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14810.144415-2.49%0.1674+13.03%0.1223✓1.41652k2022-07-31
STEEMSteemnative0.21490.209628-2.45%0.2563+19.26%0.0309✓1.21731k2022-07-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0143730.014023-2.43%0.021381+48.76%0.3201✗0.53455k2022-07-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.681.6393-2.42%1.69+0.60%0.2648✓1.54399k2022-07-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.793.6982-2.42%5.07+33.77%0.1895✗0.661.2M2022-07-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3441.3123-2.36%2.503+86.24%0.3660✗1.4685k2022-07-31
ADACardanoCardano0.44790.437372-2.35%0.5165+15.32%0.0904✓1.3471.1M2022-07-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03950.038595-2.29%0.04419+11.87%0.0656✓1.052,9412022-07-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.975.8338-2.28%9.1+52.43%0.3485✗0.501.1M2022-07-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2321.2041-2.27%1.38+12.01%0.1370✓1.433.8M2022-07-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010.000009777-2.23%0.00001172+17.20%0.0627✓1.28952k2022-07-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.762020.74501-2.23%1.0792+41.62%0.2087✗0.853502022-07-31
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.5745-2.21%2.59+60.87%0.2786✗1.15202k2022-07-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7960.779305-2.10%0.986+23.87%0.0661✗0.891.6M2022-07-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.95250.8866-2.05%61.179+17.76%0.0204✓0.861.1M2022-07-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063230.061974-1.99%0.08091+27.96%0.1124✗0.811,9062022-07-31
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.116806-1.93%0.1732+45.42%0.1395✗1.333.4M2022-07-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0747.9245-1.85%10.357+28.28%0.0087✓1.3616.0M2022-07-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.29-1.83%5.68+29.98%0.1522✗0.671.0M2022-07-31
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.050573-1.80%0.057068+10.81%0.0064✓0.6727k2022-07-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.055790.05481-1.76%0.0836+49.85%0.1554✗1.4038k2022-07-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.637732-1.74%0.762+17.41%0.0093✓0.98471k2022-07-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,458.525,364.74-1.72%10,863.90+99.03%0.4535✗1.324.1M2022-07-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30610.300861-1.71%0.3361+9.80%0.1237✓1.2310.9M2022-07-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.5062.4646-1.65%2.87+14.53%0.0863✓1.25873k2022-07-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.48.2625-1.64%14.33+70.60%0.2629✗1.511.1M2022-07-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1098840.108105-1.62%0.117624+7.04%0.1174✓1.0610.8M2022-07-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2721.2514-1.62%1.681+32.15%0.0087✓1.50428k2022-07-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5214.4503-1.56%6.733+48.93%0.0684✗1.8116.0M2022-07-31
COMPCompoundEthereum47.3946.7111-1.43%57.04+20.36%0.0842✓1.4928k2022-07-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0695.9841-1.40%7.66+26.22%0.0047✓1.3234.4M2022-07-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8062.7673-1.38%3.71+32.22%0.1407✗0.801.1M2022-07-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.471423-1.38%0.614+28.45%0.0084✓1.4399k2022-07-31
QNTQuantEthereum52.5951.8726-1.36%102.61+95.11%0.4974✗0.972.1M2022-07-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2222.1933-1.29%2.873+29.30%0.0057✓1.4470k2022-07-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39962.3718-1.16%2.7236+13.50%0.0710✓1.101.7M2022-07-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.155.0914-1.14%7.77+50.87%0.1688✗1.33372k2022-07-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.833840.824589-1.11%0.97648+17.11%0.0945✓1.38625k2022-07-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0213.8655-1.10%18.06+28.82%0.0042✓1.401.6M2022-07-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5138-1.03%3.811+50.04%0.1975✗1.14722k2022-07-31
XECeCashnative0.00003750.000037126-1.00%0.00004384+16.91%0.0754✓1.262.5M2022-07-31
FLOWFlownative1.4531.4386-0.99%1.924+32.42%0.0577✗1.22317k2022-07-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.23130.229037-0.98%0.2633+13.83%0.0868✓1.1883k2022-07-31
QTUMQtumQtum2.73262.7081-0.90%4.0689+48.90%0.1849✗1.1632k2022-07-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23120.229151-0.89%0.2499+8.09%0.1687✓1.34291k2022-07-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.104199-0.86%0.1284+22.17%0.0133✗1.027,0862022-07-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10110.10027-0.82%0.1207+19.39%0.0360✓1.16478k2022-07-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009160.009087-0.80%0.01031+12.55%0.0625✓0.996.3M2022-07-31
KSMKusamaHydration48.3647.979-0.79%63.8+31.93%0.0576✗1.19624k2022-07-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048990.048621-0.75%0.08402+71.50%0.2587✗1.511.1M2022-07-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3425.3026-0.74%9.789+83.25%0.3821✗1.212.3M2022-07-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.292.2745-0.68%2.366+3.32%0.1454✓0.97157k2022-07-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0663390.065922-0.63%0.06814+2.71%0.2094✓1.272.0M2022-07-31
TRXTRONTron0.0648790.064515-0.56%0.068934+6.25%0.1034✓0.89736k2022-07-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6070.603651-0.55%0.773+27.35%0.0094✓1.34195k2022-07-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051318-0.55%0.057+10.47%0.1893✓1.54134k2022-07-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025780.002566-0.47%0.003129+21.37%0.0083✓1.081.6M2022-07-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.009430.009392-0.41%0.0091-3.50%0.2214✓0.991.2M2022-07-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.04910.048904-0.40%0.0669+36.25%0.0851✗1.1997k2022-07-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26360.262587-0.38%0.3175+20.45%0.0473✓1.243.1M2022-07-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109094-0.37%0.1437+31.23%0.0812✗1.024.0M2022-07-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.057607-0.33%0.0629+8.82%0.1974✓1.49367k2022-07-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.6114.5639-0.32%36.5+149.83%0.6815✗1.242.0M2022-07-31
ZENHorizenBase13.2713.2287-0.31%18.95+42.80%0.0882✗1.4259k2022-07-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2245.2089-0.29%8.978+71.86%0.2868✗1.357.8M2022-07-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.257710.256993-0.28%0.31269+21.33%0.0505✓1.29480k2022-07-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.74540.743351-0.27%1.3179+76.80%0.3060✗1.393.7M2022-07-31
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.5284-0.25%30.39+23.59%0.0340✗0.9412.2M2022-07-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006530.006515-0.23%0.00677+3.68%0.0894✓0.67130k2022-07-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.01631.0142-0.21%1.1785+15.96%0.0690✓1.1556k2022-07-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019510.019471-0.20%0.02121+8.71%0.1082✓1.01103k2022-07-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23581.2337-0.17%1.5422+24.79%0.0230✓1.29809k2022-07-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1050.104825-0.17%0.0716-31.81%0.5474✓0.87204k2022-07-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7140.713112-0.12%0.9266+29.78%0.0610✗1.0574k2022-07-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009320.000931063-0.10%0.001087+16.62%0.1067✓1.373.0M2022-07-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.09490.09482-0.08%0.1219+28.45%0.0256✗1.18608k2022-07-31
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8554.852-0.06%8.327+71.51%0.2777✗1.375.5M2022-07-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04210.042081-0.04%0.048+14.01%0.1361✓1.4012k2022-07-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.135643-0.04%0.1508+11.13%0.1501✓1.34137k2022-07-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37860.378653+0.01%0.4187+10.59%0.1737✗1.44110k2022-07-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2272.2273+0.02%3.563+59.99%0.1205✓1.833.0M2022-07-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.684.6813+0.03%6.38+36.32%0.0189✓1.521.4M2022-07-31
PROPropyEthereum0.830.830311+0.04%0.76-8.43%0.2283✗0.73159k2022-07-31
DASHDashDash41.7441.7809+0.10%51.17+22.59%0.0148✗1.14752k2022-07-31
SCSiacoinnative0.003670.003675+0.14%0.00456+24.25%0.0567✗1.43169k2022-07-31
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.11e-7+0.18%9.80e-7+20.99%0.0284✓0.845.3M2022-07-31
STXStacksnative0.38840.389355+0.25%0.4389+13.00%0.1321✗1.32318k2022-07-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052370.306045+0.26%0.388402+27.25%0.0175✗1.342.6M2022-07-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.398.4158+0.31%11.52+37.31%0.0831✓1.21393k2022-07-31
SOLSolanaSolana32.8232.9273+0.33%42.38+29.13%0.0035✗1.34101.1M2022-07-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49130.493023+0.35%0.6248+27.17%0.0044✗1.26704k2022-07-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80731.8137+0.35%2.1962+21.52%0.0573✗1.3062k2022-07-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,057.571,061.42+0.36%1,679.31+58.79%0.2358✓1.17342.2M2022-07-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8021.8096+0.42%2.597+44.12%0.0427✓1.67101k2022-07-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.7978.8363+0.45%10.05+14.24%0.0894✗1.143.0M2022-07-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04570.045907+0.45%0.0587+28.45%0.0223✗1.401.1M2022-07-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006570.006601+0.48%0.0096+46.12%0.1795✓1.02417k2022-07-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2411.2474+0.52%1.981+59.63%0.1724✓1.52170k2022-07-31
MOVRMoonriverBase11.915711.9814+0.55%14.8335+24.49%0.0273✗1.26300k2022-07-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.093123+0.56%0.1096+18.36%0.1149✗1.45782k2022-07-31
NANOnanopayBase0.8129260.818396+0.67%1.0136+24.69%0.0061✓1.0997k2022-07-31
XTZTezosTezos1.37751.3876+0.73%1.7408+26.37%0.0233✗1.31635k2022-07-31
ZECZcashZcash53.4753.8629+0.73%64.39+20.42%0.0789✗1.352.0M2022-07-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11190.112783+0.79%0.1356+21.18%0.0800✗1.3833k2022-07-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09210.092839+0.80%0.128+38.98%0.0572✓1.383.4M2022-07-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.121290.122444+0.95%0.16605+36.90%0.0123✗1.66203k2022-07-31
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.97958+0.99%1.44+48.45%0.0884✓1.55784k2022-07-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.273954+1.09%0.342+26.20%0.0222✓1.04725k2022-07-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.2682+1.11%23.75+47.61%0.0877✓1.5231.3M2022-07-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,252.7619,476.01+1.16%23,307.44+21.06%0.0115✗1.00508.7M2022-07-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.005590.005668+1.39%0.006284+12.41%0.0939✗1.033,8612022-07-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120760.012246+1.41%0.015954+32.11%0.1005✓0.861.6M2022-07-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027030.027423+1.46%0.03029+12.06%0.1605✗1.3626k2022-07-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18560.188327+1.47%0.2339+26.02%0.0604✗1.45159k2022-07-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7436.8447+1.51%8.633+28.03%0.0115✓1.2713.4M2022-07-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.27e-73.32e-7+1.61%3.41e-7+4.34%0.1637✗1.00616k2022-07-31
GTGateEthereum4.02934.0951+1.63%4.4515+10.48%0.0623✗0.761.2M2022-07-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5620.571433+1.68%0.71+26.33%0.0127✓1.20952k2022-07-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,383.0019,717.51+1.73%23,400.00+20.72%0.0165✓0.9843k2022-07-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23840.242684+1.80%0.3059+28.31%0.0016✓1.2227k2022-07-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.1352.0757+1.85%59.76+16.88%0.0942✗1.2118.7M2022-07-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6440.658054+2.18%0.8+24.22%0.1250✗1.68269k2022-07-31
XVGVergenative0.002780.002854+2.65%0.00371+33.45%0.0028✓1.39636k2022-07-31
XMRMoneroMonero115.07118.1636+2.69%155.01+34.71%0.0478✓1.171.3M2022-07-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04940.050746+2.73%0.0678+37.25%0.1400✓0.78233k2022-07-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07610.078584+3.26%0.0967+27.07%0.0362✗1.277,0142022-07-31
AAVEAaveEthereum56.1858.774+4.62%97.63+73.78%0.1923✓1.657.7M2022-07-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019560.002056+5.13%0.001751-10.48%0.3679✗1.087,4662022-07-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash101.28106.5+5.15%139.37+37.61%0.0469✓1.166.0M2022-07-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47430.502361+5.92%0.5627+18.64%0.1067✗1.15163k2022-07-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.