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2022-06-30 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1956
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.2%
in alpha space · 28.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5823.0315-6.30%20.56-16.35%0.0748✓1.04230k2022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000111799-1.12%0.00013124+16.07%0.2318✗1.91969k2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03861.0314-0.69%1.327+27.77%0.3059✗1.44190k2022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.709817-0.59%0.744+4.20%0.1058✗1.572,9032022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.848115-0.34%0.843-0.94%0.0703✗2.0423.8M2022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.066693-0.34%0.06323-5.51%0.0236✓0.801,8752022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.733961-0.24%0.714-2.95%0.0118✗1.0573k2022-07-01
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.419566-0.22%0.2924-30.46%0.3237✓1.009832022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.3841-0.20%3.173-6.43%0.0418✓0.603.2M2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.013.0052-0.16%2.958-1.73%0.0092✗0.675.2M2022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.271112-0.14%0.2701-0.52%0.0336✗1.001.0M2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4281-0.13%1.45+1.40%0.0297✗0.39637k2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.800648-0.08%0.7298-8.92%0.0527✓1.073.6M2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.699201-0.07%0.65455-6.46%0.0037✓1.6799k2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.257845-0.06%0.243-5.81%0.0032✗1.671.2M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.8063-0.03%2.6694-4.91%0.0152✗1.7512k2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.517-0.03%3.475-1.22%0.0133✗0.682.5M2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023394-0.03%0.0226-3.42%0.0313✗1.7628.8M2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.1829-0.00%0.1806-1.26%0.0247✗1.004,1902022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.217701+0.00%0.2149-1.29%0.0326✓1.22731k2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024441+0.00%0.02439-0.20%0.0353✓1.002,1812022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.137097+0.01%0.13699-0.07%0.0366✓1.008412022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.471744+0.02%0.45108-4.37%0.0160✓1.632.4M2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2111+0.03%3.35+4.36%0.0797✓1.00143k2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.8063+0.04%5.7902-0.24%0.0053✓0.21255k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9611+0.04%2.61-11.82%0.0649✗1.64314k2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.04072+0.05%0.0387-4.91%0.0014✗1.32192k2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.90976+0.06%0.90067-0.94%0.0347✓1.204,6812022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1238+0.07%1.068-4.90%0.0086✗1.131.5M2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.7193+0.08%1.857+8.09%0.1284✓1.37953k2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.8342+0.09%4.68-3.11%0.0246✓1.531.4M2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52290.523403+0.10%0.4754-9.08%0.0469✗1.321.2M2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045744+0.10%0.0454-0.66%0.0451✓1.41272k2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.737+0.10%51.952-6.70%0.0386✗0.851.1M2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.6037+0.10%3.56-1.11%0.0119✓0.651.2M2022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.464415+0.11%0.4613-0.56%0.0306✓1.00100k2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019392+0.11%0.01951+0.72%0.0443✓1.02104k2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.051561+0.12%0.0515+0.00%0.0239✓0.6728k2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00221.0034+0.12%0.8969-10.51%0.0546✗1.542.8M2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.01464+0.13%0.014373-1.70%0.0015✓0.53469k2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.880.88126+0.14%0.83-5.68%0.0328✗0.73159k2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.3213+0.14%2.222-4.14%0.0102✓1.4477k2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.104451+0.14%0.1011-3.07%0.0108✓1.16515k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.6025+0.15%8.4-2.21%0.0326✓1.511.2M2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.4052+0.15%5.342-1.02%0.0337✓1.222.3M2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6563+0.15%10-6.02%0.0035✗1.61427k2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.4068+0.15%4.37-0.68%0.0169✓0.681.2M2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.509833+0.16%0.478-6.09%0.0112✗1.42109k2022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.545907+0.17%0.529-2.94%0.0059✓1.003.2M2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.11e-7+0.17%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0299✓0.855.3M2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4236+0.17%1.3775-3.07%0.0161✓1.31654k2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.6057+0.18%14.02-3.84%0.0117✓1.411.6M2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.329436+0.18%0.305237-7.18%0.0265✗1.332.6M2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.044208+0.18%0.04378-0.79%0.0274✓0.9911k2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.2612+0.18%1.232-2.14%0.0302✓1.444.3M2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.9058+0.18%51.13-4.98%0.0076✗1.2118.4M2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0768+0.18%6.743-4.54%0.0007✓1.2813.5M2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.6414+0.18%4.521-2.42%0.0416✓1.8216.0M2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.8196+0.18%2.7326-2.91%0.0122✓1.1733k2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6732+0.19%1.61-3.59%0.0044✓1.15202k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.8474+0.19%3.79-1.30%0.0097✓0.661.2M2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2904+0.19%2.227-2.58%0.0405✓1.843.0M2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.393523+0.20%0.39987+1.82%0.0656✓1.33143k2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.8196+0.20%2.806-0.28%0.0252✓0.801.1M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0025.012+0.20%4.855-2.94%0.0196✓1.385.5M2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.313713+0.20%0.30204-3.53%0.0161✓1.455,5012022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038369+0.21%0.0000375-2.06%0.0245✓1.272.6M2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.504937+0.21%0.4913-2.50%0.0199✓1.27719k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.242208+0.21%0.2312-4.34%0.0035✓1.34392k2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.992086+0.21%0.97-2.02%0.0358✓1.56846k2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.096407+0.21%0.0887-7.80%0.0311✗1.40179k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.437556+0.22%0.3997-8.45%0.0268✗1.70210k2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010283+0.22%0.00943-8.09%0.0498✗0.981.2M2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.2911+0.22%6.069-3.31%0.0133✓1.3239.1M2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.46084+0.23%0.4479-2.59%0.0218✓1.3573.7M2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9717.0086+0.23%16.09-5.19%0.0014✓1.5232.6M2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4457+0.23%2.29-6.15%0.0298✗0.96157k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018464+0.24%0.01895+2.88%0.0561✓0.81369k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.5853+0.24%8.074+6.70%0.1139✓1.3815.0M2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019893+0.24%0.020523+3.42%0.0724✓1.101,8282022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.4342+0.24%2.3996-1.18%0.0268✓1.101.7M2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.381582+0.24%0.36885-3.10%0.0072✗0.71113k2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.3674+0.25%1.344-1.47%0.0378✓1.4793k2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.112595+0.26%0.109884-2.16%0.0152✓1.0611.2M2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.845222+0.26%0.827-1.90%0.0467✓1.83886k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047727+0.27%0.0457-3.99%0.0092✓1.411.1M2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027624+0.27%0.02703-1.89%0.0293✓1.3726k2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.5118+0.27%2.506+0.04%0.0447✓1.26873k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6974+0.27%2.54-5.58%0.0175✗1.14659k2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7382+0.28%1.6935-2.30%0.0059✓0.861.4M2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.6595+0.28%24.59+0.00%0.0327✓0.9511.3M2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010339+0.28%0.00001-3.01%0.0145✓1.281.0M2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048888+0.28%0.04899+0.49%0.0590✓1.521.1M2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.936+0.28%8.797-11.21%0.0797✗1.133.0M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.720456+0.29%0.76202+6.07%0.0884✓0.875002022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3654+0.29%5.224-2.36%0.0239✓1.359.0M2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.270287+0.29%0.2636-2.19%0.0215✓1.253.2M2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.064740.064929+0.29%0.064879+0.21%0.0326✓0.89736k2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059574+0.29%0.0578-2.69%0.0257✓1.50403k2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.8992+0.30%52.59-2.14%0.0116✓0.971.9M2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.039326+0.30%0.0395+0.74%0.0440✓1.063,1732022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.8407+0.30%32.82-2.73%0.0196✓1.34101.1M2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8453+0.30%1.8073-1.77%0.0280✓1.3162k2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.160478+0.30%0.1481-7.44%0.0277✗1.41717k2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.097795+0.30%0.0949-2.67%0.0142✓1.18647k2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044637+0.31%0.0421-5.39%0.0061✗1.4012k2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.009449+0.31%0.00916-2.76%0.0059✓0.996.4M2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.696145+0.31%0.649-6.48%0.0337✗0.97520k2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8669+0.31%1.802-3.17%0.0272✓1.67101k2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6453+0.32%1.68+2.44%0.0792✓1.56405k2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.103633+0.32%0.1051+1.74%0.0527✓1.037,0862022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006611+0.32%0.00657-0.30%0.0321✓1.03421k2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.057848+0.33%0.05579-3.24%0.0161✓1.4047k2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,430.33+0.33%5,458.52+0.85%0.0549✓1.334.1M2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.804664+0.33%0.796-0.75%0.0224✓0.891.6M2022-07-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.02880.028896+0.33%0.029+0.69%0.0211✓0.47130k2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.616064+0.34%0.607-1.14%0.0357✓1.35207k2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.114+0.34%13.27+1.53%0.0654✓1.4359k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0878+0.35%1.0163-6.25%0.0253✗1.1456k2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.359237+0.35%0.389+8.66%0.1237✓1.1811k2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054488+0.35%0.0516-4.97%0.0031✓1.54138k2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.2848.4498+0.35%48.36+0.17%0.0429✓1.20722k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.228509+0.36%0.2313+1.58%0.0568✓1.2087k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160981+0.36%0.1616+0.75%0.0549✓1.374,0222022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0412+0.37%3.02-0.33%0.0202✓0.731.1M2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.038254+0.37%0.038066-0.12%0.0417✓1.2520k2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.114227+0.37%0.1119-1.67%0.0313✓1.3934k2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000956489+0.38%0.000932-2.19%0.0254✓1.372.9M2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.123634+0.38%0.12129-1.53%0.0432✓1.67203k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2676+0.38%1.2358-2.14%0.0229✓1.29849k2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1594+0.38%5.15+0.19%0.0482✓1.34386k2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.003704+0.39%0.00367-0.54%0.0443✓1.43176k2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.885681+0.39%0.83384-5.49%0.0088✗1.38655k2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.315834+0.39%0.3061-2.70%0.0147✓1.2311.8M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.823498+0.40%0.812926-0.89%0.0280✓1.09100k2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2489+0.40%1.241-0.24%0.0508✓1.53169k2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.3776+0.40%8.39-10.17%0.0666✗1.20398k2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3019,922.32+0.40%19,383.00-2.31%0.0093✓0.9843k2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.387358+0.40%0.3786-1.87%0.0310✓1.44115k2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3123+0.40%1.272-2.68%0.0250✓1.50430k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5141+0.40%1.453-3.65%0.0045✓1.22319k2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.0613+0.41%14.61-2.60%0.0161✓1.252.0M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.9634+0.41%47.39+5.83%0.1089✓1.5128k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.115678+0.42%0.105-8.85%0.0647✗0.86209k2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.269531+0.42%0.25771-3.99%0.0035✓1.29480k2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.112771+0.42%0.1095-2.49%0.0087✓1.024.0M2022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0682+0.42%2.0691+0.47%0.0324✓0.862.1M2022-07-01
DASHDashDash42.2342.4092+0.42%41.74-1.16%0.0269✓1.14766k2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012495+0.42%0.012076-2.94%0.0020✓0.861.6M2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066709+0.43%0.066339-0.13%0.0422✓1.282.0M2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006518+0.43%0.00653+0.62%0.0272✓0.68134k2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.40770.409453+0.43%0.3884-4.73%0.0035✓1.32318k2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.117214+0.44%0.1191+2.06%0.0663✓1.353.6M2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.881+0.45%11.9157+10.00%0.1390✓1.29276k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.9868+0.45%5.97+0.17%0.0161✓0.511.1M2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,074.92+0.45%1,057.57-1.17%0.0276✓1.17342.4M2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.689821+0.45%0.7454+8.55%0.1306✓1.423.7M2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.00566+0.46%0.00559-0.79%0.0263✓1.043,8152022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.134214+0.46%0.1357+1.57%0.0615✓1.35149k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051743+0.47%0.0491-4.66%0.0078✗1.20100k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.094566+0.50%0.0926-1.59%0.0336✓1.46791k2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002764+0.50%0.002578-6.25%0.0293✗1.081.6M2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29103.8139+0.51%101.28-1.95%0.0189✓1.176.1M2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095991+0.51%0.0921-3.56%0.0104✓1.383.7M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074482+0.52%0.0761+2.70%0.0698✓1.297,0142022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.185772+0.53%0.1856+0.43%0.0537✓1.46167k2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6220,091.91+0.53%19,252.76-3.67%0.0053✗1.00508.7M2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.239616+0.55%0.2384+0.04%0.0409✓1.2327k2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.7519+0.55%53.47-1.80%0.0269✓1.352.1M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.277537+0.56%0.271-1.81%0.0154✓1.05746k2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.62246+0.56%0.644+4.04%0.0974✓1.70274k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.0507+0.60%0.0494-1.98%0.0034✓0.79233k2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.585501+0.60%0.562-3.44%0.0041✓1.211.0M2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.00280.002817+0.61%0.00278-0.71%0.0390✓1.40650k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.41e-7+0.63%3.27e-7-3.47%0.0044✓1.00647k2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero113113.7557+0.67%115.07+1.83%0.0556✓1.181.4M2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.49464+0.70%0.4743-3.44%0.0012✓1.15154k2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.124.1489+0.70%4.0293-2.20%0.0007✓0.761.2M2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.5391+0.82%56.18-1.56%0.0380✓1.667.8M2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.001993+1.05%0.001956-0.81%0.0222✓1.097,2732022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.