8=======>

2022-06-27 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 179 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0032
179 of 179 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.2%
in alpha space · 66.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (179 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.880.854809-2.86%0.8133-7.58%0.0255✓1.0562k2022-06-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088760.00008637-2.69%0.00010791+21.58%0.2675✗1.95969k2022-06-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02280.022381-1.84%0.01995-12.50%0.0965✓0.80354k2022-06-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6390.629894-1.42%0.647+1.25%0.0633✗1.583,0312022-06-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06750.06658-1.36%0.06418-4.92%0.0137✓1.001,5802022-06-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09810.097068-1.05%0.1012+3.16%0.0743✗1.41179k2022-06-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20710.20512-0.96%0.1992-3.81%0.0062✓1.004,4052022-06-28
HIVEHivenative0.43880.434709-0.93%0.6213+41.59%0.3882✗1.351.1M2022-06-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04090.040532-0.90%0.0423+3.42%0.0735✗1.33192k2022-06-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41430.410857-0.83%0.4373+5.55%0.1011✗1.68212k2022-06-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.566342-0.82%0.531-7.01%0.0318✓1.42109k2022-06-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.597-0.81%1.57-2.48%0.0082✓0.38637k2022-06-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.045762-0.73%0.0448-2.82%0.0113✗1.41285k2022-06-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.78570.780065-0.72%0.75096-4.42%0.0004✓1.6795k2022-06-28
STXStacksnative0.44180.438661-0.71%0.4147-6.13%0.0257✓1.32275k2022-06-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157280.156163-0.71%0.14886-5.35%0.0248✓1.008392022-06-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1513.1301-0.66%3.055-3.05%0.0105✓0.603.3M2022-06-28
FISStafiEthereum0.37080.368389-0.65%0.3607-2.72%0.0020✓1.001,4932022-06-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.18241.175-0.62%1.1426-3.37%0.0015✓1.1551k2022-06-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22290.221758-0.51%0.219-1.75%0.0156✗1.22731k2022-06-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1851.1791-0.50%1.081-8.78%0.0611✓1.121.5M2022-06-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.921476-0.49%0.989+6.80%0.1172✗2.0233.4M2022-06-28
GITCOINGITCOIN32.9854-0.49%2.7158-9.47%0.0542✓1.7615k2022-06-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011040.000010988-0.47%0.00000995-9.87%0.0699✓1.27952k2022-06-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025510.025397-0.44%0.02343-8.15%0.0396✓1.7835.3M2022-06-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9890.984717-0.43%0.876-11.43%0.0749✓1.831.3M2022-06-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5790.576555-0.42%0.5306-8.36%0.0536✓1.28611k2022-06-28
COMPCompoundEthereum49.6749.4718-0.40%46.65-6.08%0.0239✓1.5128k2022-06-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043527-0.40%0.0434-0.69%0.0213✗1.053,1732022-06-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.387270.385766-0.39%0.3695-4.59%0.0125✓1.33134k2022-06-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.0981-0.38%3.039-2.28%0.0039✓0.675.2M2022-06-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0721610.071887-0.38%0.065943-8.62%0.0570✓1.271.9M2022-06-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.270.268983-0.38%0.271+0.37%0.0462✗1.681.3M2022-06-28
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1085.0888-0.38%4.897-4.13%0.0036✓1.8215.8M2022-06-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.963510.960036-0.36%0.88757-7.88%0.0469✓1.37713k2022-06-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.763.7468-0.35%3.64-3.19%0.0140✓0.651.5M2022-06-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.10890.10852-0.35%0.1024-5.97%0.0308✓1.18583k2022-06-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80520.802399-0.35%0.7367-8.51%0.0607✓1.073.5M2022-06-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.19190.191247-0.34%0.1888-1.62%0.0187✗1.374,3732022-06-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.990950.987631-0.33%0.98938-0.16%0.0293✗1.206,1032022-06-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9502-0.33%2.7-8.78%0.0505✓1.65301k2022-06-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7983.7856-0.33%3.8+0.05%0.0196✗0.693.6M2022-06-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05240.052233-0.32%0.0466-11.07%0.0811✓1.4312k2022-06-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,207.446,187.67-0.32%5,637.11-9.19%0.0623✓1.344.0M2022-06-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027830.027749-0.29%0.02684-3.56%0.0103✓1.003,2752022-06-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6162.6086-0.28%2.717+3.86%0.0746✗1.4786k2022-06-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.25210.251397-0.28%0.2202-12.65%0.1094✓1.00931k2022-06-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23522.2292-0.27%2.2052-1.34%0.0091✗0.862.1M2022-06-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.76225.747-0.26%5.7501-0.21%0.0058✗0.23235k2022-06-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064380.064214-0.26%0.06235-3.15%0.0028✗1.4070k2022-06-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.060.059852-0.25%0.0563-6.17%0.0256✓1.54145k2022-06-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.1627.0956-0.24%25.63-5.63%0.0336✓0.9510.7M2022-06-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.77190.77009-0.23%0.7251-6.06%0.0266✓1.46158k2022-06-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030320.030249-0.23%0.02843-6.23%0.0310✓1.3523k2022-06-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.540410.539202-0.22%0.49508-8.39%0.0473✓1.652.4M2022-06-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.88911.885-0.22%1.81-4.19%0.0206✓0.871.8M2022-06-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.431.4269-0.21%1.365-4.55%0.0102✓1.4882k2022-06-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096330.00096125-0.21%0.0008908-7.53%0.0443✓1.382.7M2022-06-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.04782-0.21%0.04874+1.71%0.0414✗0.9711k2022-06-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.135022-0.21%0.1264-6.58%0.0430✓1.004.0M2022-06-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.419.3908-0.20%9.07-3.61%0.0069✓1.21398k2022-06-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.6021.5987-0.20%1.657+3.43%0.0677✗1.39953k2022-06-28
QNTQuantEthereum58.4958.3714-0.20%57.6-1.52%0.0091✗0.971.9M2022-06-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5922.5867-0.20%2.463-4.98%0.0270✓0.96154k2022-06-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.7032.6976-0.20%2.591-4.14%0.0114✓1.26969k2022-06-28
ADACardanoCardano0.48530.484401-0.19%0.469-3.36%0.0013✓1.3576.9M2022-06-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3821.3795-0.18%1.308-5.35%0.0202✓1.434.3M2022-06-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0211.0001-0.18%10.58-3.99%0.0019✓1.61441k2022-06-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9212-0.18%4.68-5.07%0.0144✓1.561.4M2022-06-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.299.2742-0.17%8.81-5.17%0.0165✓1.511.3M2022-06-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0150090.014984-0.17%0.015124+0.77%0.0217✗0.54501k2022-06-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.322920.322392-0.16%0.30824-4.55%0.0118✓1.437,6542022-06-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.423.4144-0.16%3.29-3.80%0.0141✓1.00171k2022-06-28
UNIUniswapEthereum5.335.3214-0.16%4.917-7.75%0.0474✓1.375.0M2022-06-28
OPTIMOptimism0.5350.534143-0.16%0.529-1.12%0.0134✗1.003.6M2022-06-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83460.833308-0.15%0.8635+3.46%0.0716✗1.562.8M2022-06-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0522.0488-0.15%1.957-4.63%0.0072✓1.68101k2022-06-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1030.102841-0.15%0.1008-2.14%0.0040✗1.046,7622022-06-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.674.663-0.15%4.63-0.86%0.0086✗0.681.2M2022-06-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0562430.056159-0.15%0.052599-6.48%0.0502✓0.6728k2022-06-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22790.227566-0.15%0.2321+1.84%0.0511✗1.36233k2022-06-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.93559.8472-0.15%57.136-4.67%0.0268✓0.851.3M2022-06-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.98261.9798-0.14%1.855-6.44%0.0348✓1.3169k2022-06-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6720.671035-0.14%0.74+10.12%0.1208✗1.00432k2022-06-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50010.499385-0.14%0.4746-5.10%0.0279✓1.00112k2022-06-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.616.6008-0.14%6.25-5.45%0.0430✓0.511.2M2022-06-28
XEMNEMnative0.0424240.042365-0.14%0.040352-4.88%0.0199✓1.2526k2022-06-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070110.007002-0.13%0.006893-1.68%0.0003✓0.69134k2022-06-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020350.020323-0.13%0.02025-0.49%0.0199✗1.02123k2022-06-28
XTZTezosTezos1.59791.5958-0.13%1.5132-5.30%0.0229✓1.31654k2022-06-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.598-0.12%1.49-6.88%0.0346✓1.53447k2022-06-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5516.5294-0.12%15.41-6.89%0.0416✓1.242.1M2022-06-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1188770.118731-0.12%0.114237-3.90%0.0142✓1.0611.6M2022-06-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.2440.243702-0.12%0.2406-1.39%0.0147✗1.1987k2022-06-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8030.802028-0.12%0.772-3.86%0.0181✓0.871.7M2022-06-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.044.0352-0.12%3.93-2.72%0.0113✓0.661.2M2022-06-28
ZENHorizenBase14.5914.5729-0.12%13.58-6.92%0.0376✓1.4361k2022-06-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.163.1564-0.11%3.06-3.16%0.0140✓0.741.2M2022-06-28
TRXTRONTron0.0669090.066834-0.11%0.065755-1.72%0.0042✗0.89736k2022-06-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05670.056638-0.11%0.0529-6.70%0.0355✓1.421.3M2022-06-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59982.597-0.11%2.5339-2.53%0.0008✓1.102.2M2022-06-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.777.7617-0.11%7.34-5.53%0.0242✓1.3714.5M2022-06-28
QTUMQtumQtum2.9832.9799-0.10%2.8847-3.29%0.0055✓1.1738k2022-06-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7735.767-0.10%5.516-4.45%0.0163✓1.222.5M2022-06-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12740.127271-0.10%0.1208-5.18%0.0207✓1.374.1M2022-06-28
BANDBandEthereum1.4461.4446-0.10%1.367-5.46%0.0206✓1.50514k2022-06-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1050.104899-0.10%0.1018-3.05%0.0027✓1.19546k2022-06-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4262.4237-0.10%2.488+2.56%0.0688✗1.853.0M2022-06-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3232540.32296-0.09%0.317444-1.80%0.0137✗1.342.5M2022-06-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030710.003068-0.09%0.002893-5.80%0.0340✓1.072.0M2022-06-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.145210.14508-0.09%0.13391-7.78%0.0418✓1.66226k2022-06-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3070.30674-0.08%0.285-7.17%0.0499✓1.03792k2022-06-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.395.3857-0.08%5.12-5.01%0.0196✓1.34386k2022-06-28
XECeCashnative0.000040230.000040198-0.08%0.00003938-2.11%0.0087✗1.272.6M2022-06-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.72.6981-0.07%2.51-7.04%0.0461✓1.13636k2022-06-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3310.330764-0.07%0.3124-5.62%0.0291✓1.2212.0M2022-06-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.858.8438-0.07%9.27+4.75%0.0706✗1.02230k2022-06-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.915.8901-0.06%15.29-3.84%0.0061✓1.411.8M2022-06-28
BTTCBTTC8.40e-78.40e-7-0.06%9.20e-7+9.52%0.1112✗0.855.3M2022-06-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28920.289045-0.05%0.2751-4.88%0.0206✓1.253.6M2022-06-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004070.004068-0.05%0.00393-3.44%0.0010✓1.45228k2022-06-28
DIADIAEthereum0.406040.405851-0.05%0.37305-8.12%0.0682✓0.70141k2022-06-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3570.356842-0.04%0.348-2.52%0.0025✗1.2013k2022-06-28
RADRadworksEthereum1.661.6593-0.04%1.76+6.02%0.0861✗1.18222k2022-06-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007060.007058-0.03%0.00669-5.24%0.0301✓1.02424k2022-06-28
DASHDashDash49.0449.0247-0.03%46.27-5.65%0.0315✓1.14752k2022-06-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.146955-0.03%0.1434-2.45%0.0068✗1.36149k2022-06-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0033.0021-0.03%2.859-4.80%0.0308✓0.781.1M2022-06-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.8655.8445-0.03%52.65-5.75%0.0310✓1.2118.3M2022-06-28
FLOWFlownative1.6811.6805-0.03%1.608-4.34%0.0159✓1.22332k2022-06-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.685823-0.03%0.656-4.37%0.0134✓1.35267k2022-06-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.40651.4062-0.02%1.3393-4.78%0.0189✓1.29928k2022-06-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219380.021935-0.01%0.02148-2.09%0.0043✗1.093,3302022-06-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1560.155979-0.01%0.1502-3.72%0.0055✓1.40730k2022-06-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05760.057595-0.01%0.0556-3.47%0.0076✓1.20114k2022-06-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5476.5466-0.01%6.303-3.73%0.0076✓1.3140.5M2022-06-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,191.271,191.29+0.00%1,142.65-4.08%0.0145✗1.18347.1M2022-06-28
SOLSolanaSolana38.538.5006+0.00%35.3-8.31%0.0559✗1.34102.4M2022-06-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008990.00899+0.00%0.00876-2.56%0.0034✗0.981.3M2022-06-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40570.405707+0.00%0.3874-4.51%0.0128✗1.45115k2022-06-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.274360.27437+0.00%0.268-2.32%0.0063✓1.29465k2022-06-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11830.118306+0.01%0.1286+8.71%0.1034✓0.87220k2022-06-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1501+0.01%1.09-5.22%0.0178✗1.55912k2022-06-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.768750.768794+0.01%0.78691+2.36%0.0427✓0.849942022-06-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06430.064305+0.01%0.0607-5.60%0.0231✗1.50403k2022-06-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125350.012537+0.01%0.011804-5.83%0.0404✗0.861.7M2022-06-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.87e-7+0.02%3.70e-7-4.37%0.0215✗1.01714k2022-06-28
KSMKusamaHydration52.9152.9191+0.02%50.26-5.01%0.0242✗1.19813k2022-06-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009792+0.02%0.00936-4.39%0.0226✗0.986.7M2022-06-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20890.208941+0.02%0.1952-6.56%0.0344✗1.46176k2022-06-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.59110.5932+0.02%10.181-3.87%0.0138✗1.133.3M2022-06-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7835.7843+0.02%5.472-5.38%0.0244✗1.3511.0M2022-06-28
ZECZcashZcash62.2162.2274+0.03%58.81-5.47%0.0251✗1.362.2M2022-06-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.08283+0.04%0.0762-7.97%0.0537✗1.297,0142022-06-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051780.0518+0.04%0.05048-2.51%0.0094✓1.531.2M2022-06-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059870.005989+0.04%0.005802-3.09%0.0080✗1.033,8152022-06-28
XVGVergenative0.003210.003211+0.04%0.00303-5.61%0.0262✗1.38708k2022-06-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10140.101445+0.04%0.0971-4.24%0.0100✗1.46885k2022-06-28
NANOnanopayBase0.841670.842064+0.05%0.810935-3.65%0.0125✗1.09112k2022-06-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10780.107854+0.05%0.0999-7.33%0.0448✗1.383.9M2022-06-28
PROPropyEthereum0.860.860436+0.05%0.89+3.49%0.0509✓0.74161k2022-06-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12220.122282+0.07%0.1188-2.78%0.0031✓1.3935k2022-06-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.002770.002772+0.07%0.002688-2.96%0.0055✗1.106,8092022-06-28
MOVRMoonriverBase11.715111.7242+0.08%11.0131-5.99%0.0326✗1.30228k2022-06-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6690.669535+0.08%0.621-7.17%0.0475✗1.201.0M2022-06-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3319.3467+0.09%18.08-6.47%0.0331✗1.5034.5M2022-06-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2991.3002+0.09%1.224-5.77%0.0248✗1.54169k2022-06-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7360.736727+0.10%0.6951-5.56%0.0252✗1.433.6M2022-06-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26240.262683+0.11%0.2323-11.47%0.0947✗1.2227k2022-06-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7347.7431+0.12%7.301-5.60%0.0294✗1.2813.5M2022-06-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,725.1720,757.87+0.16%20,252.89-2.28%0.0016✓1.00516.9M2022-06-28
GTGateEthereum4.28434.2911+0.16%4.1715-2.63%0.0107✗0.761.2M2022-06-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,743.6020,780.40+0.18%20,284.10-2.22%0.0015✓0.9843k2022-06-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51090.511964+0.21%0.4962-2.88%0.0047✗1.15119k2022-06-28
XMRMoneroMonero120.31120.5644+0.21%117.52-2.32%0.0017✓1.181.5M2022-06-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6830.684572+0.23%0.648-5.12%0.0155✗1.71305k2022-06-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.44111.7189+0.25%103.04-7.54%0.0544✗1.156.1M2022-06-28
AAVEAaveEthereum65.5565.7208+0.26%60.04-8.41%0.0516✗1.688.2M2022-06-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.053261+0.30%0.0526-0.94%0.0059✓0.80241k2022-06-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.