8=======>

2022-06-28 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1403
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 40.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107910.000084377-21.81%0.00010026-7.09%0.1396✓1.91969k2022-07-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.148860.133851-10.08%0.18356+23.31%0.1523✗1.008412022-07-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.59507-8.03%0.846+30.76%0.0938✗1.583,0312022-07-28
HIVEHivenative0.62130.575711-7.34%0.5527-11.04%0.2548✓1.311.2M2022-07-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9890.91678-7.30%0.845-14.56%0.4098✓2.0131.2M2022-07-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04230.039215-7.29%0.0387-8.51%0.2305✓1.33192k2022-07-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4646-6.71%1.58+0.64%0.0130✓0.38637k2022-07-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0392.8458-6.36%3.357+10.46%0.0556✓0.675.2M2022-07-28
OPTIMOptimism0.5290.496107-6.22%1.448+173.72%0.9076✗1.003.4M2022-07-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0552.8706-6.04%4.116+34.73%0.2621✗0.603.1M2022-07-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.22020.207014-5.99%0.2951+34.01%0.1910✗1.00835k2022-07-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.750960.706097-5.97%0.67138-10.60%0.3235✓1.6795k2022-07-28
FISStafiEthereum0.36070.339299-5.93%0.4352+20.65%0.0854✗1.001,2942022-07-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10120.09551-5.62%0.0846-16.40%0.3515✓1.41179k2022-07-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43730.413162-5.52%0.4654+6.43%0.1536✓1.67212k2022-07-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19920.1895-4.87%0.2192+10.04%0.0180✓1.004,1902022-07-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83.6178-4.79%3.991+5.03%0.0139✓0.693.0M2022-07-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023430.022327-4.71%0.0273+16.52%0.0909✓1.7935.3M2022-07-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.495080.47233-4.60%0.42547-14.06%0.3756✓1.662.4M2022-07-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.989380.944564-4.53%1.044+5.53%0.0949✓1.196,1032022-07-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.36950.352889-4.50%0.40886+10.65%0.0700✓1.33138k2022-07-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2710.258906-4.46%0.216-20.30%0.4552✓1.681.3M2022-07-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.71582.5976-4.35%2.8436+4.71%0.1978✓1.7615k2022-07-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.293.1477-4.32%3.27-0.61%0.1255✓1.00159k2022-07-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048740.046818-3.94%0.04744-2.67%0.1449✓0.9711k2022-07-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.497-3.93%5.27+44.78%0.3042✗0.651.3M2022-07-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026840.0258-3.88%0.03057+13.90%0.0061✓1.002,7622022-07-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.8760.842547-3.82%1.012+15.53%0.1167✓1.831.2M2022-07-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04480.043138-3.71%0.0524+16.96%0.0364✓1.41272k2022-07-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6001-3.70%2.87+6.30%0.1725✓1.66301k2022-07-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75015.5482-3.51%5.3229-7.43%0.0784✓0.23235k2022-07-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7172.6236-3.44%2.783+2.43%0.1801✓1.4683k2022-07-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47460.458451-3.40%0.4994+5.23%0.0780✓1.00107k2022-07-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.6571.6014-3.35%1.828+10.32%0.0931✓1.38953k2022-07-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.062.9592-3.30%4.3+40.52%0.2530✗0.741.1M2022-07-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.811.7514-3.24%2.3202+28.19%0.1385✗0.871.7M2022-07-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.740.717676-3.02%0.773+4.46%0.0865✓0.98471k2022-07-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04340.042107-2.98%0.04319-0.48%0.1461✓1.053,1732022-07-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3081.2697-2.92%1.374+5.05%0.1555✓1.434.3M2022-07-28
RADRadworksEthereum1.761.7088-2.91%2.79+58.52%0.2987✗1.17222k2022-07-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.308240.299436-2.86%0.31751+3.01%0.1762✓1.447,2232022-07-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.716169-2.79%0.978+32.75%0.1349✗1.083.5M2022-07-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021480.020886-2.77%0.021876+1.84%0.1324✓1.092,4642022-07-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019950.019405-2.73%0.01883-5.61%0.1630✓0.81369k2022-07-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86350.840017-2.72%0.9528+10.34%0.1285✓1.562.8M2022-07-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.13655.602-2.68%63.13+10.49%0.0122✓0.851.2M2022-07-28
STEEMSteemnative0.2190.213162-2.67%0.2505+14.38%0.0382✓1.22780k2022-07-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.5810.3-2.65%18.56+75.43%0.3258✗1.61446k2022-07-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.20522.1476-2.61%2.4295+10.17%0.0177✓0.862.1M2022-07-28
XEMNEMnative0.0403520.039316-2.57%0.049289+22.15%0.0215✓1.2525k2022-07-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0151240.01474-2.54%0.020938+38.44%0.2635✗0.53501k2022-07-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062350.060776-2.52%0.08406+34.82%0.0955✗1.4060k2022-07-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0941-2.49%9.02+44.32%0.3088✗0.511.2M2022-07-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3651.331-2.49%2.407+76.34%0.3500✗1.4882k2022-07-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.933.8328-2.47%4.77+21.37%0.1111✗0.661.2M2022-07-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0811.055-2.41%1.357+25.53%0.0670✗1.131.6M2022-07-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8974.7803-2.38%6.924+41.39%0.0726✗1.8216.9M2022-07-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064180.062661-2.37%0.07534+17.39%0.0207✓1.001,6002022-07-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.18880.184336-2.36%0.1986+5.19%0.1490✓1.374,3732022-07-28
ADACardanoCardano0.4690.457969-2.35%0.5129+9.36%0.1069✓1.3576.9M2022-07-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.634.5214-2.35%5.36+15.77%0.0587✗0.681.2M2022-07-28
DIADIAEthereum0.373050.364729-2.23%0.44641+19.66%0.0868✗0.71132k2022-07-28
QNTQuantEthereum57.656.3797-2.12%103.78+80.17%0.4511✗0.971.9M2022-07-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.5912.5382-2.04%2.864+10.54%0.0848✓1.26969k2022-07-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.818.6375-1.96%15.1+71.40%0.3112✗1.511.3M2022-07-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15020.147274-1.95%0.1645+9.52%0.1183✓1.40730k2022-07-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786910.771615-1.94%1.1173+41.99%0.2330✗0.848462022-07-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81330.798137-1.86%0.9764+20.05%0.0286✗1.0665k2022-07-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.758715-1.72%0.884+14.51%0.0105✓0.871.7M2022-07-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31240.307026-1.72%0.3363+7.65%0.1085✓1.2212.0M2022-07-28
BANDBandEthereum1.3671.3454-1.58%1.756+28.46%0.0210✗1.50514k2022-07-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009950.000009794-1.57%0.00001185+19.10%0.0187✓1.28952k2022-07-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5310.522677-1.57%0.612+15.25%0.0743✓1.42109k2022-07-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0525990.051793-1.53%0.055041+4.64%0.0487✓0.6732k2022-07-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12080.118962-1.52%0.1638+35.60%0.0964✗1.373.8M2022-07-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2915.0613-1.50%17.18+12.36%0.0983✓1.411.9M2022-07-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1142370.112548-1.48%0.116688+2.15%0.1368✓1.0611.6M2022-07-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53392.4989-1.38%2.5021-1.25%0.1789✓1.102.2M2022-07-28
FLOWFlownative1.6081.5859-1.38%1.876+16.67%0.0324✓1.23332k2022-07-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3480.343396-1.32%0.5+43.68%0.1799✗1.2012k2022-07-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.887570.876116-1.29%0.98039+10.46%0.1123✓1.37713k2022-07-28
QTUMQtumQtum2.88472.8491-1.24%4.4845+55.46%0.2621✗1.1738k2022-07-28
TRXTRONTron0.0657550.064982-1.18%0.069762+6.09%0.0741✓0.89736k2022-07-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.125.0605-1.16%8.22+60.55%0.2650✗1.35380k2022-07-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4728-1.15%1.59+6.71%0.1748✓1.54433k2022-07-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4882.4594-1.15%4.135+66.20%0.2188✗1.843.0M2022-07-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8592.8274-1.10%3.498+22.35%0.0844✗0.781.1M2022-07-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,637.115,575.41-1.09%9,140.60+62.15%0.2746✗1.344.0M2022-07-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24060.238012-1.08%0.2547+5.86%0.1273✓1.1987k2022-07-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1305-1.06%1.1356-0.61%0.1837✓1.1553k2022-07-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12860.127259-1.04%0.0836-34.99%0.5602✓0.86215k2022-07-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12640.125141-1.00%0.1359+7.52%0.0815✓1.004.0M2022-07-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4632.4386-0.99%2.634+6.94%0.0797✓0.96154k2022-07-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.347.268-0.98%10.858+47.93%0.1766✗1.3714.5M2022-07-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3036.2419-0.97%7.22+14.55%0.0695✓1.3140.5M2022-07-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05560.055063-0.97%0.0655+17.81%0.0224✓1.20114k2022-07-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050480.050015-0.92%0.07211+42.85%0.1166✗1.521.2M2022-07-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.512.4884-0.86%3.724+48.37%0.2170✗1.14636k2022-07-28
PROPropyEthereum0.890.882955-0.79%0.8-10.11%0.2195✓0.74158k2022-07-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.055855-0.79%0.0532-5.51%0.3015✓1.55145k2022-07-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04660.046243-0.77%0.0443-4.94%0.2781✓1.4413k2022-07-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028930.002871-0.76%0.003107+7.40%0.0972✓1.081.9M2022-07-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5165.4749-0.75%5.93+7.51%0.1203✓1.222.5M2022-07-28
XECeCashnative0.000039380.000039097-0.72%0.00004428+12.44%0.0833✓1.272.6M2022-07-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.279.2051-0.70%17.43+88.03%0.4728✗1.01230k2022-07-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009360.009295-0.70%0.00923-1.39%0.1671✓0.986.7M2022-07-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.651549-0.68%0.753+14.79%0.0758✓1.35228k2022-07-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.33931.3308-0.63%1.5+12.00%0.0921✓1.29928k2022-07-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.2649.9522-0.61%65.44+30.20%0.0755✗1.19813k2022-07-28
DASHDashDash46.2746.008-0.57%52.48+13.42%0.0556✓1.14752k2022-07-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0659430.065639-0.46%0.069104+4.79%0.1573✓1.282.0M2022-07-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10180.101334-0.46%0.117+14.93%0.0501✓1.19515k2022-07-28
ZENHorizenBase13.5813.522-0.43%18.46+35.94%0.0767✗1.4361k2022-07-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10080.100396-0.40%0.1216+20.63%0.0208✗1.046,7622022-07-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.6546.4699-0.39%57.97+24.27%0.0262✓1.5128k2022-07-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23210.231213-0.38%0.2442+5.21%0.1670✓1.35291k2022-07-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14340.142853-0.38%0.1498+4.46%0.1742✓1.36149k2022-07-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.2680.267069-0.35%0.32569+21.53%0.0129✓1.29479k2022-07-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27510.274227-0.32%0.3136+13.99%0.0705✓1.253.5M2022-07-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.72510.723345-0.24%0.9416+29.86%0.0252✗1.46190k2022-07-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060557-0.24%0.0629+3.62%0.2076✓1.50403k2022-07-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.6325.5708-0.23%30.24+17.99%0.0113✗0.9610.8M2022-07-28
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.18e-7-0.20%9.50e-7+3.26%0.1036✓0.845.3M2022-07-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020250.020235-0.08%0.02099+3.65%0.1299✓1.02115k2022-07-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.079.0675-0.03%12.01+32.41%0.0831✗1.21398k2022-07-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.684.6815+0.03%5.6+19.66%0.0758✗1.561.4M2022-07-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38740.387573+0.04%0.431+11.25%0.1306✗1.45115k2022-07-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003932+0.06%0.00442+12.47%0.1202✗1.45228k2022-07-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008760.008766+0.07%0.00895+2.17%0.1391✗0.981.3M2022-07-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.18110.1893+0.08%10.343+1.59%0.1693✗1.133.1M2022-07-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052951+0.10%0.0547+3.40%0.2004✗1.421.3M2022-07-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.4115.4254+0.10%40.83+164.96%0.7703✓1.242.1M2022-07-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068930.006902+0.12%0.006901+0.12%0.1128✗0.69134k2022-07-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53060.531334+0.14%0.5764+8.63%0.1285✗1.28662k2022-07-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4725.4816+0.18%7.265+32.77%0.0603✓1.3511.0M2022-07-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3174440.318001+0.18%0.330968+4.26%0.1794✗1.342.6M2022-07-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.10240.102612+0.21%0.1207+17.87%0.0312✗1.18608k2022-07-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9571.9611+0.21%2.858+46.04%0.1025✓1.68103k2022-07-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,142.651,145.72+0.27%1,725.19+50.98%0.2165✓1.18347.1M2022-07-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.091.0934+0.31%1.57+44.04%0.1073✓1.56912k2022-07-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.133910.134329+0.31%0.16001+19.49%0.0972✗1.66217k2022-07-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9174.9355+0.38%9.275+88.63%0.4058✓1.385.0M2022-07-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.69510.697793+0.39%1.5448+122.24%0.5606✓1.433.7M2022-07-28
ZECZcashZcash58.8159.0503+0.41%63.64+8.21%0.1481✗1.362.1M2022-07-28
SOLSolanaSolana35.335.4678+0.48%42.93+21.61%0.0292✗1.35101.1M2022-07-28
XTZTezosTezos1.51321.5207+0.50%1.7166+13.44%0.0939✗1.31672k2022-07-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8551.8649+0.53%2.3099+24.53%0.0012✓1.3269k2022-07-28
STXStacksnative0.41470.417135+0.59%0.4344+4.75%0.1759✗1.32292k2022-07-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00089080.000896703+0.66%0.001098+23.23%0.0238✗1.382.7M2022-07-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.100608+0.71%0.1148+14.91%0.0943✗1.383.9M2022-07-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0818.2269+0.81%24.23+34.02%0.0384✓1.5132.6M2022-07-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09710.097919+0.84%0.106+9.17%0.1603✗1.47885k2022-07-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2241.2345+0.86%1.853+51.39%0.1537✓1.54169k2022-07-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8109350.817998+0.87%0.996543+22.89%0.0189✓1.09105k2022-07-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,252.8920,432.98+0.89%23,851.70+17.77%0.0089✗1.00516.9M2022-07-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006753+0.95%0.01146+71.30%0.3621✓1.02424k2022-07-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028430.028709+0.98%0.02993+5.28%0.1792✗1.3523k2022-07-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.119998+1.01%0.1306+9.93%0.1422✗1.3935k2022-07-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,284.1020,521.30+1.17%23,875.30+17.70%0.0093✓0.9846k2022-07-28
MOVRMoonriverBase11.013111.1435+1.18%14.2863+29.72%0.0357✓1.30239k2022-07-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3017.3912+1.24%7.856+7.60%0.1482✗1.2813.5M2022-07-28
GTGateEthereum4.17154.2265+1.32%4.2964+2.99%0.1086✗0.761.2M2022-07-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.75e-7+1.35%3.64e-7-1.85%0.1977✗1.01714k2022-07-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.289052+1.42%0.304+6.67%0.1181✗1.03768k2022-07-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6210.630131+1.47%0.723+16.43%0.0601✗1.211.0M2022-07-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058020.00589+1.51%0.006179+6.50%0.1204✗1.033,8152022-07-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19520.198167+1.52%0.2406+23.26%0.0453✗1.46176k2022-07-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0118040.012029+1.90%0.015429+30.71%0.1080✓0.861.7M2022-07-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.6553.6851+1.97%63.43+20.47%0.0314✗1.2118.3M2022-07-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23230.237265+2.14%0.3014+29.75%0.0379✓1.2329k2022-07-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6480.664942+2.61%0.749+15.59%0.1609✗1.71305k2022-07-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05260.054027+2.71%0.0701+33.27%0.1304✓0.80241k2022-07-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0026880.002762+2.74%0.001524-43.30%0.7738✗1.107,0242022-07-28
XMRMoneroMonero117.52121.0497+3.00%162.51+38.28%0.1009✓1.181.5M2022-07-28
XVGVergenative0.003030.003123+3.06%0.00369+21.78%0.0595✗1.38708k2022-07-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07620.07876+3.36%0.0849+11.42%0.1367✗1.297,0142022-07-28
AAVEAaveEthereum60.0462.9841+4.90%100.41+67.24%0.1902✓1.698.5M2022-07-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49620.523378+5.48%0.5466+10.16%0.1453✗1.15123k2022-07-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.04109.0935+5.87%155.69+51.10%0.1672✓1.156.2M2022-07-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.