8=======>

2022-06-30 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1962
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.9%
in alpha space · 65.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.2691+0.35%56.18-1.56%0.0427✓1.667.8M2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.001979+0.33%0.001956-0.81%0.0293✓1.097,2732022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.620613+0.26%0.644+4.04%0.1003✓1.70274k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.05053+0.26%0.0494-1.98%0.0068✓0.79233k2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29103.5422+0.24%101.28-1.95%0.0215✓1.176.1M2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero113113.2348+0.21%115.07+1.83%0.0602✓1.181.4M2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3019,878.82+0.18%19,383.00-2.31%0.0115✓0.9843k2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.00280.002805+0.17%0.00278-0.71%0.0434✓1.40650k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.39e-7+0.16%3.27e-7-3.47%0.0003✓1.00647k2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.23866+0.15%0.2384+0.04%0.0449✓1.2327k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9716.9956+0.15%16.09-5.19%0.0021✓1.5232.6M2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.124.126+0.14%4.0293-2.20%0.0048✓0.761.2M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074198+0.13%0.0761+2.70%0.0737✓1.297,0142022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0731+0.13%6.743-4.54%0.0002✓1.2813.5M2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6220,008.90+0.12%19,252.76-3.67%0.0012✗1.00508.7M2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.185013+0.12%0.1856+0.43%0.0578✓1.46167k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.094206+0.11%0.0926-1.59%0.0374✓1.46791k2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.719168+0.11%0.76202+6.07%0.0902✓0.875002022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.8433+0.10%11.9157+10.00%0.1425✓1.29276k2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4226+0.10%1.3775-3.07%0.0168✓1.31654k2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.582551+0.09%0.562-3.44%0.0092✓1.211.0M2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.990877+0.09%0.97-2.02%0.0370✓1.56846k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095582+0.09%0.0921-3.56%0.0146✓1.383.7M2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059439+0.07%0.0578-2.69%0.0280✓1.50403k2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.614375+0.06%0.607-1.14%0.0384✓1.35207k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5089+0.06%1.453-3.65%0.0080✓1.22319k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051529+0.06%0.0491-4.66%0.0036✗1.20100k2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005638+0.06%0.00559-0.79%0.0303✓1.043,8152022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006594+0.05%0.00657-0.30%0.0348✓1.03421k2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019856+0.05%0.020523+3.42%0.0743✓1.101,8282022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.687064+0.05%0.7454+8.55%0.1346✓1.423.7M2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.0079+0.05%14.61-2.60%0.0197✓1.252.0M2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.4778+0.05%53.47-1.80%0.0319✓1.352.1M2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048771+0.04%0.04899+0.49%0.0614✓1.521.1M2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.7542+0.04%32.82-2.73%0.0221✓1.34101.1M2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.2848.2985+0.04%48.36+0.17%0.0461✓1.20722k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2633+0.04%1.2358-2.14%0.0263✓1.29849k2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3512+0.02%5.224-2.36%0.0265✓1.359.0M2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133626+0.02%0.1357+1.57%0.0659✓1.35149k2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,070.27+0.02%1,057.57-1.17%0.0319✓1.17342.4M2022-07-01
DASHDashDash42.2342.2355+0.01%41.74-1.16%0.0310✓1.14766k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047606+0.01%0.0457-3.99%0.0117✓1.411.1M2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.8142+0.01%2.806-0.28%0.0271✓0.801.1M2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.00369+0.01%0.00367-0.54%0.0481✓1.43176k2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.9088+0.01%8.797-11.21%0.0770✗1.133.0M2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.123175+0.00%0.12129-1.53%0.0469✓1.67203k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.909243+0.00%0.90067-0.94%0.0353✓1.204,6812022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.1123-0.00%0.1095-2.49%0.0129✗1.024.0M2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.113795-0.00%0.1119-1.67%0.0351✗1.3934k2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8396-0.01%1.8073-1.77%0.0311✗1.3162k2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019368-0.01%0.01951+0.72%0.0455✗1.02104k2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.578-0.01%14.02-3.84%0.0136✗1.411.6M2022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038284-0.02%0.0000375-2.06%0.0267✗1.272.6M2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.009418-0.02%0.00916-2.76%0.0092✗0.996.4M2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.269454-0.02%0.2636-2.19%0.0246✗1.253.2M2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054288-0.02%0.0516-4.97%0.0068✗1.54138k2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.097473-0.03%0.0949-2.67%0.0175✗1.18647k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.115158-0.04%0.105-8.85%0.0602✓0.86209k2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.38051-0.04%0.36885-3.10%0.0044✓0.71113k2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.7893-0.04%51.13-4.98%0.0054✓1.2118.4M2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2851-0.04%2.227-2.58%0.0428✗1.843.0M2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3065-0.04%1.272-2.68%0.0295✗1.50430k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.9576-0.04%5.97+0.17%0.0211✗0.511.1M2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.385642-0.04%0.3786-1.87%0.0354✗1.44115k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.227606-0.04%0.2313+1.58%0.0608✗1.2087k2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002749-0.04%0.002578-6.25%0.0239✓1.081.6M2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.057635-0.04%0.05579-3.24%0.0197✗1.4047k2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8602-0.04%1.802-3.17%0.0308✗1.67101k2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.038096-0.04%0.038066-0.12%0.0458✗1.2520k2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.274-0.05%6.069-3.31%0.0161✗1.3239.1M2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.268279-0.05%0.25771-3.99%0.0081✗1.29480k2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.427-0.05%2.3996-1.18%0.0298✗1.101.7M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.275846-0.06%0.271-1.81%0.0215✗1.05746k2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.40770.407471-0.06%0.3884-4.73%0.0013✗1.32318k2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044475-0.06%0.0421-5.39%0.0025✓1.4012k2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.116633-0.06%0.1191+2.06%0.0712✗1.353.6M2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.8129-0.06%2.7326-2.91%0.0146✗1.1733k2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.3937-0.06%5.342-1.02%0.0358✗1.222.3M2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.258-0.08%1.232-2.14%0.0327✗1.444.3M2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3965-0.08%4.37-0.68%0.0193✗0.681.2M2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.6356-0.08%51.952-6.70%0.0368✓0.851.1M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.819535-0.09%0.812926-0.89%0.0328✗1.09100k2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012431-0.09%0.012076-2.94%0.0031✗0.861.6M2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006484-0.09%0.00653+0.62%0.0323✗0.68134k2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.328565-0.09%0.305237-7.18%0.0238✓1.332.6M2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,407.40-0.09%5,458.52+0.85%0.0591✗1.334.1M2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.064740.06468-0.09%0.064879+0.21%0.0365✗0.89736k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.8364-0.09%3.79-1.30%0.0126✗0.661.2M2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.314303-0.09%0.3061-2.70%0.0195✗1.2311.8M2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7317-0.10%1.6935-2.30%0.0097✗0.861.4M2022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0574-0.10%2.0691+0.47%0.0377✗0.862.1M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9969-0.10%4.855-2.94%0.0226✗1.385.5M2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.503381-0.10%0.4913-2.50%0.0230✗1.27719k2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0268-0.10%3.02-0.33%0.0249✗0.731.1M2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.09e-7-0.11%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0327✗0.855.3M2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.051443-0.11%0.0515+0.00%0.0262✗0.6728k2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.3153-0.12%2.222-4.14%0.0128✗1.4477k2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.5603-0.12%24.59+0.00%0.0367✗0.9511.3M2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.502-0.12%2.506+0.04%0.0486✗1.26873k2022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.46333-0.12%0.4613-0.56%0.0330✗1.00100k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.0536-0.13%13.27+1.53%0.0700✗1.4359k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0827-0.13%1.0163-6.25%0.0206✓1.1456k2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.841897-0.13%0.827-1.90%0.0506✗1.83886k2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.471032-0.14%0.45108-4.37%0.0176✗1.632.4M2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2054-0.14%3.35+4.36%0.0815✗1.00143k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5775-0.15%8.4-2.21%0.0355✗1.511.2M2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160166-0.15%0.1616+0.75%0.0599✗1.374,0222022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.357476-0.15%0.389+8.66%0.1286✗1.1811k2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.159764-0.15%0.1481-7.44%0.0232✓1.41717k2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.490458-0.15%0.4743-3.44%0.0096✗1.15154k2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.112134-0.15%0.109884-2.16%0.0193✗1.0611.2M2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.312597-0.15%0.30204-3.53%0.0197✗1.455,5012022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.104139-0.15%0.1011-3.07%0.0138✗1.16515k2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.3619-0.16%1.344-1.47%0.0418✗1.4793k2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.6542-0.16%52.59-2.14%0.0162✗0.971.9M2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.554-0.17%8.074+6.70%0.1181✗1.3815.0M2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000951255-0.17%0.000932-2.19%0.0309✗1.372.9M2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066306-0.18%0.066339-0.13%0.0482✗1.282.0M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.6998-0.18%47.39+5.83%0.1148✗1.5128k2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4356-0.18%2.29-6.15%0.0257✓0.96157k2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014593-0.19%0.014373-1.70%0.0047✗0.53469k2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6369-0.19%1.68+2.44%0.0843✗1.56405k2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024393-0.19%0.02439-0.20%0.0372✗1.002,1812022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.458913-0.19%0.4479-2.59%0.0260✗1.3573.7M2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.624-0.19%4.521-2.42%0.0453✗1.8216.0M2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.880525-0.19%0.83384-5.49%0.0030✓1.38655k2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.04404-0.20%0.04378-0.79%0.0312✗0.9911k2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.507937-0.21%0.478-6.09%0.0075✓1.42109k2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2414-0.21%1.241-0.24%0.0569✗1.53169k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6842-0.21%2.54-5.58%0.0126✓1.14659k2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.617-0.22%10-6.02%0.0002✓1.61427k2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.880.878057-0.22%0.83-5.68%0.0292✓0.73159k2022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.543771-0.23%0.529-2.94%0.0098✗1.003.2M2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.692357-0.24%0.649-6.48%0.0283✓0.97520k2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010285-0.24%0.00001-3.01%0.0197✗1.281.0M2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.8184-0.24%4.68-3.11%0.0279✗1.531.4M2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5095-0.24%3.475-1.22%0.0155✗0.682.5M2022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.136739-0.25%0.13699-0.07%0.0392✗1.008412022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.799941-0.26%0.796-0.75%0.0283✗0.891.6M2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.257327-0.26%0.243-5.81%0.0052✗1.671.2M2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.3147-0.27%8.39-10.17%0.0599✓1.20398k2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.848633-0.28%0.843-0.94%0.0696✗2.0423.8M2022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.217058-0.29%0.2149-1.29%0.0356✗1.22731k2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5888-0.31%3.56-1.11%0.0160✗0.651.2M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.7984-0.31%2.6694-4.91%0.0180✗1.7512k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018361-0.32%0.01895+2.88%0.0617✗0.81369k2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027461-0.32%0.02703-1.89%0.0352✗1.3726k2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4252-0.33%1.45+1.40%0.0317✗0.39637k2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.182292-0.33%0.1806-1.26%0.0280✗1.004,1902022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1192-0.34%1.068-4.90%0.0045✓1.131.5M2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.664-0.36%1.61-3.59%0.0099✗1.15202k2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.7116-0.37%1.857+8.09%0.1329✗1.37953k2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.102913-0.37%0.1051+1.74%0.0597✗1.037,0862022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.9986-0.38%2.958-1.73%0.0114✗0.675.2M2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.697013-0.39%0.65455-6.46%0.0005✓1.6799k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9482-0.40%2.61-11.82%0.0605✓1.64314k2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023306-0.40%0.0226-3.42%0.0351✗1.7628.8M2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1193-0.40%5.15+0.19%0.0560✗1.34386k2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.039047-0.41%0.0395+0.74%0.0511✗1.063,1732022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270325-0.43%0.2701-0.52%0.0365✗1.001.0M2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.7742-0.52%5.7902-0.24%0.0108✗0.21255k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.240268-0.59%0.2312-4.34%0.0115✗1.34392k2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.796203-0.64%0.7298-8.92%0.0471✓1.073.6M2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.390187-0.65%0.39987+1.82%0.0741✗1.33143k2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.995611-0.66%0.8969-10.51%0.0468✓1.542.8M2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.040422-0.68%0.0387-4.91%0.0060✓1.32192k2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.095536-0.69%0.0887-7.80%0.0220✓1.40179k2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045374-0.71%0.0454-0.66%0.0532✗1.41272k2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.729558-0.83%0.714-2.95%0.0178✗1.0573k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.432927-0.84%0.3997-8.45%0.0162✓1.70210k2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010162-0.95%0.00943-8.09%0.0380✓0.981.2M2022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.0662-1.08%0.06323-5.51%0.0161✓0.801,8752022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52290.516738-1.18%0.4754-9.08%0.0341✓1.321.2M2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.3483-1.26%3.173-6.43%0.0312✓0.603.2M2022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.704756-1.29%0.744+4.20%0.1130✗1.572,9032022-07-01
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.414899-1.33%0.2924-30.46%0.3126✓1.009832022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000109798-2.89%0.00013124+16.07%0.2498✗1.91969k2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03861.008-2.95%1.327+27.77%0.3289✗1.44190k2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5823.1223-5.93%20.56-16.35%0.0787✓1.04230k2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.